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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

four-leaf

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  1. Like
    four-leaf reacted to yogg in May 14 - May 20   
    Suarez Navarro vs Vekic WTA Rome
    I think Vekic can easily take a set off Suarez Navarro.
    Vekic +1.5 sets @ 1.63 with Pinnacle

  2. Like
    four-leaf reacted to yogg in May 14 - May 20   
    Jaziri vs Edmund ATP Rome
    the odds on Jaziri look very generous to me so I'll be taking 
    Jaziri +1.5 sets @ 2.02 with Pinnacle

  3. Like
    four-leaf reacted to yogg in May 7 - May 13   
    today I'm going to try three matches in the over 2.5 sets market for a treble paying 12.69 with Bet365.
    Kohlschreiber vs Anderson
    Sharapova vs Bertens
    Isner vs Cuevas
    good luck to all. 
  4. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from erny86 in May 7 - May 13   
    Gonna try this fourfold tomorrow
    Kevin Anderson to beat Philipp Kohlschrieber at evens with bet365
    Kevin way better then Philipp and has always been although he's got fewer titles but reaching a grand slam final says it all about Kevin and he's fully capable on this Madrid surface.
    John Isner to beat Pablo Cuevas at 1.80 with bet365
    Big John going strong nowadays facing a Pablo with semifinal points to defend but I fear he'll come up short in this matchup because of the big serves coming his way tomorrow. He'll have to return basically out of his socks to win this match.
    Simona Halep to beat Karolina Pliskova at 1.44 with bet365
    Simona has a 6-1 head to head advantage in this matchup and she's world no.1 and will still be after Madrid and she's playing good enough for another Madrid final. The reason it's 6-1 to Simona is probably about returning and reading the Karolina serve so well. She just beat the other sister and will likely beat Karolina to.
    Daria Kasatkina to beat Petra Kvitova at 2.50 with bet365
    Saw Petra in the Prag final and that first set when she was up 4-1 she decided to throw it away. Even though she eventually won the match by grinding down the romanian she was a complete disaster with unforced errors thrown in from left and right. It will be costly when facing this young russian.
    Fourfold paying x13.00 at bet365 
  5. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from erny86 in May 7 - May 13   
    Maria Sharapova to beat (-1.5 sets) Kristina Mladenovic at evens with bet365
    Masha all the way here for me. She's way better then Kristina on clay and any other surface. Only reason they went the distance last season in Stuttgart was because it was Mashas first tournament back from suspension. Now this time I think Masha is gonna win this one and likely in straight sets.
  6. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from yogg in May 7 - May 13   
    Gonna try this fourfold tomorrow
    Kevin Anderson to beat Philipp Kohlschrieber at evens with bet365
    Kevin way better then Philipp and has always been although he's got fewer titles but reaching a grand slam final says it all about Kevin and he's fully capable on this Madrid surface.
    John Isner to beat Pablo Cuevas at 1.80 with bet365
    Big John going strong nowadays facing a Pablo with semifinal points to defend but I fear he'll come up short in this matchup because of the big serves coming his way tomorrow. He'll have to return basically out of his socks to win this match.
    Simona Halep to beat Karolina Pliskova at 1.44 with bet365
    Simona has a 6-1 head to head advantage in this matchup and she's world no.1 and will still be after Madrid and she's playing good enough for another Madrid final. The reason it's 6-1 to Simona is probably about returning and reading the Karolina serve so well. She just beat the other sister and will likely beat Karolina to.
    Daria Kasatkina to beat Petra Kvitova at 2.50 with bet365
    Saw Petra in the Prag final and that first set when she was up 4-1 she decided to throw it away. Even though she eventually won the match by grinding down the romanian she was a complete disaster with unforced errors thrown in from left and right. It will be costly when facing this young russian.
    Fourfold paying x13.00 at bet365 
  7. Like
    four-leaf reacted to liquidglass in May 7 - May 13   
    hehehe! I really got it wrong and thought we had a tennis problem here, but I now see it very much looks like an english problem. You have just answered the question that has been posing us the problem in your words    No the match could only go one way, either under 20 games or over 19. meaning as was said it could go either way whether in games or in outright win..
