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Xtc12

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  1. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Big Race Trends - Sat Feb 10th   
  2. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Big Race Trends - Sat Feb 10th   
    Newbury 1.50
    12/13 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before (3,8)
    11/13 – Had run within the last 9 weeks  (1,2,5,6)
    10/13 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before  
    9/13 – Aged 7 or younger  (7)
     
    Bastien 1 Pt ew @ 7\1 Coral 
    Newbury 3.35
    This was a bit harder to seperate.
    15/15 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight  (1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
    14/15 – Aged 7 or younger  (8,12,15,17)
    13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out   (11,18,19,22,23)
    13/15 – Rated 130 or higher   (24)
    12/15 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before   (16)
    12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks   (9,14)
    12/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old   (20)
    6/15 – Aged 5 years-old (including 6 of last 9)   (13)
    This has left me with 2
    Kalashnikov & Silver Streak
    Kalashnikov 1 Pt ew @ 14\1 Unibet  1-4  1/4
    Silver Streak 1 Pt ew @ 18\1 WHill  1-4  1/4
  3. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in Big Race Trends - Sat Feb 10th   
    Newbury 1.50
    12/13 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before (3,8)
    11/13 – Had run within the last 9 weeks  (1,2,5,6)
    10/13 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before  
    9/13 – Aged 7 or younger  (7)
     
    Bastien 1 Pt ew @ 7\1 Coral 
    Newbury 3.35
    This was a bit harder to seperate.
    15/15 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight  (1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
    14/15 – Aged 7 or younger  (8,12,15,17)
    13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out   (11,18,19,22,23)
    13/15 – Rated 130 or higher   (24)
    12/15 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before   (16)
    12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks   (9,14)
    12/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old   (20)
    6/15 – Aged 5 years-old (including 6 of last 9)   (13)
    This has left me with 2
    Kalashnikov & Silver Streak
    Kalashnikov 1 Pt ew @ 14\1 Unibet  1-4  1/4
    Silver Streak 1 Pt ew @ 18\1 WHill  1-4  1/4
  4. Haha
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Big Race Trends - Sat Feb 10th   
    Had a look at another few races today and the following shows up: 
    Altior to be beaten by Politologue
    Outsider Loves Destination @ 25\1 (only 4 runnings of this race)
    Drumcliff another outsider @ 16\1
    Casse Tete @ 13\2
  5. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Conflict Cup   
    1st @ 6\4 - Tended to jump right, made all, set very slow pace, increased tempo before 5th, in command from 2 out, ridden out
    5th - Settled behind leaders, 4th halfway, ridden 2f out, no impression and bumped slightly over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong
     
  6. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Conflict Cup   
    Happy Diva 13.40 Bangor 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
    Likeable sort who made the most of a good opportunity to get off the mark at the fourth over fences when winning small-field novice at Ludlow (20f) last month. Another bold bid likely. 
    Bien Chase 20.00 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 6\1 (bog)
    C&D winner. 8/1, good second of 14 in handicap at this course (6f) 21 days ago. Has good chance on form.
  7. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Short Priced Favs   
    Modus 14.25 Kempton 3 Pts Win @ 8\11 (bog)
    Made into a very smart handicap hurdler last term and landed first 2 starts over fences this time around, latterly a Grade 2. Looked beaten prior to falling at Exeter but he's worth another chance. 
  8. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to corky in Conflict Cup   
    ran a stinker , mate, i will watch for it next time
  9. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Short Priced Favs   
    Oistrakh Le Noir 13.50 Market Rasen 8 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)
    Fair winner over hurdles in France and shaped as if needing run when second of 6 in juvenile at Ascot last time. Yard struggling for form, but should improve and is a big player. 
  10. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Short Priced Favs   
    1st @ 4\6 - Jumped well, made all, clear and nudged out from last, eased towards finish, unchallenged
  11. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in The bearer of bad news,systems!!!   
    Buts it gone on too long now, a good debater always knows when to end it at the right time.
  12. Thanks
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Conflict Cup   
    Our Duke 15.35 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog)
    Top-class chaser. C&D winner. 5/6, well-beaten seventh of 8 to Outlander in Jnwine.com Champion Chase at Down Royal (24f, soft) 92 days ago. Worth another chance. 
    Vocaliser 14.15 Taunton 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)
    Modest hurdler but better chaser, making it 2 wins in 4 starts in 2m novice handicap here 15 days ago. Up in trip. 4 lb rise unlikely to prevent another prominent showing.
  13. Haha
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Conflict Cup   
    3rd - Held up in touch, challenged 5 out, no impression and lost 2nd 2 out, no extra last
    5th - Led, ridden and headed early straight, no impression in 3rd 1f out, no extra inside final furlong
     
