Bathtime For Rupert

Spot on.  Well done

My moaning about not having a winner in about 40 attempts worked! 

2.50 Pontefract - Stormy Girl @ 20/1 Hills

1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.

Thanks gents. Always pick the wrong one in NAP of the day though - haven't had a winner in about 40 goes ?

Thanks gents. Always pick the wrong one in NAP of the day though - haven't had a winner in about 40 goes ?

1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.

1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.

1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.

Thanks gents. Always pick the wrong one in NAP of the day though - haven't had a winner in about 40 goes ?

1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.

1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.

1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.

1.15 Kempton - 1pt e/w Stay Smart @ 12/1 Bet365
Was a winner on the all-weather on debut, getting up for a cosy success at Wolverhampton over 5f and although not as good since, has had excuses. Was always likely to be outclassed at Royal Ascot behind Tactical, probably didn't enjoy the ease in the ground when 3rd at Catterick and found everything happening a bit too quickly last time out over the minimum trip, staying on into 3rd behind a very easy winner. Should enjoy the step up to 6f today (dam raced up to 1m2f) and returns to the all-weather for the first time since winning on debut - by Brazen Beau this surface should suit better than the turf with any ease in it and can hopefully bounce back.
1.45 Kempton - 2pts win Twentysharesofgrey @ 6/1 Bet365
Might not have the most glamorous of connections but beat the favourite for this race quite comfortably last time out yet is a bigger price here. Shaped well that day from off the pace, keeping on over 6f as if the extra furlong today would really suit. Has improved with each run and when 3rd last time, the horse in 4th has subsequently been rated 68 after winning a handicap next time so on that formline alone, the mark of 56 for Twentysharesofgrey looks plausible. Wide draw to contend with but I'd expect it to be dropped in and hopefully finish well.
3.20 Kempton - 2pts win El Hombre @ 11/2 Hills
Whilst a big price, I was quite disappointed by his effort at Ascot last time as he showed plenty of promise at Newmarket when travelling well without a clear run to say he's best on the all-weather. He does get the return to artificial surfaces today and looks off a fair enough mark of 88. Take out that Ascot run and he wasn't beaten far (staying on) over 5f at Newcastle behind Caspian Prince earlier in the season which was good form. Conditions suit and I'm hopeful of a big run today.
3.40 Beverley - 1pt e/w Athollblair Boy @ 20/1 Bet365
Has pretty much exclusively run over 6 and 7 furlongs but this horse has plenty of speed and I think will relish a good pace back at this minimum trip. He's fairly handicapped and been running okay in better races than this and I'm hopeful that he won't get badly outpaced here. He's a strong traveller and if slotting in from a wide draw, can come into the race up the straight and put his stamina to good use up the stiff finish. A big price to do so but it wouldn't surprise me.
3.50 Kempton - 1pt e/w Glencora @ 9/1 Bet365
Nicely bred filly out of a group middle distance dam and has shaped like needing a bit further on a couple of starts in her career to date. Was green on debut before running well here over 7f, keeping on having got outpaced and she wasn't sharp enough around Lingfield afterwards. Was outpaced for much of the contest at Yarmouth last time over 7f but kept on well into 3rd and the extra furlong today looks sure to suit. Back at the scene of her best career run off a fair enough mark and if holding her place, can be finishing well come the line.
4.20 Kempton - 0.5pts e/w Rockin' N Raven @ 66/1 Bet365
Today's chunky one comes in this mile handicap and you do have to ignore a well beaten run at Chepstow last time but that track isn't for all and he did stumble mid race there which wouldn't have helped. If you revert back to his two previous starts, both here over 6f on debut (didn't have the pace, kept on a bit from the rear) and then over a mile when a solid 3rd (2nd has since gone on to be rated 79) read ok. Runs off 65 today and the return to the all-weather can suit. By Raven's Pass whose progeny have a good record on artificial surfaces so the polytrack might be where this one is seen in the best light and his dam was a very talented 1m2f horse so plenty to like on pedigree too.

