neilovan
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Posts posted by neilovan
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2 minutes ago, Dax said:
It's time for Fogna (which means sewer), as we call him, to retire
Really not sure why he keeps playing. Probably made 15+million in prize money. Between him and the wife, I am sure they will be OK financially.
I'm gonna double down on Munar. Just not sure what happened to him in the first set, but he should really come back and beat Ymer, who is just such a limited grinder.
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8 minutes ago, neilovan said:
I had a big darts bet yesterday on Gerwyn Price. We have load shedding where they switch the electricity off 3 times a day, and it screwed my internet. I couldn't connect and there is nobody there at 11pm. Cost me a nice wad so it's been brutal. The crazy part is that Fognini may even win this, but the manner of it makes comfortable betting impossible.
And that genius throws in a double to finish it off. Really poor to serve 9 doubles, when you have a marshmallow for a 1st serve. May as well slow the marshmallow down and get it in, remove all pressure from the 2nd serve and start form there. Useless display. Maybe Fognini can play some mixed doubles with Mertens?
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5 minutes ago, Dax said:
With this loss I will close minus 4 units
I had a big darts bet yesterday on Gerwyn Price. We have load shedding where they switch the electricity off 3 times a day, and it screwed my internet. I couldn't connect and there is nobody there at 11pm. Cost me a nice wad so it's been brutal. The crazy part is that Fognini may even win this, but the manner of it makes comfortable betting impossible.
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4 minutes ago, Dax said:
He just said "If I had learned to serve good I would be retired since 10 years" lol
Horrid day continues. Something totally wrong when you cannot win 3 in 10 points serving or receiving on the AD side. Gotta get on the court and drill until your body is aching for a break. He has so much talent, but get's in his own way. That win would have had me even for the day, but between him and Mertens they both cooked my goose. And they were both great opportunities. Mertens was totally in control and went into left field, and Fognini , well, is just being Fognini. No disrespect, but he should wipe the floor with this guy.
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1 minute ago, Dax said:
Agree. He's been cursing all match long, I can clearly ear what he's saying
He's had 15 break points.
I took the 1/3rd stake loss and bailed out. Too much money riding on this nonsense.
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4 minutes ago, Dax said:
This match is a bit of a rollercoaster, to say the least
Just hideous. He cannot win 1 in 4 points on the AD side. Looking at this from behind my chair.
Fognini is potentially so dominant here, and he is just playing the big points so badly. Munar also playing like a muppet. He was 2-0 up and he will be 5-2 down shortly.
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8 minutes ago, Dax said:
Hopefully he takes the win. I'm in at 1.86
Just crazy, he needs to come out in the 3rd and hold his serve. Gives it away again. Just hideous play. I cant see the actually play but he loses endless points on the AD court. On the deuce side he wins, which suggests his backhand is crap or his patterns of play are crap.
Just the worst start possible to the 3rd set. Tempted to cut my losses here or give it half of this game, which he needs to win comfortably.
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54 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Fognini worth a medium bet at odds around even money when leading 2nd set against Galan 3-1 30 love, one set down. At ATP Umag
LOL, and on this weird day continues. Fognini has set point 7 times at 2-5, and can't take one of them. Then gives his serve away next game with two double faults. What a difficult day today. Unreal. Should be winning 3k but been bailing out of bets all day. Can Fognini break him to take the set 7-5? Last chance saloon here... Just lucky as he does it on the 8th try. He should be dominant now, serving first. Hopefully Galan has a lot of emotion invested in that last one and falls away. If Fognini had gone to a breaker I would have eaten a 1/3 loss of stake. Just can't risk the tie-breaker.
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Fognini worth a medium bet at odds around even money when leading 2nd set against Galan 3-1 30 love, one set down. At ATP Umag
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2 hours ago, neilovan said:
There are some players in the WTA that you just can't touch. Two of note for me : Elise Mertens and Caroline Garcia. When they win, they just get over the line and when they lose the performance is beyond belief. Today Mertens played a bog standard opponent in Magda Linette. Should be a simple warm up for the next round. Mertens could simply not work out how to win a point behind her serve on the deuce court. She was so bad it was pitiful. 3rd set she is 2-1 up and serving first (huge advantage in woman's game). Just disintegrates and loses 5 games in a row. Just awful tennis ... and this is a player ranked 25?
Some bets I do like today
Munar Clar, Jaume Antoni vs Ymer, Mikael 1.3
Cecchinato, Marco vs Poljicak, Mili 1.22
Daniel, Taro vs Korda, Sebastian 1.44
Nakashima, Brandon vs Thompson, Jordan 1.3
Gives almost 2-1 for the quad. A medium sized bet for me. but I'm not getting involved too heavily.
On a day like this where there is not much happening best to chill and not go looking for trouble.
If I had to take one big stake low priced bet I would put the money on Munar. He is playing well, went close against Ruud (7-6, 7-6) and played really well in that match. His game is developing nicely, and he does not give up!
Watching the Martincova game against Pacquet. Just insane. Martincova blitzes her 1st set and then goes from 3-1 up in the second to lose that 4-6 (or 1-5). Then starts the 3rd set like a snail. What is going on?
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31 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Just watching the Jakupovic v van Uytvanck match. Is it so hot in Prague that van Uytvanck can't play?
and like clockwork the loser retires
Jakupovic, Dalila v Van Uytvanck, Alison2-Way Odds (12) 12.57StakeMax. Payout500.001270- CzechPunter and Hoang Phi Viet
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Just watching the Jakupovic v van Uytvanck match. Is it so hot in Prague that van Uytvanck can't play?
