neilovan

Rain delay is brutal. Laaksonen on a roll and stopped. Begu on a roll and stopped. Very annoying.

Lol, no worries. I made an unspecified programming enhancement on Brooksby yesterday. I checked it today and he was a no select, but I'll write it off as a 'development' expense.
No doubt Noskova is gonna win this match. She just is hitting it through Radacanu. Even her misses are net cords or super close. She already looks physically strong, and her backhand is a thing of beauty. 

Lol, no worries. I made an unspecified programming enhancement on Brooksby yesterday. I checked it today and he was a no select, but I'll write it off as a 'development' expense.
No doubt Noskova is gonna win this match. She just is hitting it through Radacanu. Even her misses are net cords or super close. She already looks physically strong, and her backhand is a thing of beauty. 

Noskova gonna beat Radacanu. That kid can really hit the ball, and doesn't look 17 years old.

Good grief, Thompson looked like an ice skater. He was actually 2-2 in the 3rd set and played two truly awful games on his serve.  Didn't lose a lot, but I do prefer winning?

Moutet just looks as fresh as a daisy, and he has the crowd on his side.

Moutet just looks as fresh as a daisy, and he has the crowd on his side.

Moutet just looks as fresh as a daisy, and he has the crowd on his side.

Wawrinka is done against Moutet. Invested too much energy and now loses a close one. No way he can come back and win the last 2. 1..33 great odds on Moutet.

i like it, even now evans is 1.25

I don't think Nadal can beat Thopson 6-2 6-2 6-2 (or less). I think Thompson wins at least 3 games in 1 set, so the Nadal and over 24.5 games is the bet at odds of 1.9 . Again not going big but a 1.5 unit bet works.

I wouldn't go crazy but I still think Lajovic is gonna beat Baez. Worth a small 1.5 unit bet at odds of 4 to 1

Let's get the next one. I'm sitting at my comp all day, streaming two matches. 
The inplay stuff has been good. 
Azarenka, Krjanovic, Aliasimme, Vinolas all won.
Lajovic actually messed up a little because he had 3 break points for the 2nd set and then had to serve out to win it. He is now playing catch up serving behind. Just makes it tricky because a couple of bad points and it's goodbye set. Good grief, as I speak he drops his serve from 40-15 ? ,
Krejicova lost from 6-1 2-0. Not a bad pick, just unlucky that the injury flares up again. Could not bend her elbow properly to hit a forehand. Parry is really a weak opponent, yet wins 12 of 15 games, with no game. Radacanu would have quit ? 

Azarenka v Bogdan. I think Bogdan will implode in this 3rd set, after serving for the match in the second. Would be looking at Azarenko to win and under 34.5 games which is 9 to 10

Nadal and Djokovic on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER
 

I think Baez will definitely struggle in this weather as well. A stockier, physically bigger player like Lajovic will dominate him, and is def worth taking at 16 to 10 (score is 1-1 lajovic break point).

I think Baez will definitely struggle in this weather as well. A stockier, physically bigger player like Lajovic will dominate him, and is def worth taking at 16 to 10 (score is 1-1 lajovic break point).

In these overcast conditions, taller and physically stronger players will dominate. The overhead conditions slow the ball down, and make it bounce lower. So a person hitting a two handed backhand finds the ball in the vertical hitting zone almost all the time.  Also, someone over reliant on a big serve finds what would be an 'ace' coming back to them. Very similar to when Nadal lost to Soderling.
I think Opelka will struggle in these conditions and am taking Krajinovic in match here (set up 2-1) at odds of 1.5

It seems that the woman's draw is slightly more predictable than the men's at the moment. Definitely set betting looks more straight forward in the WTA, and all matches are always 3 sets, which makes back testing more relevant.
Quite a few matchups that models rejected, that actually look good to me.
Samsonova v kovinic was odd, because Samsonova took Swiatek close (lost 5-7 in 3rd set recently). She is tough to beat and playing well.
It also didn't take the Trevisian v Dart match, but I think it was because Dart has hardly played on clay. I agree with @Torque and think Trevisian wins easily. Comes into the tournament having just won in Morocco (5 wins on the spin), and very good on clay, against an opponent that has not played on it much.
The Anismova v Osaka match is just priced out of the range but I think Osaka can get her bags packed. If you look at Anismova in the Madrid Open  (3 solid wins : Sabalenka , Martic, Azarenka),  Italian Open ( Bencic, Martincova, Collins), she is bang in form. Those are 6 very good opponents ... no freebees there. Osaka well beaten by Sorribes Tormo in Madrid, and withdrawn from Italian open. Hardly great prep.
Begu v Paolini. Paolini is struggling with her serve, and this is affecting the rest of her game and confidence. She drops a lot of serve games, and this makes it very difficult to win. In addition, Paolini has hardly played competitive clay court matches. Lost 1st round in  Madrid, withdrew? from Stuttgart, didn't play Italy, so totally not ready. It's just a see how it goes and take the 75k Euro's.
Will take two doubles here. Begu  and  Trevisian for 6 units, and Anismova and Samsonova  for 2 units.
 
