![](https://forum.punterslounge.com/uploads/set_resources_13/84c1e40ea0e759e3f1505eb1788ddf3c_pattern.png)
Darran
-
Posts
7,224 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
185
Reputation Activity
-
Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Wednesday 30th June
The 1.55 at Worcester is a terrible contest and I have to give Royal Chant a decent chance as he makes his handicap debut off a mark of 92. He wouldn't be obviously well handicapped on the basis of his hunter chase form although he did get an RPR of 94 for his Musselburgh 4th and that is probably about right I would say. His last two efforts within a few days of each other at Southwell and Cartmel weren't as good, but his jockey reported that he stopped quickly at Southwell and he looked to do the same on the long run-in at Cartmel behind Dressedforsuccess. He has been given a wind op which you would think is what he needs based on those last two efforts. If it works then he really ought to be hitting the frame at the very least in this awful race which is certainly weaker than any hunter chase he's run in. The only real danger I can see is Regaby who went off favourite last time but fell at the first on his chasing debut. The hurdles run prior to that was decent and he could be on a fair mark. Conceal has had a wind op as well, but he had gone the wrong way over hurdles. If the op works though he could be capable of winning this. I find it hard to make any sort of case for the others though so hopefully the wind op has done the trick because Royal Chant looks over priced at 10-1. The Bowen horse was well backed last night, but he has shown little worthwhile form including when going off favourite last time. Maybe there was an issue that day and the yard are in much better form of course, but he wouldn't be for me. Royal Chant e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365 The 3.05 looks like being a fairly strong race for the grade, but I think Master Sunrise is worth a small e/w play again. He ran well enough when 2nd for us last time and the winner did it well. This is probably a stronger heat, but if he runs his race again then he could easily hit the frame and he's always the type of horse worth risking at a double figure price. Master Sunrise e/w @ 10/1 with Bet35 (some bookies are going 4 places) -
Darran got a reaction from Mindfulness in Racing Chat - Sunday 27th June
Dressedforsuccess runs in the 2.40 at Cartmel and I think he is worth backing e/w. He did us a good turn when winning the maiden hunter chase here on bank holiday Monday and I think there will be more to come going up in trip. He wore down Benefaktor on the long run in that day and as much as the pace duel he was in with the 3rd helped soften him up that is just the way he runs anyway and I think he's a little better than a 103 horse so that suggests to me that there is scope for Dressedforsuccess's mark being on the low side. I also think that the fact he was the only horse to come from behind off the quick pace suggests that he put in a very good performance. The ground has come right for him and he has joined the right trainer for Cartmel. The reason I am going e/w though is because it is a decent enough race for the grade. Peter Bowen's horses are back in form again after he had a very tough time of things last season and his Game Line is progressing well and might be up to defying the rise in the handicap after his last couple of wins. There are a couple of other dangers as well including Wishful Dreaming who hinted he might be able to take advantage of his falling handicap mark, but I think Dressedforsuccess can at least hit the frame and hopefully he can do even better than that.
Dressedforsuccess e/w @ 6/1 with everyone
-
Darran got a reaction from Alley Cat Glover in Racing Chat - Sunday 27th June
Dressedforsuccess runs in the 2.40 at Cartmel and I think he is worth backing e/w. He did us a good turn when winning the maiden hunter chase here on bank holiday Monday and I think there will be more to come going up in trip. He wore down Benefaktor on the long run in that day and as much as the pace duel he was in with the 3rd helped soften him up that is just the way he runs anyway and I think he's a little better than a 103 horse so that suggests to me that there is scope for Dressedforsuccess's mark being on the low side. I also think that the fact he was the only horse to come from behind off the quick pace suggests that he put in a very good performance. The ground has come right for him and he has joined the right trainer for Cartmel. The reason I am going e/w though is because it is a decent enough race for the grade. Peter Bowen's horses are back in form again after he had a very tough time of things last season and his Game Line is progressing well and might be up to defying the rise in the handicap after his last couple of wins. There are a couple of other dangers as well including Wishful Dreaming who hinted he might be able to take advantage of his falling handicap mark, but I think Dressedforsuccess can at least hit the frame and hopefully he can do even better than that.
Dressedforsuccess e/w @ 6/1 with everyone
-
Darran got a reaction from peanut peanut in Racing Chat - Sunday 27th June
Dressedforsuccess runs in the 2.40 at Cartmel and I think he is worth backing e/w. He did us a good turn when winning the maiden hunter chase here on bank holiday Monday and I think there will be more to come going up in trip. He wore down Benefaktor on the long run in that day and as much as the pace duel he was in with the 3rd helped soften him up that is just the way he runs anyway and I think he's a little better than a 103 horse so that suggests to me that there is scope for Dressedforsuccess's mark being on the low side. I also think that the fact he was the only horse to come from behind off the quick pace suggests that he put in a very good performance. The ground has come right for him and he has joined the right trainer for Cartmel. The reason I am going e/w though is because it is a decent enough race for the grade. Peter Bowen's horses are back in form again after he had a very tough time of things last season and his Game Line is progressing well and might be up to defying the rise in the handicap after his last couple of wins. There are a couple of other dangers as well including Wishful Dreaming who hinted he might be able to take advantage of his falling handicap mark, but I think Dressedforsuccess can at least hit the frame and hopefully he can do even better than that.
Dressedforsuccess e/w @ 6/1 with everyone
-
Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Sunday 27th June
Dressedforsuccess runs in the 2.40 at Cartmel and I think he is worth backing e/w. He did us a good turn when winning the maiden hunter chase here on bank holiday Monday and I think there will be more to come going up in trip. He wore down Benefaktor on the long run in that day and as much as the pace duel he was in with the 3rd helped soften him up that is just the way he runs anyway and I think he's a little better than a 103 horse so that suggests to me that there is scope for Dressedforsuccess's mark being on the low side. I also think that the fact he was the only horse to come from behind off the quick pace suggests that he put in a very good performance. The ground has come right for him and he has joined the right trainer for Cartmel. The reason I am going e/w though is because it is a decent enough race for the grade. Peter Bowen's horses are back in form again after he had a very tough time of things last season and his Game Line is progressing well and might be up to defying the rise in the handicap after his last couple of wins. There are a couple of other dangers as well including Wishful Dreaming who hinted he might be able to take advantage of his falling handicap mark, but I think Dressedforsuccess can at least hit the frame and hopefully he can do even better than that.