1.25 Haydock - 1pt e/w Abbotside @ 9/1 Bet365
The favourite is a short price on potential and I just think I'd sooner side against that one in a competitive race today. Abbotside is in really good heart and should relish conditions today. Shaped well in novice races and in both starts this season. Doesn't do anything very quickly, as seen when a plugging on 3rd at Beverley over the extended 7f there on seasonal reappearance and was only narrowly denied on handicap debut at Ripon last time - he certainly wasn't stopping at the line though, battling back hard over a mile when headed and the front two were 4 lengths clear in a spaced out field. Looks sure to enjoy an extra couple of furlongs which he gets today and still looks fairly handicapped considering there should be more to come now up in trip.
1.40 Wolverhampton - 0.5pts e/w Jazzy Socks @ 50/1 Bet365
Put this one up at Windsor last time and he showed plenty more than on debut but still raced green as if he would come on again for the experience. Did show a lot more speed that day and it's possible the easing ground conditions didn't help in the closing stages either. Whilst well held by Aussie Stormer on that form, it wouldn't surprise me if he took a big step forward on the all-weather today - his dam was a speedy sort and went well on artificial surfaces and these conditions might just suit. Well drawn to be made plenty of use of and if making a bright start, could take a step forward and be involved at the finish at a big price.
1.55 Haydock - 2pts win Iconic Knight @ 7/2 Bet365
Nothing out of the ordinary with this one but sometimes you just have to side with the favourites! Put this one up when winning narrowly at Chepstow last time but has only gone up 1lb in the weights, conditions suit again and the first 4 were well clear of the remainder that day, suggesting it wasn't a bad race. Still 7lbs lower than what this one was competing off last summer so should be capable of going in again.
2.40 Wolverhampton - 2pts win Annie Rose @ 6/1 Bet365
Very sweet on David Barron's runner here who shaped well on debut over 6f given that the trainer's horses always come on for their debut runs and just found 5f around Ripon too sharp last time when keeping on. Will relish the return to 6f today, the form of her debut effort makes her mark look very reasonable as all of those who have run since have gone well and her dam raced exclusively on the all-weather so there are no problems with the surface you wouldn't think. Ideal draw in stall 1 and ought to go very close.
3.55 Haydock - 2pts win Paws For Thought @ 6/1 Bet365
Intriguing little race and whilst it looks fairly open, I quite like Tom Dascombe's charge who has done little wrong in two starts to date and looks fairly handicapped off a mark of 78 today. Was a bit green on debut when keeping on behind First Prophet and progressed to be an excellent second at Chepstow last time. Not the most attractive piece of form in the world in theory but the winner has since run a big race in group company to be rated 89 and the horse 2 lengths back in third was a solid favourite now rated 80. That suggests 78 won't be beyond this one, conditions will suit and I think will enjoy a positive sit around this track from a good draw.
4.25 Haydock - 1pt e/w Filos Flyer @ 33/1 Bet365
Another Dascombe runner and this one is fairly limited in ability but goes handicapping off a lowly mark of 61 and should be capable of better. Ran midfield in a hot race two starts back on seasonal reappearance and that wasn't a bad effort as she was never going to get much closer given the respective ratings of those who finished at the head of affairs that day. Also shaped reasonably well at Wolverhampton last time, travelling pretty well but could never get on terms with the leaders who were prominent throughout and kicked on off the home bend. Kept going, however, and now enters handicaps off a fair mark. Would hope to see her race prominently today and can expect more now in more realistic company.

1.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Alexander The Grey @ 8/1 Bet365
Quite a character but has plenty of ability at this level and represents good e/w value to me. Looks sure to go off in front and probably stay there for a very long way - has a tendency to chuck in the towel on the run in but you can take that chance knowing he's still likely to finish in the 3 if doing that and this track will help his racing style and hopefully keep his eyes on the prize. Lilly Pinchin returns to the saddle, who got on well with this horse last year including managing a win and he shaped reasonably well on his first start after a break last time. 
2.15 Southwell - 2pts win Solar Impulse @ 9/2 Bet365
Is no spring chicken at the age of 10 but there's still life left in him based on his run on seasonal reappearance last time. That came over 2m4f but all of his best career form has come over 2 miles (never been in the first 2 over 2m4f or further) and should be fitter now. When last seen last year, he was a sound 4th in a hot race at Newbury, beaten less than 10 lengths. The first 3 that day were all rated in the 140s or 150s and he's essentially 8lbs better off today with Charlie Todd taking off 5lbs. Should go well with conditions to suit.
3.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Miss M @ 14/1 Bet365
The favourite did it nicely on hurdling debut but plausible that the two favourites did too much in front and whilst is the most likely winner here, I'm again going to side with one of equivalent quality on the flat - Miss M would be closely matched with the 7/4 shot in this race should they be racing over say 1m2f on the level yet this one is a big price on hurdling debut so merits consideration. Has joined a good yard in David Pipe for a hurdling career and presumably was given a pipe opener on the flat (if you pardon the pun) last time when down the field. That was an unusually poor performance for a largely consistent mare and with that under her belt should be capable of better on hurdling debut at an each way price.
3.30 Leicester - 1pt e/w Ultra Violet @ 10/1 Bet365
Headstrong sort who hasn't gone on from an impressive debut victory but is well down the weights now, faces his easiest assignment to date and is back to ideal conditions. Pulled away his chance on many occasions but the hood returns today having been left off over 7f last time (trip too far anyway) and the race he ran in two starts back was a strong one. Although midfield, shaped okay and is now down the weights further and eased in grade. Hopefully everything can click today and get his career back on track. 
3.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Calvinist @ 10/1 Bet365
Put this one up at Uttoxeter last time and looked the likely winner all the way up the straight before being repelled late on to be narrowly beaten in a three way go to the line. The eventual winner has franked the form in no uncertain terms since up in grade and Calvinist might just benefit from the drop back in trip today. Definitely stays well enough for further but travels well enough to make two miles suitable and looks a big price again today.
4.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Peltwell @ 14/1 Bet365
Has an absence to overcome but the yard is going okay and this one has the form to get involved today. Shaped okay in novice races (well held run came in a good race) and the horse he was a 4 length second to two starts back in a handicap is now rated 20lbs higher so the form stacks up. Can excuse his effort on heavy ground when last seen and returns with conditions to suit here. Shapes as if 2m4f will suit and looks reasonably handicapped if fit enough to do himself justice. 