  8. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in May 7 - May 13   
    Maria Sharapova to beat (-1.5 sets) Kristina Mladenovic at evens with bet365
    Masha all the way here for me. She's way better then Kristina on clay and any other surface. Only reason they went the distance last season in Stuttgart was because it was Mashas first tournament back from suspension. Now this time I think Masha is gonna win this one and likely in straight sets.
  9. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in May 7 - May 13   
    Pablo Andujar Alba to beat (-1.5 sets) Feliciano Lopez at 2.75 with Paddypower
    Feliciano preparing for life after tour with tournament director duties in Madrid this week. Pablo at his best right now despite losing in qualies of Barcelona to Bjorn Fratangelo which I anyway see as maybe a tactical play by Pablo if he knew he was anyway going to get in to main draw of Barcelona as lucky loser because he beat Bjorn Fratangelo rather easily as lucky loser in first round. Pablo have faced Feliciano twice and beaten him in straight sets on clay in Barcelona 2015 and took Feliciano to 5 sets in US open. I think we might see Pablo having a good day in Madrid.
    Victoria Azarenka to beat (-1.5 sets) Karolina Pliskova at 3.20 with Paddypower
    Victoria is the better claycourter of these two and will probably put Karolina under a lot of pressure on her on serve despite her serve being as big as it is but that doesn't matter as mutch on clay and Victoria has a superb return also and a good serve that seems to be clicking right now. And motivation should not be a problem since she is ranked 98 and needs a good tournament somewhere and why not start in Madrid. 3-1 to Victoria in the head to head also and she beat Karolina in Miami in straight sets this season.
  10. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from gg-77 in April 30 - May 6   
    Maximilian Marterer to beat (-1.5 sets) Marton Fucsovics at 3.32 with Pinnaclesports
    This is one of the bets of the day (another is over 2.5 sets Camila Giorgi/Mihaela Buzarnescu). Anyway Max took down Marton in Miami in straight sets and I sense he will do it again in Munich. Clay is Max best surface as seen on the challenger tour while clay is not Martons favorable surface or any other slower condition as the courts in Miami. Max taking down Marton in straight sets is without a doubt for me one the best bets today.
    Pablo Carreno Busta to beat (-1.5 sets) Nicolas Jarry at evens with Pinnaclesports
    Last bet of the day in tennis at least. PCB to nick Nico in two. Saw Nico playing yesterday and I was on PCB to win in straight sets against Nico Kicker and Nico Jarry in straight sets against Ricardo Ojeda Lara. I thought there were to be a bit more difference in class between Nico and ROL than it was between PCB and Nico Kicker. Anyways I see this as an uneven matchup because of the way Nico Jarry played yesterday. He had some major difficulties against 206 ranked ROL. I knew he was going to take it in two in the end but those difficulties he faced didn't look good if I compare to how good PCB played yesterday. Judging by all the problems Nico Jarry created for himself yesterday it's gonna be very hard for him to get anything out of this match.
  11. Like
    four-leaf reacted to StevieDay1983 in La Liga Predictions > May 4th - 7th   
    Villarreal vs Valencia
    Two of the great teams of La Liga from recent times face off this Saturday in a 7:45pm kick-off at La Ceramica with European aspirations on the line between 6th placed Villarreal and 4th placed Valencia. The bookies are unsure who to back with any real confidence and that is exactly my line of thinking. Go down the middle!
    Villarreal have won 10 and drawn 2 of their 17 home matches so far this season. 5 defeats suggest they are far from invincible on their own turf. Fran Escriba has seen his side go their last three league games unbeaten and have scored 8 goals during those matches. They are a team buzzing with attacking flair right now.
    Valencia have all but secured Champions League football for next season but it is far from done and dusted. They will want a win here to ease any concerns that may arise heading into the last couple of league games. Marcelino has helped steer them back to the top four after a dodgy era. The only issue is that some players appear to be prematurely on the beach already with the club not having won any of their last four league matches.
    I think deep down, Valencia's players think they have done enough to qualify for the Champions League next season. Real Betis are on a hell of a run right now but still need to win all three of their remaining games and hope Valencia lose all three of their remaining games. Stranger things have happened though.
    Villarreal are under more pressure to get a result here with teams breathing down their neck. My gut instinct is being lured by the draw but I just have a sneaky suspicion that given Valencia's recent form that Villarreal could sneak this one. I'm keen to also back goals to fly in for this one. Villarreal look like they could score every time they go forward.
