Kanga
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Posts posted by Kanga
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Re: My Oddsline for L1 & L2 Hi Stephen, Sorry my message was a bit cryptic. On this thread you just post L1 & L2 I wondered if it worked equally well for the Prem & champ, so you sort of answered my question. Would you be willing to post your Prem figures as well ? Cheers :ok
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Re: My Oddsline for L1 & L2 Eagerly awaiting the next selections - do you have stats for Prem & Champ ?
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Re: Surgery System Unlucky mate 3 way photo with a 25/1 winner - I got stuffed today by a 50/1 and a 66/1 both won by less than a neck.
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Re: My Oddsline for L1 & L2 Hi Stephen, Thanks for the reply, and for breaking down the profits - I followed your draw selections this week and 3 out of 4 was very nice indeed :notworthy Is it a secret or could you tell me how for example Shrewsbury were a draw pick at 3.0 3.0 3.0 but Stockport wasnt - yet they both had the same 3.0 3.0 3.0 rating ? - is it just down to the odds that were available ? Cheers - keep up the good work :clap
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Re: Fleet's UK Footie Trebles.....
Schrodinger's Cat ?? - Made no difference mate :loon Well done for today :clap the start of many more to come :hopeI was hoping nobody would mention last night's 2 winners until today's matches are out of the way! -
Re: My Oddsline for L1 & L2 Hi Stephen, I'm following with great interest - I'm just a bit confused on the actual selections and how the profits are recorded - are they for the unders & overs or for the draws ? Could I suggest you put them in seperate columns with seperate profits.
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Re: Fleet's UK Footie Trebles..... Good start with swansea winning 4-2 last night - hope for some more today !!
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Re: 'Bank Account' Theory Hi FF, Hope this table helps based on 600-650 sequence of bets.
Based on a series of between 600 and 650 bets. A shorter series would be less likely to contain sequences as long as these and a longer series would be more likely. (%)
Strike Rate Anticipation of Sequences
Expected
(75% chance)
50:50
(50% chance)
Unlikely
(25% chance)
V. Unlikely
(
40
10
12
14
20
41
9
12
13
20
42
9
11
13
19
43
9
11
13
19
44
9
11
12
18
45
8
11
12
18
46
8
10
12
17
47
8
10
11
17
48
8
10
11
16
49
8
10
11
16
50
7
9
11
15
51
7
9
10
15
52
7
9
10
15
53
7
9
10
14
54
7
8
10
14
55
6
8
9
14
56
6
8
9
13
57
6
8
9
13
58
6
8
9
13
59
6
8
9
12
60
6
7
8
12
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Re: Even total goals. 15% yield. 29 bets.
Another way to cover yourself - is to pick an inplay qualifier on betfair as a stage 6+ selection and cover the correct scoreline if it looks like ending on odds - just a thought ?just hit me today - one way to overcome the large potential stakes is to get a consortium! ie 3 or 4 people who put in money and equally split the profits. this way a stage 6+ bet can be handled much easier. so one person would put 99% of the bets on, and when a whopper comes along, then each consortium member bets a part of the stake on his/her betting account, to spread it around a bit. all profits are divided equally. anyway - good luck bets #30 to #36 on saturday. -
Re: Rockymogs Lay System It's a great idea this Rockymog - just the results aren't quite going for you at the moment - stick with it :ok
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Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Nicely done - match finished 2-1 :ok
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Re: Even total goals. 3% yield. 18 bets. Interesting stuff - As you crunch the numbers don't forget that you can always back the odds - many good lay systems came from failed back attempts - LOL
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Re: Even total goals. 3% yield. 18 bets. Looks like you've found a great edge to exploit there muppet !!
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Re: Even total goals. 3% yield. 18 bets. With 1.90 being across the board on all matches - is it too simplistic to say that you are selecting the matches that gives you this 8% advantage ?
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Re: Even total goals. 3% yield. 18 bets.
Then carry on with the strategy but just don't watch - :looni'm sure that there's a scientific principle that observation affects the experiment. Schrodinger's cat - quantum indeterminacy or the observer's paradox that's just what happened this weekend.:sad -
Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Couple of interesting picks in there Merlin - Keep up the good work :clap
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Re: Rockymogs Lay System Some really frustrating results in there - most losses were only by the 1 goal - never mind onwards and upwards.
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Re: Rockymogs Lay System Looking good Rockmog - 1% a day is what maria averaged on her classisc system - slowly slowly catchy monkey.
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Re: Even total goals. 34% yield. 12 bets. If odds & even were both 2.0 how would they make a profit ? - the 0-0 avoidance is the equivalent of the 0 on the roulette wheel.
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Re: Even total goals. 37% yield. 10 bets. Sorry mate - I didnt mean mine the data to fit the system - I meant fit the stakes to suit the stats for the divisions you have worked out. So for example if you find that Champ stakes are best set lower than the Prem you can then work out the return - same for Div 1 , 2 & Conference. After all the calculations it turns out Prem & Div 2 are the most productive then stick with those.
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Re: Even total goals. 37% yield. 10 bets. You could fine tune each division with different multiples and calculate which divisions are the most profitable and just concentrate on those ???
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Re: Even total goals. 37% yield. 10 bets. If the majority of boxes are complete after 3 or 4 events - then look at the staking that concentrates on maximum yield for that outcome - whilst allowing for a run of 6 losses which will occur in the long run.
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Re: Even total goals. 37% yield. 10 bets. You need to look at the "bread & butter" results that occur the majority of the time - whilst also making allowance for the inevitable long losing run.
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Re: Even total goals. 37% yield. 10 bets. Do you really need a multiple of 3 to start with ? - If you multiply by 2 or 2.5 then you could go to round 6 and still stay within your means. If you have to multiply by 3 then I would set a stop loss at 81 and bite the bullet if it loses and start again from scratch - as you pointed out the difference between 81 & 243 is huge. You could look into a loss recovery system when you restart - as runs of 6 losses are rare.
Quick System
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: Quick System Just not quite going for you at the moment - It will come good soon