MABS

Personally, I'm calling quits on the week. It was good and with a decent profit despite Konta losing, so there you go. Good luck to everyone who's still getting involved !

I will keep it short:  to Czech and 4-leaf, as well as the tennis players who did not disappoint!!!
Just AWESOME!!! 

Ryan Harrison to beat Cameron Norrie at 1.80 with bet365
Ryan played a big match last night, didn't drop serve all match and deserved to reach the semifinal. The same cannot be said about Cameron who only reached the semi by benefit of a second set withdrawal by Nick Kyrgios who showed no eagerness at all to play and practically gave the match away to Cameron. Ryan showed some great composure in saving several break points in his last match and his big serve and good baseline play saved him several times in those situations. I expect him to do the same here and eventually reach his second consecutive Atlanta final.

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Nicolas Jarry at 2.20 with Unibet
Looks like 50/50 to me. The previous picks on Basil obviously had more value, but I don't see how he's the underdog in this one.

Feliciano also looks pretty bad at the start of the match. Maybe best to leave him alone.

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Carreno-Busta at 3.75 with Unibet
Leonardo Mayer to beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman at 2.40 with Pinnacle
I like these two underdogs in Hamburg today, both should have a decent chance of winning given their forms and the conditions. I do like PCB and DSS as players, but they are grinders more than anything and the Hamburg conditions aren't exactly great for grinding, as evidenced by many of the recent results. On top of that, Schwartzman also looked injured in his previous match (which is why I'm taking Mayer with a one-set bookie).

Wow. What a job!!!!!! 

That tie-break comeback from Basil. Wow. I think he'll finish this in 2 after that. I don't think Pablo can recover mentally.

@CzechPunter I think both your bets tomorrow looks worth taking and making a parlay of so...
Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 5.00 
Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.25 
Double total odds at 16.25 with bet365 

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.22 with Marathonbet
Pretty drastic odds given that Basilashvili has already won three matches against decent opposition in this tournament. Cuevas has always been the better clay court player of the two and everything, but his form has been VERY shaky in recent times and I just don't believe that he can be trusted as a big favorite against players that can actually play, which Basilashvili can. In terms of value, there's only one play to make here and I prefer the outright win over the handicap lines (if Basilashvili loses, chances are that it's going to be by a big margin, he's often that kind of a guy).
Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 4.97 with Pinnacle
Odds odds odds. Dutra Silva has many of these odd losses against worse players and Safranek will have the home conditions on his side here, so 5.00?

That's such a misleading and biased statement. Lack consistency? They've played just 3 official games so far - winning at home against Riga (first European game in years, with a new manager and a bunch of new players), so the beginning was indeed poor, but they controlled the ball more, had the better chances and rightfully won. Then lost in the following game in Latvia after the dumbest mistake a GK can make (mind you that was probably the only shot on target for Riga), missed a penalty in the last minute and still managed to get through penalty shootouts. Moreover, they had to play with 10 men from mid second half, through extra time.
And to top off that "lack of consistency" they won the first game in the championship (if I am not mistaken against your favorite team, hence the misleading statement). Once again after a rather slow first half, they completely destroyed their opponents in the second half, controlling the game and scoring two goals. So wow, what a "mediocre" team, right?
Sure, it will be a big blow that Bodurov (captain and solid defender) and Malinov, plus Tiago who is the mastermind behind most attacks will all miss the game, but did you even check the missings in the visitors' squad? Two regular defenders from last season. Also they've sold some of their key players. Lost against a third tier club for the cup last week and they are full of young players with no European experience whatsoever. And to top it off they will be without their manager, who stayed in Austria for personal reasons. 
Of course the Austrians will try not to lose and it is a certain possibility, but to call CSKA a mediocre team compared to the visitors, who are usually a joke in their own championship, is just plain misleading to all those who read your previews.
Home victory just dropped far too much, so there is really no real value anymore, so I'd rather back corners (over 9.5) in the game. With CSKA's fast wingers who will be the main threat and the new striker I suppose there will be plenty of crossings, so I think that's the best choice for tonight. Good luck!

Shuai Zhang to beat Margarita Gasparyan at 1.50 with Paddy Power
I don't believe that Gasparyan is ready to face WTA-level opponents just yet. The road back is going to be long and Zhang really isn't the easiest test in home conditions. She didn't have too many problems against Lisicki today and Gasparyan should be a step down, not a step up.

Krajinovic missed the whole clay season due to a leg injury and he wasn't able to practice on grass till a couple of days ago. He started playing slight points about two weeks ago on hardcourt because he didn't want to play on grass directly after the injury because of the movement. I can't see him being ready for a Best of 5 match tbh.
I can't understand how sb. is writing that he would be "quite shocked" if Krajinovic loses this. 
Jarry is the clear favorite and should take it, he has the right game for grass with his height and power, his serve is a massive weapon. Krajinovic form is more than questionable including his fitness.

Medvedev 76 62 62 WON
27 games LOSS
Donskoy 26 46 57 LOSS 
Karlovic 46 75 76 63 WON
So we have 2x win 2x loss here but Donskoy should really have won the third set, he was 4-1 up there and looked really good but then collapsed like the mental midget he is. Disgusting. Still a solid plus thanks to Medvedev.