Dressedforsuccess e/w @ 6/1 with everyone
-
Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Sunday 27th June
Dressedforsuccess runs in the 2.40 at Cartmel and I think he is worth backing e/w. He did us a good turn when winning the maiden hunter chase here on bank holiday Monday and I think there will be more to come going up in trip. He wore down Benefaktor on the long run in that day and as much as the pace duel he was in with the 3rd helped soften him up that is just the way he runs anyway and I think he's a little better than a 103 horse so that suggests to me that there is scope for Dressedforsuccess's mark being on the low side. I also think that the fact he was the only horse to come from behind off the quick pace suggests that he put in a very good performance. The ground has come right for him and he has joined the right trainer for Cartmel. The reason I am going e/w though is because it is a decent enough race for the grade. Peter Bowen's horses are back in form again after he had a very tough time of things last season and his Game Line is progressing well and might be up to defying the rise in the handicap after his last couple of wins. There are a couple of other dangers as well including Wishful Dreaming who hinted he might be able to take advantage of his falling handicap mark, but I think Dressedforsuccess can at least hit the frame and hopefully he can do even better than that.
Dressedforsuccess e/w @ 6/1 with everyone
-
Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Sunday 27th June
Dressedforsuccess runs in the 2.40 at Cartmel and I think he is worth backing e/w. He did us a good turn when winning the maiden hunter chase here on bank holiday Monday and I think there will be more to come going up in trip. He wore down Benefaktor on the long run in that day and as much as the pace duel he was in with the 3rd helped soften him up that is just the way he runs anyway and I think he's a little better than a 103 horse so that suggests to me that there is scope for Dressedforsuccess's mark being on the low side. I also think that the fact he was the only horse to come from behind off the quick pace suggests that he put in a very good performance. The ground has come right for him and he has joined the right trainer for Cartmel. The reason I am going e/w though is because it is a decent enough race for the grade. Peter Bowen's horses are back in form again after he had a very tough time of things last season and his Game Line is progressing well and might be up to defying the rise in the handicap after his last couple of wins. There are a couple of other dangers as well including Wishful Dreaming who hinted he might be able to take advantage of his falling handicap mark, but I think Dressedforsuccess can at least hit the frame and hopefully he can do even better than that.
Dressedforsuccess e/w @ 6/1 with everyone
-
Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Australian Jumps season 2021
4 races at Casterton on Sunday morning. The desperate form continued on Wednesday, but hopefully things can change here.
Race 1 (2.15am)
Don't think this is an overly strong contest and Devon Miss looks over priced to me at double figures. She seems to be getting better as her hurdling career goes on and I think the 2nd at Hamilton two starts back was a good effort and she was in front of Kapuziner that day. She was also in front of Wristband when 3rd at Warrnambool last time. Now that one was having his first start over hurdles so might improve, but there is no way that Devon Miss should be such a bigger price than him. Just Rolling is the favourite making his hurdling debut and he's been running well on the flat.
Devon Miss 0.5pts e/w @ 12/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Race 2 (2.55am)
I thought this race looked a bit of a match between Jimmy's Secret and Scriba. I am going to side with Scriba who was 2nd on his hurdles debut behind Sir Edwin Landseer over course and distance in May where his jumping wasn't the best and he would have gone closer if he hadn't made a mess of the last. He's run OK on the flat since and if he can jump better for the experience then he's going to go close here.
Scriba 1pt @ 18/5 with Bet365
Race 3 (3.35am)
Hard to see Eckhart getting beat here as his form looks a fair way above his rivals. He's long odds on though so no bet.
Race 4 (4.15am)
This is quite an open contest, but I am surprised that Historic is favourite again. He ran better than he had been on Wednesday, but this is a tougher contest. I was impressed with Police Camp over course and distance back in May and I would imagine that this has been the target since then. He's had a prep run on the flat to keep him ticking over and he's the main bet. I also like the look of Historic's stable mate Mapping. He won over course and distance on this card last year and he is one who needs at least 2 runs to get fit. He's had that having run at Hamilton and Warrnambool this month. I think we will see an improved performance here.
Police Camp 1pt @ 17/5 with Bet365
Mapping 0.5pts @ 16/1 with Betfred
-
Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Australian Jumps season 2021
4 races at Casterton on Sunday morning. The desperate form continued on Wednesday, but hopefully things can change here.
Race 1 (2.15am)
Don't think this is an overly strong contest and Devon Miss looks over priced to me at double figures. She seems to be getting better as her hurdling career goes on and I think the 2nd at Hamilton two starts back was a good effort and she was in front of Kapuziner that day. She was also in front of Wristband when 3rd at Warrnambool last time. Now that one was having his first start over hurdles so might improve, but there is no way that Devon Miss should be such a bigger price than him. Just Rolling is the favourite making his hurdling debut and he's been running well on the flat.
Devon Miss 0.5pts e/w @ 12/1 with William Hill and Betfred
Race 2 (2.55am)
I thought this race looked a bit of a match between Jimmy's Secret and Scriba. I am going to side with Scriba who was 2nd on his hurdles debut behind Sir Edwin Landseer over course and distance in May where his jumping wasn't the best and he would have gone closer if he hadn't made a mess of the last. He's run OK on the flat since and if he can jump better for the experience then he's going to go close here.
Scriba 1pt @ 18/5 with Bet365
Race 3 (3.35am)
Hard to see Eckhart getting beat here as his form looks a fair way above his rivals. He's long odds on though so no bet.
