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Bobby Vegas

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  1. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    Will also do a four fold of my most confident selections;-
    Wimbledon vs Coventry
    Blackpool vs Portsmouth
    Carlisle vs Northampton
    Forest Green vs Oldham
    Pays 69/1 with Bet365.
     
     
  2. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    As well as doing the singles above I will no doubt cover some of these in accumulators. Will probably include Mansfield who travel to Yeovil having taken their best player, Otis Khan, in the summer. Both teams should be at opposite ends of the table and the 21/20 on general for an away win is fairly accruate.
  3. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    Morecambe are normally a team I back t get relegated each year. They generally start the season well and then find themselves fihting for survival cme the end of the season. If Saturday's 6-0 loss at Crewe is anything to go by, they're not even going to start this season well. I do however think they've recruited well during the summer and whilst I dont expect them to be troubling the top of the table, I do think they could do well. I read somewhere that Jim Bentley's record as Morecambe manager since 2011 in August was something like played 38, won 19. that is some record and does back up the fact that they start seasons well. Exeter are a team in transition after Paul Tisdale's summer departure so that alone makes them an unknown in some respects. They won comfortably at the weekend but I just like Marathon's 3.38 for the home side.
  4. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    Blackpool's odds have drifted sincethe news that Gary Bowyer left as manager earlier in the week. That will be a big loss for them and is a reason why I think they will struggle against relegation this season. Along with that they've lost good players in Kyle Vassell, Clark Robertson and Colin Daniel and not replaced with the same quality. Portsmouth have kept pretty much the same team as last season and if Ronan Curtis can have an impact then I expect to see the right at the top of the table this season. By all accounts they were fortuante to win against Luton but Blackpool aren't as good as them. BetWay's 8/5 on a Pompey win is probably still on the right side of value for me.
  5. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    Other teams I like. Accrington have the potential to beat a Bristol Rovers team that hasn't improved a great deal on last season's squad. In fact the loss of Ellis Harrison to Ipswich makes them weaker. I wacthed the Accrington loss to Gillingham last week and Gillingham were well worthy of their win however, Accrington will prove a tough team to beat this season and even with the loss of Kayden Jackson, I like the look of the 7/2 on offer for them against a Bristol Rovers team that I expect to be mid table.
  6. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    Carlisle vs Northampton also sees two teams competing that I expect to be at opposite ends of the table come May. There were big changes at Carlisle in the summer with Keith Curle leaving as well as a number of decent players, a large number of these have gone to L2 teams so it shows the qualiy of these. They are another team where I struggle to see where the goals will come from.
    Northampton have kept a large number of their team from last year. I class this as a positive as I like the look of these players. They were unlucky losing to Lincoln last weekend conceding from Lincoln's only real chance. They've got options up front in Andy Williams, Kevin Van Veen and Junior Morias should make the trip. They've got an excellent midfield in John Joe O'Toole, Matt Crooks and Shaun McWilliams. McWilliams might miss out but they do have the likes of Sam Foley and Jack Bridge on the bench. Overall they have a good team and given their performance last week, I fancy them here at a best price of 2.9 with SportingBet.
  7. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    Forest Green's odds have drifted to a now best price of 2.64 (SportingBet). I think these current odds represent good value for a Foest green team that boast one of the best strike forces in the division in Reuben Reid, Christian Doidge and Dayle Grubb. They've also made some good signings in Liam Shepherd and Carl Winchester so look a far stronger team this season. They boast a far stronger team than they did in January so would expect the to be up around the play offs this season.
    Oldham on the other hand look like they are going in the other direction. I'm not sure why their odds have shortened as I cant see any transfer news about them. I actually expect them to struggle this season and wouldnt be surprised to see them in a relegation battle, largely because of their inability to score goals.
    FG come off the back of an impressive 4-1 win at Grimsby and I expect them to keep that momentum going.
     
