Grass Cash

Well, I don't think the current odds (below 3.00) offer any value there. She's up and coming, and she's had plenty of promising results recently, but she's still below Haddad Maia, and the latter is having what seems to be the best season of her career so far. She also has a match win under her belt here, so it's not the same situation as with Parry.

I've been very impressed with what I've seen from Linda Noskova on these indoor courts in Tallinn, Estonia. Czech Punter was the first to bring this girl's name to my attention. I guess she is ranked 105 singles right now which is higher than I would expect, but she's only 17 years old turning 18 in November. 
She really seems adapted to the indoor courts, and is hitting the ball hard with good margin over the net also.  I am curious if anyone thinks she pulls the upset over Haddad Maia. From what I saw Parry looked to be in fit form, and she dispatched her? Especially directing that question at Czech if he can offer any info. 
Haddad Maia is not a indoor player. She has a career 9-8 record, and stuggled with lower ranked player in her last match. I do realize she played close match vs Kudermetova at Tokyo indoor tournament, but I do believe those courts were playing similar to fast outdoor courts. 

Have been taking a little break from the tennis betting ... just working too hard to really focus on it. Just too hectic to put in 3 hours after a full day. But I do notice a few new things. My feeling is that there is money to be made betting on the right low priced favorites.
But there are definitely advantages to be gained in the following situations;
1) Find those players playing well below their station. Sometimes players are building confidence. Other players don't like to train, but they like to build fitness by playing matches. And there is no substitute for match fitness. Perfect example is Irena Begu. Goes to play Tiriac Foundation Trophy. Slaughters everyone. 5 matches, wins 10 sets, and 7 of those sets are hidings (+2 serve breaks or more). 
2) Look for players who have not played in a long time (+2.5 weeks). These are vulnerable, especially if they are/have just travelled. Perfect example here is Madison Keys yesterday. Plays Golubic and gets wiped out (6-3, 6-2), yet she was big fav and #4 seed. Flattened in about 45 minutes.
3) Look for players who collapse after losing a close 1st set. Today in a match just finished, Sara Sorribes-Tormo played Martina Trevisian. Close 1st set won by Tormo, who wins 2nd set 6-0. It shows you how weak her opponent is, basically collapsing in the 2nd. That mental weakness, lack of fortitude will repeat over and over, 
If you are looking for a decent site to web scrap and get scores from I think  http://www.espn.com/tennis/dailyResults is excellent. Go to Fivver and get someone to make you a webscrapper for 10$. Put the resulting flat file in excel at worst, or your own database. Having the lastest data cannot hurt you, and is well worth the tiny investment.
Begu will go deep again this week, and Niemeier also. 
Got Niemeier wrong. She was cruising and just went right off the boil. Still a work in progress, but I was impressed with her against Swiatek at the US open.
 
Good luck everyone.
 

Mathilde Paoletti -120
Mariusz Copil +225
I don't have big reasons behind these, and explained about copil. I've already placed these bets if my text in bold. I think Paoletti is the bigger talent maybe by alot, and this is home match for her. The other girl I think I saw she's playing doubles also. Paoletti already beat her opponent earlier touranment Palermo 2022 7-5 6-2. maybe she wins in 3 sets this time in closer match.. No idea about it.  
Anyways the goal of this post is to win 1 out of 2 of these bets, and avoid all big losses. then have chance for medium profit with Copil, and big if they both win.  Catch you guys later because as much as I'd like to watch these matches.. I'll probably go to sleep, and I will sweat something else out tomorrow.. These ones got me a bit nervous as you could imagine. 
 

Mathilde Paoletti -120
Mariusz Copil +225
I don't have big reasons behind these, and explained about copil. I've already placed these bets if my text in bold. I think Paoletti is the bigger talent maybe by alot, and this is home match for her. The other girl I think I saw she's playing doubles also. Paoletti already beat her opponent earlier touranment Palermo 2022 7-5 6-2. maybe she wins in 3 sets this time in closer match.. No idea about it.  
Anyways the goal of this post is to win 1 out of 2 of these bets, and avoid all big losses. then have chance for medium profit with Copil, and big if they both win.  Catch you guys later because as much as I'd like to watch these matches.. I'll probably go to sleep, and I will sweat something else out tomorrow.. These ones got me a bit nervous as you could imagine. 
 