    Villarreal to win @ 2.30 with BetVictor
    BTTS @ 1.67 with Betfair
    @Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jamiedavies02, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, and @derbent, what do you think of these games? Let us know your chosen bets so we can finish on a flurry.
  12. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in April 30 - May 6   
    Hm, yeah. I didn't really want to get involved today, but I'm going to have a standard play on the same thing as well, Under 23 games at 1.90 with Marathonbet. I suppose that Cuevas can have a good day and Opelka a bad one, but, seeing that Opelka beat Garin - a guy that I rate well above Cuevas - 6-4 6-4 yesterday, he should be good to go.
  13. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in April 30 - May 6   
    Maximilian Marterer to beat (-1.5 sets) Marton Fucsovics at 3.32 with Pinnaclesports
    This is one of the bets of the day (another is over 2.5 sets Camila Giorgi/Mihaela Buzarnescu). Anyway Max took down Marton in Miami in straight sets and I sense he will do it again in Munich. Clay is Max best surface as seen on the challenger tour while clay is not Martons favorable surface or any other slower condition as the courts in Miami. Max taking down Marton in straight sets is without a doubt for me one the best bets today.
    Pablo Carreno Busta to beat (-1.5 sets) Nicolas Jarry at evens with Pinnaclesports
    Last bet of the day in tennis at least. PCB to nick Nico in two. Saw Nico playing yesterday and I was on PCB to win in straight sets against Nico Kicker and Nico Jarry in straight sets against Ricardo Ojeda Lara. I thought there were to be a bit more difference in class between Nico and ROL than it was between PCB and Nico Kicker. Anyways I see this as an uneven matchup because of the way Nico Jarry played yesterday. He had some major difficulties against 206 ranked ROL. I knew he was going to take it in two in the end but those difficulties he faced didn't look good if I compare to how good PCB played yesterday. Judging by all the problems Nico Jarry created for himself yesterday it's gonna be very hard for him to get anything out of this match.
  14. Thanks
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in April 30 - May 6   
    Cuevas isn't good, I don't see him doing anything on the main tour ever. If Opelka serves decently, he should win in two. I don't know much about Brkic, but you can do some research here https://livestream.com/ATP/events/8188813 and here https://livestream.com/accounts/5057055/events/8185540, for example.
  15. Like
    four-leaf reacted to yogg in April 30 - May 6   
    Giorgi vs Buzarnescu - WTA Prague
    this is my match of the day and I'm really looking forward to watching this on eurosport today.
    I think this will be close and I slightly favour the underdog Buzarnescu but as I can get better odds for her to win one set in the overs betting (over 2.5 sets @2.45 with unibet) than I can for her to win two sets in the match betting (2.33 with unibet) I'll be going overs. 
    WON 
  16. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Torque in April 23 - April 29   
    Nice spot 
  17. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from yogg in April 23 - April 29   
    Coco Vandeweghe/Karolina Pliskova first set tie-break at 6.00 with bet365
    First set to end in a tie-break is not to bad bet considering that their last 4 meeting have gone to a tie-break in the first set. Big serves, big forehands, maybe one break each but still a tie-break expected. So It's not impossible that both players can break serve but I still think a tie-break can be expected and at this price I think it's worth chancing that there will be a tie-break in the first set.
  18. Like
    four-leaf reacted to yogg in April 23 - April 29   
    i actually think that all the value is with rafa!
    under [email protected] with unibet
    under [email protected] with bet365
    look great value to me despite all the hype over tsitsipas.
    btw, i'm greek. 
  19. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in April 23 - April 29   
    Coco Vandeweghe/Karolina Pliskova first set tie-break at 6.00 with bet365
    First set to end in a tie-break is not to bad bet considering that their last 4 meeting have gone to a tie-break in the first set. Big serves, big forehands, maybe one break each but still a tie-break expected. So It's not impossible that both players can break serve but I still think a tie-break can be expected and at this price I think it's worth chancing that there will be a tie-break in the first set.
  20. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in April 30 - May 6   
    Dusan Lajovic to beat John Millman at 1.78 with Marathonbet
    Lajovic wasn't that bad last week and needs to start winning again, so why not here in Istanbul, where he had a decent run last year? Millman could also be dead tired after the long and tiring week in Budapest with so many paused matches.
