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Fedar

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Posts posted by Fedar

  1. Re: Group H - Belgium v Algeria > Tuesday June 17th Belgium are not over-estimated: in fact they are one of the most balanced and top quality teams in the whole tournament, having world class and in-form players at nearly each position. I have been left with the impression in the qualifiers that they control the game pretty well with good possession and stable defense (almost non-vulnerable on counter-attacks). But they don't attack so intensely and rarely win with big margins. Algeria is a decent team, but still nothing special, when they play away from their hot-tempered fans in Algeria. They will surely be more negative today and try to hold the Belgians as long as possible, and Algeria will take a draw with Belgium without hesitation. All in all, I don't think Belgium will miss the opportunity to win and I think the class gap is huge enough in this match. However, I am not touching the handicap, as Belgium are not very prolific and often they prefer to kill of the game tempo after taking the lead, instead of pushing all the way like the Germans would do. Therefore, I am going for the goal market, as I believe the Belgium defense is very solid and Algeria will be as negative as possible. Under 3 @ 1.78 (Marathon) World Cup 2014 Stats: 6Bets, 6 Wins, 0 Losses + 6.51 Units (1 Unit per bet)

  2. Re: Group H - Belgium v Algeria > Tuesday June 17th

    One thing to keep in mind is that Belo Horizonte has an altitude of 827m. Belguim is mostly a low-lying country and players could be affected by the high altitude.
    Around 90% of the population of Algeria is along the coastline, hence, at around 0 altitude. Anyway, 800 is not that much, actually it is above 1,800 when the altitude starts to take some toll, so it shouldn't matter so much.
  3. Re: Group G - Ghana v USA > Monday June 16th I have to disagree with the pro-Ghana sentiment. I do respect them a lot for their class and attractive football (tiki-taka style), but I think they are equal with USA in terms of quality, while the Americans certainly have upper hand when considering team spirit and tactical advantage (more mature tactically team and as in every sport - Americans always fight till the end and show the best sports ethics). The US had excellent campaign and they topped very easily a group with Mexico and Costa Rica. The Americans achieved 7 wins out of 10 games - losing only in the extra humid and hot conditions of Honduras and Costa Rica. In recent friendlies they defeated Nigeria and Turkey and showed some good football. They are pressing very fiercely, covering a lot for each other when defending, quickly transforming from defense to attack. Last year in friendlies the US achieved some amazing results: 4:3 over Germany, 4:3 over Bosnia in Sarajevo, 2:2 in Krasnodar with Russia. The Americans have balanced team and they have some very good options on the bench to surprise the Ghanians or to turn the game around - one of the best attackers in Eredivisie- Aron Johanson, experienced forward Chris wondolowski, an excellent midfielder like Graham Zusi... I would price the two teams equally with a little advantage for the USA. USA +0.25 @ 1.83 (SBO)