Mathilde Paoletti -120
Mariusz Copil +225
I don't have big reasons behind these, and explained about copil. I've already placed these bets if my text in bold. I think Paoletti is the bigger talent maybe by alot, and this is home match for her. The other girl I think I saw she's playing doubles also. Paoletti already beat her opponent earlier touranment Palermo 2022 7-5 6-2. maybe she wins in 3 sets this time in closer match.. No idea about it.  
Anyways the goal of this post is to win 1 out of 2 of these bets, and avoid all big losses. then have chance for medium profit with Copil, and big if they both win.  Catch you guys later because as much as I'd like to watch these matches.. I'll probably go to sleep, and I will sweat something else out tomorrow.. These ones got me a bit nervous as you could imagine. 
 

I've just started to look things over but I did manage to get a stake on Chun Hsin before he broke serve in first set. O'Connell later retired.

Good spot there with Jarry! Today, you feel like Kontaveit should finally get a good win on the board on home soil, but the odds are a bit too short really, her opponent is no pushover.

Nicolas Jarry -200 Seoul
Jarry has won his first two matches in straight sets here. He looks to be in same form as usual, and serving well. I don't rate Peniston as much.. Ryan will be consistent and knock balls bock in the court. but I think you will need something more to force errors from Jarry. gl

Nicolas Jarry -200 Seoul
Jarry has won his first two matches in straight sets here. He looks to be in same form as usual, and serving well. I don't rate Peniston as much.. Ryan will be consistent and knock balls bock in the court. but I think you will need something more to force errors from Jarry. gl

Well I guess Kecmanovic gonna dump in Seoul. If anyone out there was betting Kovacevic. You are far craftier than I can dream to be, and I congratulate you.  But, sometimes there is also a stroke of luck.. So, lets keep our heads about us. GL Czech on your Noskova play.  I don't typically lay those type of odds unless I know the player, but she does have some recent results i rated. 

Almost too many events this week!
Linda Noskova over Diane Parry at 1.65 with Unibet is my first pick for the week, she's already beaten two competitive players in the qualifiers, and for Parry, it will be her first indoors match of the season, so who knows where she's at. This feels like one of those events that will have plenty of players that aren't fully committed, but Noskova clearly is.

Lorenzo Sonego -105 Metz
Jelena Ostapenko +115 Seoul
Sonego has proven himself in Metz already as a determined player. I think he can outclass Bublik
Jelena just murdering the ball in the tournament. Fans seem to be in awe of how hard she's hitting. Not trusting Alexandrova. 

Gasonova should have beaten Ostapenko. She actually served for the match twice. At 5-4 up serving for the match she had a match point. Served a double fault. At deuce she served another double. That messed her head and then she lost 5-7. What is as clear as day, is that top players are beatable in the early rounds, while they recover from travel and  are finding their feet. As they go deep they get much closer to their normal playing ability. The problem is that at that stage an opponent has some pedigree or is playing exceptionally well.
I think Alexandrova wins here. Just been super solid, and has swept her last 3 opponents aside easily. Not convinced regarding Ostapenko. 
 

I have not been betting much. Just watching the occasional game.

Good call and thank you.

Qinwen Zheng @-105 Tokyo
Lock it up boys and girls. This girl i have been following off and on, and I feel as though I've got a good read on her play.. I was on Niemaier to beat her in US Open if some remember. I am picking her to win the match, and it is also a partial fade of Kudemetova who I believe she can potentially elevate her game above today 
These courts are fast in Tokyo, but perfect speed also for her aggressive hitting. Not too fast.