  8. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, and SPL Predictions > Aug 11th   
    Surprised to see Wimbledon as short as they are considering they are tipped by most to have a poor season. They got a decent result at Fleetwood last weekend but it's still too early to gauge at what level Fleetwood are at under Joey Barton. Can only assume the odds are a reaction to last week's results. Personally I was expecting Coventry to be no higher than 11/5 and have already taken the 3.8 that was on offer with Marathon yesterday. You can still get 3.74 with them which imo represents good value.
  9. Haha
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from CzechPunter in UK Football Predictions > Oct 6th - 8th   
    Also Portsmouth are too short at odds on. As usual they have been priced up on name and haven’t looked to be anything special this season.
    Gillingham have been poor this season but since getting rid of Adrian Pennock have conceded just 1 goal in their last 3 games under Peter Taylor. I expect this to be a tight low scoring affair especially with Pompey missing Pitman and Chaplin.
    Hopefully that idiot with the cow bell doesn’t turn up so I can at least watch it with the sound on.
  10. Like
    Bobby Vegas reacted to doverwhite in Non-League Predictions > Sep 23rd & 24th   
    Theres a lot for me to like in this weeks NL fixtures and some to my mind some very generous odds to be had.
    Chester @ 9/4 v Maidenhead. I was at the Dover game to watch Chester get beaten 4 zip. The scoreline was somewhat flattering to Dover in what was Tom Shaws final game in charge as caretaker. One thing that really grabbed my attention, that even after the fourth goal went in Chester continued to play football right til the end, their heads never dropped and they seem a tight bunch of lads;  if they had won 1 nil as a Dover fan I would have thought a fair result on balance. 
    Maidenhead continue to defy the preseason pundits with good results against on paper against much better opposition. Losing Tarpey was a big blow, they continue to score but they also  concede a goal a game on average.
    Bignott having managed Solihull admirably in the NL and then Grimsby in L2 who were then flirting with the playoffs and he was then unceremoniously sacked?!? Bignott taking charge this week I can see them steadily climbing the table. He said in his unveiling that results need to be a priority, no s#*t. New manager effect to me is tosh, its the managers philosophy that he brings and whether the players buy into it. Shaw is still on the coaching staff and will be invaluable early on  and with  players looking to impress and with an expectant crowd Saturday I can see Chester winning this 1 or 2 nil. 
    Home win all day long. NAP
    --
    AFC Fylde v Woking @ 16/5 Since I placed the bet on Monday Woking have drifted to 4/1. To be honest I was happy enough with 16/5 and thought that was a bargain, little did I know...
    I think Fylde have found it difficult so far adapting to life in the NL, Bayliss it seems has a ton of money but has not translated that into points. They've had a couple of decent results v the so called 'bigger' teams, but its against the so called 'lesser lights' they've struggled, maybe its a case of underdog syndrome? 
    Woking last week had a morale boosting victory v Sutton. I watched the highlights and read forums and even the card fans were thankful of a lacklustre Sutton frontline, only really securing the points in the seventh minute of added time. Manager Limbrick would of looked at the season as a whole and I think would of identified this match as a potential 3 points in fighting a tough season in there own mini league. Woking to edge it. 
    Away win
    --
    Tranmere v Wrexham @ 5/1 What is going on there I wonder? Tranmere lose and I reckon the Prenton Park outfit will be looking for a new head coach.Mellon  is under immense pressure from the fans to secure promotion, and so far its not going to plan. This is the first of seven in eight matches against former League opposition. Tough times ahead or glory awaits. I think the former as Mellon according to Tranny fans doesnt know his best eleven yet alone his best formation;  442 says the faithful up north, and I agree with them, anything other and they'll get beat. 
    Wrexham are a decent shout to get promoted this year, a bit more consistently is the key here. I did think pre season they moved on alot of deadwood and recruited fairly well and this will be a damn good test of where they are at, win here and the welsh dragons could well be spitting fire & brimstone. 
    Away win. 
    Have as usual for me have gone for a ridiculous acca £1 paying out £573813.46 in the NL, retirement awaits lol
     
