Kanga
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Posts
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Posts posted by Kanga
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Re: Trialling something..... Hi FF, I don't think it's coincidence that the drop off in results the last couple of days and the change in going is a coincidence - I'm monitoring a few methods and they have all struggled these last couple of days - if the faster horses haven't got their nippy advantage it's brings the rest of the field closer. All IMHO - don't get disheartened your on to a winner here :ok
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Re: Trialling something..... Hi FF, Not a bad set of results from only 3 possible selections - most days you have the luxury of the best 3 from a dozen or so. :drums
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Re: Trialling something..... FF, gutted for you about West ham but hopefully todays results will pay for the drink to ease the pain - :clap
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Re: Trialling something..... Hi FF, Thanks for all the hard work your putting in to this - don't want to put a dampner on the selections but 2.50 CHESTER Mubtaker is 2/5 on - are we going with this (coz of earlier comments) or is there another selection ? :ok
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Re: Trialling something..... If it carries on as well as it has - and as good as your footie method - the stakes will get huge :loon This is a great system you've developed FF - all being equal the only problem I can think of is if the going gets heavy - but even then it's the same for all. :ok
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Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +6.06% ) Hi DP, Excellent results and very consistent - apart from that one terrible FA Cup weekend things have got superbly. :clap :clap :clap :clap :clap :clap :clap
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Re: Football: Fleet's Trebles Hi FF, Just wanted to say thanks for all the effort & hard work you've put into this thread - it's been a great ride. Kanga :ok
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Re: Trialling something..... Just found this thread FF - Awesome - what is it about you & trebles :loon
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Sorry for the late posting very busy at the moment :-
Rubbish odds but a selection - my suggestion would be to lay the draw :okDate
Premiership
TP
BG
MW
Odds
14/04/06 Man Utd v Sunderland
87.5%
77%
3-0
1.10 :hope
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Thanks SBI, I'll keep monitoring the situation - hopefully as you say the tide has turned it wasnt a bad week really - Oldham losing and Mansfield's last minute equaliser was uncalled for though. 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss
:okDate
Selections
TP
BG
MW
Odds
08/04/06 Tottenham v
Man City 54.3%
72%
2-1
2-1:clap
08/04/06 Wolves v
Coventry 56.9%
60%
3-2
2-2:clap
08/04/06 Oldham v M K Dons64.8%
77%
3-0
1-2:wall
08/04/06 Southend v
Blackpool 51.5%
72%
3-0
2-1:clap
08/04/06 Carlisle vGrimsby 60.1%
61%
3-0
1-0:clap
08/04/06 Lincoln City Mansfield 50.5%
53%
3-1
1-1:clap
09/04/06 Chelsea 89.0%
68%
3-1
4-1:clap
09/04/06 Liverpool vBolton 74.9%
67%
3-1
1-0:clap
09/04/06 Watford vLuton 58.7%
55%
3-2
1-1:clap
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Thanks LL, For the last 3 weeks results have underperformed the rest of the season and we have had a greater number of losers in the 48 & 49% TP range than expected. Initially the idea was to get a good number of winning selections but as staking methods have altered and the number of selections needed less so - it is imperitive to find winners and cut out the silly loses - so I propose that from now on the cut-off point is 50% rather than 48% - not just because it's a nice round number but for the reasons above. So the tables below reflect the change in policy - if anybody wishes to carry on with the > 48% method they are there to be seen. Any thoughts welcome !! :ok
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi SBI, I publish the 3 staking methods really because I've been asked to - it's always nice to see the single win figures - Myself and others prefer to "Lay the Away" ( I believe the odds are slightly better ) - but a number of followers don't like the idea of having so much liability for laying and have asked for a similar bet but by backing (there is double chance but the odds are very stingy) so I publish the cover the stake with the draw bank as well. The trouble with covering the draw on a hot favourite selection is that sometimes the return is just a few pence as the odds are so bad - In the past there has been a winner that returned a loss !! I have been thinking about just backing the winner if the odds are below 1.4 and covering the draw between 1.40 - 2.00 but it starts getting mighty complex. Let's hope for a better weekend.