  4. Re: Group F - Iran v Nigeria > Monday June 16th

    Iran or Draw @ 2.10 (Marathon)
    The worst game of the Mondial, but bet won relatively easy. Nigeria was the better team, but they lacked any urgency or penetration as in almost all of their games in the last two years. Iran are nothing but a negative bus parkers, but it is enough against slow and tactically incapable teams like Nigeria. World Cup 2014 Stats: 5 Bets, 5 Wins, 0 Losses + 5.68 Units (1 Unit per bet)
  5. Re: Group F - Iran v Nigeria > Monday June 16th Never really liked this Nigeria team. On paper they should be favorites, but in fact they haven't been playing well for a long time. In the qualifiers they were in an easy group with Kenya, Malawi and Namibia. Nigeria drew 3 of their 6 games and managed to score more than once only in the home game against poor Malawi - 2:0. Later, in the play-off they met Ethiopia - a team who was considered the surprise in Africa, but still one of the underdogs in the continent and the most desired opponent for the playoff. Nigeria won very luckily in Addis Abbaba after Nigerians came from behind in the last 20 minutes of the game after very poor mistakes of the home goal-keeper. Nigeria didn't win any of their 3 pre-World Cup friendlies, drawing twice - with Scotland and Greece, and losing to US. I saw two of these games, and I was virtually unimpressed with the Nigerians. They seem to lack cohesion, play slow football and don't seem to press enough. There are also infos that Nigerians have conflict with their federation about the premium for the World Cup, so supposedly the climate in the dressing room is not perfect. Their coach Stephen Keshi has no experience outside Africa, and has made some controversial decisions in the last two years (like playing some local players instead of European based stars). Iran are nothing special - a typical side which plays negative football, but can defend relatively well. Their coach is Carlos Queiroz - also not famed for his attacking football. Their key danger will be winger Dejagah. I don't consider Iran better than Nigeria, but I think they are similar in quality, or probably just a little worse, but they should have more organized squad and better collective, as their coach is much more experienced, there are no reports for bad climate in the dressing room, and generally they are tactically disciplined unlike most African teams. These factors should make it hard for Nigeria to be such a strong favorite, so I consider Iran or Draw a very good option. Iran or Draw @ 2.10 (Marathon)

  6. Re: Group F - Argentina v Bosnia-Herzegovina > Sunday June 15th

    Bosnian Team isnt Honduras. You watched them against Ivorians or Mexiko? Bet you didnt. Argentina beat them 2:0 in friendly in January, when Bosnian team was totally out of form, and even then Bosnian team had many chances, they certainly are going to score here, and I wouldnt be putting any money that Argentina can win by more than 1 goal difference.
    I did watch this friendly, it was in November, not January. And I don't know what u mean by "Bosnia was totally out of form" - it was just after they already qualified for the World Cup and they didn't seem to be out of form in their group. Anyway, it was Argentina without Messi, Lavezzi and Higuain against full-strength Bosnia. Argentina was completely dominant throughout the whole game, even though the Gauchos were more easy-going and didn't play at maximum effort. The quality gap seemed huge. Bosnia can threaten Argentina, because they are good when going forward, but their defense is simply not capable of dealing well with the Argentinian attack. Their will be goals in this match as Bosnia is a positive team who doesn't park the bus. Argentina&Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
  7. Re: Group E - France v Honduras > Sunday June 15th

    So are the Costa Ricans, lol. What I meant is these Central/South American sides are used to the humidity. Used to live in Central America for 2 years so I know what the climate is like there. Try being smart somewhere else. Later
    He was right to correct you - generally, South American sides are considered much better than Central American teams (with the exception of Mexico and USA). And France-Honduras play in Porto Alegre, where the temperature for tonight is expected to be 16 degrees Celcius and humidity - 87% (in PAris it will be 91% tonight). So, your arguments are not valid and correct.
  8. Re: Group E - France v Honduras > Sunday June 15th I agree with the overall sentiment - France should win easily here. Honduras is not Costa Rica and what I have seen from them so far is primitive football - defend with 11 men, play dirty defending and up-front rely on long balls towards Costly and Bengston. France should have too much for them and I expect them to completely control the middle of the field with the likes of Cabaye, Pogba and Matuidi - all of them with excellent physique to counter the rude play of Honduras, but also far superior technically than their rivals. Up-front Griezman should be able to constantly cut Honduras defense apart with his pace and Giroud and Benzema, despite not in their best form, are still world class players. France -1.5 @ 1.90 for me.

