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Racing chat-saturday 19th August

richard-westwood
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richard-westwood

richard-westwood

Posted
Posted (edited)

Silver cup 

American star  8.4 11/1 

Cooperation   8.2 12/1 

5pt ew both 

And from earlier In week .......

Great st wilfred 

Monsieur kodi  9.0 11/1 

Summerghand  8.9 8/1 

Already backed 5pt ew both 

 

There's a collateral form line that if Monsieur kodi wins the gt st wilfred then cooperation must surely go close in silver Cup.....so I'll also try 5pt ew doubles all 4  and hope for a big payday 😉 

Summerghands price has nearly halved since Tuesday 

 

Hit a bit of a purple patch currently....if you remember about 4 or 5 weeks ago I was banging on about a ps5 lol but ended up getting a Samsung 55 Inch TV in sale so that was 350pt win ......and from 2,weeks,ago ......

Tues  Al suhail  non runner 

Raasel vintage clarets    lost 10  -10.00

Weds   Rhoscolyn 20pt  won 

2 x5pt wins      lost         +59.10 

Thursday  2x5pt wins    lost 

2x 5pt wins    lost            +39.12 

Fri  3 x10pt wins    johan  +369.12 

Sat   3 x 10pt wins  lost   +339.12 

Monday 7th 2 x 5pt wins won +386.62 

Weds  10pt win 5pt win lost 371.62 

Sat   40pts  lost    +331.62 

Tues    2x 5pt wins     lost   +321.62 

Weds   5pt ew    placed   +326.62 

So in last 5 or 6 weeks we are currently running at +676.62 which I'm pretty happy about and who knows ...might be a 600pt win Saturday 🏆....cmon the beauty's!!!

Edited by richard-westwood
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The Brigadier

The Brigadier

Posted
Posted
Newbury 1.50
Eight line up for the Group 3 BetVictor Geoffrey Freer Stakes. As long as the ground doesn’t dry up too much this looks a good opportunity for the John & Thady Gosden trained Arrest who was very impressive when bolting up in the Chester Vase Stakes at Chester in May on soft ground, for which he carries a 3lb penalty here. He has flopped twice since in the Derby and King Edward VI at Royal Ascot but they both came on lightning fast ground and is worth another chance to prove he can have a fruitful autumn campaign. Frankie Dettori is here just for the one ride which is a tip in itself. Any rain will obviously suit him.
 
ARREST 1 point win @ 7/2 bet365
 
Newmarket 2.05
This unique 6F class 4 handicap is only eligible for horses registered as grey and has a wide open look about it this year. We have four three year olds in the field of 16 and its one of them, the Andrew Balding trained Celtic Champion that catches my eye. Quite highly regarded as a two year old when winning at Salisbury, he impressed when winning at Lingfield on the all-weather in February but has not been seen since, an absence of 189 days. In the hope that the David Probert ridden son of Adaay is straight enough he looks the pick her each way with additional places.
 
CELTIC CHAMPION 1 point each way @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345
 
Newbury 2.25
A competitive eleven runner 5F handicap is up next and it’s the top weight Whenthedealisdone that catches my eye. His last success came at around this time last year when an easy 3L winner at Ascot off of a handicap mark of 90. He’s shown bits and pieces of form this season dropping 11lb to a mark of 87 and his shrewd trainer Roger Teal has booked champion jockey William Buick to ride him today. Jack Channon’s three year old Desperate Hero is another with claims as his latest run at Goodwood can be marked up as he was badly drawn but I’ll give Whenthedealisdone another chance at a track where he’s won before.
 
WHENTHEDEALISDONE 1 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5th 1234
 
Ripon 2.40
A highly competitive 6F handicap which may give us some clues as to where you want to be drawn for the Great St Wilfrid in 35 minutes time. Adrian Nicholls’s Thornaby Pearl has a good record here of two wins from three starts and may be the one to be with each way with Barry McHugh in the saddle. He was an easy winner by 4 1/4L over course and distance on soft ground last month and got bogged down on even softer ground twelve days later at Nottingham. Back at a track that obviously suits he can reward an each way bet with additional places.
 
