opole

Sydney, Qualification
Christopher O'Connell @ 3.25 William Hill 4/10
Andreozzi hasn't played since mid November so this is his first match in 2019. I do not expect him to play at his best, especially on hardcourt in Australia where he has a 0-4 record overall. For an unknown reason he pulled out of the qualification in Doha last weekend, it's a bit uncommon to pull out of a tournament at the beginning of the season, especially if you want to get some match rythm and confidence.
O'Connell is playing his home tournament as he was born and is living in Sydney. He played well there in the past winning sets vs. Mahut, Elias and matches vs. Marchenko, Lopez-Perez. I think O'Connell is underrated as he wasn't playing a lot last season, especially in the first half of the season but he had a good training camp and also already played a couple of matches recently (AO WC playoffs, Brisbane Q).

ATP Brisbane doubles
J. Duckworth/J. Thompson @ 2.70 188bet 4/10
Duckworth and Thompson both having no reason to tank for some qualifying events at the weekend as both already entered main draws of Sydney (Thompson via WC) and Canberra (Duckworth via direct entry) so i guess both will try hard to reach the final in Brisbane. Great effort so far from both, really good doubles play and i think this isn't some kind of a fluke as both are really good and talented doubles players. Thompson won Brisbane International in doubles competition in 2017 partnering Kokkinakis and Duckworth has all the tools to do well in doubles too: good first and second serve, touch, net play. This is looking like a great combination. Ram and Salisbury are looking great too so far but i am not convinced they should being prized like that, for me it's a close matchup where i'll go with the local Aussie home factor at those odds!

Great shout, easiest money I've won in ages! Thanks Opole

Hopman Cup
A. Barty/M. Ebden @ 2.21 Pinnacle 4/10
Kerber and Zverev just qualified for the final vs. Switzerland as both won their singles match today. I do not think they'll go all in in the mixed doubles here, maybe they'll make the home crowd a present too and i expect Ebden and Barty being movivated here.

This match is turning into an exhibition. Well spotted! Didn’t manage to get in quick enough haha.

ATP Brisbane doubles
J. Duckworth/J. Thompson @ 2.70 188bet 4/10
Duckworth and Thompson both having no reason to tank for some qualifying events at the weekend as both already entered main draws of Sydney (Thompson via WC) and Canberra (Duckworth via direct entry) so i guess both will try hard to reach the final in Brisbane. Great effort so far from both, really good doubles play and i think this isn't some kind of a fluke as both are really good and talented doubles players. Thompson won Brisbane International in doubles competition in 2017 partnering Kokkinakis and Duckworth has all the tools to do well in doubles too: good first and second serve, touch, net play. This is looking like a great combination. Ram and Salisbury are looking great too so far but i am not convinced they should being prized like that, for me it's a close matchup where i'll go with the local Aussie home factor at those odds!

ATP Brisbane doubles
J. Duckworth/J. Thompson @ 2.70 188bet 4/10
Duckworth and Thompson both having no reason to tank for some qualifying events at the weekend as both already entered main draws of Sydney (Thompson via WC) and Canberra (Duckworth via direct entry) so i guess both will try hard to reach the final in Brisbane. Great effort so far from both, really good doubles play and i think this isn't some kind of a fluke as both are really good and talented doubles players. Thompson won Brisbane International in doubles competition in 2017 partnering Kokkinakis and Duckworth has all the tools to do well in doubles too: good first and second serve, touch, net play. This is looking like a great combination. Ram and Salisbury are looking great too so far but i am not convinced they should being prized like that, for me it's a close matchup where i'll go with the local Aussie home factor at those odds!

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

Can you please give some reasoning why you bet the way you do? Don't just write out a bet without giving any reason why a player is supposed to have a chance to win.

If Basilashvili somehow wins today, Berdych could actually be a very live shot. Rooting for you @opole!

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

ATP Doha
Roberto Bautista Agut @ 2.26 Pinnacle 3/10
Both Wawrinka and Bautista played very well in their opening matches, winning comfortably without losing a set. Obviously Wawrinka had the tougher opponents with Khachanov and Jarry but i think this is a different matchup these days. Wawrinka is playing better and better after his knee injury and apparently he is in good shape but after watching his first two matches i think he is still a bit rusty in terms of movement. He isn't moving that well to be honest, and i think Bautista is a tough matchup if you have some issues with moving around the court as the Spaniard knows how to let his opponents run around and using & creating angles with his groundstrokes. I personally think RBA is massively underrated on the circuit but he dropped out of Top 20 last year so maybe he is also declining but he looked better at the end of the season and he is always starting strong into the new season. He looks in great shape and i have still some concerns about Wawrinka and matchups where he has to move a lot. Both Khachanov and Jarry are static ballbasher, those guys aren't moving a lot and their strokes are predictable too so i think today we'll see the real level of Wawrinka. I think Bautista should be prized even around 1.9 at least but maybe he is even the favorite here. Odds >2.2 are good enough to try.

no bets for me today and tomorrow, i do not see any value bets at all, maybe Bautista-Agut should be fav vs. Wawrinka in Doha but not quite sure about that tbh and 2.2 isn't a prize i would bet on pregame in such a matchup as i expect to get better odds after one service game won by Wawrinka and i can't see much breaks in there as Wawrinka served well and RBA also is hard to break usually. Let's see but i think i will focus on the weekend with qualifying events in Auckland, Sydney and Hobart.

no bets for me today and tomorrow, i do not see any value bets at all, maybe Bautista-Agut should be fav vs. Wawrinka in Doha but not quite sure about that tbh and 2.2 isn't a prize i would bet on pregame in such a matchup as i expect to get better odds after one service game won by Wawrinka and i can't see much breaks in there as Wawrinka served well and RBA also is hard to break usually. Let's see but i think i will focus on the weekend with qualifying events in Auckland, Sydney and Hobart.