I will take two longshots as singles today (small 1 unit bet each).
#1) Linda Noskova to beat Miss excuses (Radacanu). Noskova is a former girls winner at French, and won 4 qualifying rounds. Only 17 years old.
2) I like Seb Baez but he may just be out of gas. He is up against a tough opponent in Dusan Lajovic, and I think a surprise could be on the cards here, Lajovic had a solid Madrid open  winning 4/5.

It seems that the woman's draw is slightly more predictable than the men's at the moment. Definitely set betting looks more straight forward in the WTA, and all matches are always 3 sets, which makes back testing more relevant.
Quite a few matchups that models rejected, that actually look good to me.
Samsonova v kovinic was odd, because Samsonova took Swiatek close (lost 5-7 in 3rd set recently). She is tough to beat and playing well.
It also didn't take the Trevisian v Dart match, but I think it was because Dart has hardly played on clay. I agree with @Torque and think Trevisian wins easily. Comes into the tournament having just won in Morocco (5 wins on the spin), and very good on clay, against an opponent that has not played on it much.
The Anismova v Osaka match is just priced out of the range but I think Osaka can get her bags packed. If you look at Anismova in the Madrid Open  (3 solid wins : Sabalenka , Martic, Azarenka),  Italian Open ( Bencic, Martincova, Collins), she is bang in form. Those are 6 very good opponents ... no freebees there. Osaka well beaten by Sorribes Tormo in Madrid, and withdrawn from Italian open. Hardly great prep.
Begu v Paolini. Paolini is struggling with her serve, and this is affecting the rest of her game and confidence. She drops a lot of serve games, and this makes it very difficult to win. In addition, Paolini has hardly played competitive clay court matches. Lost 1st round in  Madrid, withdrew? from Stuttgart, didn't play Italy, so totally not ready. It's just a see how it goes and take the 75k Euro's.
Will take two doubles here. Begu  and  Trevisian for 6 units, and Anismova and Samsonova  for 2 units.
 
I will take two longshots as singles today (small 1 unit bet each).
#1) Linda Noskova to beat Miss excuses (Radacanu). Noskova is a former girls winner at French, and won 4 qualifying rounds. Only 17 years old.
2) I like Seb Baez but he may just be out of gas. He is up against a tough opponent in Dusan Lajovic, and I think a surprise could be on the cards here, Lajovic had a solid Madrid open  winning 4/5.

It seems that the woman's draw is slightly more predictable than the men's at the moment. Definitely set betting looks more straight forward in the WTA, and all matches are always 3 sets, which makes back testing more relevant.
Quite a few matchups that models rejected, that actually look good to me.
Samsonova v kovinic was odd, because Samsonova took Swiatek close (lost 5-7 in 3rd set recently). She is tough to beat and playing well.
It also didn't take the Trevisian v Dart match, but I think it was because Dart has hardly played on clay. I agree with @Torque and think Trevisian wins easily. Comes into the tournament having just won in Morocco (5 wins on the spin), and very good on clay, against an opponent that has not played on it much.
The Anismova v Osaka match is just priced out of the range but I think Osaka can get her bags packed. If you look at Anismova in the Madrid Open  (3 solid wins : Sabalenka , Martic, Azarenka),  Italian Open ( Bencic, Martincova, Collins), she is bang in form. Those are 6 very good opponents ... no freebees there. Osaka well beaten by Sorribes Tormo in Madrid, and withdrawn from Italian open. Hardly great prep.
Begu v Paolini. Paolini is struggling with her serve, and this is affecting the rest of her game and confidence. She drops a lot of serve games, and this makes it very difficult to win. In addition, Paolini has hardly played competitive clay court matches. Lost 1st round in  Madrid, withdrew? from Stuttgart, didn't play Italy, so totally not ready. It's just a see how it goes and take the 75k Euro's.
Will take two doubles here. Begu  and  Trevisian for 6 units, and Anismova and Samsonova  for 2 units.
 