THORNABY PEARL 1 point each way @ 10/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234
 
Newbury 3.00
Only four three year old’s take on their elders in this fourteen runner class 2 7F handicap and it’s one of them, the Richard Hannon trained Classic that stands out to me here. His recent win at Sandown has been boosted since by the runner up Novus running an unlucky second and then winning at Goodwood and with that one now 6lb higher it’s Classic who may now be well in following just a 2lb rise. The lightly raced son of Dubawi will be ridden by Pat Dobbs again and looks good each way value with additional places.
 
CLASSIC 1 point each way @ 8/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 1234
 
Ripon 3.15
A competitive renewal of the 6F Great St Wilfrid Handicap which has over the years favoured those drawn high (though last year the field was smaller than usual and the front three were drawn low). The horse I like here is the very much in form Kevin Philippart De Foy trained Cairn Gorm who’s nicely berthed in stall 14. A Group 3 winner as a juvenile for Mick Channon he’s been rated as high 103 in the past and is favourably weighted off of 84 here. A York winner by 1/2L from Asadjumeirah with the subsequent dual winner Manila Scouse a length and three quarters back in fourth, he will be ridden today by the more than capable Laura Pearson. He can be backed each way with additional places.
 
CAIRN GORM 1 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 123456
 
Newbury 3.35
The 7F Class 2 Hungerford Stakes doesn’t have the same quality as previous year’s with ten going to post. Bar the two outsiders the remaining eight are separated officially by only 9lb with the current front pair in the betting Chindit and Jumby not likely to be suited by the current soft ground conditions it maybe worth chancing the John & Thady Gosden runner Mostabshir, who is dropped in trip and sports first time blinkers today. He’s yet to race on an easy surface although his half brothers Mostahdaf and Nayef have both won on soft so is worth chancing with William Buick on board.
 
MOSTABSHIR 1 point each way @ 7/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123
 
 
A tough day with no real stand out bet.
 
 
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black rabbit

black rabbit

Posted
Posted (edited)

Jordon Electrics                                      2 40 Rpn/                     1/40th of a pt ew    33/1

Silver Samurai                                        205 Nmk/                     1/40th of a pt ew    16/1           - WON

Harry The Norseman                            7 10 Bht/                      1/40 th of a pt ew   33/1

Wobwobwob                                          3 15 Rpn/                     1/40th 0f a  pt ew    22/1           - 3rd

The Turpinator                                       3 50 Rpn/                     1/40th of a pt ew     20/1

Givusasub                                               3 50 Rpn/                     1/40th of a pt ew     20/1 

Rodaballo                                                3 35 Nby/                     1/40th of a pt ew     28/1

Brian The Snail                                       2 05 Nmk/                    1/40th of a pt ew     40/1

                                

 

 

 

P/L  + 168.70pts 

Edited by black rabbit
selections
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Brahmin

Brahmin

Posted
Posted

Friday 5pm.............about to set off for Weekend in Newmarket staying with friends, a day out at Newmarket races on Saturday. Just catching up with thread, once again great write up The Brigadier / Richard-Westwood, so will hold off until morning with our online bets re possible NRs. Initially like a lot of both guys selections/thoughts, so will probably go with those, THEN woop woop 🥂 will have our days on course racing bets / food /drink already paid for by me on Weds winning day AND by my better half today, backing Zilzalians Nap EW 👍  

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calva decoy

calva decoy

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Brahmin said:

Friday 5pm.............about to set off for Weekend in Newmarket staying with friends, a day out at Newmarket races on Saturday. Just catching up with thread, once again great write up The Brigadier / Richard-Westwood, so will hold off until morning with our online bets re possible NRs. Initially like a lot of both guys selections/thoughts, so will probably go with those, THEN woop woop 🥂 will have our days on course racing bets / food /drink already paid for by me on Weds winning day AND by my better half today, backing Zilzalians Nap EW 👍  

Thursday of the Cambridgeshire meeting our next visit courtesy of Rewards for Racing 👍 enjoy your day & hope you bag a few winners .