  9. Re: Group A - Mexico v Cameroon > Friday June 13th Mexico have had a turbulent campaign, whereas they were on the verge of being eliminated sensationally, when only an extra time goal from US in Panama salvaged Mexico and threw Panama out of World Cup. Mexico changed 4 coaches only within the last year. They suffer from inability to score goals as they failed to score in 5 of their 10 matches in the CONCACAF hexagonal and they scored more than 1 goal only twice. In the recent friendlies, they failed to score in their last two friendlies (Portugal and Bosnia), but scored 3 goals against both Ecuador and Israel. Mexico plays with 5-3-2 with much emphasis on the defense. They have a very balanced team with 17-18 players challenging for a starting place and just several players who are considered firm starters. Although they have many problems scoring goals, in attack they have a rich choice among experienced scorer Oribe Peralta, Man United's Chicarito, Villareal's Dos Santos and one of the best youth talents in America - Raul Jimenez. The main reason why Mexico struggles in attack is that their midfield provides little creativity and dynamics which often makes the star players in Mexico's attack being isolated. Cameroon also had a difficult campaign, marked by inability to score goals. They were lucky in the group stage to get awarded administratively 3 points against Togo (in a game they actually lost on the pitch), otherwise, they might have failed to qualify for the play-offs. Nevertheless, the Indominable Lions were very convincing in the play-offs where they crushed Tunisia. Cameroon normally plays with 4-3-3. They resemble Mexico in the way the struggle to score goals, despite that they have a number of great attackers: experienced Eto'o and Webo, Bundesliga's Choupo Moting and one of the best strikers of French Liga I - Aboubakar. Cameroon's weak point is also the less productive midfield, dominated by players with primarily defensive functions like Mbia and Alex Song. In defense, Cameroon has a number of high quality players, nevertheless, I question a bit their defensive performances, as they conceded some very easy goals in recent friendlies (5 from Portugal and 2 from Paraguay's reserves). Another problem for Cameroon might be the bad microclimate inside the dressing room. All in all, I favor slightly Mexico as they look like more balanced and more stable defensively side. However, at 2.20 they are probably priced correctly. Therefore, I prefer to follow the goal market, as I believe this won't be an entertaining game but rather a tactical battle between two physical sides with less creative midfields. A draw won't be bad result for either team as their main goal will not to lose the opening match, which could put them in almost impossible situation to qualify as they will face Brazil and Croatia, being already 3 points behind the qualification spots. Moreover, the humidity in Natal can play important role and affect the tempo of the game. Under 2 @ 2.05 (Marathon)

  10. Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th

    I kind of "stole" this from another forum, but I think the tip is worth trying: 1st corner before 9th minute @ 1.83 (bet365) Itshould be aggressive start for Brazil, pushed by the crowd, and Croatia will try to soak up the pressure, by sitting deep. Brazil with plenty of pace on the flanks, so definitely there will be good conditions for corner in the first minutes. I believe that this bet will be a winner in more than 60-65% of the cases, so I take this price.
    1st corner in 8th minute - hence, bet won. But it was not a very good choice, as Brazil were too static in the openning minutes and preferred to pass the ball among the back four.
  11. Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th

    I kind of "stole" this from another forum, but I think the tip is worth trying: 1st corner before 9th minute @ 1.83 (bet365) Itshould be aggressive start for Brazil, pushed by the crowd, and Croatia will try to soak up the pressure, by sitting deep. Brazil with plenty of pace on the flanks, so definitely there will be good conditions for corner in the first minutes. I believe that this bet will be a winner in more than 60-65% of the cases, so I take this price.
    Note that actually the bet says: 1st corner before 9:00 minute This is actually even better, because it means one minute more - it means that 9 complete minutes (9x60 seconds) are available for a corner, while if it was "before 9th minute", it should have been before 8:00 (as 9th minute starts in 8:01).
  12. Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th I kind of "stole" this from another forum, but I think the tip is worth trying: 1st corner before 9th minute @ 1.83 (bet365) Itshould be aggressive start for Brazil, pushed by the crowd, and Croatia will try to soak up the pressure, by sitting deep. Brazil with plenty of pace on the flanks, so definitely there will be good conditions for corner in the first minutes. I believe that this bet will be a winner in more than 60-65% of the cases, so I take this price.