1.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Alexander The Grey @ 8/1 Bet365
Quite a character but has plenty of ability at this level and represents good e/w value to me. Looks sure to go off in front and probably stay there for a very long way - has a tendency to chuck in the towel on the run in but you can take that chance knowing he's still likely to finish in the 3 if doing that and this track will help his racing style and hopefully keep his eyes on the prize. Lilly Pinchin returns to the saddle, who got on well with this horse last year including managing a win and he shaped reasonably well on his first start after a break last time. 
2.15 Southwell - 2pts win Solar Impulse @ 9/2 Bet365
Is no spring chicken at the age of 10 but there's still life left in him based on his run on seasonal reappearance last time. That came over 2m4f but all of his best career form has come over 2 miles (never been in the first 2 over 2m4f or further) and should be fitter now. When last seen last year, he was a sound 4th in a hot race at Newbury, beaten less than 10 lengths. The first 3 that day were all rated in the 140s or 150s and he's essentially 8lbs better off today with Charlie Todd taking off 5lbs. Should go well with conditions to suit.
3.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Miss M @ 14/1 Bet365
The favourite did it nicely on hurdling debut but plausible that the two favourites did too much in front and whilst is the most likely winner here, I'm again going to side with one of equivalent quality on the flat - Miss M would be closely matched with the 7/4 shot in this race should they be racing over say 1m2f on the level yet this one is a big price on hurdling debut so merits consideration. Has joined a good yard in David Pipe for a hurdling career and presumably was given a pipe opener on the flat (if you pardon the pun) last time when down the field. That was an unusually poor performance for a largely consistent mare and with that under her belt should be capable of better on hurdling debut at an each way price.
3.30 Leicester - 1pt e/w Ultra Violet @ 10/1 Bet365
Headstrong sort who hasn't gone on from an impressive debut victory but is well down the weights now, faces his easiest assignment to date and is back to ideal conditions. Pulled away his chance on many occasions but the hood returns today having been left off over 7f last time (trip too far anyway) and the race he ran in two starts back was a strong one. Although midfield, shaped okay and is now down the weights further and eased in grade. Hopefully everything can click today and get his career back on track. 
3.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Calvinist @ 10/1 Bet365
Put this one up at Uttoxeter last time and looked the likely winner all the way up the straight before being repelled late on to be narrowly beaten in a three way go to the line. The eventual winner has franked the form in no uncertain terms since up in grade and Calvinist might just benefit from the drop back in trip today. Definitely stays well enough for further but travels well enough to make two miles suitable and looks a big price again today.
4.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Peltwell @ 14/1 Bet365
Has an absence to overcome but the yard is going okay and this one has the form to get involved today. Shaped okay in novice races (well held run came in a good race) and the horse he was a 4 length second to two starts back in a handicap is now rated 20lbs higher so the form stacks up. Can excuse his effort on heavy ground when last seen and returns with conditions to suit here. Shapes as if 2m4f will suit and looks reasonably handicapped if fit enough to do himself justice. 

