four-leaf

Julien served spectacular against Mikhail Youzhny and Franco Skugor will have no answer to that or Juliens groundgame. He will be outclassed by Julien in every department.

Steve Darcis to beat (-4.5) Alex De Minaur for a 8/10 stake at 2.00 with bet365
This is likely where the road comes to an end for Alex the young aussie. Steve is usually pretty reliable in challenger finals against opponents that are inexperienced as he can make the matches short and win by 5 games minimum. Can remember when Steve was in a clay challenger final against Jordi Samper Montana earlier this season where he took the match in under 1 hour by 6-3 6-4.

Two more from the Challengers:
 
Bogota
Nichola Barrientos - Londero 2.49 Pinnacle
 
Barrientos is 4:0 against Londero including a recent win. Last week Londero was injured during a match. Barrientos has a chance to rest for a month and he will play in his home country, which is a plus.
 
Sidorenko - Gojowcik 2.75 Pinnacle
Sidorenko is leading 2:0 in H2H, but both matches were long time ago. The Frenchmen loves indoor hard. This is his favorite surface. He took three weeks rest and now will be recharched. Sidorenko already had two titles on this surface this year, one of them on challenger level. Gojowcik impresses in Metz, but since them is on downfall with three losses in a row.

Steve Darcis to beat (-4.5) Alex De Minaur for a 8/10 stake at 2.00 with bet365
This is likely where the road comes to an end for Alex the young aussie. Steve is usually pretty reliable in challenger finals against opponents that are inexperienced as he can make the matches short and win by 5 games minimum. Can remember when Steve was in a clay challenger final against Jordi Samper Montana earlier this season where he took the match in under 1 hour by 6-3 6-4.

Isner/Sock O23.5 1.720 Pinnacle
Good shot at double TB in first two sets, also I think this is a bad match up for sock. Isner isn't going to making any patient plays. This match should be full of 2-3 shot rallies which is how isner likes to play. If sock tries a passive shot, it will be met with power and the point will likely be over. If sock goes for power, the point will likely be over. The point is Isners fitness level and mobility wont be challenged and he'll love to be playing quick points all day. Should be a slug fest with minal breaks if they both serve consistantly.

Every now and then Pablo Cuevas tends to surprise on hardcourts so I've taken Pablo Cuevas to win by 2-1 and straight win with high stake. Pablo Cuevas feels better to pick then Paolo Lorenzi so I rather take a big risk with Pablo Cuevas.

Every now and then Pablo Cuevas tends to surprise on hardcourts so I've taken Pablo Cuevas to win by 2-1 and straight win with high stake. Pablo Cuevas feels better to pick then Paolo Lorenzi so I rather take a big risk with Pablo Cuevas.

I think you will be wrong about Lorenzi, he isn't that good and he has matchup problems against Cuevas. Doesn't feel good to pick Lorenzi.

Kei Nishikori to beat Viktor Troicki with a -1.50 handicap at SBOBET
I think Nishikori with his experience is just too good for Troicki especially now that the Japanese wants to end his tour with a bang.

Thiem/Sock O22.5 1.957
Lopez/Pouille O23 1.725
Lorenzi -2 Game Spread 1.900
Bautista-Agut ML +110
Ugh oh... I'm betting against Czech punter!! Oh well... I've lost bets before. The overs in general though I think are ripe. Most games will crack the 22 game mark today, aside from Murray/Djoker.
 
 

Marcos Baghdatis/Grigor Dimitrov over 2.5 sets at 2.62 with bet365
Decent chance to see 3 sets in this one. Grigor is heavily overrated imo and should have a difficult match here.

Marcos Baghdatis/Grigor Dimitrov over 2.5 sets at 2.62 with bet365
Decent chance to see 3 sets in this one. Grigor is heavily overrated imo and should have a difficult match here.

Today you can nail them all! I've taken Nikoloz Basilashvili on Paddypower and bet365 at 2.25 and 2.37. Odds have dropped but still worth it imo!

Today you can nail them all! I've taken Nikoloz Basilashvili on Paddypower and bet365 at 2.25 and 2.37. Odds have dropped but still worth it imo!

The Chung/Eysseric pick is for very early morning btw.

https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis

Back Daria Gavrilova to beat Angelique Kerber at 4.00 with BetVictor
Not getting a grip on things in Shanghai and I don't see anything there for Friday, so I'll go with this one in Hong Kong. It's essentially a value play based. Not only does Kerber seem to be trying new things in this tournament, but she also doesn't seem to be giving it her best in terms of energy, at least if the match against Chirico was anything to go by. Considering that Radwanska just withdrew due to the WTA Finals closing in and Kerber doesn't really need to chase any points either, Gavrilova is worth taking at 4.00 imo.

Back Albert Ramos to beat Adrian Mannarino at 2.10 with Skybet
Ramos might obviously be tired and that's the big risk here, but we're getting a premium price thanks to that and I'm willing to take it all things considered. He's the better player of the two, he's got the better form and he's also already beaten Mannarino in this very season, so 2.10 looks worth it to me.
Back Juan Monaco to beat James Duckworth at 1.62 with Skybet
Still worth it at this price imo, Monaco is by far the classier player and Duckworth's win over Lopez was worthless really, as the Spaniard was injured and had to retire (he then also retired from the doubles, so it wasn't something minuscule). Not much to add here really, only that I was really disappointed by Duckworth's progress in this season, as I hoped that he would break the top 80 or so.

Daria Gavrilova to beat Timea Bacsinszky at 2.00 for a 8/10 stake with bet365
Daria had a quite hard match last time against Christina Mchale but she came through and her form is good enough to beat Timea as she's done on clay last season in Rome in straight sets where both players broke each others serve lots of times, acctually 4 times for Timea and 5 times for Daria and Daria won 6-4 7-6. Christina Mchale and Daria had a break party going on also in their match here in Beijing but that was probably more about quality of play then about bad play from both players since Christina Mchale won her first title recently and should still be playing quite well. Timea got to the final last year in Beijing but I doubt she will get that far this time. Her form is not as good as it was back then so I think I have to give it a try to go against her in this match.
Edit: By giving Daria only evens is a hint from the market that there is a decent chance that Daria will win the match even though she is rankad 49 and Timea 15.

Daria Gavrilova to beat Timea Bacsinszky at 2.00 for a 8/10 stake with bet365
Daria had a quite hard match last time against Christina Mchale but she came through and her form is good enough to beat Timea as she's done on clay last season in Rome in straight sets where both players broke each others serve lots of times, acctually 4 times for Timea and 5 times for Daria and Daria won 6-4 7-6. Christina Mchale and Daria had a break party going on also in their match here in Beijing but that was probably more about quality of play then about bad play from both players since Christina Mchale won her first title recently and should still be playing quite well. Timea got to the final last year in Beijing but I doubt she will get that far this time. Her form is not as good as it was back then so I think I have to give it a try to go against her in this match.
Edit: By giving Daria only evens is a hint from the market that there is a decent chance that Daria will win the match even though she is rankad 49 and Timea 15.

Albert Ramos Vinolas vs. Adrian Mannarino 2.05
Mannarino hasn't been in form and he hasn't beat anyone higher than world rank #100 within the last few months whereas Albert Ramos is playing the best tennis of his life.  I see value here on Ramos.

Back Kevin Anderson to beat Viktor Troicki at 1.57 with Skybet
A good price for Anderson imo, he's played himself into a good form and he is the better player of the two in virtually every single department. Motivation should also be high after such a disappointing season and the comeback against Kyrgios must've done wonders for his confidence, so I do like his chances against Troicki.