ATP Brisbane doubles
R. Ram/J. Salisbury @ 1.92 Sbobet 3/10
Harrison is already out of the singles main draw as he lost a razor close match to Kyrgios last night. He'll lose tons of points as he reached the final in Brisbane last year and he will play qualifying in Auckland at the weekend so maybe he will go out here to travel to New Zealand comfortably. I know Brisbane - Auckland is a short flight about 3-4 hrs. but still tomorrow is Wednesday and he event will start on Saturday. Furthermore Dimitrov has to play a tough match before the doubles match vs. local hero Millman who looked very good in the first round and gave Dimitrov a hell of a match last year. Ram/Salisbury are both very good doubles player and looking solid enough to take it here but still there is a huge gap in class here so if Harrison/Dimitrov deciding to go full on their opponents it could be close but factors i mentioned above are giving me some kind of a good feeling to back the US-british pair.

ATP Brisbane doubles
R. Ram/J. Salisbury @ 1.92 Sbobet 3/10
Harrison is already out of the singles main draw as he lost a razor close match to Kyrgios last night. He'll lose tons of points as he reached the final in Brisbane last year and he will play qualifying in Auckland at the weekend so maybe he will go out here to travel to New Zealand comfortably. I know Brisbane - Auckland is a short flight about 3-4 hrs. but still tomorrow is Wednesday and he event will start on Saturday. Furthermore Dimitrov has to play a tough match before the doubles match vs. local hero Millman who looked very good in the first round and gave Dimitrov a hell of a match last year. Ram/Salisbury are both very good doubles player and looking solid enough to take it here but still there is a huge gap in class here so if Harrison/Dimitrov deciding to go full on their opponents it could be close but factors i mentioned above are giving me some kind of a good feeling to back the US-british pair.

I really like Ebden in Australia, he was damn good last year and Perth is his home town so we should expect some extra % there.
Futhermore i think Ebden is a bit underrated due to his defensive style but i think he is much better than this, has nice variety, a very good net game and know how to mix things up.
I do expect some good tennis in the next few weeks but obviously 2.1-2.2 isn't much of a value bet neither vs. Pouille nor vs. Ferrer but i agree with money44 that 1.6 on Ferrer isn't looking special these days but still...all the best and good luck for your bet CP.
I have two bets in my pocket for the challenger circuit, i won't give much of analysis but i like them. But small stake bets. No more than 2 units.
Noumea Challenger
Maxime Chazal @ 2.11 sbobet 2/10
Playford Challenger
Hiroki Moriya @ 3.25 5dimes 2/10
We also should take a look at the QUalifying in Noumea which begins in about an hour. J. P. Fruttero will give his singles comeback there and his opponent is still to be announced so an alternate maybe Bet365 will offer it live...some unknown players there involved as three of four players are ALTERNATES and not announced yet. Could be some nice value bets if Bet365 has to make the odds on short notice.
 

ATP Brisbane doubles
R. Ram/J. Salisbury @ 1.92 Sbobet 3/10
Harrison is already out of the singles main draw as he lost a razor close match to Kyrgios last night. He'll lose tons of points as he reached the final in Brisbane last year and he will play qualifying in Auckland at the weekend so maybe he will go out here to travel to New Zealand comfortably. I know Brisbane - Auckland is a short flight about 3-4 hrs. but still tomorrow is Wednesday and he event will start on Saturday. Furthermore Dimitrov has to play a tough match before the doubles match vs. local hero Millman who looked very good in the first round and gave Dimitrov a hell of a match last year. Ram/Salisbury are both very good doubles player and looking solid enough to take it here but still there is a huge gap in class here so if Harrison/Dimitrov deciding to go full on their opponents it could be close but factors i mentioned above are giving me some kind of a good feeling to back the US-british pair.

ATP Brisbane doubles
R. Ram/J. Salisbury @ 1.92 Sbobet 3/10
Harrison is already out of the singles main draw as he lost a razor close match to Kyrgios last night. He'll lose tons of points as he reached the final in Brisbane last year and he will play qualifying in Auckland at the weekend so maybe he will go out here to travel to New Zealand comfortably. I know Brisbane - Auckland is a short flight about 3-4 hrs. but still tomorrow is Wednesday and he event will start on Saturday. Furthermore Dimitrov has to play a tough match before the doubles match vs. local hero Millman who looked very good in the first round and gave Dimitrov a hell of a match last year. Ram/Salisbury are both very good doubles player and looking solid enough to take it here but still there is a huge gap in class here so if Harrison/Dimitrov deciding to go full on their opponents it could be close but factors i mentioned above are giving me some kind of a good feeling to back the US-british pair.

ATP Brisbane doubles
R. Ram/J. Salisbury @ 1.92 Sbobet 3/10
Harrison is already out of the singles main draw as he lost a razor close match to Kyrgios last night. He'll lose tons of points as he reached the final in Brisbane last year and he will play qualifying in Auckland at the weekend so maybe he will go out here to travel to New Zealand comfortably. I know Brisbane - Auckland is a short flight about 3-4 hrs. but still tomorrow is Wednesday and he event will start on Saturday. Furthermore Dimitrov has to play a tough match before the doubles match vs. local hero Millman who looked very good in the first round and gave Dimitrov a hell of a match last year. Ram/Salisbury are both very good doubles player and looking solid enough to take it here but still there is a huge gap in class here so if Harrison/Dimitrov deciding to go full on their opponents it could be close but factors i mentioned above are giving me some kind of a good feeling to back the US-british pair.