Xtc12

17.10 Catterick - Fiery Breath - 1 pt win @ 4/1 Bet365

18.00 Leopardstown - Current Options - 1 pt win @ 11/2 WHill

18.00 Leopardstown - Current Options - 1 pt win @ 11/2 WHill

18.00 Leopardstown - Current Options - 1 pt win @ 11/2 WHill

Four doubles and two two trebles today.

Not the highest ranked qualifiers but let’s see how this turns out

Doubles:

(1)    2.50 San Our Oystercather 3/1, 4.30 San Tukhoom 3/1 = £4 v £64.00

(2)    5.15 Ches Salam Zayed 5/1, 6.0 Don Benadalid 7/2 = £4 v £108.00

(3)    2.10 Don Di Fede 11/2, 5.30 Don Flavius Titus 3/1 = £4 v £104.00

(4)    5.05 San Bedtime Bella 5/1, 5.10 Sal Qaaddim 5/2 = £4 v £96.00

Trebles:

(1)    2.50 San Our Oystercatcher, 4.30 san Tukhoom and 5.15 Ches Salam Zayed = £2 v £192.00

(2)    2.10 Don Di Fede, 5.30 Don Flavius Titus and 6.0 Don Benadalid  = £2 v £234.00

Total stakes = £20.00

Results Update:

A very good day for me yesterday.  Two doubles and a treble

Double 1 paid £48.75 (forgot to write the name Bring us Paradise but very obvious.  Double two paid £78.00 and the treble including Bring Us paradise paid £146.25 = £273.00 less £20 = £253.00 profit on the day

Original Bank £1,200.00 Less £150.00 + £253 = £1303.00 C/Fwd

ROI = 8.58 %


 

RESULTS - Friday, 13th September 2019
2:10 Doncaster - FARZEEN 
Drifted before the off and did not start favourite. NO BET.

4:20 Doncaster - MOLATHAM 
Backed in to EVS and started as favourite. BET and WINNER.

I'm going to struggle to keep up with all these tomorrow so here's a little more information about the staking plans.
Base stake is always £10 and the base percentage is always 1%.
Level Stakes
This is the easiest one.  Simply £10 per bet.
Square Root
This is the base percentage of the current bank (1%) plus the square root of the difference between the current bank and the start bank (£1000) but only when the current bank is in profit.  For example if the current bank is £960 then the stake is £9.60 (1% of the current bank).  If the current bank is £1250 the stake is £12.50 + £15.81 (SQRT of 250)  = £28.31.  Stakes will increase and decrease as the bank goes up and down.
1-3-2-6
Again, using the base percentage of the current bank (1%) but a negative balance doesn't affect the progression through the multipliers. The first stake is 1% of the current bank. If the first selection loses we remain on 1%. After the first winning bet the stake becomes 3% of the current bank.  If this second selection loses we revert back to 1%.  If the second selection wins we then put 2% of the current bank on the third selection.  If the third selection loses we revert back to 1% but if it wins we reach our final step, 6% of the current bank.  If the fourth selection wins or loses we revert back to 1%.  This plan is aggressive and can only really be profitable where there are several winning runs of 4+ bets.
Ratchet Square Root
This is almost exactly the same as the Square Root plan above but with the exception that the stake does not decrease with the current balance (hence the 'ratchet').  For example, the first bet is 1% of the start bank (£10 from a bank of £1000).  If this wins at 4/1 the bank now stands at £1040.  The stake for the next selection will be £10.40 (1%) + £6.32 (SQRT 40) = £16.72.  If this loses the bank is down to £1023.28 but the stake remains at £16.72.

Don't worry about it @keef75 hope it goes well for you will be looking in for the excellent results.?

After feeling bad about hijacking someone else's thread in this part of the forum I thought it would be best to start afresh.  I have something that I have been following for a while - a horse racing selection system.  I know, if you've seen one you've seen them all blah blah blah.  Well, prepare to be amazed haha!
So far there have been 265 selections between January 2017 and today, mainly around the weekends and big festivals etc..  Here are some stats:
Strike rate: 46%
Longest losing run: 9
Longest winning run: 6
Average WIN SP: 2.76 (Betfair: 2.88)
Point profit to level stakes: +71.76 (Betfair: +86.00)
 
I'm not going to say too much about the selection process - there are 8 base rules - but I will post the selections here.  The only rule you need to know is that the selection MUST START CLEAR FAVOURITE so having access to Betfair or whatever is essential to be able to watch the prices just before the off.  There will be cases where it's too close to call - in these situations I scrap the selection.
As for staking plans, this is where the aforementioned hijacked thread comes into play.  I am currently looking at some quite aggressive plans.
I have the following figures for the first 264 selections (all from a starting bank of £1000):
Level stakes (£10)
26.84% ROI - Current Profit £708 (Normal SP) - Total Staked £2640
32.23% ROI - Current Profit £850 (Betfair SP) - Total Staked £2640
Multiplier on loss (x1.2 previous stake)
25.21% ROI - Current Profit £858 - Total Staked £3405
Percentage bank (1% of bank always)
25.79% ROI - Current Profit £969 - Total Staked £3758
Square root (base stake of £10 plus the square root of the current bank minus start bank)
23.79% ROI - Current Profit £3052 - Total Staked £12831
1-3-2-6 Staking (based on a 1% stake)
27.36% ROI - Current Profit £2803 - Total Staked £10246
Ratchet (1% of current bank increasing over time but never reducing)
26.02% ROI - Current Profit £1017 - Total Staked £3909
Ratchet square root (combination of two above methods)
24.88% ROI - Current Profit £4028 (Normal SP) - Total Staked £16193
27.39% ROI - Current Profit £4873 (Betfair SP) - Total Staked £17794