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kensland

kensland

Posted
Posted (edited)

Ripon. 

Single.

3.15. Cain Gorm        15/2      nr.

stk 5.00    rtn 42.50.

----------

Double 

1.35. American Glory         4/1    unpl

3.15. Cain Gorm                  15/2    nr

singles & double 

Good luck all. 

Edited by kensland
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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted

Some half interesting stuff.....

327 Curr     Henry Longfellow 4/11 might be the best thing since sliced bread but Spanish flame at 6/1 has the better numbers.

400 Curr     Pearls and Rubies 9/4? Snellen 9/2 beat it fair and square at Ascot you work that one out coz i can't.

225 Newb  One from last years 2yolds Katey Kontent big price at 16/1 assuming it trained on.

335 newb Marbaan is no forlorn hope in this.

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kensland

kensland

Posted
Posted (edited)

Ripon.

   3.15.

Dream of Gold      12/1   7th

stk 5.00       rtn 64.00

Live in the Moment     14/1.  unpl

stk £2 ew.        Rtn 37.00.

Twelfth Knight          25/1    unpl

stk £2 ew       64.00.

Good luck all 

 

 

Edited by kensland
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Brahmin

Brahmin

Posted
Posted (edited)

Morning all from Newmarket 🐎 looking forward to day at races and some of you guys / gals increasing our accounts with your NAPS  / tips 🤞 while we watching the racing at HQ in the sunshine looks like 😎 🌞....so here is what we have chosen to back online after the NRs ......

Newbury 2.25    Katey Kontent    10/1 EW      3rd

Ripon 2.40  American star  15/2 EW    &      Cooperation  17/2 EW...........   5 places

Don 3.05    Come Together  11/1 EW  

Ripon 3.15   Twelfth Knight  25/1 EW    &     Bay Breeze     20/1 EW        6 places

Curr 3.27   Spanish Flame  7/1 EW 

Newb 3.35    Marbaan  8/1 EW

Curr 4.00     Snellen  5/1   

Newb 4.40    Clever Relation   28/1 EW       4 places

 

😱 oh dear guys/ gals, 'must do better' my old form teacher would say......10 selections / 100pts invested......not that bad as 50pts down from each account....hope some of you had good day and 'we' will continue to follow / select from you guys/gals after this week alone, as Mrs Brahmin hit twice with 2 big EW wins from NAP leaderboard top 10 👍  

 

Edited by Brahmin
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Tedthewolf

Tedthewolf

Posted
Posted

.15  e/w l15 bog - 4.5pts invested.

delete@1x.png
Asadjumeirah @ 12/1
Ripon 14:40 - Winner
5 - 1/ 5
 
Returns £0.00

delete@1x.png

Hyperfocus @ 10/1
Ripon 15:15 - Winner
6 - 1/ 5
 
Returns £0.00

delete@1x.png

The Turpinator @ 8/1
Ripon 15:50 - Winner
4 - 1/ 5
 
Returns £0.00

delete@1x.png

Isla Kai @ 9/2
Newbury 15:00 - Winner
4 - 1/ 5
 
Returns £0
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MCLARKE

MCLARKE

Posted
Posted
On 8/17/2023 at 12:21 PM, richard-westwood said:

Great st wilfred 

Monsieur kodi  9.0 11/1 

Summerghand  8.9 8/1 

Already backed 5pt ew both 

6 of the last 9 winners have carried between 8st 12lbs and 9st 1lb, 6 from 39, LSP 77 points. Remainder 3 from 122, LSP - 85.

This gives RAATEA at 22/1 and HYPERFOCUS at 10/1 ( 6 places BET365).

 

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The Equaliser

The Equaliser

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 8/17/2023 at 12:21 PM, richard-westwood said:

Silver cup 

American star  8.4 11/1 

Cooperation   8.2 12/1 

5pt ew both 

And from earlier In week .......