    Think we had it too good for awhile Bubbles, hopefully we can get going again. 
  14. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Ten Tracks To Follow - Jumps   
    Results
    Won 9/4 £32.50 Won 15/2 £85.00
    Stakes:  70pts
    Returns: 117.50pts
    Total St: 3350pts
    Total Rt: 3840.89pts
    Profit: 490.89pts
     
  15. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from vikki37 in Conflict Cup   
    Update:

  16. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from vikki37 in Conflict Cup   
    Ray Purchase 14.40 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)
    Course winner. Winner here in January. Creditable second of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 2/1) 10 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. 
  17. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Conflict Cup   
    Ray Purchase 14.40 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)
    Course winner. Winner here in January. Creditable second of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 2/1) 10 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. 
  18. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to Bubbles180 in Conflict Cup   
    BOOM BOOM BOOM BOOM BOOM BOOM 
    Backed into 8/15 managed to get the 5/4 last night
      the bookies
       
  19. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Short Priced Favs   
    Unioniste 16.10 Wincanton 7 Pts Win @ 1\5 (bog)
    Not at the top of his game in a light 2016/17 campaign. Retained by top yard and showed he has plenty to offer in this sphere when runner-up at Taunton (23f) collared on the line. 
  20. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Ten Tracks To Follow - Jumps   
    Results
    Won 10/11 £19.19 Won 7/1 £80.00 Won 6/4 £25.00 Won 1/4 £12.50
    Stakes 70pts
    Returns 136.69pts
     
    Total St: 3280pts
    Total Rt: 3723.39pts
    Profit: 443.39pts
  21. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Conflict Cup   
    Think its a BOOM BOOM Bubbles. Have to say that Lynch gave Goose Man a great ride today to get him up. Nearly went at the 2nd last and nearly unseated at the last.   
    Didn't think when I started this after Cheltenham last year that I would hit 100 winners in less than a year.
    Thank you Harvest Day for the ton.
  22. Thanks
    Xtc12 reacted to Bubbles180 in Stats   
    @Xtc12 the numbers are
    UK 11.29
    IRISH 11.77
    DOUBLES 26.25
    That is up to date from start
  23. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Conflict Cup   
    Harvest Day 14.25 Chelmsford 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)
    Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 11/2) 9 days ago, pushed out. Carries penalty and she's well treated.
    Goose Man 13.05 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)
    Fairly useful chaser. 1 win from 3 runs this season. Career best when winning 8-runner minor event chase at Navan (20f, heavy, 5/1) 45 days ago, bit in hand. Should improve again.
  24. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from vikki37 in Conflict Cup   
    Harvest Day 14.25 Chelmsford 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)
    Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 11/2) 9 days ago, pushed out. Carries penalty and she's well treated.
    Goose Man 13.05 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)
    Fairly useful chaser. 1 win from 3 runs this season. Career best when winning 8-runner minor event chase at Navan (20f, heavy, 5/1) 45 days ago, bit in hand. Should improve again.
  25. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Bubbles180 in Short Priced Favs   
    Springtown Lake  13.15 Leicester 7 Pts Win @ 1\12 (bog)
    Opened account over hurdles at Worcester in October and has been placed in Grade 2 and listed company since. Wins with a clear round.
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