  13. Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th

    Both teams are keen to hold possesion, but Croatia will definately be overmatched here.
    Brazil should have more possession, indeed, but I don't think their midfield will dominate heavily. In fact, Modric-Rakitic is, imo, a center midfield pair which is more technical and good in possession than Ramirez-Fernandinho or whatever couple Scolari comes up with. It remains to be seen whether Niko Kovac will use this pair or will prefer to play Rakitic on the wing as he did in many qualifiers. The latter will be a mistake, because Rakitic is much more functional in the centre of the pitch when he takes up the ball deep in his own half and makes the build up of Croatia attacks. It remains to be seen what formation Croatia will use. In the qualifiers, they alternated between several different formations. Against easier teams and in home games, they chose 4-4-2. Highly unlikely to use it against Brazil. In most of the derby games, Croatia played with 4-2-3-1, which is probably the most likely formation for tonight. But in some matches, they chose the ultra-defensive 5-4-1, and I wouldn't be surprised if they play like this tonight, which is additional argument for under backers.
  14. Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th

    In Neymar' date=' they have one of the most deadly finishers in international football[/quote'] Are you sure about that?! After watching him for one whole season in Barca and in quite a lot friendlies of Brazil, I would say he is a good striker, but definitely not among the best and most clinical in the world. He is Alexis Sanchez level at the moment, anything else is just media hype. I watched each friendly of Brazil in the last two years and they almost never really impressed me. And these friendlies had value of official games for them, as they didn't hold any official matches (the last coach was fired for bad results in friendlies). Brazil struggles a lot against compact and well organized defensively team, who can keep calm possession in midfield and organize fast counters. Last year at Wembley Russia completely outplayed Brazil, leaving then with no space and no chance to penetrate the well organized Russian defense - only a lucky strike in the last minutes gave Brazil the draw after Russia had taken the lead. England also outplayed entirely and defeated Brazil with 2:1 by standing deep and hitting them on the counter. And in all honesty, this team of England is no better than Croatia. Serbia last Friday was better than Brazil for long periods of the match. And Serbia very much resembles Croatia in team's style and quality. It will be a very tough test for Brazil and I will strongly disagree with the expectations for easy win by a handicap. I guess Brazil will sneak the win eventually, but these prices are not appealing, and I would prefer live betting.
  15. Re: Boliviano Primera Division 2013-2014 Relegation Play-off in Bolivia between: Aurora and Petrolero Yacuiba. The first leg in Yacuiba finished 0-0. The system in Bolivia is very strange, as not only they have Clausura and Apertura (typical for most South American countries), but they determine the relegation teams by compiling so-called relegation table, which calculates the ratio of points won to matches played within the last two years (two Aperturas and two Clausuras). Because of this, we have the paradox, that one of best performing team in Bolivia this season - Aurora - which finished at 6th place and qualified for Copa Sudamericana - is playing in this relegation play-off because of their poor performance in previous seasons. Aurora is in formidable form at home, having won 8 of the last 9 games, including wins over the local super-powers Bolivar and San Jose. They play in Cochabamba in Central Bolivia at 2550m altitude. Their opponent Yacuiba comes from a town near the border with Argentina, which has the tremendous disadvantage in footballing terms to be situated at only 650m altitude. So, Yacuiba will not only have the disadvantage to play at high altitude in Cochabamba, but they will also have to play for promotion not against some of the weakest teams in Bolivian LPFB, but actually against one of the best performing teams this year. I think that the visitors missed their chance in the first game, when they had to build some advantage at home soil, and now they won't have many arguments in Cochabamba. Aurora -1 @ 1.73

  16. Re: International Friendlies 1st June - 11th June Fluminense - Italy I don't see this as being a high scoring and high pace game. Fluminense are a team, known for their low-scoring and tight games in Brazilian Serie A, and tonight they will be without their key striker Fred. Italy, on the other hand, never had reputation of easily scoring or conceding, especially in friendlies. I expect a very low training tempo, whereas the ball will spend most of the time being passed around in each teams' own half. We have seen such attitudes in almost all "last" friendlies of the teams participating in the WC. No reason to believe it will be different tonight, especially given that Italy will give rest to some of its key players. None of the teams would risk injury or extra fatigue - Italy is just days before their debut game in Brazil and Fluminense are amidst a long and hard season in Serie A. Under 2 @ 2.42 (Marathon)