1.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Alexander The Grey @ 8/1 Bet365
Quite a character but has plenty of ability at this level and represents good e/w value to me. Looks sure to go off in front and probably stay there for a very long way - has a tendency to chuck in the towel on the run in but you can take that chance knowing he's still likely to finish in the 3 if doing that and this track will help his racing style and hopefully keep his eyes on the prize. Lilly Pinchin returns to the saddle, who got on well with this horse last year including managing a win and he shaped reasonably well on his first start after a break last time. 
2.15 Southwell - 2pts win Solar Impulse @ 9/2 Bet365
Is no spring chicken at the age of 10 but there's still life left in him based on his run on seasonal reappearance last time. That came over 2m4f but all of his best career form has come over 2 miles (never been in the first 2 over 2m4f or further) and should be fitter now. When last seen last year, he was a sound 4th in a hot race at Newbury, beaten less than 10 lengths. The first 3 that day were all rated in the 140s or 150s and he's essentially 8lbs better off today with Charlie Todd taking off 5lbs. Should go well with conditions to suit.
3.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Miss M @ 14/1 Bet365
The favourite did it nicely on hurdling debut but plausible that the two favourites did too much in front and whilst is the most likely winner here, I'm again going to side with one of equivalent quality on the flat - Miss M would be closely matched with the 7/4 shot in this race should they be racing over say 1m2f on the level yet this one is a big price on hurdling debut so merits consideration. Has joined a good yard in David Pipe for a hurdling career and presumably was given a pipe opener on the flat (if you pardon the pun) last time when down the field. That was an unusually poor performance for a largely consistent mare and with that under her belt should be capable of better on hurdling debut at an each way price.
3.30 Leicester - 1pt e/w Ultra Violet @ 10/1 Bet365
Headstrong sort who hasn't gone on from an impressive debut victory but is well down the weights now, faces his easiest assignment to date and is back to ideal conditions. Pulled away his chance on many occasions but the hood returns today having been left off over 7f last time (trip too far anyway) and the race he ran in two starts back was a strong one. Although midfield, shaped okay and is now down the weights further and eased in grade. Hopefully everything can click today and get his career back on track. 
3.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Calvinist @ 10/1 Bet365
Put this one up at Uttoxeter last time and looked the likely winner all the way up the straight before being repelled late on to be narrowly beaten in a three way go to the line. The eventual winner has franked the form in no uncertain terms since up in grade and Calvinist might just benefit from the drop back in trip today. Definitely stays well enough for further but travels well enough to make two miles suitable and looks a big price again today.
4.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Peltwell @ 14/1 Bet365
Has an absence to overcome but the yard is going okay and this one has the form to get involved today. Shaped okay in novice races (well held run came in a good race) and the horse he was a 4 length second to two starts back in a handicap is now rated 20lbs higher so the form stacks up. Can excuse his effort on heavy ground when last seen and returns with conditions to suit here. Shapes as if 2m4f will suit and looks reasonably handicapped if fit enough to do himself justice. 

1.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Alexander The Grey @ 8/1 Bet365
Quite a character but has plenty of ability at this level and represents good e/w value to me. Looks sure to go off in front and probably stay there for a very long way - has a tendency to chuck in the towel on the run in but you can take that chance knowing he's still likely to finish in the 3 if doing that and this track will help his racing style and hopefully keep his eyes on the prize. Lilly Pinchin returns to the saddle, who got on well with this horse last year including managing a win and he shaped reasonably well on his first start after a break last time. 
2.15 Southwell - 2pts win Solar Impulse @ 9/2 Bet365
Is no spring chicken at the age of 10 but there's still life left in him based on his run on seasonal reappearance last time. That came over 2m4f but all of his best career form has come over 2 miles (never been in the first 2 over 2m4f or further) and should be fitter now. When last seen last year, he was a sound 4th in a hot race at Newbury, beaten less than 10 lengths. The first 3 that day were all rated in the 140s or 150s and he's essentially 8lbs better off today with Charlie Todd taking off 5lbs. Should go well with conditions to suit.
3.15 Southwell - 1pt e/w Miss M @ 14/1 Bet365
The favourite did it nicely on hurdling debut but plausible that the two favourites did too much in front and whilst is the most likely winner here, I'm again going to side with one of equivalent quality on the flat - Miss M would be closely matched with the 7/4 shot in this race should they be racing over say 1m2f on the level yet this one is a big price on hurdling debut so merits consideration. Has joined a good yard in David Pipe for a hurdling career and presumably was given a pipe opener on the flat (if you pardon the pun) last time when down the field. That was an unusually poor performance for a largely consistent mare and with that under her belt should be capable of better on hurdling debut at an each way price.
3.30 Leicester - 1pt e/w Ultra Violet @ 10/1 Bet365
Headstrong sort who hasn't gone on from an impressive debut victory but is well down the weights now, faces his easiest assignment to date and is back to ideal conditions. Pulled away his chance on many occasions but the hood returns today having been left off over 7f last time (trip too far anyway) and the race he ran in two starts back was a strong one. Although midfield, shaped okay and is now down the weights further and eased in grade. Hopefully everything can click today and get his career back on track. 
3.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Calvinist @ 10/1 Bet365
Put this one up at Uttoxeter last time and looked the likely winner all the way up the straight before being repelled late on to be narrowly beaten in a three way go to the line. The eventual winner has franked the form in no uncertain terms since up in grade and Calvinist might just benefit from the drop back in trip today. Definitely stays well enough for further but travels well enough to make two miles suitable and looks a big price again today.
4.45 Southwell - 1pt e/w Peltwell @ 14/1 Bet365
Has an absence to overcome but the yard is going okay and this one has the form to get involved today. Shaped okay in novice races (well held run came in a good race) and the horse he was a 4 length second to two starts back in a handicap is now rated 20lbs higher so the form stacks up. Can excuse his effort on heavy ground when last seen and returns with conditions to suit here. Shapes as if 2m4f will suit and looks reasonably handicapped if fit enough to do himself justice. 

