richard-westwood

I wasn't going to back at york namely because the form seems to go out the window there ....but ivevbeen doing some research and I think I may have found the reason why .....there seems to be a very prominent low draw development at york ....in fact in one sprint race I looked at 5 of the first 6 home were all drawn low ......so I'm going to try and use that as a weapon this time by rating the bottom 1/3 draw only and seeing whether that improves things this time ....worth a try as last couple of meets there it was chucking money down toilet....results were a joke but this might explain why ......only 2 qualifiers in 1st race ...these 2 way ahead in low draws 
150 york 
Korker   8.7 10/1  
Intrinsic bond   8.6 11.5 
10pt wins both 

Strangely, horses drawn in stall 2 have an exceptional record. Over the last 4 years they have a strike rate of 21%. Stall 1 is also good at 15%. It then falls dramatically with stalls 3 and 4 at 8%.
Stall 3 has produced a profit of 159 points, stall 1 is a loss of 22 points, stall 3 is a loss of 39 points.
The AE is 2.31 for stall 2, 1.14 for stall 1 and 0.80 for stall 3.
 

I wasn't going to back at york namely because the form seems to go out the window there ....but ivevbeen doing some research and I think I may have found the reason why .....there seems to be a very prominent low draw development at york ....in fact in one sprint race I looked at 5 of the first 6 home were all drawn low ......so I'm going to try and use that as a weapon this time by rating the bottom 1/3 draw only and seeing whether that improves things this time ....worth a try as last couple of meets there it was chucking money down toilet....results were a joke but this might explain why ......only 2 qualifiers in 1st race ...these 2 way ahead in low draws 
150 york 
Korker   8.7 10/1  
Intrinsic bond   8.6 11.5 
10pt wins both 

I wasn't going to back at york namely because the form seems to go out the window there ....but ivevbeen doing some research and I think I may have found the reason why .....there seems to be a very prominent low draw development at york ....in fact in one sprint race I looked at 5 of the first 6 home were all drawn low ......so I'm going to try and use that as a weapon this time by rating the bottom 1/3 draw only and seeing whether that improves things this time ....worth a try as last couple of meets there it was chucking money down toilet....results were a joke but this might explain why ......only 2 qualifiers in 1st race ...these 2 way ahead in low draws 
150 york 
Korker   8.7 10/1  
Intrinsic bond   8.6 11.5 
10pt wins both 

Both placed ....+10.00

Both placed ....+10.00

Both placed ....+10.00

Not very often you get a  60000 race on a Sunday!!....so I've gotta play !
Gale force maya  9.0 3/1 84 62 98 
Another romance  8.6 88 35 54 
Funny story  8.6  28 52 41 
Nothing at all between 2nd and 3rd rated so either could be ew material but top rated is quite a bit in front and has very consistent high class ratings .....at 3/1 looks worth a bet 
Top rated 10pt win 3/1 

Not very often you get a  60000 race on a Sunday!!....so I've gotta play !
Gale force maya  9.0 3/1 84 62 98 
Another romance  8.6 88 35 54 
Funny story  8.6  28 52 41 
Nothing at all between 2nd and 3rd rated so either could be ew material but top rated is quite a bit in front and has very consistent high class ratings .....at 3/1 looks worth a bet 
Top rated 10pt win 3/1 

5th time of trying but a small win.

415 sand 
Get it   8.2  11/2  86 27 
Arecibo   8.0 16/1  66 90 88 
Swayze   7.7  53 30 44 
Difficult race because the fav is coming back after 3 day layoff ....is that too short ???....arecibo has high class figures but ran a bit of a stinker lto but is capable on his day and Swayze isn't out of it but this looks a,step up for him ....I'll try 5pt ew top 2 and hope arecibos stinker was a blip and he bounces back to form 

Not very often you get a  60000 race on a Sunday!!....so I've gotta play !
Gale force maya  9.0 3/1 84 62 98 
Another romance  8.6 88 35 54 
Funny story  8.6  28 52 41 
Nothing at all between 2nd and 3rd rated so either could be ew material but top rated is quite a bit in front and has very consistent high class ratings .....at 3/1 looks worth a bet 
Top rated 10pt win 3/1 

Sandown. 
Single. 
4.15. Swayed      15/2
stk.  5.00     rtn 42.50.
Good luck all. 

Pontefract 
Double. 
3.25. Funny Story        9/2
4.30. Clan Chieftain       11/4
singles & double 
stk 6.00    rtn 59.75
Sandown. 
Single. 
4.45. Skellet      4/1
stk 5       rtn 25.00.
Good luck all. 

Not very often you get a  60000 race on a Sunday!!....so I've gotta play !
Gale force maya  9.0 3/1 84 62 98 
Another romance  8.6 88 35 54 
Funny story  8.6  28 52 41 
Nothing at all between 2nd and 3rd rated so either could be ew material but top rated is quite a bit in front and has very consistent high class ratings .....at 3/1 looks worth a bet 
Top rated 10pt win 3/1 

415 sand 
Get it   8.2  11/2  86 27 
Arecibo   8.0 16/1  66 90 88 
Swayze   7.7  53 30 44 
Difficult race because the fav is coming back after 3 day layoff ....is that too short ???....arecibo has high class figures but ran a bit of a stinker lto but is capable on his day and Swayze isn't out of it but this looks a,step up for him ....I'll try 5pt ew top 2 and hope arecibos stinker was a blip and he bounces back to form 

Monsieur kodi finished ew 6th too so that's another 10pts so +30.00 on day 

415 sand 
Get it   8.2  11/2  86 27 
Arecibo   8.0 16/1  66 90 88 
Swayze   7.7  53 30 44 
Difficult race because the fav is coming back after 3 day layoff ....is that too short ???....arecibo has high class figures but ran a bit of a stinker lto but is capable on his day and Swayze isn't out of it but this looks a,step up for him ....I'll try 5pt ew top 2 and hope arecibos stinker was a blip and he bounces back to form 

Not very often you get a  60000 race on a Sunday!!....so I've gotta play !
Gale force maya  9.0 3/1 84 62 98 
Another romance  8.6 88 35 54 
Funny story  8.6  28 52 41 
Nothing at all between 2nd and 3rd rated so either could be ew material but top rated is quite a bit in front and has very consistent high class ratings .....at 3/1 looks worth a bet 
Top rated 10pt win 3/1 

415 sand 
Get it   8.2  11/2  86 27 
Arecibo   8.0 16/1  66 90 88 
Swayze   7.7  53 30 44 
Difficult race because the fav is coming back after 3 day layoff ....is that too short ???....arecibo has high class figures but ran a bit of a stinker lto but is capable on his day and Swayze isn't out of it but this looks a,step up for him ....I'll try 5pt ew top 2 and hope arecibos stinker was a blip and he bounces back to form 

Not very often you get a  60000 race on a Sunday!!....so I've gotta play !
Gale force maya  9.0 3/1 84 62 98 
Another romance  8.6 88 35 54 
Funny story  8.6  28 52 41 
Nothing at all between 2nd and 3rd rated so either could be ew material but top rated is quite a bit in front and has very consistent high class ratings .....at 3/1 looks worth a bet 
Top rated 10pt win 3/1 

Monsieur kodi finished ew 6th too so that's another 10pts so +30.00 on day 

Well I did back it ....I just forgot lol ....Sophia won ...I got 12/1 ....summerghand I got 8/1 ew 2nd ....thats about 90 pt return ....not the jackpot but finished in profit on the day about +20.00 overall so that'll do 

silver samuria  delivers and  wobwobwob for place money  so football at the duck + pints,curry, and fur to finish off the evening 😃