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. It's all gone quiet - must say I've been dissappointed in these last 3 weeks results - no midweek qualifiers so I didnt post them - I'll be back later with the weekends selections.
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Re: Football: Fleet's Trebles :rollin I've said it before and I'll say it again - I hate Wigan :rollin
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor.
Hi, Sorry for the delay in replying - I would recommend you read through the thread from the start so you get an idea of how it works. TP is the times predictor is free and can be reached from :- http://www.timesonline.co.uk/section/0,,7973,00.html BG = Betting Genius and is a paid program but can be used on a free months trial :- http://www.bettinggenius.com/ MW - is run from spreadsheets that you update yourself also free and can be downloaded from here :- http://www.michaelwray.co.nz/sheets.html The trouble is it won't work on the spanish league as TP is only available for the top 4 English Leagues - BG & MW would work though and you could try and find a substitute for TP. Cheers KangaKanga, jusy wondering, so your system is to lay the away team? The three prdictors you use, were they created by yourself? I would like to access them if i am allowed?...:notworthy i would like to trial it out on the Spanish league. -
Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. No selections out of tonight's matches :-
Date
Championship
TP
BG
MW
Odds
31/03/06 Crystal Palace Watford 38.5%
33%
1-2
Will post up Saturday's selection later :okDate
League 1
TP
BG
MW
Odds
31/03/06 Hartlepool vOldham 39.5%
33%
1-2
31/03/06 Tranmere v Port Vale
52.3%
31%
1-1
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Re: Promising Apprentice Thought he had Sands of Barra as well that ran 4th yesterday - is this now a non-runner ?
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Re: The Punter's Lounge road to riches! (round 2) According to my tables MW has Liverpool down as a 0-3 selection - I've never seen a 3 rating away from home !!!!
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Re: The Punter's Lounge road to riches! (round 2) Ah - sorry didn't read that bit - voted for Liverpool even though they are away !!
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Re: The Punter's Lounge road to riches! (round 2) No Arsenal to beat Aston Villa ? - My choice of the weekend !!
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Re: Promising Apprentice Interesting he usualy rides for Littmonden - but is booked to ride Abstract Art in the 4.45 for Callaghan instead and it's his best distance ....
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. And another one puts money back into the pot :-
Premiership
TP
BG
MW
Odds
Man Utd v West Ham
87.1%
61%
3-1
1-0:clap
Championship
TP
BG
MW
Odds
QPR v Stoke
30.3%
38%
0-0
1-2
I'm glad Boston didn't quite make it :loonLeague 2
TP
BG
MW
Odds
Boston Utd v
Chester 47.2%
59%
2-0
1-3
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Only 1 selection for tonight, although Boston come mighty close :-
Date
Premiership
TP
BG
MW
Odds
29/03/06 Man Utd v West Ham
87.1%
61%
3-1
1.28:hope
Date
Championship
TP
BG
MW
Odds
29/03/06 QPR v Stoke
30.3%
38%
0-0
:okDate
League 2
TP
BG
MW
Odds
29/03/06 Boston Utd v
Chester 47.2%
59%
2-0
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Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. 2 nice winners last night for us :-
Championship
TP
BG
MW
Results
Burnley vSouthampton 33.0%
60%
1-1
1-1
Preston v Crewe
53.8%
65%
2-0
1-0:clap
League 1
TP
BG
MW
Results
M K Dons v Brentford
39.9%
56%
2-1
0-1
:okLeague 2
TP
BG
MW
Results
Carlisle v Lincoln City
60%
52%
3-2
1-0:clap
Rochdale v Barnet52.1%
25%
1-1
0-0
Trialling something.....
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: Trialling something..... Think it was the reverse of what happened before FF - the ground has dried considerably with the ratings given for soft/heavy - typical english weather.