12.30 Haydock - 0.5pts e/w Fast Deal @ 16/1 Bet365
You have to take a leap of faith with this one as he's definitely not the easiest but is well handicapped on his best form and has had excuses in both his final run at 2 (did too much too soon in a handicap off a significantly higher mark than he races off today, beaten 6 lengths) and both soft ground and longer trips (raced freely) have cost him any real chance this season. As such, I think he's worth chancing back to conditions that we know suit - a mile, sharp track and decent ground. He's come down the weights for those poorer efforts so will give a go at a big price.
1.00 Haydock - 2pts win Kayewhykelly @ 7/1 Bet365
I think the favourite is short to complete the hattrick up in the weights again, the second favourite has never won on turf and is tricky to win with - all five wins have come by a neck or less - and the third favourite looks weighted to its best so I think the bet here is Kayewhykelly who is more unexposed than most and can definitely win off this mark. Shaped well from off the pace at Beverley on seasonal reappearance and should come on plenty for that. The extra half furlong here will definitely suit and is off a fair mark on some pieces of form over an insufficient 6f last season - looks quite a generous price.
1.50 Ascot - 1pt e/w Woven @ 11/1 Bet365
Isn't thrown in at the weights but is a hardy handicapper who'll enjoy conditions today and has looked a bit better since being gelded. Won at Meydan back in February with the likes of Chiefofchiefs and Summerghand in behind him and shaped well in two starts back on these shores this season. Ran very well on the wrong part of the track at Royal Ascot and the only horse to beat him (narrowly) on the far side won a handicap next time out. Woven then stayed on from the rear at Newmarket but should be easier to do so here, flatter track can suit and the better ground too. Likely to run well at a double figure price.
2.25 Ascot - 2pts win Kasbaan @ 11/2 Bet365
Has been running over 7f this season having done much of his racing over 1m2f but I think a mile is what he wants and has perfect conditions today. Stayed on without threatening from a poor draw here over 7f last time and just didn't have the pace to keep its place at Newmarket the time before in a hot race where it paid to be held up anyway. Is off a winnable mark and now getting ideal conditions for the first time in a while can land the spoils.
3.00 Ascot - 0.5pts e/w Island Brave @ 30/1 Bet365
I just think this is a big price for a horse who we know stays, can go close off this mark and will enjoy a decent gallop which he should get today. Has shaped okay this season to suggest he can be competitive and able to stay on when others have cried enough so at the prices is worth an each way tickle.#
3.35 Ascot - 1pt e/w Medal Winner @ 12/1 Bet365
Won readily on seasonal reappearance at Kempton suggesting this mark wouldn't be beyond him (Cape Cavalli was 3rd so the form was decent) and although a bit mixed since, races have been on ground with cut in it and I just wonder if he's a quick ground horse as his best form has come on sound surfaces. If so, can't really knock his form and can bounce back on better ground today.
5.40 Newmarket - 1pt win Quloob @ 17/2 Hills
Not sure what the yard are planning with this one next after the curious effort at Goodwood last week but this is significantly easier and if they give him half a chance by not going a crazy gallop with first time blinkers on, could make this price look silly. Market will probably give us a clue but is worth chancing at the current odds.

