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Shuai Zhang to beat Mihaela Buzarnescu at 1.99 with Pinnacle

Zhang is certainly the better player imo, so not sure what makes her the underdog here, especially if you throw the 2-0 H2H record into the mix. Buzarnescu might like clay more than Zhang, but I'm not too concerned about that honestly, Zhang has been quite decent on the surface recently.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to beat Madison Keys at 2.53 with Marathonbet

Not much to say here, just that it looks like a total coin-flip to me. It's only about who's going to be more accurate on the day.

Corentin Moutet to beat Carlos Berlocq at 1.89 with Marathonbet

To me, Berlocq is one of those players going down at the moment, much like Ferrer honestly. He's still relatively decent, but his taxing playing style isn't going to do him any favors as his age moves forward. I wouldn't want to back Moutet in this match-up outside France, but I'm happy to do so in Bordeaux.

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Aleksandra Krunic to beat (-4.5) Roberta Vinci at 1.90 with bet365

Aleksandra defeated Roberta three times in 2015 and every time she covered this handicap. She will do it again without a doubt. Roberta is probably seeing the end of her career. Was even talk about her retirering last season along with Fran Schiavone but they both continued. However I think this will end with an easy win for Aleksandra.

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cheers cp, we just had a short sharp shower that interrupted the Schiavone vs Cibulkova match and now Cibulkova is injured serving for the match!

Edited by yogg

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Yunseong Chung (+3) to beat Matthew Ebden at 1.88 with Marathonbet

A talented youngster against Ebden? Count me in. Ebden has done absolutely nothing since Miami, while Chung has managed to beat Kubler and Saville to get here. Tie-breaks are always on the cards whenever Ebden is involved, so the handicap line looks good to me.

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Collins vs Cirstea - WTA Rome

hard to see this going any other way than a win for Collins.

Cirstea's form is poor at the moment whilst Collins is on the up defeating Lepchenko and Giorgi in the quallies so should be nicely tuned in to the conditions.

1.80 @Bet365

:ok

Edited by yogg

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Basilashvili vs Baldi - ATP Rome

there was a definite "playing at home" factor amongst the Italians yesterday and I'm hoping for more with Baldi today.

beating Marton Fucsovics and Guillermo Garcia Lopez in the quallies to get here was no mean feat.

Baldi +1.5 sets @ 2.00 with Betway 

:ok

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2 picks for Rome Italian Open tomorrow matches:

ATP: CARRENO TO DEFEAT JOHNSON @ 1.5 betfair-sportsbook (few other bookies have 1.5 also)
Carreno is not at his best this season but Johnson really prefers faster surfaces. Clay is his worst surface for sure.

WTA: MUGURUZA TO DEFEAT GAVRILOVA @ 1.31 betfair-sportsbook
The same reasoning as above.

 

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Matteo Berrettini Total Games (vs. Zverev) - Over 7 at 1.89 with Marathonbet

Fabio Fognini (+1.5 sets) to beat Dominic Thiem at 1.88 with Pinnacle

Both Thiem and Zverev have played way too much tennis recently, so I wouldn't be surprised to see them struggle a bit against two Italians. Fognini has some quality and Berrettini has some form, which means that some resistance is to be expected. I'm not sure that it will be enough for a substantial result, but tight scorelines wouldn't surprise me.

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Peter Gojowczyk to beat Lorenzo Sonego at 2.50 with bet365

Lorenzo has already done his part of the deal in Rome. He beat Adrian Mannarino and that's about enough for me. I'm sick of the italian. For me he's going out in straight sets here. He'll have no chance against Peter even if he tries to defend as mutch as he can. If Peter plays his game with well placed serves and good baseline play he wins. Lorenzo will try to play with a lot of court coverage and get balls back in play and hope for Peter to miss most of his shots eventually. Peter just knocked out 13 ranked Sam Querrey but he sucks on clay and Peter also sucks on clay but he's the higher ranked player here and therefore he's gonna beat Lorenzo who's done enough this tournament by beating one higher ranked player who also sucks on clay just like Peter. But because the italian beat one player higher ranked doesn't mean he will win his next match automatically.

For jackpot Peter Gojowczyk -1.5 sets at 4.00 with bet365

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3 hours ago, four-leaf said:

Peter Gojowczyk to beat Lorenzo Sonego at 2.50 with bet365

Lorenzo has already done his part of the deal in Rome. He beat Adrian Mannarino and that's about enough for me. I'm sick of the italian. For me he's going out in straight sets here. He'll have no chance against Peter even if he tries to defend as mutch as he can. If Peter plays his game with well placed serves and good baseline play he wins. Lorenzo will try to play with a lot of court coverage and get balls back in play and hope for Peter to miss most of his shots eventually. Peter just knocked out 13 ranked Sam Querrey but he sucks on clay and Peter also sucks on clay but he's the higher ranked player here and therefore he's gonna beat Lorenzo who's done enough this tournament by beating one higher ranked player who also sucks on clay just like Peter. But because the italian beat one player higher ranked doesn't mean he will win his next match automatically.

For jackpot Peter Gojowczyk -1.5 sets at 4.00 with bet365

And jackpot it is :cow

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Naomi Osaka to beat Simona Halep at 3.10 with Pinnaclesports

Simona is not playing well lately. She was crap in Stuttgart and crap in Madrid and Naomi is playing like she's playing on hardcourt on clay so she seems to have found some kind of rythm and it's hard to break her game if she's in the zone like she was against Vika on monday. Similar to Karolina Pliskova in Madrid Naomi can do the straight sets again over Simona just like she did in Indian wells when she won 6-3 6-0. Naomi is playing awesome so I count on her to find her shots again tomorrow and sending this out of form world no.1 out of Rome nicely enough so she can prepare for Roland Garros. So I see it as if Naomi will do Simona a favour if she wins here. Another nice world no.1 win just before Roland Garros, yeah why not? Feels more likely that Simona dissapoints than Naomi doing it. Feels stupid to back Simona here when she's played so bad in Madrid and Stuttgart and smart to back Naomi who played awesome in first round. It's hard to be no.1, Simona probably feels the pressure and it gets to her.

For jackpot: Naomi Osaka -1.5 sets at 5.04 with Pinnaclesports

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