DanV89

3 AW meetings on a Saturday!!
 
Chelmsford have their best meeting of the year, do we really need Lingers and Wolver??
We only have Brighton and Worcester on Sunday, need i say anymore more, its not flippin rocket science!

Start time wins....around 80pts returned 

Toofi non runner replace with start time 

415 thirsk
Deansgate 288
Toofi   287
Start time    285
Taadawol   283
Very open race but in past running the high draws have had the advantage so with top 2 drawn high that's good enough for me at big prices too .......start time beat toofi by some margin last time but an 8lb pull for sboutc4 lengths evens that up so should make a race of it now 
Deansgate 5pts ew 14/1 betvic
Toofi 5pts ew 20/1 bet365
 

Some bits and pieces for today
 
First run after a wind op
Time Track Horse 1.50 Bangor A Bold Move (IRE) 2.20 Bangor Powerful Symbol (IRE) 2.20 Bangor Atlanta Ablaze 4.05 Bangor Rockalzaro (FR) 4.05 Bangor Wisecracker 4.15 Thirsk Lord Cooper 7.05 Wolverhampton Childe Harold Gelded since last run:
Time Track Horse 2.00 Thirsk Our Boy Zeus (IRE) 3.50 Sandown Plunger 4.25 Sandown Westbrook Bertie 4.25 Sandown Red Striker (IRE) 4.25 Sandown Endlessly (IRE) 4.30 Wolverhampton Eagre 5.05 Wolverhampton Theatre Of War (IRE) 6.05 Wolverhampton Global Spirit 7.05 Wolverhampton Palermo (IRE) 7.05 Wolverhampton
Childe Harold

Well done Dan, stays all day!
9/2 when i tipped it last night

Nice one Dan !
I did have a look following your post but I wasn't sure it would stay to be honest
 

Wins at 11/1 

Jeremy Noseda has always been a trainer I've liked and followed but sadly we just don't see a big volume of runners from him, but 9 times out of 10 you do get is quality and his 1 sole runner on the card at Goodwood should be no exception 
Paul Hanagan rode the filly at HQ on her debut over the 6f and she was a touch unlucky meeting some traffic problems, William Buick now gets the leg up and Mr Noseda will leave any judgment up to him,
Tight race with many unknowns showing up but I'll roll the dice with this French import
16:45 Goodwood - Lady Cosette  Win Bet @ 3/1 with Hills and Lads etc 

Thanks very much Graham. Fortunately we’re staying in a family friend’s caravan in a park which is about 10 miles from the course so we’ve got a minibus booked for Saturday morning! Looking forward to it. 

C/D horses Jimmy Moffat runners with top jockeys on (trains at Cartmel and always gets one ready for local owners) Front runners go well here. McCain and Bowen know the right type of horse for the track, (speedy and always on the turn). Get there early, nightmare traffic, try and leave car in village and walk to course.

Great fun on the whole

Orbaan runs at Saint-Cloud in a listed race on Sunday
Good to see that Silvestre de Sousa rides again

Breanski and Hackney Road win to bring up a double
returns 101.25, profit 81.25
running total 1095.00

Running total 898.25
Sals 4.00 - Burgonet 6/4 - £8 win
Sals 5.00 Desert Cross 9/2 - £6 win
£6 win double

Wolv 220 
Peggy sue.   277
Llamrei  275 
Very weak race lots out of form so hard to know who' gonna show up today but these two haven' had conditions for a while so hopefully now can show best now they have them .....at 10 and 14 worth a punt 
Peggy sue 5ptsxew 10/1 pp
Llamrei 5pts ew 14/1 b365
250 wolv
Glamourous rocket. 277
Elliot the dragon 276 
These two are quite clear so try and squeeze a bit out 
Glamourous rocket 10 pts win 11/4 bet365
Elliotvtge dragon 10pts win 4/1 pp

@Trotter is in fine fettle at the moment!!

@Trotter is in fine fettle at the moment!!

3.00 Hamilton - Mitcd - 18/1 Bet365 

A few pointers to keep those accounts a bit longer:
Don't withdraw immediately after a win. Withdraw once a month on the same day, maintaining a decent balance in the account.
Withdraw an amount slightly higher than you want. Pay back in the extra after a few days. (Fools the computer a little!)
Don't use oddschecker or any other comparison site. (You can check the prices but bet direct on bookies site.)
Block your IP with a VPN
Block iesnare and other trackers with a blocker like Ghostery
Spread your bets over at least 4 bookies.
Don't bother trying to keep Stan James or Boyles open, you won't!
Hope this helps.

**Breaking News**
Added prizes this month
Punters Lounge Mug & Pen will be awarded to the top 3 finishers in the Naps Competition
(Only one set per member can be won, next place offered if one set already claimed.)

 
You know you want one

3.00 Hamilton - Mitcd - 18/1 Bet365 

3.00 Hamilton - Mitcd - 18/1 Bet365 

3.00 Hamilton - Mitcd - 18/1 Bet365 

Cheers @BillyHills & @Trotter for your thoughts - it’s good to talk!! 
Definitely see what you mean about the Skeltons having found a good opportunity for Weightfordave but as you say probably isn’t the most genuine and you couldn’t possibly back him at odds on. 
I’ve had an ew bet on Rivière Argentee so will be interested to see how he goes and yep take your point about flat/hurdle ratings not necessarily translating as you’d expect. However I did read in the RP breeding section at the bottom of her racecard that she’s a full sister to a French 2m hurdle winner so maybe that can only be a positive but we’ll see. 

@DanV89 regarding the 735 Southwell:
Here are my thoughts and ratings on the race

As you can see by my ratings the favourite's last 5 hurdles runs are pretty consistent all bar one outing. Four of those runs were in Ireland in big fields and has since moved to Dan Skelton and had a wind op. He looks to have been reassessed when he moved from Ireland as most do and was put up 5lbs.
Add to the fact Skelton improved them early on after a move and the wind op it was hardly surprising he put in a decent run at Kempton.
The horse has been tried in blinkers, cheek pieces and now a tongue-tie. He has been backed into favouritism on a third of all of his starts over both codes and is obviously a right old monkey.
I think he will try and throw the race away if he can or should i say refuse to go and win it. Maybe they should go out and make it and be ultra positive.
Of the others I see Olly Murphy has a Willie Mullins cast off, not good enough to stay in the yard and has little ability by the looks of it. I always say a horse has to achieve a rating of 90 on my ratings to be considered to win a maiden so Leapt has to be the one to bet EW as he reached 88 on his first run and could easily improve here.
I see your arguments for Riviere Argentee but guessing marks from the flat is a dangerous game.
Weightfordave looks to have found a really good opportunity from what I can see and is the most likely winner. Would I back it at 4/6......Not for me and would probably back Leapt EW at around 6/1.
Good fun though