12.30 Haydock - 0.5pts e/w Fast Deal @ 16/1 Bet365
You have to take a leap of faith with this one as he's definitely not the easiest but is well handicapped on his best form and has had excuses in both his final run at 2 (did too much too soon in a handicap off a significantly higher mark than he races off today, beaten 6 lengths) and both soft ground and longer trips (raced freely) have cost him any real chance this season. As such, I think he's worth chancing back to conditions that we know suit - a mile, sharp track and decent ground. He's come down the weights for those poorer efforts so will give a go at a big price.
1.00 Haydock - 2pts win Kayewhykelly @ 7/1 Bet365
I think the favourite is short to complete the hattrick up in the weights again, the second favourite has never won on turf and is tricky to win with - all five wins have come by a neck or less - and the third favourite looks weighted to its best so I think the bet here is Kayewhykelly who is more unexposed than most and can definitely win off this mark. Shaped well from off the pace at Beverley on seasonal reappearance and should come on plenty for that. The extra half furlong here will definitely suit and is off a fair mark on some pieces of form over an insufficient 6f last season - looks quite a generous price.
1.50 Ascot - 1pt e/w Woven @ 11/1 Bet365
Isn't thrown in at the weights but is a hardy handicapper who'll enjoy conditions today and has looked a bit better since being gelded. Won at Meydan back in February with the likes of Chiefofchiefs and Summerghand in behind him and shaped well in two starts back on these shores this season. Ran very well on the wrong part of the track at Royal Ascot and the only horse to beat him (narrowly) on the far side won a handicap next time out. Woven then stayed on from the rear at Newmarket but should be easier to do so here, flatter track can suit and the better ground too. Likely to run well at a double figure price.
2.25 Ascot - 2pts win Kasbaan @ 11/2 Bet365
Has been running over 7f this season having done much of his racing over 1m2f but I think a mile is what he wants and has perfect conditions today. Stayed on without threatening from a poor draw here over 7f last time and just didn't have the pace to keep its place at Newmarket the time before in a hot race where it paid to be held up anyway. Is off a winnable mark and now getting ideal conditions for the first time in a while can land the spoils.
3.00 Ascot - 0.5pts e/w Island Brave @ 30/1 Bet365
I just think this is a big price for a horse who we know stays, can go close off this mark and will enjoy a decent gallop which he should get today. Has shaped okay this season to suggest he can be competitive and able to stay on when others have cried enough so at the prices is worth an each way tickle.#
3.35 Ascot - 1pt e/w Medal Winner @ 12/1 Bet365
Won readily on seasonal reappearance at Kempton suggesting this mark wouldn't be beyond him (Cape Cavalli was 3rd so the form was decent) and although a bit mixed since, races have been on ground with cut in it and I just wonder if he's a quick ground horse as his best form has come on sound surfaces. If so, can't really knock his form and can bounce back on better ground today.
5.40 Newmarket - 1pt win Quloob @ 17/2 Hills
Not sure what the yard are planning with this one next after the curious effort at Goodwood last week but this is significantly easier and if they give him half a chance by not going a crazy gallop with first time blinkers on, could make this price look silly. Market will probably give us a clue but is worth chancing at the current odds.

12.30 Haydock - 0.5pts e/w Fast Deal @ 16/1 Bet365
You have to take a leap of faith with this one as he's definitely not the easiest but is well handicapped on his best form and has had excuses in both his final run at 2 (did too much too soon in a handicap off a significantly higher mark than he races off today, beaten 6 lengths) and both soft ground and longer trips (raced freely) have cost him any real chance this season. As such, I think he's worth chancing back to conditions that we know suit - a mile, sharp track and decent ground. He's come down the weights for those poorer efforts so will give a go at a big price.
1.00 Haydock - 2pts win Kayewhykelly @ 7/1 Bet365
I think the favourite is short to complete the hattrick up in the weights again, the second favourite has never won on turf and is tricky to win with - all five wins have come by a neck or less - and the third favourite looks weighted to its best so I think the bet here is Kayewhykelly who is more unexposed than most and can definitely win off this mark. Shaped well from off the pace at Beverley on seasonal reappearance and should come on plenty for that. The extra half furlong here will definitely suit and is off a fair mark on some pieces of form over an insufficient 6f last season - looks quite a generous price.
1.50 Ascot - 1pt e/w Woven @ 11/1 Bet365
Isn't thrown in at the weights but is a hardy handicapper who'll enjoy conditions today and has looked a bit better since being gelded. Won at Meydan back in February with the likes of Chiefofchiefs and Summerghand in behind him and shaped well in two starts back on these shores this season. Ran very well on the wrong part of the track at Royal Ascot and the only horse to beat him (narrowly) on the far side won a handicap next time out. Woven then stayed on from the rear at Newmarket but should be easier to do so here, flatter track can suit and the better ground too. Likely to run well at a double figure price.
2.25 Ascot - 2pts win Kasbaan @ 11/2 Bet365
Has been running over 7f this season having done much of his racing over 1m2f but I think a mile is what he wants and has perfect conditions today. Stayed on without threatening from a poor draw here over 7f last time and just didn't have the pace to keep its place at Newmarket the time before in a hot race where it paid to be held up anyway. Is off a winnable mark and now getting ideal conditions for the first time in a while can land the spoils.
3.00 Ascot - 0.5pts e/w Island Brave @ 30/1 Bet365
I just think this is a big price for a horse who we know stays, can go close off this mark and will enjoy a decent gallop which he should get today. Has shaped okay this season to suggest he can be competitive and able to stay on when others have cried enough so at the prices is worth an each way tickle.#
3.35 Ascot - 1pt e/w Medal Winner @ 12/1 Bet365
Won readily on seasonal reappearance at Kempton suggesting this mark wouldn't be beyond him (Cape Cavalli was 3rd so the form was decent) and although a bit mixed since, races have been on ground with cut in it and I just wonder if he's a quick ground horse as his best form has come on sound surfaces. If so, can't really knock his form and can bounce back on better ground today.
5.40 Newmarket - 1pt win Quloob @ 17/2 Hills
Not sure what the yard are planning with this one next after the curious effort at Goodwood last week but this is significantly easier and if they give him half a chance by not going a crazy gallop with first time blinkers on, could make this price look silly. Market will probably give us a clue but is worth chancing at the current odds.