Race 4 (4.15am)
This is quite an open contest, but I am surprised that Historic is favourite again. He ran better than he had been on Wednesday, but this is a tougher contest. I was impressed with Police Camp over course and distance back in May and I would imagine that this has been the target since then. He's had a prep run on the flat to keep him ticking over and he's the main bet. I also like the look of Historic's stable mate Mapping. He won over course and distance on this card last year and he is one who needs at least 2 runs to get fit. He's had that having run at Hamilton and Warrnambool this month. I think we will see an improved performance here.
Police Camp 1pt @ 17/5 with Bet365
Mapping 0.5pts @ 16/1 with Betfred
-
Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Australian Jumps season 2021
Not in a good run of form with these at the moment which is obviously disappointing. Hopefully I can turn it around and we still have 2 months of the season to go. Wednesday sees us move to South Australia which a chase and a hurdle from Murray Bridge.
Race 1 (2.53am)
Historic is favourite here and if he can go back to his 2019 form then he has a good chance, but the problem is he has pulled up twice and finished last in his 3 runs this prep. He has been off for 5 weeks so maybe we are going to see an improved performance, but I don't know how anyone could want to back him at 9/4. Coleridge is 2nd in and is making his chasing debut. He hasn't been asked to do a lot in a couple of trials over the larger obstacles so it is hard to know what to expect. He's nothing special over hurdles but is solid enough. Pentelligentsia won a weak race at Oakbank, but hasn't really backed that up since. He ran 3rd in a similar race here in April and he was behind Searaven that day which shows how weak that form is because he's the outsider here. I know I have put up Lucques the last twice and he was a bit disappointing at Casterton, but he was then brought down at Hamilton so that obviously wasn't his fault. He'd been consistent up until that point and for me he has the best form this season in this contest. I personally would make him favourite so at 4/1 he has to be the pick.
Lucques 1pt @ 4/1 with Bet365
Race 2 (3.30am)
Spying On You has to carry 79kgs here which is just over 12st4lbs. That is based on his chase rating and he was very good in winning the Great Eastern at Oakbank in April. I put him up in the Grand Annual after that, but he finished last and has just had a flat run since then. The last time he was seen under hurdles he didn't do much so I suspect he's using this as a prep for one of the big chase races coming up.
This is a weak race though and I think the favourite Looking Around can follow up his Hamilton success. He won by 6L and had Mazaz back in 3rd that day. Prior to that he ran a solid enough 5th at Sandown in a better race than this and had been 2nd at Casterton prior to that. He finished in front of Buckeye Nation that day and as much as he looks the main danger again I do think Looking Around can uphold that form.
Looking Around 2pts @ 7/5 with Bet365
-
Darran got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing chat - Tuesday 22nd June
The last race of the day comes at Newton Abbot and I think Awesome Tunes is worth a small interest at a double figure price. Granted the ground will be very different from his win in a point earlier in the month, but he has handled softer ground in the past so I am not too concerned about that. He's had 4 starts in points from April and managed to reverse form with Largy Mountain last time having been 12L behind him the time before. That suggests that a mark of 85 is one he could win off. Lure De Pres is around the same price as him and his pointing form isn't as good so I think he can beat him. Funky Sensation was beaten in two Restricted's in April and again his form isn't as good as Awesome Tunes' in points. He has a mark of 102 as well which looks very high to me. He had a run in a handicap earlier in the month and showed nothing when finishing last. He was backed last night, but I find it hard to see why myself. Kingston King has been well backed and is now a short price favourite. He ran well 6 days ago at Uttoxeter and if he builds on that he does look the one they all have to beat. Hopefully there are no more non-runners though as I think at 10/1 e/w he represents value certainly compared to the other two who have been pointing in this country in the last couple of seasons.
Awesome Tunes e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365
-
Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Australian Jumps season 2021
Not in a good run of form with these at the moment which is obviously disappointing. Hopefully I can turn it around and we still have 2 months of the season to go. Wednesday sees us move to South Australia which a chase and a hurdle from Murray Bridge.
Race 1 (2.53am)
Historic is favourite here and if he can go back to his 2019 form then he has a good chance, but the problem is he has pulled up twice and finished last in his 3 runs this prep. He has been off for 5 weeks so maybe we are going to see an improved performance, but I don't know how anyone could want to back him at 9/4. Coleridge is 2nd in and is making his chasing debut. He hasn't been asked to do a lot in a couple of trials over the larger obstacles so it is hard to know what to expect. He's nothing special over hurdles but is solid enough. Pentelligentsia won a weak race at Oakbank, but hasn't really backed that up since. He ran 3rd in a similar race here in April and he was behind Searaven that day which shows how weak that form is because he's the outsider here. I know I have put up Lucques the last twice and he was a bit disappointing at Casterton, but he was then brought down at Hamilton so that obviously wasn't his fault. He'd been consistent up until that point and for me he has the best form this season in this contest. I personally would make him favourite so at 4/1 he has to be the pick.
Lucques 1pt @ 4/1 with Bet365
Race 2 (3.30am)
Spying On You has to carry 79kgs here which is just over 12st4lbs. That is based on his chase rating and he was very good in winning the Great Eastern at Oakbank in April. I put him up in the Grand Annual after that, but he finished last and has just had a flat run since then. The last time he was seen under hurdles he didn't do much so I suspect he's using this as a prep for one of the big chase races coming up.
This is a weak race though and I think the favourite Looking Around can follow up his Hamilton success. He won by 6L and had Mazaz back in 3rd that day. Prior to that he ran a solid enough 5th at Sandown in a better race than this and had been 2nd at Casterton prior to that. He finished in front of Buckeye Nation that day and as much as he looks the main danger again I do think Looking Around can uphold that form.