Incidentally, selection 265 also won but I can't be bothered updating all those figures! 
The plans I will be following on here are:
Level stakes (for control purposes)
Square root
1-3-2-6
Ratchet square root
I'll be posting the selections below as I find them and also running totals.  I'll keep the above totals going but I'll also start from £1000 again for the purposes of this thread so we can all follow it together.  Sometimes there will be conditions for the bet such as 'only qualifies if there are at least 5 runners' or 'only qualifies if xxx is a NR' etc.  Finally I've attached a graph showing how some of the plans have performed.  Hopefully things will continue in a similar manner.
Last thing to say... I'm posting these selections for information only and I can't take any responsibility for losses that might occur from errors or otherwise.  Past performance is not an indicator of future performance for any system!  Let's go!

The welcome pack arrived this morning so its starting to feel real now. Can log in now to the members section of the site so should be able to access more info.
Word from the yard is that the horse has grown physically since arriving but no plans in place for a start over hurdles as yet.
 

17.00 York - Shamad - 1 pt win @ 4/1 Paddy Power

I know I've made it much more complicated than it is on the sheet but I'm loathe to change it now as it's a bit of a beast with all the different staking systems!  But you can see how I messed up.  Twice.  Also having to put '13to8' in the cell because Excel so helpfully changes '13/8' to '13 Aug'!!
Anyway, I'm going to create a new thread in Betting Systems and Strategies to continue this as I seem to have hijacked this one - apologies xtc12.

18.30 Musselburgh - Northern Society - 1 pt win @ 6/1 Bet365

17.05 Ascot - Texting - 1 pt win @ 7/1 (bog)

Good luck BH. 
Had a little look myself last year in Ireland. Irish National Stud seems to have the best deal. Annual fee 400 Euro for a share in 6 horses.

There are a few websites you can get this from, if you search for 'losing run based on strike rate'.
These are the figures I have:
Strike Rate Max Losing Run per 1000 bets 5 135 10 66 15 43 20 31 25 24 30 19 35 16 40 14 45 12 50 10 55 9 60 8 65 7 70 6 75 5 80 4 85 4 90 3 95 2  

17.05 Ascot - Texting - 1 pt win @ 7/1 (bog)

17.05 Ascot - Texting - 1 pt win @ 7/1 (bog)

to Punters Lounge @BetterBettor   
Put quite simply, there is just no need to pay for tips. There is never any guarantee a previous years record will be repeated the following year. It's much better to improve your own knowledge and style of betting, whilst managing your betting bankroll strictly, in fact this is the most important thing of all.
Punters Lounge has in house tipsters as well as some phenomenal members who post great tips each and every day. We have an ethos that no part of this website will ever be charged for, unlike say Racing Post. You really have all the things you need right here for free, and shrewd punters to interact and learn from too.
With all the updates we have coming, this will only be enhanced and we won't stop until we're the No.1 site for all punters providing everything they need completely free. It takes time, but we're making great progress in the background with our development team.
 

Ok, day 1 of the project
The Purchase
I have purchased a share in a horse called Last Golden Ticket and it will be trained by Donald McCain
The syndicate is part of the Owners Group who also own Axiom and Elite Racing.
The share was just £53 for 12 months and there are 3,000 shares available.
(before anyone says anything i'm not expecting any R.O.I in this project, just the involvement)
I have been promised visits to the yard, a chance of an owners badge when it runs and a share out in any prize money the horse may win. We also get a monthly magazine and a texts about other information about the horse, entries and trainers feedback.
It was a toss up between going with this syndicate or trying the Racing Emporium which is run by the Easterby brothers in Yorkshire. Similar ways in which it is run but mainly flat horses.
I chose this syndicate and this particular horse as its not far from me, Donald McCain is 60 miles up the road so will be able to take advantage of any stable visits and also i'm gambling on him running the horse at Bangor, Haydock, Aintree or Carlisle which are within easy reach.
There are other horses available including the old boy Alcala trainer by Paul Nicholls, he is being aimed at the big Hunter Chases this season and is only £40 a share. Nicholls trains in Somerset and is just too far away for me.
 
The Horse
Last Golden Ticket
The horse is a 4yo that has had one run in a bumper for Gordon Elliott. He won that day in July at Sligo and has since been sold for around £50,000 from what i can gather.
He will be aimed at Novice Hurdles this season and being closely related to Golden Chieftain he could make up into a useful chaser. There is an option to carry on with the share as long as you want, also you can quit after 12 months is up.
 
I have been promised a welcome pack within 7 days so will report back when I know anything else

 
 

18.00 Windsor - Harry Hurricane - 1 pt win @ 4/1 (bog)
 

16.20 Cork - Chagall - 1 pt win @ 11/1 WHill

18.00 Windsor - Harry Hurricane - 1 pt win @ 4/1 (bog)
 

16.20 Cork - Chagall - 1 pt win @ 11/1 WHill

16.20 Cork - Chagall - 1 pt win @ 11/1 WHill