12.30 Haydock - 0.5pts e/w Fast Deal @ 16/1 Bet365
You have to take a leap of faith with this one as he's definitely not the easiest but is well handicapped on his best form and has had excuses in both his final run at 2 (did too much too soon in a handicap off a significantly higher mark than he races off today, beaten 6 lengths) and both soft ground and longer trips (raced freely) have cost him any real chance this season. As such, I think he's worth chancing back to conditions that we know suit - a mile, sharp track and decent ground. He's come down the weights for those poorer efforts so will give a go at a big price.
1.00 Haydock - 2pts win Kayewhykelly @ 7/1 Bet365
I think the favourite is short to complete the hattrick up in the weights again, the second favourite has never won on turf and is tricky to win with - all five wins have come by a neck or less - and the third favourite looks weighted to its best so I think the bet here is Kayewhykelly who is more unexposed than most and can definitely win off this mark. Shaped well from off the pace at Beverley on seasonal reappearance and should come on plenty for that. The extra half furlong here will definitely suit and is off a fair mark on some pieces of form over an insufficient 6f last season - looks quite a generous price.
1.50 Ascot - 1pt e/w Woven @ 11/1 Bet365
Isn't thrown in at the weights but is a hardy handicapper who'll enjoy conditions today and has looked a bit better since being gelded. Won at Meydan back in February with the likes of Chiefofchiefs and Summerghand in behind him and shaped well in two starts back on these shores this season. Ran very well on the wrong part of the track at Royal Ascot and the only horse to beat him (narrowly) on the far side won a handicap next time out. Woven then stayed on from the rear at Newmarket but should be easier to do so here, flatter track can suit and the better ground too. Likely to run well at a double figure price.
2.25 Ascot - 2pts win Kasbaan @ 11/2 Bet365
Has been running over 7f this season having done much of his racing over 1m2f but I think a mile is what he wants and has perfect conditions today. Stayed on without threatening from a poor draw here over 7f last time and just didn't have the pace to keep its place at Newmarket the time before in a hot race where it paid to be held up anyway. Is off a winnable mark and now getting ideal conditions for the first time in a while can land the spoils.
3.00 Ascot - 0.5pts e/w Island Brave @ 30/1 Bet365
I just think this is a big price for a horse who we know stays, can go close off this mark and will enjoy a decent gallop which he should get today. Has shaped okay this season to suggest he can be competitive and able to stay on when others have cried enough so at the prices is worth an each way tickle.#
3.35 Ascot - 1pt e/w Medal Winner @ 12/1 Bet365
Won readily on seasonal reappearance at Kempton suggesting this mark wouldn't be beyond him (Cape Cavalli was 3rd so the form was decent) and although a bit mixed since, races have been on ground with cut in it and I just wonder if he's a quick ground horse as his best form has come on sound surfaces. If so, can't really knock his form and can bounce back on better ground today.
5.40 Newmarket - 1pt win Quloob @ 17/2 Hills
Not sure what the yard are planning with this one next after the curious effort at Goodwood last week but this is significantly easier and if they give him half a chance by not going a crazy gallop with first time blinkers on, could make this price look silly. Market will probably give us a clue but is worth chancing at the current odds.