Looking Around 2pts @ 7/5 with Bet365
-
Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing chat - Tuesday 22nd June
The last race of the day comes at Newton Abbot and I think Awesome Tunes is worth a small interest at a double figure price. Granted the ground will be very different from his win in a point earlier in the month, but he has handled softer ground in the past so I am not too concerned about that. He's had 4 starts in points from April and managed to reverse form with Largy Mountain last time having been 12L behind him the time before. That suggests that a mark of 85 is one he could win off. Lure De Pres is around the same price as him and his pointing form isn't as good so I think he can beat him. Funky Sensation was beaten in two Restricted's in April and again his form isn't as good as Awesome Tunes' in points. He has a mark of 102 as well which looks very high to me. He had a run in a handicap earlier in the month and showed nothing when finishing last. He was backed last night, but I find it hard to see why myself. Kingston King has been well backed and is now a short price favourite. He ran well 6 days ago at Uttoxeter and if he builds on that he does look the one they all have to beat. Hopefully there are no more non-runners though as I think at 10/1 e/w he represents value certainly compared to the other two who have been pointing in this country in the last couple of seasons.
Awesome Tunes e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365
-
Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing chat - Tuesday 22nd June
The last race of the day comes at Newton Abbot and I think Awesome Tunes is worth a small interest at a double figure price. Granted the ground will be very different from his win in a point earlier in the month, but he has handled softer ground in the past so I am not too concerned about that. He's had 4 starts in points from April and managed to reverse form with Largy Mountain last time having been 12L behind him the time before. That suggests that a mark of 85 is one he could win off. Lure De Pres is around the same price as him and his pointing form isn't as good so I think he can beat him. Funky Sensation was beaten in two Restricted's in April and again his form isn't as good as Awesome Tunes' in points. He has a mark of 102 as well which looks very high to me. He had a run in a handicap earlier in the month and showed nothing when finishing last. He was backed last night, but I find it hard to see why myself. Kingston King has been well backed and is now a short price favourite. He ran well 6 days ago at Uttoxeter and if he builds on that he does look the one they all have to beat. Hopefully there are no more non-runners though as I think at 10/1 e/w he represents value certainly compared to the other two who have been pointing in this country in the last couple of seasons.
Awesome Tunes e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365
-
Darran got a reaction from harrisman in Racing chat - Tuesday 22nd June
The last race of the day comes at Newton Abbot and I think Awesome Tunes is worth a small interest at a double figure price. Granted the ground will be very different from his win in a point earlier in the month, but he has handled softer ground in the past so I am not too concerned about that. He's had 4 starts in points from April and managed to reverse form with Largy Mountain last time having been 12L behind him the time before. That suggests that a mark of 85 is one he could win off. Lure De Pres is around the same price as him and his pointing form isn't as good so I think he can beat him. Funky Sensation was beaten in two Restricted's in April and again his form isn't as good as Awesome Tunes' in points. He has a mark of 102 as well which looks very high to me. He had a run in a handicap earlier in the month and showed nothing when finishing last. He was backed last night, but I find it hard to see why myself. Kingston King has been well backed and is now a short price favourite. He ran well 6 days ago at Uttoxeter and if he builds on that he does look the one they all have to beat. Hopefully there are no more non-runners though as I think at 10/1 e/w he represents value certainly compared to the other two who have been pointing in this country in the last couple of seasons.
Awesome Tunes e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365
-
Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing chat - Tuesday 22nd June
The last race of the day comes at Newton Abbot and I think Awesome Tunes is worth a small interest at a double figure price. Granted the ground will be very different from his win in a point earlier in the month, but he has handled softer ground in the past so I am not too concerned about that. He's had 4 starts in points from April and managed to reverse form with Largy Mountain last time having been 12L behind him the time before. That suggests that a mark of 85 is one he could win off. Lure De Pres is around the same price as him and his pointing form isn't as good so I think he can beat him. Funky Sensation was beaten in two Restricted's in April and again his form isn't as good as Awesome Tunes' in points. He has a mark of 102 as well which looks very high to me. He had a run in a handicap earlier in the month and showed nothing when finishing last. He was backed last night, but I find it hard to see why myself. Kingston King has been well backed and is now a short price favourite. He ran well 6 days ago at Uttoxeter and if he builds on that he does look the one they all have to beat. Hopefully there are no more non-runners though as I think at 10/1 e/w he represents value certainly compared to the other two who have been pointing in this country in the last couple of seasons.