  11. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in UK Football Predictions > Sep 22nd - 24th   
    Shrewsbury continued their impressive early season form with another narrow victory, this time bottom team Oldham last weekend. They were somewhat fortune to nick a 2-1 win against an improving Oldham side and Oldham’s 18 shots to Shrewsbury’s 11 pays homage to this. Oldham hitting the post when it was easier to score at 1-1 meant Shrewsbury were able to hold on for their 7th win in 8 games. Interesting every single or of those wins has been by 1 goal. They’ve also conceded as many shots on their goal as they’ve had on the oppositions so whilst they are converting their chances at the moment, you have to wonder when this will catch up with them. Those stats certainly lead me to thinking that their dominance of teams isn't typical of a team with 22 points from their first 8 games. It must be noted that they’ve won all 4 at home this season with three of those being 1-0’s – the most impressive being against a strongly fancied Wigan side.
    Shrewsbury come up against a Blackburn team that has yet to get fully up and going this season. A surprising home defeat at the weekend to AFC Wimbledon saw them lose their third game in seven and end a run of 4 consecutive wins. Their away form has been good since defeat in their first game of the season at Southend and they've gone on to record impressive wins at Bradford, Rochdale and Scnuthorpe – all of which have been achieved with clean sheets – so they shouldn’t feel daunted by taking on a team with such impressive early season form. When you look behind the actual results you’d be surprised to see Shrewsbury keep up their current form and I think they’ll face a tough test against a Blackburn team that has been impressive on the road.
    Whilst I strongly fancy Blackburn to win this one, the 2.44 on offer from Marathon is probably a fair price given Shrewsbury’s very good start and good home record. I will however still be backing Blackburn to take the 3 points here in what will probably be a tight, low scoring affair.
  12. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in UK Football Predictions > Sep 22nd - 24th   
    Brentford seem too short for me being priced at a best priced 2.14 to beat Bolton away. Both teams are winless so far in the league so I’m not sure how Brentford can be priced so short. A lack of confidence for both teams has to be a factor here and Brentford are in a completely different situation to Middlesbrough who turned Bolton over a fortnight ago at a best priced 2.2. Whilst that result would have impacted on the odds offered now I don’t feel comfortable backing a team at 2.14 who have yet to win in 8.
     
    Admittedly Brentford’s performances have probably warranted a win so far whereas Bolton’s winless run is probably a fairly true reflection of their performances. They’ve failed to score in 5 of their 8 games and have only scored 2 in their last 7. In terms of shots it’s 81 vs 86 against them so the fact they’ve conceded 16 and only scored 4 shows that they’ve got problems at both ends of the pitch.
     