12.30 Haydock - 0.5pts e/w Fast Deal @ 16/1 Bet365
You have to take a leap of faith with this one as he's definitely not the easiest but is well handicapped on his best form and has had excuses in both his final run at 2 (did too much too soon in a handicap off a significantly higher mark than he races off today, beaten 6 lengths) and both soft ground and longer trips (raced freely) have cost him any real chance this season. As such, I think he's worth chancing back to conditions that we know suit - a mile, sharp track and decent ground. He's come down the weights for those poorer efforts so will give a go at a big price.
1.00 Haydock - 2pts win Kayewhykelly @ 7/1 Bet365
I think the favourite is short to complete the hattrick up in the weights again, the second favourite has never won on turf and is tricky to win with - all five wins have come by a neck or less - and the third favourite looks weighted to its best so I think the bet here is Kayewhykelly who is more unexposed than most and can definitely win off this mark. Shaped well from off the pace at Beverley on seasonal reappearance and should come on plenty for that. The extra half furlong here will definitely suit and is off a fair mark on some pieces of form over an insufficient 6f last season - looks quite a generous price.
1.50 Ascot - 1pt e/w Woven @ 11/1 Bet365
Isn't thrown in at the weights but is a hardy handicapper who'll enjoy conditions today and has looked a bit better since being gelded. Won at Meydan back in February with the likes of Chiefofchiefs and Summerghand in behind him and shaped well in two starts back on these shores this season. Ran very well on the wrong part of the track at Royal Ascot and the only horse to beat him (narrowly) on the far side won a handicap next time out. Woven then stayed on from the rear at Newmarket but should be easier to do so here, flatter track can suit and the better ground too. Likely to run well at a double figure price.
2.25 Ascot - 2pts win Kasbaan @ 11/2 Bet365
Has been running over 7f this season having done much of his racing over 1m2f but I think a mile is what he wants and has perfect conditions today. Stayed on without threatening from a poor draw here over 7f last time and just didn't have the pace to keep its place at Newmarket the time before in a hot race where it paid to be held up anyway. Is off a winnable mark and now getting ideal conditions for the first time in a while can land the spoils.
3.00 Ascot - 0.5pts e/w Island Brave @ 30/1 Bet365
I just think this is a big price for a horse who we know stays, can go close off this mark and will enjoy a decent gallop which he should get today. Has shaped okay this season to suggest he can be competitive and able to stay on when others have cried enough so at the prices is worth an each way tickle.#
3.35 Ascot - 1pt e/w Medal Winner @ 12/1 Bet365
Won readily on seasonal reappearance at Kempton suggesting this mark wouldn't be beyond him (Cape Cavalli was 3rd so the form was decent) and although a bit mixed since, races have been on ground with cut in it and I just wonder if he's a quick ground horse as his best form has come on sound surfaces. If so, can't really knock his form and can bounce back on better ground today.
5.40 Newmarket - 1pt win Quloob @ 17/2 Hills
Not sure what the yard are planning with this one next after the curious effort at Goodwood last week but this is significantly easier and if they give him half a chance by not going a crazy gallop with first time blinkers on, could make this price look silly. Market will probably give us a clue but is worth chancing at the current odds.

12.15 Cartmel - 2pts win Fraterculus @ 9/2 Bet365
Many of these haven't run over hurdles yet but this one looks a live sort on debut in this sphere and is unexposed from three runs on the flat. They weren't bad efforts, midfield on debut before being beaten 5 lengths in 3rd on second start behind 90 and 80 something rated rivals. Was always going to be outclassed in race exclusively of 90+ rated horses last time but was only beaten 12 lengths which is no disgrace and gets a racing of 79 off the back of that. No real reason why he won't stay and looks as good as those, if not better, than his rivals on the flat.
12.35 Sandown - 1pt win Dark Illusion @ 8/1 Bet365
Eve Johnson Houghton wouldn't have many first time out winners so second time is often when to catch them and this one showed plenty of promise over 6f at Windsor on debut, only fading late on and should improve plenty for the experience. That wasn't a bad race at all with a couple of 80 rated yardsticks in there and this runner showed enough speed to suggest a stiff 5f won't be a problem and the quicker ground can help today too. Would expect a significant step forward with that under his belt and can go close. 
1.25 Cartmel - 2pts win Whateva Next @ 5/1 Bet365
Winning pointer who shaped okay in some novice races but stepped up with a good run on chasing and handicap debut last time, staying on over a shorter trip to not be beaten very far. His best efforts have all come on good to soft or quicker so you can mark up efforts on softer and now gets an extra few furlongs to help, having stayed on over both starts around 2m4f and this is an easier race to boot.
3.45 Cartmel - 2pts win Authorizo @ 7/1 Bet365
This looks a big price about a horse who seems to have turned a corner since having wind surgery with two good runs this season, staying on and not beaten too far in races better than this. Continues to edge down the weights and the long run in can play to his strengths here. Will appreciate the easier standard today and if continuing his progress this season, should be bang there at the finish.