Awesome Tunes e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365
-
Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Racing Chat - Sunday 20th June
The opener at Worcester features a horse I know very well in Master Sunrise and I think he is worth backing. First I will take a quick look at some of the dangers. King Golan is clearly an improved horse for the change of yard but he is 17lbs higher than his hurdle runs at Huntingdon and Hexham going back over fences. Debden Bank won well at Southwell when last seen in December, but that came on soft ground and I don't think the 2nd is as good on soft ground as he is on better ground so the form might be a bit suspect. Stamina unknown as well. Caviciana has been running fairly consistently over hurdles both in May and last summer and autumn. Just ran out of steam last time, but that was his first run since November so likely to come on for that. Taboo is 0/26 under rules and she is inconsistent as well as much as she has finished a close 2nd on 2 of her last 3 runs. Arthur's Reuben has been in good form although was a bit disappointing last time. Back down 3lbs will help though, but his win came off 76. Master Sunrise can be a very hard ride, but he has the right jockey on board for that as James has been riding out of his skin this year. He won off 90 back in July 2019 over course and distance and then he mainly lost his form after that. He has won two points the last 2 months and although the first was a fairly simple task, the 2nd was a good effort in the context of this race. He could bomb out as he does have two ways of running, but he usually runs well here and he is off a mark he can win off. To me King Golan and Caviciana look the main dangers, but Master Sunrise looks to have a fair e/w chance. Master Sunrise e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 or 14/1 with everyone else to 4 places In the 2.00 I am hoping Monsieur Gibraltar can get back to winning ways. I really fancied him a handicap last summer off a mark of 138 only for him to come out on the day. Therefore I am very interested in backing him off 126 this afternoon. Both runs in 2021 can be forgiven for me. He travelled really well for a long way at Fakenham, but just didn't see it out on his first run for over a year and I think it was his jockey's first ride back as well which also didn't help. Maxwell had ridden some poor races last season, but the worst of them was arguably the one he gave him at Stratford in the handicap hunter chase. Him and Alcala went way too fast and not surprisingly both tired very badly in the home straight. That run should bring him on again as well given it was 2 months after the Fakenham effort. I am slightly concerned he might just not be as good as he was, but I have seen enough to think he can win a race like this. I also imagine his trainer must think he is handicapped to win as well. The other big plus is that his owner isn't riding him. I have no idea why Maxwell has stopped riding as I have noticed that he also wasn't on one of his a couple of weeks ago. Given the season he had though it might just be he wanted to take a break, but like I say the fact he isn't on is a plus. They might well make the running with him as Princeton Royale is the only other one who is usually handy so he could get a nice lead with most of the others all hold up horses. Danse Idol has stuck to mares only races and has a chance as long as she does better than she did at Ludlow last time. Buster Thomas was a bit disappointing last time although ran well at Chepstow the time before over further. He is finding it hard to actually win one of these though and his placings mean he doesn't really get any respite from the handicapper. I suspect the main danger will be Whoshotwho who ran really well at Warwick in May after being off the track since December 2019. He was poor at Perth 10 days later, but there is every chance he bounced that day. If he repeats the Warwick run he will go close. Ultimately though this isn't a strong contest and if Monsieur Gibraltar can run up to his 2019 form then I think he wins. Monsieur Gibraltar @ 3/1 with everyone bar Bet365 -
Darran got a reaction from Offramp in Racing Chat - Sunday 20th June
The opener at Worcester features a horse I know very well in Master Sunrise and I think he is worth backing. First I will take a quick look at some of the dangers. King Golan is clearly an improved horse for the change of yard but he is 17lbs higher than his hurdle runs at Huntingdon and Hexham going back over fences. Debden Bank won well at Southwell when last seen in December, but that came on soft ground and I don't think the 2nd is as good on soft ground as he is on better ground so the form might be a bit suspect. Stamina unknown as well. Caviciana has been running fairly consistently over hurdles both in May and last summer and autumn. Just ran out of steam last time, but that was his first run since November so likely to come on for that. Taboo is 0/26 under rules and she is inconsistent as well as much as she has finished a close 2nd on 2 of her last 3 runs. Arthur's Reuben has been in good form although was a bit disappointing last time. Back down 3lbs will help though, but his win came off 76. Master Sunrise can be a very hard ride, but he has the right jockey on board for that as James has been riding out of his skin this year. He won off 90 back in July 2019 over course and distance and then he mainly lost his form after that. He has won two points the last 2 months and although the first was a fairly simple task, the 2nd was a good effort in the context of this race. He could bomb out as he does have two ways of running, but he usually runs well here and he is off a mark he can win off. To me King Golan and Caviciana look the main dangers, but Master Sunrise looks to have a fair e/w chance. Master Sunrise e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 or 14/1 with everyone else to 4 places In the 2.00 I am hoping Monsieur Gibraltar can get back to winning ways. I really fancied him a handicap last summer off a mark of 138 only for him to come out on the day. Therefore I am very interested in backing him off 126 this afternoon. Both runs in 2021 can be forgiven for me. He travelled really well for a long way at Fakenham, but just didn't see it out on his first run for over a year and I think it was his jockey's first ride back as well which also didn't help. Maxwell had ridden some poor races last season, but the worst of them was arguably the one he gave him at Stratford in the handicap hunter chase. Him and Alcala went way too fast and not surprisingly both tired very badly in the home straight. That run should bring him on again as well given it was 2 months after the Fakenham effort. I am slightly concerned he might just not be as good as he was, but I have seen enough to think he can win a race like this. I also imagine his trainer must think he is handicapped to win as well. The other big plus is that his owner isn't riding him. I have no idea why Maxwell has stopped riding as I have noticed that he also wasn't on one of his a couple of weeks ago. Given the season he had though it might just be he wanted to take a break, but like I say the fact he isn't on is a plus. They might well make the running with him as Princeton Royale is the only other one who is usually handy so he could get a nice lead with most of the others all hold up horses. Danse Idol has stuck to mares only races and has a chance as long as she does better than she did at Ludlow last time. Buster Thomas was a bit disappointing last time although ran well at Chepstow the time before over further. He is finding it hard to actually win one of these though and his placings mean he doesn't really get any respite from the handicapper. I suspect the main danger will be Whoshotwho who ran really well at Warwick in May after being off the track since December 2019. He was poor at Perth 10 days later, but there is every chance he bounced that day. If he repeats the Warwick run he will go close. Ultimately though this isn't a strong contest and if Monsieur Gibraltar can run up to his 2019 form then I think he wins. Monsieur Gibraltar @ 3/1 with everyone bar Bet365 -