  17. Re: Liga Adelante > June 7th & 8th Murcia - Real Madrid B 1-0 Bet lost.Very sad, as the score was opened early in the game - 15th minute. Still, probably there was value in this price of 1.95, because very good chances were missed by both sides, especially in the second half, so I believe that more often than not this game would have gone over 2.5. Unfortunately, Murcia scored the first goal, and after that they could physically out-fight the more technical but younger and less physically built-up opponents. They were also helped by the field, which was in terrible condition and disrupted Real's fast game. Still, I think that had Real managed to open the score or had they managed to equalize, then this would have almost certainly be over 2.5.

  18. Re: International Friendlies 1st June - 11th June

    How poor is this engeland side? If you can't beat honduras over 90 minutes than you have some serious problems to solve. Even half an hour against 10 men lol.. Really no clue who will advance in their group' date=' seems like a lottery to me.[/quote'] They are very poor and I think they won't advance from the group. In the midfield they look completely clueless (hopefully Roy will decide to play with Barkley, because he is in the only guy in the middle with some out-of-the-box thinking, otherwise England is so one-dimensional). Rooney is non-existent, while Sturridge and Wellback look more lively, but have very bad decision making in most of the cases. The fullbacks are poor, especially Glen Johnson - a complete liability and a waste of football.
  19. Re: Liga Adelante > June 7th & 8th

    Thanks Fedar - I didn't know about h2h being the tie-breaker - the wiki page also states this. But their league table is wrong because they have Jaen BELOW Alaves - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013%E2%80%9314_Segunda_Divisi%C3%B3n Another vital game for both sides I think is Jaen v Alaves, where both will probably be desparate to win to escape relegation.
    The table is correct. According to the rules, the H2H becomes a tie-breaking criteria only as soon as the the season is over. So, until round 41 is played, it is the goal difference criteria for the temporary table. As soon as round 42 is over, it is the H2H that determines the ultimate table. P.S. I think now it is all over Europe the H2H as tie-breaking criteria with only UK as exception.
  20. Re: Liga Adelante > June 7th & 8th Murcia - Real Madrid B Last round of Segunda and we got a similar situation to last week: two teams, which need vitally to win - one for promotion play-offs and one for avoiding relegation - facing each other. Real Madrid is 18th, which is a safe place, but they are just 1 point ahead of the next three teams in the table - Jaen, Girona and Alaves: [TABLE=class: stats-table stats-main table-1 has-upcoming-matches] [TR=class: even glib-participant-fyNss8GQ] [TD=class: rank col_rank no]18.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Real Madrid B[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]13[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]10[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]18[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]49:55[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]49[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: odd glib-participant-zssYlsNI] [TD=class: rank col_rank no r1]19.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Jaen[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]12[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]12[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]17[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]41:46[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]48[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: even glib-participant-nNNpcUSL] [TD=class: rank col_rank no r1]20.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Girona[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]11[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]15[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]15[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]49:49[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]48[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: odd glib-participant-hxt57t2q] [TD=class: rank col_rank no r1]21.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Alaves[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]12[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]12[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]17[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]54:55[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]48[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: even glib-participant-EgDgrOO2] [TD=class: rank col_rank no r1]22.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Hercules[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]11[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]12[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]18[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]44:60[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]45[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] If one of the teams above wins 3 points tonight and Real fails to win Murcia, then Real B is going down. The chances that one among Girona, Alaves and Jaen earns 3 points are 90%, because Alaves and Jaen meet each other, while Girona meets at home already promoted Deportivo. Murcia is fighting for promotion play-offs, whereas they are competing for one out of four available spots (Barcelona B - currently highest qualified among promotion playoffs team - is not eligible to promote). Murcia is best ranked (excluding Barca B) with 62 points, trailed by Gijon - 61, Las Palmas, Cordoba and Huelva - 60 each. [TABLE=class: stats-table stats-main table-1 has-upcoming-matches] [TR=class: even glib-participant-YqQG18wC] [TD=class: rank col_rank no q3]4.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Murcia[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]15[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]17[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]9[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]54:44[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]62[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: odd glib-participant-69w4Rb2d] [TD=class: rank col_rank no q3]5.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Gijon[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]15[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]16[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]10[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]60:51[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]61[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: even glib-participant-IyRQC2vM] [TD=class: rank col_rank no q3]6.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Las Palmas[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]17[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]9[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]15[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]48:48[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]60[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: odd glib-participant-CWuejruc] [TD=class: rank col_rank no]7.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Cordoba[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]16[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]12[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]13[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]46:43[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]60[/TD] [TD=class: form col_form] [/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: even glib-participant-WKZPjAgg] [TD=class: rank col_rank no]8.[/TD] [TD=class: participant_name col_participant_name col_name]Recreativo Huelva[/TD] [TD=class: matches col_matches]41[/TD] [TD=class: wins col_wins]16[/TD] [TD=class: draws col_draws]12[/TD] [TD=class: losses col_losses]13[/TD] [TD=class: goals col_goals]53:53[/TD] [TD=class: points col_points]60[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] The tie-breaking criteria is H2H, and Murcia has worse H2H in comparison to all three teams with 60 points. Gijon, Cordoba and Las Palmas play at home, while Huelva visits an unmotivated Sabadell, so it is not unlikely that all 4 teams win their games, putting Murcia in a must-win situation. In any case, Real B will be chasing 3 points with all their force, which should be leaving enough space and create good dynamics of the game. One may also consider taking in-live betting here, as most likely in the beginning both teams will be cautious, as they will be waiting for the development in the other games. As soon as somebody among Girona, Jaen or Alaves takes the lead, Real Madrid B will surely open up. Over 2.5 = 1.95 @ SBO