     
  21. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in April 23 - April 29   
    Rafael Nadal/Stefanos Tsitsipas over 2.5 sets at 5.50 with bet365
    I'm not going to let this opportunity slip away, it's highly possible that Stefanos will take a set here and force this to a decider. Ofcourse Rafa is always Rafa and he is flying, breaking clayrecords when eating breakfast right now but still Stefanos can play some excellent tennis. He is for me a big player who can dictate rallies as he wishes just like Rafa and he is well worth being in this final. He is a great talent but he also has a unique skill-set which is what separates the best form the rest, as he has the long powerful serve (hard to find), powerful forehand and strong one handed backhand which along with his physical attributes make him a very gifted player. Have to try this bet, small stake ofcourse.
    Coco Vandeweghe to beat Karolina Pliskova at 2.11 with Pinnaclesports or 2.00 with bet365
    Coco is flying again, she was at evens to beat Caro Garcia in the semis and did it in straight sets and now evens again to win the final. Pliskova has done well to reach this final but I think Coco is the more dangerous player in this one. Karolina won this Stuttgart matchup last season in straight sets but I think this year will be different, Karolina is not playing as well as before and hasn't had it as easy as Coco to reach this final. Only Laura Siegemund has challenged Coco and she was the defending champ here and homeplayer so not that strange that it went to a decider in that match. This is gonna be a lot about serve and forehand and both has the big serve and forehand so with that in mind I think it's a true 50/50 matchup and I'm willing to bet on Coco to take this one.
    Edit: And also it's 3-2 in head to head in this matchup with Coco winning 3 in straight sets so something similar I would not be surprised to see today.
  22. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in April 30 - May 6   
    Kristyna Pliskova to beat Karolina Pliskova at 5.00 with Marathonbet
    Crazy odds, pure value. Karolina is going to play the finals in Stuttgart tomorrow, so what are the odds of her just letting this one go? Surely more than 20 percent, right?
  23. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from yogg in April 23 - April 29   
    Caroline Garcia to beat Elina Svitolina at 2.50 with bet365
    Nobrainer, Caroline has beaten Elina last two meetings both last season on hardcourt and one were in the WTA Finals. Elina is not playing any good tennis at all right now but Caroline is so I think it's not to bad to suspect an upset here although it's a small one but it just doesn't feel like the odds are set right here.
  24. Like
    four-leaf reacted to liquidglass in April 23 - April 29   
    RAFAEL NADAL VS MARTIN KLIZAN
    This really looks and feels like a mouth watering prospect despite what the odd makers have put forward. Head to Head comparison reads Nadal 2-1(Nadal winnning 3-1 on clay 2013, 3-1 on grass 2014, and Klizan winning 2-1 on hard 2014.. Nadal born 1986 and Klizan born 1989. Whilst a credible arguement can be tendered that the matches were played so long ago, there is nothing to suggest that Nadal would have improved a lot more over klizan since that time considering their ages.
    Nadal's power over the enemy has always come from the difficulty in the matchup stemming from the heavy topspins generated from his forearm into the backhand corner of his opponent. In this case Klizan is left-handed and from the record from previous matchups, has a game that suits the playing style of Nadal. Furthermore, Klizan has never failed to win a set in any of those meetings.
    I think the bookies are really carried away here with the way they have set these ridiculous odds.....or maybe they are not, knowing that there will still be a lot of gutless turds who would back Nadal silly in this match up. The end result is a plethora of bets that can be taken in this game enroute to victory. I have chosen what I first saw as a real gift. Total games over 17.5 evens @ paddypower. Now that's my idea of a no brainer!!! Good luck all!! 
    N.B Also seriously consider klizan winning a set
  25. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in April 23 - April 29   
    Rafael Nadal/Martin Klizan over 2.5 sets at 7.00 with bet365
    I suddenly got the idea that today won't be as easy for Rafa as usual. Martin has beaten Rafa once and taken at least a set on all surfaces in his 3 matches against Rafa. On clay Rafa won 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 and grass was the same result. I suspect something similar could be on the cards today. Maybe it's time for Rafa to drop a set, Martin is acctually playing well.
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