    I think Brentford have still got a better side and would still make them favourites but with home advantage I think the odds should be a bit closer together. I fully expect Brentford’s form to change soon but just think they are a bit too short here. Bolton are 3.6 to win with Marathon Bet but probably a more sensible bet would be to cover them with DNB @ 2.64, again with Marathon Bet.
  13. Like
    Bobby Vegas reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > Sep 23rd & 24th   
    Last Saturday saw a small profit and yet another big price Nap going in. The Nap's have certainly been performing very well so far this season. Annoyingly the Billericay bets on Sunday came unstuck which they shouldn't have because they should have been out of sight before Thamesmead scored and then Billericay went down to 10 men. It was no surprise they won the replay 5-0 on Tuesday, but no handicap betting was available. It is quite a busy week for me this week as I like bets in 8 matches.
    Chester v Maidenhead
    I am hoping to make it 3rd time lucky with Chester on Saturday. I think Chester have made a good managerial signing in Marcus Bignott who did a great job to get Solihull promoted to the National League and will have learnt plenty from his time at Grimsby in League 2. I think Chester are in a bit of a false position as I think they have a decent enough squad and I expect they will climb up the table now. They did get thumped 4-0 by Dover last week, but they didn't play too badly. The big thing for them is to get a win at home given it has been so long since they tasted success at home. I think that was down to the fact Jon McCarthy wasn't up to the job and hopefully Bignott can bring about instant change. This won't be a gimmie by any means as Alan Devonshire's Maidenhead continue to defy the odds. Even without Tarpey they have still been winning games and currently sit in 6th. I just think though that there isn't anywhere near as much difference between these two sides as their league positions or betting suggests. Marathon go 59/25 about a home win and I would make them no bigger than 6/4 shots.
    Guiseley v Dover
    Having put up Dover last Tuesday night when they drew with Barrow I was cursing not putting them up on Saturday at Wrexham so was pleased when Wrexham got that late equaliser. It was another good performance from them though since Paul Cox took over and performances have certainly improved. Only Hartlepool have beaten them at home so far and although Dover have won 4 out of 5 away games I think this will be a tougher test for them than the bookies prices suggest. Chris Kinnear has done a fine job with what is basically a brand new side this season, but I can't help but think they are a bit flattered by their league position at the moment. If Guiseley can go to Wrexham and Barrow and get draws then they have a good chance of beating Dover at home. Bet 365 are biggest about a home win at 3/1.
    Maidstone v Gateshead
    Maidstone have 18 points and 17 of them have come in their previous 8 games a run where they have had only had one defeat at Hartlepool. They have won 3 on the bounce as well and were really impressive in beating Macclesfield 4-1 last Saturday. They finished strongly last season and bar the first 3 games of this one they have carried that on this time around. They have yet to taste defeat on their 3G pitch this season and I think they can make it 4 wins on the bounce against Gateshead. The away side have yet to win on their travels this season and although they picked up draws at Ebbsfleet and Sutton they were very much 2nd best in both games. I think there is just enough in Maidstone's price of just over even money with Marathon to get involved.
    Tranmere v Wrexham
    Whatever result happens in this game the prices for the match are one of the most ludicrous set of prices I have seen. How on earth can anyone have priced up Tranmere as short as 8/15 I will never know. They are a best price of 8/13 and that stinks as well. As much as I still think Tranmere have the potential to win the league, their current form should not make them 8/13 shots to beat a Wrexham side who are 5 points in front of them in the table. In my ante-post preview I wrote how I liked the Wrexham side, but they lacked a goalscorer and that has proven to be the case as they have only scored 9 goals so far. Given the way the league is this season they might well still be able to mount a title challenge even without a proven goal scorer. How on earth they are bigger than 5/1 I don't know, but I am not going to back them in that market. Tranmere have also struggled for goals and have only scored 8 themselves. Both defences have done well as well as Wrexham have conceded 6 and Tranmere 8. Now they will probably play out a 3-3 thriller now, but those stats clearly point towards a very tight game. So I am going to back No Goalscorer which is 17/2 with Bet 365 (just in case you aren't aware if an own goal is scored then you still get paid out on this market whereas you wouldn't obviously if you backed 0-0), I am going to back a Wrexham 1-0 win which is 14/1 with Betfred and finally back Wrexham in the draw no bet market at 73/20 with Marathon.
    Kidderminster v Blyth Spartans
    Into the National League North where I have 3 bets this week. Blyth have been impressive in their first season back at this level and currently sit in 4th place in the league. They have won their last 4 league matches and their only away defeat came in their first road trip of the season to Alfreton. They have won their other 4 and although they haven't come against clubs who should be troubling the play-offs they have clearly been playing well. The home side on the other-hand have been struggling so far this season and look a fair way off the side who did so well last term. No they have only lost once at home, but this is potentially their toughest home fixture yet and Blyth are too big at 3/1 (Bet 365).
    Leamington v Bradford Park Avenue
    Bradford landed the Nap selection with ease last Saturday and I am going to make them the Nap's again this weekend. They are unbeaten in 7 in the league and that FA Cup win against Southport continued the superb run. They travel to a Leamington side who have lost all 5 of their home games so far. They struggled in the FA Cup last Saturday as well only beating Westfields with two 90th minute goals. Betway's 17/10 about an away win looks a nice price.
    Nuneaton v Southport
    It is a shame Southport aren't playing another half decent side so I could continue opposing them, but their shocking run of form continued against BPA last weekend. They were outclassed yet again and they desperately need players back. Now Nuneaton haven't won in 6 league games so they come with risk attached for sure, but they did avoid a Cup upset against a good Kings Lynn side last Saturday. A performance like that should be enough to win this and at just under 6/4 with Marathon I am prepared to back a home win.
    Billericay v Tooting & Mitcham
    As mentioned at the start the Billericay bets should have been winners on Sunday, but that is football and hopefully we can get some money back here. Against the lesser sides in the Bostik Premier Billericay have been totally dominate and scored plenty of goals. Tooting have yet to win in the league this season and have conceded 19 goals in 7 games. Billericay meanwhile have score 21. Jake Robinson continues to score for fun and it wouldn't surprise me if he gets 50 this season. They should have another comfortable afternoon here and the 19/10 with Betfred to overcome the -2 handicap looks more than fair.
    Chester 1pt @ 59/25 with Marathon
    Guiseley 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365
    Maidstone 1.5pts @ 107/100 with Marathon
    Tranmere v Wrexham 1pt no goalscorer @ 17/2 with Bet365. 0.5pts 1-0 Wrexham @ 14/1 with Betfred and 1pt Wrexham draw no bet at 73/20 with Marathon
    Blyth Spartans 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365
    Bradford Park Avenue 2pts @ 17/10 with Betway
    Nuneaton 1pt @ 6/4 with Marathon
    Billericay -2 1.5pts @ 19/10 Betfred
     