  21. Re: International Friendlies 1st June - 7th June

    So they are the opposite opponent to NI. They will try and "play" vs Chile and I just think when the Socceroos present spaces for the Chileans they will keep getting in behind us. Australia coach likes to promote his full backs too which could be disastrous. So the prospect of playing this way vs superior opposition equates to suicide in my eyes.
    Also, I remember I was analyzing some socceroos WC qualifiers games last summer and I find out they have one of the oldest squad in international football - around 75% of the guys were above 30 and they had many players above 33-34. Should be a huge disadvantage for them against fast Chileans and in Brazil.
  22. Re: International Friendlies 1st June - 7th June

    Japan - Zambia While I don't fancy much Asian and African teams in friendly matches, Samurai Blue should be able to win this. They have a better team, are preparing for the WC and the price is decent for Japan to win 1.53. A few days ago they beat Costa Rica 3-1. Herve Renard's days as coach of Zambia are over, so too are the good days for this national team. They have lost their last 4 friendlies with non-African opposition.
    This is not a good value IMO. I watched Japan against Costa Rica. They are playing very cool football, I even call them "Brazilians of Asia" because of their beautiful speedy combinations and fast movement off the ball. However, they are not a very practical team as their finishing is simply pathetic and their defense is vulnerable. Against Costa Rica and against Cyprus a few weeks ago, the finishing skills of the Japanese team were terrible as they simply couldn't hit properly the ball on the target from clear striking positions. Also they looked very shaky in the back. Keep in mind that African teams also tend to play unconventionally aggressive and physical football for friendly games. I don't know for sure about Zambia, but I saw Senegal vs Colombia and Niger vs Ukraine, and some of the tackling of the African teams was atrocious and unheard of in friendly games. If Zambia plays like this, I can imagine the Japanese not taking too much risks to get injured and rather playing low tempo possession football than their fast combos.
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