Darran got a reaction from peanut peanut in Racing Chat - Sunday 20th June
The opener at Worcester features a horse I know very well in Master Sunrise and I think he is worth backing. First I will take a quick look at some of the dangers. King Golan is clearly an improved horse for the change of yard but he is 17lbs higher than his hurdle runs at Huntingdon and Hexham going back over fences. Debden Bank won well at Southwell when last seen in December, but that came on soft ground and I don't think the 2nd is as good on soft ground as he is on better ground so the form might be a bit suspect. Stamina unknown as well. Caviciana has been running fairly consistently over hurdles both in May and last summer and autumn. Just ran out of steam last time, but that was his first run since November so likely to come on for that. Taboo is 0/26 under rules and she is inconsistent as well as much as she has finished a close 2nd on 2 of her last 3 runs. Arthur's Reuben has been in good form although was a bit disappointing last time. Back down 3lbs will help though, but his win came off 76. Master Sunrise can be a very hard ride, but he has the right jockey on board for that as James has been riding out of his skin this year. He won off 90 back in July 2019 over course and distance and then he mainly lost his form after that. He has won two points the last 2 months and although the first was a fairly simple task, the 2nd was a good effort in the context of this race. He could bomb out as he does have two ways of running, but he usually runs well here and he is off a mark he can win off. To me King Golan and Caviciana look the main dangers, but Master Sunrise looks to have a fair e/w chance. Master Sunrise e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 or 14/1 with everyone else to 4 places In the 2.00 I am hoping Monsieur Gibraltar can get back to winning ways. I really fancied him a handicap last summer off a mark of 138 only for him to come out on the day. Therefore I am very interested in backing him off 126 this afternoon. Both runs in 2021 can be forgiven for me. He travelled really well for a long way at Fakenham, but just didn't see it out on his first run for over a year and I think it was his jockey's first ride back as well which also didn't help. Maxwell had ridden some poor races last season, but the worst of them was arguably the one he gave him at Stratford in the handicap hunter chase. Him and Alcala went way too fast and not surprisingly both tired very badly in the home straight. That run should bring him on again as well given it was 2 months after the Fakenham effort. I am slightly concerned he might just not be as good as he was, but I have seen enough to think he can win a race like this. I also imagine his trainer must think he is handicapped to win as well. The other big plus is that his owner isn't riding him. I have no idea why Maxwell has stopped riding as I have noticed that he also wasn't on one of his a couple of weeks ago. Given the season he had though it might just be he wanted to take a break, but like I say the fact he isn't on is a plus. They might well make the running with him as Princeton Royale is the only other one who is usually handy so he could get a nice lead with most of the others all hold up horses. Danse Idol has stuck to mares only races and has a chance as long as she does better than she did at Ludlow last time. Buster Thomas was a bit disappointing last time although ran well at Chepstow the time before over further. He is finding it hard to actually win one of these though and his placings mean he doesn't really get any respite from the handicapper. I suspect the main danger will be Whoshotwho who ran really well at Warwick in May after being off the track since December 2019. He was poor at Perth 10 days later, but there is every chance he bounced that day. If he repeats the Warwick run he will go close. Ultimately though this isn't a strong contest and if Monsieur Gibraltar can run up to his 2019 form then I think he wins. Monsieur Gibraltar @ 3/1 with everyone bar Bet365 -
Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Sunday 20th June
The opener at Worcester features a horse I know very well in Master Sunrise and I think he is worth backing. First I will take a quick look at some of the dangers. King Golan is clearly an improved horse for the change of yard but he is 17lbs higher than his hurdle runs at Huntingdon and Hexham going back over fences. Debden Bank won well at Southwell when last seen in December, but that came on soft ground and I don't think the 2nd is as good on soft ground as he is on better ground so the form might be a bit suspect. Stamina unknown as well. Caviciana has been running fairly consistently over hurdles both in May and last summer and autumn. Just ran out of steam last time, but that was his first run since November so likely to come on for that. Taboo is 0/26 under rules and she is inconsistent as well as much as she has finished a close 2nd on 2 of her last 3 runs. Arthur's Reuben has been in good form although was a bit disappointing last time. Back down 3lbs will help though, but his win came off 76. Master Sunrise can be a very hard ride, but he has the right jockey on board for that as James has been riding out of his skin this year. He won off 90 back in July 2019 over course and distance and then he mainly lost his form after that. He has won two points the last 2 months and although the first was a fairly simple task, the 2nd was a good effort in the context of this race. He could bomb out as he does have two ways of running, but he usually runs well here and he is off a mark he can win off. To me King Golan and Caviciana look the main dangers, but Master Sunrise looks to have a fair e/w chance. Master Sunrise e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 or 14/1 with everyone else to 4 places In the 2.00 I am hoping Monsieur Gibraltar can get back to winning ways. I really fancied him a handicap last summer off a mark of 138 only for him to come out on the day. Therefore I am very interested in backing him off 126 this afternoon. Both runs in 2021 can be forgiven for me. He travelled really well for a long way at Fakenham, but just didn't see it out on his first run for over a year and I think it was his jockey's first ride back as well which also didn't help. Maxwell had ridden some poor races last season, but the worst of them was arguably the one he gave him at Stratford in the handicap hunter chase. Him and Alcala went way too fast and not surprisingly both tired very badly in the home straight. That run should bring him on again as well given it was 2 months after the Fakenham effort. I am slightly concerned he might just not be as good as he was, but I have seen enough to think he can win a race like this. I also imagine his trainer must think he is handicapped to win as well. The other big plus is that his owner isn't riding him. I have no idea why Maxwell has stopped riding as I have noticed that he also wasn't on one of his a couple of weeks ago. Given the season he had though it might just be he wanted to take a break, but like I say the fact he isn't on is a plus. They might well make the running with him as Princeton Royale is the only other one who is usually handy so he could get a nice lead with most of the others all hold up horses. Danse Idol has stuck to mares only races and has a chance as long as she does better than she did at Ludlow last time. Buster Thomas was a bit disappointing last time although ran well at Chepstow the time before over further. He is finding it hard to actually win one of these though and his placings mean he doesn't really get any respite from the handicapper. I suspect the main danger will be Whoshotwho who ran really well at Warwick in May after being off the track since December 2019. He was poor at Perth 10 days later, but there is every chance he bounced that day. If he repeats the Warwick run he will go close. Ultimately though this isn't a strong contest and if Monsieur Gibraltar can run up to his 2019 form then I think he wins. Monsieur Gibraltar @ 3/1 with everyone bar Bet365 -
Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing Chat - Sunday 20th June
The opener at Worcester features a horse I know very well in Master Sunrise and I think he is worth backing. First I will take a quick look at some of the dangers. King Golan is clearly an improved horse for the change of yard but he is 17lbs higher than his hurdle runs at Huntingdon and Hexham going back over fences. Debden Bank won well at Southwell when last seen in December, but that came on soft ground and I don't think the 2nd is as good on soft ground as he is on better ground so the form might be a bit suspect. Stamina unknown as well. Caviciana has been running fairly consistently over hurdles both in May and last summer and autumn. Just ran out of steam last time, but that was his first run since November so likely to come on for that. Taboo is 0/26 under rules and she is inconsistent as well as much as she has finished a close 2nd on 2 of her last 3 runs. Arthur's Reuben has been in good form although was a bit disappointing last time. Back down 3lbs will help though, but his win came off 76. Master Sunrise can be a very hard ride, but he has the right jockey on board for that as James has been riding out of his skin this year. He won off 90 back in July 2019 over course and distance and then he mainly lost his form after that. He has won two points the last 2 months and although the first was a fairly simple task, the 2nd was a good effort in the context of this race. He could bomb out as he does have two ways of running, but he usually runs well here and he is off a mark he can win off. To me King Golan and Caviciana look the main dangers, but Master Sunrise looks to have a fair e/w chance. Master Sunrise e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 or 14/1 with everyone else to 4 places In the 2.00 I am hoping Monsieur Gibraltar can get back to winning ways. I really fancied him a handicap last summer off a mark of 138 only for him to come out on the day. Therefore I am very interested in backing him off 126 this afternoon. Both runs in 2021 can be forgiven for me. He travelled really well for a long way at Fakenham, but just didn't see it out on his first run for over a year and I think it was his jockey's first ride back as well which also didn't help. Maxwell had ridden some poor races last season, but the worst of them was arguably the one he gave him at Stratford in the handicap hunter chase. Him and Alcala went way too fast and not surprisingly both tired very badly in the home straight. That run should bring him on again as well given it was 2 months after the Fakenham effort. I am slightly concerned he might just not be as good as he was, but I have seen enough to think he can win a race like this. I also imagine his trainer must think he is handicapped to win as well. The other big plus is that his owner isn't riding him. I have no idea why Maxwell has stopped riding as I have noticed that he also wasn't on one of his a couple of weeks ago. Given the season he had though it might just be he wanted to take a break, but like I say the fact he isn't on is a plus. They might well make the running with him as Princeton Royale is the only other one who is usually handy so he could get a nice lead with most of the others all hold up horses. Danse Idol has stuck to mares only races and has a chance as long as she does better than she did at Ludlow last time. Buster Thomas was a bit disappointing last time although ran well at Chepstow the time before over further. He is finding it hard to actually win one of these though and his placings mean he doesn't really get any respite from the handicapper. I suspect the main danger will be Whoshotwho who ran really well at Warwick in May after being off the track since December 2019. He was poor at Perth 10 days later, but there is every chance he bounced that day. If he repeats the Warwick run he will go close. Ultimately though this isn't a strong contest and if Monsieur Gibraltar can run up to his 2019 form then I think he wins. Monsieur Gibraltar @ 3/1 with everyone bar Bet365 -
Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Australian Jumps season 2021
Hamilton was a complete bomb out which was very frustrating. Hopefully I can bounce back at Warrnambool on Thursday with 1 Steeple, 3 Maiden Hurdles and a cracking Open Hurdle to end the jumps action.
Race 1 (2.05am)
American In Paris was impressive last time and is understandably a short price to win this. I can't really seeing Longclaw reversing form. Social Element is an interesting chasing debutant, but I'm not sure he wants this ground. San Remo does at least handle the ground and he can go well.
No bet
Race 3 (3.20am)
No surprise that Karakoram heads the betting as he was only just denied at Hamilton last time. The ground would be a slight concern, but he looks the one to beat. I am going to take a small chance on Under The Bridge though. He didn't run very well on the flat last time, but I thought his debut hurdle run over course and distance was a good effort in a stronger race than this. The ground will be the same here as well and I think he can go well.
Under The Bridge 0.5pts @ 9/1 with Betfred
Race 4 (4am)
Chances are one of the front two in the betting will take this. Wazuzu was beaten 11L into 2nd on his only hurdle run last August on a Heavy 10, but he gapped the rest and the form is decent enough. He's had 3 flat runs since April and run OK as well as 4 hurdle trials so he should be fit. I am going to go with Pueblo though. He was 3rd in the race Under The Bridge ran here in May and I rate that a better effort than Wazuzu's. He ticked over nicely on the flat earlier in the month and he can go two places better.
Pueblo 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365
Race 5 (4.40am)
I am going to back He's All White and Sandman again in this contest. He's All White has 3 placings from his 4 hurdle starts and this could finally be the race he gets his head in front in. He was 2nd over course and distance last July on a Heavy 10 so back on a heavy track should suit. Sandman was sound enough at Hamilton although annoyingly finished 4th. Again back on a heavy track I think he can run well again. Wristband is favourite and he makes his hurdle debut on the back of a win in a 0-58 on the flat. He won 2 of his hurdle trail as well so has a chance, but he looks short enough to me.
He's All White 1pt @ 4/1 with Betfred
Sandman 0.5pts @ 8/1 with Bet365
Race 6 (5.20am)
What a race this is and I'm glad I need to be up for work so I can watch it live. Runaway is a classy horse who clearly didn't run his race at Pakenham in April. He's had 3 steeple trials since so you would imagine this might be a pipe opener ahead of going over fences. It's enough to put me off, but he's good enough to win.
Out And Dreaming is 2/3 over hurdles and did it well at Sandown last time in a BM120. He's up in grade here and I'm not sure he will be up to it, but I certainly respect his chances.
Home By Midnight was very impressive in his maiden win last August and he was the one who beat Wazuzu by 11L. He ran well in the Australian Hurdle last time and the testing ground clearly suits him.
I love the way Annunciate jumps hurdles and I think he's promising, but he could well find this a bit tough at this stage.