  14. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in UK Football Predictions > Sep 19th & 20th   
    If ever there was a team that could make hard work of a game where they're priced 1.3 then it is West Ham. They've got a history of struggling through these kind of games (look no further than Accrington at home last season), even at home so I wouldn't be touching them at that price - not even against the hapless Bolton. Ahead of a big derby game against Tottenham at the weekend, I'm not sure they will even field their strongest side, so at 11/1, backing Bolton at 11/1 (Bet365) could give you a run for your money despite their terrible league form.
  15. Like
    Bobby Vegas reacted to mrpudding in UK Football Predictions > Sep 15th - 17th   
    Just a few musings from a Fulham perspective for anyone looking to back us.We have had a tricky start and coupled with a tad of hangover from the play/offs means it's probably looked worse than it really is.We still make hoards of chances and convert very few,and end up hanging on at times as against Hull,(although I would not dispute they had their moments)but we were deserved winners.
    we still let in soft goals,both goalies will not come for a 6 yard cross,and we have not addressed the dominant centre half issue.Still we play lovely stuff and we should be looking to beat Burton.I was at the game at the Pirelli last season and it was a struggle to get past them.Boy are they resilient.Stefan Johansen is now firing after taking a while to get going this season and with 16 last year is always worth following in our goal scorer markets.Good luck guys.
  16. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from The Sexless Innkeeper in UK Football Predictions > Sep 15th - 17th   
    Last year’s National League Champions Lincoln have adapted a lot better to life in league 2 than Forest Green have. They currently see themselves sitting fifth in the division with 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Other than their 4-1 win over Carlisle, every game has been close with no more than a goal between all the sides. Early season favourites Mansfield haven’t been able to have everything their own way so far but their performances have been good. Whilst they’ve only won 2 matches so far, they have drawn 4. A lot of those they could have gone on to win on another day. I see this to be a very competitive fixture between two evenly matched teams and I can’t pick a winner. So given I expect it to be tight, it makes sense to go down the middle and plump for the draw although I think at 3.3 there’s probably not a huge amount of value to be had.
     
    Wycombe are overpriced for me at 3.3 (Bet365) at home to Luton. They’ve suffered 1 defeat in 7 and come into this game off the back of two consecutive away 0-0’s to Newport and Mansfield. Luton haven’t been able to carry on the form of their opening day 8-2 win against Yeovil and come into this game still without an away victory. The draws against Lincoln and Mansfield are nothing to be ashamed of and it was only a very late goal that saw them defeated at Barnet. They are however too short for me at 2.37. I expect this one to be another very tight game and think the 3.6 with Betfair for the draw definitely offers value.
     
    Swindon are perhaps a bit too short for me at a best priced 2.3. They sit mid table and are only there virtue of their good away record. Whilst they’ve won 3 games already this season, their home form has been the complete opposite. The early season draw at home to Exeter now looks good but this was followed up with a 3-0 defeat to Crawley and a 4-1 defeat to Barnet. Stevenage come into the game sitting seventh in the table and undefeated away from home so far this season. I’m not sure they’ve played the toughest of opponents so far but their undeafted away form has seen them come away with 2 wins and a draw. Swindon are too good to go much longer without a home win but I think Stevenage could make this another difficult game and could be a bit shorter than the current best price of 3.34 with Marathon.
     
    I can’t believe that Exeter will go off at anything longer than the evens they are currently at - they should be significantly shorter than this. They’ve carried their impressive form from last season into this season and a late winner at Barnet on Tuesday night saw them to their sixth win in seven and 3 points clear at the top. Crewe currently sit outside the play offs in tenth place but have been helped by 5 of their 7 games being at home so far. On the road they did manage a 1-0 victory at rivals Port Vale but were on the other end of the same score line against Grimsby. A win here for Crewe would put them in with the early pace setters and I’m not quite sure performances have merited that. Therefore I think Exeter are good value here at evens with SkyBet and Betfair.
  17. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in UK Football Predictions > Sep 15th - 17th   
    Fulham have had an unbelievably hard start to the season. Their first 4 games saw them up against, excluding themselves and the promoted teams, the top four teams from the previous season. The next two games weren’t much easier against in form teams Ipswich and Cardiff. These were then followed by Hull’s visit last night. So it’s hardly surprising that they’re not currently sat in the play-off places. Whilst they’ve drawn four games so far, they’ve only lost one and performances have been good. Their fixtures now get a bit easier so I think we’ll start to see them move up the table in the next few weeks. I think that surge up the table begins this weekend with a visit to a struggling Burton side.
     