Lorenzi + Millman deliver .

I know he's decent and I belive he will win a title some day but Nicolas can serve pretty good and will be hard to break for Filip. Nicolas at 198cm tall has a serve that translates well to grass.

Ruben Bemelmans (+3.5) to beat Steve Johnson at 2.00 with Pinnaclesports
Steve beat Ruben in Nottingham challenger final 2013 7-5 7-5 but I don't care about that. Steve is not in the sort of form to go out and destroy an opponent like Ruben on grass. He plays very unsecure right now and I fear for him when he's coming up against who I think is the hottest qualifier of them all. Ruben spells danger for Steve and he will keep this close. 

You are missing the big picture, you belive Filip wins on a surface he's played less then 10 matches on in his career in a tournament he's only won one qualifying match when he's been away since march. He's not even expecting himself to win this probably. He probably just wants to go out there and get some match practice. Everyone has the right to have their own opinion but here I fear you are wrong.

Good opinions exchange on Travaglia vs Millman - sure Milman is playing in a good form and has a higher chance of winning this match, but it is also true that S. Travaglia is not the weakest player coming out of qualies...
Although Liquidglass has a valid point, I do like Millman -1,5 sets, as it allows a set to worthy opponent - just regular stakes.
My opinion only, not a sure thing (none is) no disrespect meant, as a 7:6, 6:4, 3:6 and 6:4 could do it for both...
 
Happy Canada day, and GL to all
 

Good opinions exchange on Travaglia vs Millman - sure Milman is playing in a good form and has a higher chance of winning this match, but it is also true that S. Travaglia is not the weakest player coming out of qualies...
Although Liquidglass has a valid point, I do like Millman -1,5 sets, as it allows a set to worthy opponent - just regular stakes.
My opinion only, not a sure thing (none is) no disrespect meant, as a 7:6, 6:4, 3:6 and 6:4 could do it for both...
 
Happy Canada day, and GL to all
 

I'm not backing him large, even stakes as always. And just for the record, I guess that he's not actually the weakest link. Bonzi is. Klahn is a close call, but we'll see, perhaps Travaglia is going to force me to regret my words.

Not at all. I think there are better matchups to focus on especially on the first two days of a slam. I agree with you that millman is the better player, but certainly not by a street . He also faces a very determined street fighter here who breezed through qualifying. Definately a long match in prospect. Good luck if you back him large!!

Lol!! I really do not mind you saying anything in a bid to find qualifying reasons for a pick. However I just could not let you get away with describing Travaglia as the weakest link from the group of qualifying players. He goes into that game with a more than average chance of winning for a guy whose game is well suited to the surface. His record on grass in the last 2years is very good and the odds also reflect that.

1pt Mihaela Buzarnescu to win the 3rd Quarter at 29.00 with Bet365
Interest stakes for obvious reasons.
E.Gulbis/J.Clarke - Over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with Paddy Power
Gulbis is the better player, there can be no doubts about that, but Clarke plays his heart out in home conditions and he's played decent tennis recently, so I think that it's very likely that we are going to see a tight battle here, either thanks to Clarke fighting hard or thanks to Gulbis fooling around.
Mikhail Kukushkin to beat Vasek Pospisil at 1.66 with Pinnacle
I've already opposed Pospisil once on grass in this season and I'm happy to do so again against Kukushkin, who is just the better player of the two overall. Much better, in fact, and with a much better form book as well.
Lara Arruabarrena-Vecino to beat Ana Bogdan at 1.81 with Marathonbet
The surface should suit Bogdan slightly more, but she hasn't played for so long that I'm not really sure that LAV should be only a minor favourite here. Could be a case of Bogdan just picking up a check honestly. I like the odds regardless.
Paolo Lorenzi to beat Laslo Djere at 1.73 with Paddy Power
Speaking of picking up checks, Djere is currently still playing in a clay court Challenger in Milan, which is about the last thing you'd want to be doing a couple of days ahead of Wimbledon if success is what you want. Lorenzi is an aging force, but I'd have him around the 1.50 mark given all the situational factors. Also, he has at least a somewhat competent serve (unlike Djere).
Petra Martic to beat Ekaterina Makarova at 1.97 with Pinnacle
Makarova is stuck in a really strange spot at the moment, with no victories in sight. She's obviously capable of beating Martic, but I can't have her as the favourite given the losing streak and given that Martic has played a couple of reasonable matches on grass already. 60/40 imo.
Daria Gavrilova to beat Zarina Diyas at 1.80 with Paddy Power
I have to admit that Diyas has dropped from my radar recently, but Gavrilova hasn't and I didn't mind her recent performances - that she didn't win too many matches can be attributed to the fact that she had to face Kvitova and Radwanska pretty much straight away. Diyas will be a solid step down.
John Millman (-1.5 sets) to beat Stefano Travaglia at 1.86 with Unibet
I don't really enjoy opposing qualifiers, but Travaglia looks to be the weakest link from that group of players and the draw hasn't been particularly kind to him either, so I'd say that he's going to find it really hard to get a result. On grass, Millman should win - and perhaps comfortably so.

Men's = http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2018_MS_draw.pdf
Women's = http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2018_LS_draw.pdf