I will take two longshots as singles today (small 1 unit bet each).
#1) Linda Noskova to beat Miss excuses (Radacanu). Noskova is a former girls winner at French, and won 4 qualifying rounds. Only 17 years old.
2) I like Seb Baez but he may just be out of gas. He is up against a tough opponent in Dusan Lajovic, and I think a surprise could be on the cards here, Lajovic had a solid Madrid open  winning 4/5.

It seems that the woman's draw is slightly more predictable than the men's at the moment. Definitely set betting looks more straight forward in the WTA, and all matches are always 3 sets, which makes back testing more relevant.
Quite a few matchups that models rejected, that actually look good to me.
Samsonova v kovinic was odd, because Samsonova took Swiatek close (lost 5-7 in 3rd set recently). She is tough to beat and playing well.
It also didn't take the Trevisian v Dart match, but I think it was because Dart has hardly played on clay. I agree with @Torque and think Trevisian wins easily. Comes into the tournament having just won in Morocco (5 wins on the spin), and very good on clay, against an opponent that has not played on it much.
The Anismova v Osaka match is just priced out of the range but I think Osaka can get her bags packed. If you look at Anismova in the Madrid Open  (3 solid wins : Sabalenka , Martic, Azarenka),  Italian Open ( Bencic, Martincova, Collins), she is bang in form. Those are 6 very good opponents ... no freebees there. Osaka well beaten by Sorribes Tormo in Madrid, and withdrawn from Italian open. Hardly great prep.
Begu v Paolini. Paolini is struggling with her serve, and this is affecting the rest of her game and confidence. She drops a lot of serve games, and this makes it very difficult to win. In addition, Paolini has hardly played competitive clay court matches. Lost 1st round in  Madrid, withdrew? from Stuttgart, didn't play Italy, so totally not ready. It's just a see how it goes and take the 75k Euro's.
Will take two doubles here. Begu  and  Trevisian for 6 units, and Anismova and Samsonova  for 2 units.
 
I will take two longshots as singles today (small 1 unit bet each).
#1) Linda Noskova to beat Miss excuses (Radacanu). Noskova is a former girls winner at French, and won 4 qualifying rounds. Only 17 years old.
2) I like Seb Baez but he may just be out of gas. He is up against a tough opponent in Dusan Lajovic, and I think a surprise could be on the cards here, Lajovic had a solid Madrid open  winning 4/5.

I put the rest of the games for today and those for tomorrow through the system. It liked the following WTA matches, winner is first;
5/22/2022  Fernandez v Mladanovic    0.14
5/23/2022  Azarenka v A Bogdan  0.33
5/23/2022  Krejcikova v D Parry  0.2
5/23/2022  Konteveit v Tomljanovic  0.3
5/23/2022  Kerber v Frech    0.4
5/23/2022  Kudermetova v L Zhu    0.25
I am happy to post the picks but I always seem to be ridiculed for posting, so I'm not sure I want the abuse. But use them as an indicator. Maybe just take 1 or 2 of these matchups and find the potential best bets. 

Definitely seeing big opportunities for in play betting. Took Auger Aliasimme on a big bet just as he won the 4th set. only 1.37 but it was the right bet. 
I think Ramos Vinolas leading Kokkinajkis 5-3 30-40 looks decent at odds of 1.65. Kokkinakis should really not be able to beat a natural clay court player, who spent his life playing on similar courts.

I put the rest of the games for today and those for tomorrow through the system. It liked the following WTA matches, winner is first;
5/22/2022  Fernandez v Mladanovic    0.14
5/23/2022  Azarenka v A Bogdan  0.33
5/23/2022  Krejcikova v D Parry  0.2
5/23/2022  Konteveit v Tomljanovic  0.3
5/23/2022  Kerber v Frech    0.4
5/23/2022  Kudermetova v L Zhu    0.25
I am happy to post the picks but I always seem to be ridiculed for posting, so I'm not sure I want the abuse. But use them as an indicator. Maybe just take 1 or 2 of these matchups and find the potential best bets.