richard-westwood

For a reason only known to the race planners there are 3 heritage handicaps this Saturday with none the following Saturday. The 1st of these is the catchily titled Ascot/1711 Learning to Work Bake-Off Competition Heritage Handicap. The race is open to 3-year-olds or older and is run over the minimum distance of 5 furlongs. The off time is 13.45.
19 go to post and with most bookmakers offering 5 places it makes it a good betting proposition.
 
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 years and these are my key conclusions.
Avoid outsiders. There have been 89 runners with forecast odds higher than 12/1 and all of them have lost.
Good recent form is important. Those horses that did not finish in the first 3 last time have a record of just 2 wins from 96 attempts.
Horses bred in the UK have a good record with 7 wins from 88 runs.
 
2 horses match these criteria.
VINTAGE CLARETS 9/1
BOND CHAIRMAN 10/1
 
I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers paying 5 places.

Bunbury cup 
Awaal  9.0 15/2 
Biggles  8.9 9/1 
Streets of gold  8.8 9/1 
These 3 are clear of rest .....biggles is ridden by Ryan Moore who has placed at least in 5 of last 6 running of race I think ....so at 8/1 ew 7 places with sky that looks a cracking bet but I'll try 10pt wins all 3 with a view to another carry over bet next week if any wins 🏆 

445 newm 
Persuasion   8.6 7/1 
Final watch   8.5 8/1 
Lyndon b    8.5  10/1 
These 3 are clear of rest and hard to separate ....I'll try 5pt win each and forecasts 

445 newm 
Persuasion   8.6 7/1 
Final watch   8.5 8/1 
Lyndon b    8.5  10/1 
These 3 are clear of rest and hard to separate ....I'll try 5pt win each and forecasts 

Bunbury cup 
Awaal  9.0 15/2 
Biggles  8.9 9/1 
Streets of gold  8.8 9/1 
These 3 are clear of rest .....biggles is ridden by Ryan Moore who has placed at least in 5 of last 6 running of race I think ....so at 8/1 ew 7 places with sky that looks a cracking bet but I'll try 10pt wins all 3 with a view to another carry over bet next week if any wins 🏆 

Biggles passes my tests in terms of weight, draw and age, along with Cruyff Turn at 25/1

Speed Angle.
150 Newm   1  Dayzee           10/1
                      2 Mighty River   11/1
300 Newm   1Ravens Arc       10/1
335 Newm   1Ameynah          25/1
                       2 Coppice            9/1
240 York       1 Juliet Sierra     14/1      

445 newm 
Persuasion   8.6 7/1 
Final watch   8.5 8/1 
Lyndon b    8.5  10/1 
These 3 are clear of rest and hard to separate ....I'll try 5pt win each and forecasts 

Bunbury cup 
Awaal  9.0 15/2 
Biggles  8.9 9/1 
Streets of gold  8.8 9/1 
These 3 are clear of rest .....biggles is ridden by Ryan Moore who has placed at least in 5 of last 6 running of race I think ....so at 8/1 ew 7 places with sky that looks a cracking bet but I'll try 10pt wins all 3 with a view to another carry over bet next week if any wins 🏆 

445 newm 
Persuasion   8.6 7/1 
Final watch   8.5 8/1 
Lyndon b    8.5  10/1 
These 3 are clear of rest and hard to separate ....I'll try 5pt win each and forecasts 

Getting there will up date tomorrow shame it was not nap 😂😂

445 newm 
Persuasion   8.6 7/1 
Final watch   8.5 8/1 
Lyndon b    8.5  10/1 
These 3 are clear of rest and hard to separate ....I'll try 5pt win each and forecasts 

EW returns on  2   of them        and  i've       had   1/40th of a pt on     -      Darkness  12/1    in the    5 20  

Bunbury cup 
Awaal  9.0 15/2 
Biggles  8.9 9/1 
Streets of gold  8.8 9/1 
These 3 are clear of rest .....biggles is ridden by Ryan Moore who has placed at least in 5 of last 6 running of race I think ....so at 8/1 ew 7 places with sky that looks a cracking bet but I'll try 10pt wins all 3 with a view to another carry over bet next week if any wins 🏆 

Bunbury cup 
Awaal  9.0 15/2 
Biggles  8.9 9/1 
Streets of gold  8.8 9/1 
These 3 are clear of rest .....biggles is ridden by Ryan Moore who has placed at least in 5 of last 6 running of race I think ....so at 8/1 ew 7 places with sky that looks a cracking bet but I'll try 10pt wins all 3 with a view to another carry over bet next week if any wins 🏆 

Quinalt 1st ...mill 2nd ...Washington 4th +21.00 profit 

Quinalt 1st ...mill 2nd ...Washington 4th +21.00 profit 

Ew 4th .....Nice spot ted 👌 he ran well 

Thunder blue well backed but a bit disappointing  managed to get 66/1 Toca Madera ew so alls good
Not too bad, i managed to make a profit out of this lot even given some were a bit of a let down.
Doubled up Toca Madera 66/1with my nap Spanish Breeze 66/1 and 2 losers on an ew lucky 15

3pts e/w 2.35 Doncaster STONE OF DESTINY 16/1  4places BOG- Can't not back this horse today looks a massive price getting on in years  but former portland winner  lowest race he has run in and  lowest mark i  would not be surprised if this horse bounced back to a bit of form and  went really close today. 6pts invested.

Haven't had time to rate this one but gotta agree with you ted 👍....hasn't has much running  on turf over 5.5 to 6f on good which I think is his optimum....last  3 runs at dist  achieved 80 81 90 and runs off 70 today (+10) ....undoubtedly very well treated but can he run his race on day ??....or has,age got him at 8 ?....we shall see ..  worth a speculative ew bet at 16/1 .....5pt ew ....good luck 

Haven't had time to rate this one but gotta agree with you ted 👍....hasn't has much running  on turf over 5.5 to 6f on good which I think is his optimum....last  3 runs at dist  achieved 80 81 90 and runs off 70 today (+10) ....undoubtedly very well treated but can he run his race on day ??....or has,age got him at 8 ?....we shall see ..  worth a speculative ew bet at 16/1 .....5pt ew ....good luck 

Wish it was soft as i fancy one in the last tomorrow but won't touch it on good to firm.
 

Thankyou i waS gonna do that in a bit lol 😆 

Thankyou i waS gonna do that in a bit lol 😆