    Burton sit just outside the relegation zone largely because of their home victory over Birmingham. They did brilliantly last season to survive but just seem to have lost something this year. A good example of this is the amount of shots they’ve had and conceded. After 7 games this season they’ve had 44 shots but have had a hefty 134 on their own goal. Compare this to the same stage last season, they’d had 96 shots and only conceded 89.
     
    I like to root for the underdog but it seems as if Burton may well find themselves this season’s Rotherham. They found themselves well adrift from anyone last year and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the same happen here to Burton. So with that comparison in mind, I look at the kind of odds that were offered for teams away to Rotherham last season. When Fulham played them in April, you could only get them at a best priced 1.44. Rotherham were well and truly gone by then but I think it gives a good indication that the 1.91 on offer for Fulham won’t hang around for long.
     
    I’m not a hug fan of backing away teams at quite so short odds but think there is still value in this price at the moment.
     
    6pts Fulham to win @ 1.91 with Betway, Sporting Bet and Ladbrokes (boosted)
  18. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in UK Football Predictions > Sep 15th - 17th   
    Last year’s National League Champions Lincoln have adapted a lot better to life in league 2 than Forest Green have. They currently see themselves sitting fifth in the division with 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Other than their 4-1 win over Carlisle, every game has been close with no more than a goal between all the sides. Early season favourites Mansfield haven’t been able to have everything their own way so far but their performances have been good. Whilst they’ve only won 2 matches so far, they have drawn 4. A lot of those they could have gone on to win on another day. I see this to be a very competitive fixture between two evenly matched teams and I can’t pick a winner. So given I expect it to be tight, it makes sense to go down the middle and plump for the draw although I think at 3.3 there’s probably not a huge amount of value to be had.
     
    Wycombe are overpriced for me at 3.3 (Bet365) at home to Luton. They’ve suffered 1 defeat in 7 and come into this game off the back of two consecutive away 0-0’s to Newport and Mansfield. Luton haven’t been able to carry on the form of their opening day 8-2 win against Yeovil and come into this game still without an away victory. The draws against Lincoln and Mansfield are nothing to be ashamed of and it was only a very late goal that saw them defeated at Barnet. They are however too short for me at 2.37. I expect this one to be another very tight game and think the 3.6 with Betfair for the draw definitely offers value.
     
    Swindon are perhaps a bit too short for me at a best priced 2.3. They sit mid table and are only there virtue of their good away record. Whilst they’ve won 3 games already this season, their home form has been the complete opposite. The early season draw at home to Exeter now looks good but this was followed up with a 3-0 defeat to Crawley and a 4-1 defeat to Barnet. Stevenage come into the game sitting seventh in the table and undefeated away from home so far this season. I’m not sure they’ve played the toughest of opponents so far but their undeafted away form has seen them come away with 2 wins and a draw. Swindon are too good to go much longer without a home win but I think Stevenage could make this another difficult game and could be a bit shorter than the current best price of 3.34 with Marathon.
     