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There are some players in the WTA that you just can't touch. Two of note for me : Elise Mertens and Caroline Garcia. When they win, they just get over the line and when they lose the performance is beyond belief. Today Mertens played a bog standard opponent in Magda Linette. Should be a simple warm up for the next round. Mertens could simply not work out how to win a point behind her serve on the deuce court. She was so bad it was pitiful. 3rd set she is 2-1 up and serving first (huge advantage in woman's game). Just disintegrates and loses 5 games in a row. Just awful tennis ... and this is a player ranked 25?
Some bets I do like today
Munar Clar, Jaume Antoni vs Ymer, Mikael 1.3
Cecchinato, Marco vs Poljicak, Mili 1.22
Daniel, Taro vs Korda, Sebastian 1.44
Nakashima, Brandon vs Thompson, Jordan 1.3
Gives almost 2-1 for the quad. A medium sized bet for me. but I'm not getting involved too heavily.
On a day like this where there is not much happening best to chill and not go looking for trouble.
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9 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Well, it's a bit of a tradition in Italy, and there are upsides to it as well for both the players and the audience. Sweltering heat in Europe these days, so perhaps nobody really minds it.
And in Spain too. Nobody has dinner before 10.30?
Crazy, Bronzetti is 8 on bet365 and on my local bookie I get odds of 4.75. Makes covering so much more expensive
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Some of the things you see on the ATP/WTA are just a disgrace. That a professional match should start at 10pm (or later) is a joke. Seriously ... which athlete performs best between 10.30 and midnight? It's laughable. I would definitely be going for Sorribes-Tormo later. She is the fav, and she (being Spanish) should be more suited to the late evening.
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44 minutes ago, Foo_Fighter said:
Bronzetti or Paolini?
I will be betting after it settles down. Paolini is definitely the correct fav, and she has a very good record on clay when she is the bookies favorite. My feeling is she wins here, probably easily.
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10 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Underarm serve on match point? Seriously ...
Just plays the weirdest tennis. May as well just plug the battery pack into his opponent.
I bailed out in most of my big bets here. Musetti just drifting off into left field. I'll take a small loss rather than catastrophic failure. I got carried away, so I'll just take my medicine.
Hopefully everyone else stayed the course
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39 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Worrying because Musetti just drifted off and let him back in the match.
Underarm serve on match point? Seriously ...
Just plays the weirdest tennis. May as well just plug the battery pack into his opponent.
I bailed out in most of my big bets here. Musetti just drifting off into left field. I'll take a small loss rather than catastrophic failure. I got carried away, so I'll just take my medicine.
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1 minute ago, bet4fun said:
when you bet on kontaveit match you have to toss a coin. Heads she wins tails she loses. this will work 80% of the times
but last year she was playing unbelievable.
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52 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Musetti off to a very good start. If he takes the 1st set and they are giving odds of 1.5+ to 10 it is worth a big bet. Cerundolo looks beat already. Missing that forehand due to fatigue.
Can actually bet what you like here. Only one winner.
Worrying because Musetti just drifted off and let him back in the match.
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7 minutes ago, Torque said:
Nice call on Ramos @neilovan he was clearly running on less than fumes.
Thanks,
I think Cerundolo runs into the same situation. Even if he manages to win the 1st set (which I doubt), it will still be decent to take Musetti at good odds. I think the very hot day (Wed) wiped players out, and put them in a depleted zone. Musetti had an easy win yesterday, while Cerundolo was in the red zone for 2/3rds of his match.
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looking at Malek Jaziri playing Daniel dutra de Silva. De silva donw 3-4 but if he breaks here he has the momentum. He would be 8 to 10 or so.
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1 hour ago, neilovan said:
Konteveit v Bernarda Pera should be a petty good match. Konteveit just too hit or miss for me at the moment. Seems to have no patience, and wants to blast the ball (and opponent) off the court. At this level, it won't happen consistently. Players are too good. Pera definitely improved, with a really tricky lefty forehand will give her problems. I expect a very close game here, but I think Konteveit could just blow up when things don't go her way. It takes the games out of the equation. I will take Pera outright on a small bet to win at 2.37
If Konteveit gets off to a flyer, I'll trade out and back her big to win. I'm prepared to take a big low odds bet if I see dominance and momentum.
Glad I stayed away from the over games. Pera played great. 12 straight victory's, without dropping a set.
Tennis Tips - July 25 - July 31
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted · Edited by neilovan
I was messing around looking at comparing different betting sites, and the odds they are giving. My local(SA) site is garbage pre match. They give really bad pre match odds. I looked at BETWAY and BET365 as well. So here is the interesting part. Your local site will sometimes give you lousy pre match odds! Prior to the begin of the match, they can do whatever they like to you. But a bigger site can't do that. They have to have 1 price for a global audience, so they can't manipulate it pre match.
As soon as the match starts most of the numbers (across sites) are very similar. So, when you get a lousy price locally, you have to wait for the match to begin, and then take your bet, as at this point the prices will align.
Simple example . Locally I could (but won't) take Sonego to win. My local price is 1.38, bet365 is 1.44. If I take it pre match I'm getting a difference of 13.7%. In play the numbers line up. So a way around a bad pre match price (on local site) is to wait for the match to begin and then bet.