Great st wilfred 

Monsieur kodi  9.0 11/1 

Summerghand  8.9 8/1 

Already backed 5pt ew both 

 

There's a collateral form line that if Monsieur kodi wins the gt st wilfred then cooperation must surely go close in silver Cup.....so I'll also try 5pt ew doubles all 4  and hope for a big payday 😉 

Summerghands price has nearly halved since Tuesday 

 

Hit a bit of a purple patch currently....if you remember about 4 or 5 weeks ago I was banging on about a ps5 lol but ended up getting a Samsung 55 Inch TV in sale so that was 350pt win ......and from 2,weeks,ago ......

Tues  Al suhail  non runner 

Raasel vintage clarets    lost 10  -10.00

Weds   Rhoscolyn 20pt  won 

2 x5pt wins      lost         +59.10 

Thursday  2x5pt wins    lost 

2x 5pt wins    lost            +39.12 

Fri  3 x10pt wins    johan  +369.12 

Sat   3 x 10pt wins  lost   +339.12 

Monday 7th 2 x 5pt wins won +386.62 

Weds  10pt win 5pt win lost 371.62 

Sat   40pts  lost    +331.62 

Tues    2x 5pt wins     lost   +321.62 

Weds   5pt ew    placed   +326.62 

So in last 5 or 6 weeks we are currently running at +676.62 which I'm pretty happy about and who knows ...might be a 600pt win Saturday 🏆....cmon the beauty's!!!

Show us a pic of the TV

Edited by The Equaliser
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Zilzalian

Zilzalian

Posted
Posted
38 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

6 of the last 9 winners have carried between 8st 12lbs and 9st 1lb, 6 from 39, LSP 77 points. Remainder 3 from 122, LSP - 85.

This gives RAATEA at 22/1 and HYPERFOCUS at 10/1 ( 6 places BET365).

 

thats my reverse forecast with preference for hyperfocus for the win

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Brahmin

Brahmin

Posted
Posted

Hi all, 'live 'update on Newmarket going / weather this afternoon, while 'our ladies' gone to get some drinks 😂 🥂......July course today, official going is good, good to soft and our Newmarket friends say it looks now like good ground!.....going stick 6.9 / temp 23c right now and says 7.5mm overnight rain.......think the 1st race here is also on TV, which i know our ladies are looking forward to when we go to the parade ring as it all Grey horses 🐎......sooo if you see 4 people waving madly around the parade ring, it wont be us 👋 😂 

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richard-westwood

richard-westwood

Posted
  • Author
Posted
13 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

Lovely; nice to see the fruits of your efforts.  Had ew on your first race and win bets on the 3.15 as the prices have been slashed.  Not clear if you backed Sophias Starlight but had a couple of points win at 12.5 anyway.  Very best of luck today

Tbh I have backed earlier in week and completely forgot about it 🙃......its one of those all or nothing days .....either do well or they'll finish no where but I live days like this .....if yiur not in the game you can't win lol 😆 

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Sporting Sam

Sporting Sam

Posted
Posted (edited)

The curragh 1:45

the going is obviously going to be crucial to the chances of these but London city has an obvious chance and is out of justify and bred in the purple.

first two juveniles have won.

yard won this last year and this one has all the big entries.

Queen of thunder as an each way alternative appeals too the agh Khan filly is bred to appreciate the cut as she takes on the boys first time out.

London  city

win

queen of thunder 

eacv way

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Brahmin

Brahmin

Posted
Posted (edited)

here we go, whispers on course are for Divine Libra in 1st race so 3/1....my 'racecourse advisor' with race card on lap and drink in hand says dropped 2 grades for todays race. also going for last years winner Mitrosonfire 11/2 and Magical Max 9/1 🤞.......off to parade ring now 🐎  

😱 thought we off to winning start but Divine Libra caught close home .........2nd race not backable, so small stakes against the fav with Johnston newcomer Hand Jive @ 13/2 .......soooo we off to have some lunch 🥂 🍱    

Edited by Brahmin
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Sporting Sam

Sporting Sam

Posted
Posted

Newbury 3pm

with the form franked already by novus and a clear draw bias 

Classic in stall 1 has everything in his favour including the going and it would be disappointing if he cannot take advantage of all of these factors.

Classic
win

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