    I can’t believe that Exeter will go off at anything longer than the evens they are currently at - they should be significantly shorter than this. They’ve carried their impressive form from last season into this season and a late winner at Barnet on Tuesday night saw them to their sixth win in seven and 3 points clear at the top. Crewe currently sit outside the play offs in tenth place but have been helped by 5 of their 7 games being at home so far. On the road they did manage a 1-0 victory at rivals Port Vale but were on the other end of the same score line against Grimsby. A win here for Crewe would put them in with the early pace setters and I’m not quite sure performances have merited that. Therefore I think Exeter are good value here at evens with SkyBet and Betfair.
  19. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Champions League Predictions > Sep 12th & 13th   
    I like the look of Celtic at 14/1. I have to admit though I can remember them beating Barcelona a few years back and somehow had it in my head that they had a few other notable scalps as well. They don't really though other than a 3-3 last year against Man City.
    There is no comparison between these teams so in reality this should be a walk over for PSG similar to most of their league games. The difference here though is that they don't experience the atmosphere of a Champions League night at Celtic Park every week. They definitely act as the 12th man.
    Celtic have confidence from an impressive period under Brendan Rogers. Don't get me wrong I expect PSG to win here but if they don't perform to their best they might find this tie more difficult than the odds suggest.
    2pts Celtic win @ 14/1 Bet365
  20. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from JJG in Champions League Predictions > Sep 12th & 13th   
    I like the look of Celtic at 14/1. I have to admit though I can remember them beating Barcelona a few years back and somehow had it in my head that they had a few other notable scalps as well. They don't really though other than a 3-3 last year against Man City.
    There is no comparison between these teams so in reality this should be a walk over for PSG similar to most of their league games. The difference here though is that they don't experience the atmosphere of a Champions League night at Celtic Park every week. They definitely act as the 12th man.
    Celtic have confidence from an impressive period under Brendan Rogers. Don't get me wrong I expect PSG to win here but if they don't perform to their best they might find this tie more difficult than the odds suggest.
    2pts Celtic win @ 14/1 Bet365
  21. Thanks
    Bobby Vegas reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > Sep 11th - 13th   
    Well tonight couldn't have gone any better. Let's hope tomorrow is just as good.
  22. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in UK Football Predictions > Sep 8th & 9th   
    There’s quite a lot I like the look of this weekend in the EFL so will try and narrow my bets down later tonight. I’ll start with Championship and will try and add my comments on the other divisions if I get time.   Just one win so far, in five games, and 12 goals conceded has meant it’s not been the easiest of starts for Daniel Farke at Norwich. It can only be the fact that they are playing Birmingham that they are 1.91 to win this one. Birmingham’s performances have probably been a bit better than their results though and they will be thinking they could have had a few more points on the board. They’ve made a few new singings including the impressive Jota from Brentford and with Redknapp in charge I like the look of them at 4.5 with Bet365.   QPR have had tough fixtures so far and have pitted themselves well taking 7 points from their 5 games. Ipswich stormed out of the blocks winning 4 of their first 5 games. They had their pants pulled down last time out against Fulham but have goals in them. They’re currently carrying a few injuries but I like them at odds of 4.2 with Bet365.   Bolton are winless in 5 games and in truth, probably haven’t deserved much better. Early season favourites Middlesbrough haven’t had everything their own way so far but should have too much for Bolton here. I don’t think I like them quite as short away from home so may leave them at a best price of 2.1 with BetVictor.   Wolves have impressed so far this season and good wins against Middlesbrough, Derby, Hull (and Southampton in the cup) have seen them storm up the table. I’d probably expect them to continue the good form in front of their home fans. Opponents Millwall have only had 1 win so far (an impressive 4-0 win vs Norwich) but this disguises the fact that performances have been good. They should probably have more points on the board and I’ll watch this one with interest for future betting opportunities on them.   Final potential one for me in the Championship sees the impressive attacking talent of Sheffield Wednesday take on Nottm Forest in the late kick off. Despite an embarrassment of riches up front, they haven’t scored more than once in any of their five games. This will no doubt change here against a Forest outfit whose performances probably haven’t been as good as their 3 wins would probably suggest. Despite this though, Forest are 4.85 to win this one with Marathon Bet and I could be tempted because of Wednesday’s early struggles in front of goal and the fact Forest have still managed 3 wins without playing particularly brilliantly.
  23. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from Puntermk in UK Football Predictions > Sep 8th & 9th   