Qinwen Zheng @-105 Tokyo
Lock it up boys and girls. This girl i have been following off and on, and I feel as though I've got a good read on her play.. I was on Niemaier to beat her in US Open if some remember. I am picking her to win the match, and it is also a partial fade of Kudemetova who I believe she can potentially elevate her game above today 
These courts are fast in Tokyo, but perfect speed also for her aggressive hitting. Not too fast.

Qinwen Zheng @-105 Tokyo
Lock it up boys and girls. This girl i have been following off and on, and I feel as though I've got a good read on her play.. I was on Niemaier to beat her in US Open if some remember. I am picking her to win the match, and it is also a partial fade of Kudemetova who I believe she can potentially elevate her game above today 
These courts are fast in Tokyo, but perfect speed also for her aggressive hitting. Not too fast.

Rainz , you and me buddy out here against the whole dang world on this one.. Can't believe he came through. 

I feel like i'm crazy for wanting to back Khachanov.. I think the odds are ridiculous, and I'm worried about losing a big bet.
Both guys are playing really well. I'd say Kyrgios performed great, but atleast for sure that is not top form Medvedev out there.  I can say that with certainty. I imagine Khachanov will give him a tougher match without much doubt in that theory.. Something seemed to be wrong with Daniil. Either the movement.. power of shots. I can't explain the problem but the guy is definitely not healthy. I don't think Khachanov is having injury problems right now at all, and commented at the press.. He's feeling the rest during Wimbledon really helped him alot, and had some nice tune up matches on hardcourt already.  I can't explain Kyrgios rolling right through Wolf other than that .. one player has no problem holding serve, and Wolf could have crumbled under the pressure.. Anyways .. I haven't decided yet if I'll be betting this.. We'll see!

I feel like i'm crazy for wanting to back Khachanov.. I think the odds are ridiculous, and I'm worried about losing a big bet.
Both guys are playing really well. I'd say Kyrgios performed great, but atleast for sure that is not top form Medvedev out there.  I can say that with certainty. I imagine Khachanov will give him a tougher match without much doubt in that theory.. Something seemed to be wrong with Daniil. Either the movement.. power of shots. I can't explain the problem but the guy is definitely not healthy. I don't think Khachanov is having injury problems right now at all, and commented at the press.. He's feeling the rest during Wimbledon really helped him alot, and had some nice tune up matches on hardcourt already.  I can't explain Kyrgios rolling right through Wolf other than that .. one player has no problem holding serve, and Wolf could have crumbled under the pressure.. Anyways .. I haven't decided yet if I'll be betting this.. We'll see!

The Tiafoe from last match should show up which is only his usual self but in that last match the Nadal from all his great achievements didn't show up and that happens from time to time and I was expecting Nadal to go out in this edtion of USO sooner or later and it came sooner. So no big surprises there but I would be surprised if Tiafoe gets an equally turned off opponent again this time. Because Nadal has been turned off in winning mood since he won RG this summer. Don't think Wimby helped him much either to achieve something big yet again this season and I don't expect much from Nadal for the rest of this season. It did defenitely help Tiafoe to get the win in round 4 when facing a Nadal who wasn't really up for the task. Ever since this tournament started Nadal has been playing bad period.

I feel like i'm crazy for wanting to back Khachanov.. I think the odds are ridiculous, and I'm worried about losing a big bet.
Both guys are playing really well. I'd say Kyrgios performed great, but atleast for sure that is not top form Medvedev out there.  I can say that with certainty. I imagine Khachanov will give him a tougher match without much doubt in that theory.. Something seemed to be wrong with Daniil. Either the movement.. power of shots. I can't explain the problem but the guy is definitely not healthy. I don't think Khachanov is having injury problems right now at all, and commented at the press.. He's feeling the rest during Wimbledon really helped him alot, and had some nice tune up matches on hardcourt already.  I can't explain Kyrgios rolling right through Wolf other than that .. one player has no problem holding serve, and Wolf could have crumbled under the pressure.. Anyways .. I haven't decided yet if I'll be betting this.. We'll see!

If the tiafoe from the nadal match shows up, he wins it. But I ve seen enough times that after a big win comes a big fall for many players, and this is like tiafoe's only true big win