    There’s quite a lot I like the look of this weekend in the EFL so will try and narrow my bets down later tonight. I’ll start with Championship and will try and add my comments on the other divisions if I get time.   Just one win so far, in five games, and 12 goals conceded has meant it’s not been the easiest of starts for Daniel Farke at Norwich. It can only be the fact that they are playing Birmingham that they are 1.91 to win this one. Birmingham’s performances have probably been a bit better than their results though and they will be thinking they could have had a few more points on the board. They’ve made a few new singings including the impressive Jota from Brentford and with Redknapp in charge I like the look of them at 4.5 with Bet365.   QPR have had tough fixtures so far and have pitted themselves well taking 7 points from their 5 games. Ipswich stormed out of the blocks winning 4 of their first 5 games. They had their pants pulled down last time out against Fulham but have goals in them. They’re currently carrying a few injuries but I like them at odds of 4.2 with Bet365.   Bolton are winless in 5 games and in truth, probably haven’t deserved much better. Early season favourites Middlesbrough haven’t had everything their own way so far but should have too much for Bolton here. I don’t think I like them quite as short away from home so may leave them at a best price of 2.1 with BetVictor.   Wolves have impressed so far this season and good wins against Middlesbrough, Derby, Hull (and Southampton in the cup) have seen them storm up the table. I’d probably expect them to continue the good form in front of their home fans. Opponents Millwall have only had 1 win so far (an impressive 4-0 win vs Norwich) but this disguises the fact that performances have been good. They should probably have more points on the board and I’ll watch this one with interest for future betting opportunities on them.   Final potential one for me in the Championship sees the impressive attacking talent of Sheffield Wednesday take on Nottm Forest in the late kick off. Despite an embarrassment of riches up front, they haven’t scored more than once in any of their five games. This will no doubt change here against a Forest outfit whose performances probably haven’t been as good as their 3 wins would probably suggest. Despite this though, Forest are 4.85 to win this one with Marathon Bet and I could be tempted because of Wednesday’s early struggles in front of goal and the fact Forest have still managed 3 wins without playing particularly brilliantly.
  24. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in UK Football Predictions > Sep 8th & 9th   
    There’s quite a lot I like the look of this weekend in the EFL so will try and narrow my bets down later tonight. I’ll start with Championship and will try and add my comments on the other divisions if I get time.   Just one win so far, in five games, and 12 goals conceded has meant it’s not been the easiest of starts for Daniel Farke at Norwich. It can only be the fact that they are playing Birmingham that they are 1.91 to win this one. Birmingham’s performances have probably been a bit better than their results though and they will be thinking they could have had a few more points on the board. They’ve made a few new singings including the impressive Jota from Brentford and with Redknapp in charge I like the look of them at 4.5 with Bet365.   QPR have had tough fixtures so far and have pitted themselves well taking 7 points from their 5 games. Ipswich stormed out of the blocks winning 4 of their first 5 games. They had their pants pulled down last time out against Fulham but have goals in them. They’re currently carrying a few injuries but I like them at odds of 4.2 with Bet365.   Bolton are winless in 5 games and in truth, probably haven’t deserved much better. Early season favourites Middlesbrough haven’t had everything their own way so far but should have too much for Bolton here. I don’t think I like them quite as short away from home so may leave them at a best price of 2.1 with BetVictor.   Wolves have impressed so far this season and good wins against Middlesbrough, Derby, Hull (and Southampton in the cup) have seen them storm up the table. I’d probably expect them to continue the good form in front of their home fans. Opponents Millwall have only had 1 win so far (an impressive 4-0 win vs Norwich) but this disguises the fact that performances have been good. They should probably have more points on the board and I’ll watch this one with interest for future betting opportunities on them.   Final potential one for me in the Championship sees the impressive attacking talent of Sheffield Wednesday take on Nottm Forest in the late kick off. Despite an embarrassment of riches up front, they haven’t scored more than once in any of their five games. This will no doubt change here against a Forest outfit whose performances probably haven’t been as good as their 3 wins would probably suggest. Despite this though, Forest are 4.85 to win this one with Marathon Bet and I could be tempted because of Wednesday’s early struggles in front of goal and the fact Forest have still managed 3 wins without playing particularly brilliantly.
  25. Like
    Bobby Vegas got a reaction from CzechPunter in UK Football Predictions > Aug 29th - Sep 3rd   
    Not a great deal I fancy this week so will have a go at a small treble instead.
    I fancy Charlton to beat an Oldham side that are still struggling to score goals but 2.1 doesn't represent value IMO so won't do it as a single.
    Morecambe tend to get off to good starts to the season then fade off badly. They're already looking like they are playing as if it's the second half of the season so I think I'll back an Accrington team that I fancy to do well this season. Difficult to judge whether 2.25 is value after so few games so won't be doing this as a single either.
    Lastly I'm backing my own team which means this accumulator is doomed to fail. Gillingham have yet to win in the league but all 4 games so far have been close. I expect that win to come soon and I like the 2.8 on offer for a Gills win against a Shrewsbury team I think is over performing.
    Using Betfairs Acca Edge so having 2pts on a treble at 9.13.
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