Any of those could win, but I am going to side with Inayforhay. He is 2 from 2 over hurdles and they both came here which I think is crucial. He ran really well on the flat last time which should put him spot on for this. Again he has had a steeple trial, but he beat Runaway in it and I think he can take this on his way to possibly going over fences.
Inayforhay 1pt @ 5/2 with Betfred
-
Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Australian Jumps season 2021
Hamilton was a complete bomb out which was very frustrating. Hopefully I can bounce back at Warrnambool on Thursday with 1 Steeple, 3 Maiden Hurdles and a cracking Open Hurdle to end the jumps action.
Race 1 (2.05am)
American In Paris was impressive last time and is understandably a short price to win this. I can't really seeing Longclaw reversing form. Social Element is an interesting chasing debutant, but I'm not sure he wants this ground. San Remo does at least handle the ground and he can go well.
No bet
Race 3 (3.20am)
No surprise that Karakoram heads the betting as he was only just denied at Hamilton last time. The ground would be a slight concern, but he looks the one to beat. I am going to take a small chance on Under The Bridge though. He didn't run very well on the flat last time, but I thought his debut hurdle run over course and distance was a good effort in a stronger race than this. The ground will be the same here as well and I think he can go well.
Under The Bridge 0.5pts @ 9/1 with Betfred
Race 4 (4am)
Chances are one of the front two in the betting will take this. Wazuzu was beaten 11L into 2nd on his only hurdle run last August on a Heavy 10, but he gapped the rest and the form is decent enough. He's had 3 flat runs since April and run OK as well as 4 hurdle trials so he should be fit. I am going to go with Pueblo though. He was 3rd in the race Under The Bridge ran here in May and I rate that a better effort than Wazuzu's. He ticked over nicely on the flat earlier in the month and he can go two places better.
Pueblo 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365
Race 5 (4.40am)
I am going to back He's All White and Sandman again in this contest. He's All White has 3 placings from his 4 hurdle starts and this could finally be the race he gets his head in front in. He was 2nd over course and distance last July on a Heavy 10 so back on a heavy track should suit. Sandman was sound enough at Hamilton although annoyingly finished 4th. Again back on a heavy track I think he can run well again. Wristband is favourite and he makes his hurdle debut on the back of a win in a 0-58 on the flat. He won 2 of his hurdle trail as well so has a chance, but he looks short enough to me.
He's All White 1pt @ 4/1 with Betfred
Sandman 0.5pts @ 8/1 with Bet365
Race 6 (5.20am)
What a race this is and I'm glad I need to be up for work so I can watch it live. Runaway is a classy horse who clearly didn't run his race at Pakenham in April. He's had 3 steeple trials since so you would imagine this might be a pipe opener ahead of going over fences. It's enough to put me off, but he's good enough to win.
Out And Dreaming is 2/3 over hurdles and did it well at Sandown last time in a BM120. He's up in grade here and I'm not sure he will be up to it, but I certainly respect his chances.
Home By Midnight was very impressive in his maiden win last August and he was the one who beat Wazuzu by 11L. He ran well in the Australian Hurdle last time and the testing ground clearly suits him.
I love the way Annunciate jumps hurdles and I think he's promising, but he could well find this a bit tough at this stage.
Any of those could win, but I am going to side with Inayforhay. He is 2 from 2 over hurdles and they both came here which I think is crucial. He ran really well on the flat last time which should put him spot on for this. Again he has had a steeple trial, but he beat Runaway in it and I think he can take this on his way to possibly going over fences.
Inayforhay 1pt @ 5/2 with Betfred
-
Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Australian Jumps season 2021
Hamilton was a complete bomb out which was very frustrating. Hopefully I can bounce back at Warrnambool on Thursday with 1 Steeple, 3 Maiden Hurdles and a cracking Open Hurdle to end the jumps action.
Race 1 (2.05am)
American In Paris was impressive last time and is understandably a short price to win this. I can't really seeing Longclaw reversing form. Social Element is an interesting chasing debutant, but I'm not sure he wants this ground. San Remo does at least handle the ground and he can go well.
No bet
Race 3 (3.20am)
No surprise that Karakoram heads the betting as he was only just denied at Hamilton last time. The ground would be a slight concern, but he looks the one to beat. I am going to take a small chance on Under The Bridge though. He didn't run very well on the flat last time, but I thought his debut hurdle run over course and distance was a good effort in a stronger race than this. The ground will be the same here as well and I think he can go well.
Under The Bridge 0.5pts @ 9/1 with Betfred
Race 4 (4am)
Chances are one of the front two in the betting will take this. Wazuzu was beaten 11L into 2nd on his only hurdle run last August on a Heavy 10, but he gapped the rest and the form is decent enough. He's had 3 flat runs since April and run OK as well as 4 hurdle trials so he should be fit. I am going to go with Pueblo though. He was 3rd in the race Under The Bridge ran here in May and I rate that a better effort than Wazuzu's. He ticked over nicely on the flat earlier in the month and he can go two places better.
Pueblo 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365
Race 5 (4.40am)
I am going to back He's All White and Sandman again in this contest. He's All White has 3 placings from his 4 hurdle starts and this could finally be the race he gets his head in front in. He was 2nd over course and distance last July on a Heavy 10 so back on a heavy track should suit. Sandman was sound enough at Hamilton although annoyingly finished 4th. Again back on a heavy track I think he can run well again. Wristband is favourite and he makes his hurdle debut on the back of a win in a 0-58 on the flat. He won 2 of his hurdle trail as well so has a chance, but he looks short enough to me.
He's All White 1pt @ 4/1 with Betfred
Sandman 0.5pts @ 8/1 with Bet365
Race 6 (5.20am)
What a race this is and I'm glad I need to be up for work so I can watch it live. Runaway is a classy horse who clearly didn't run his race at Pakenham in April. He's had 3 steeple trials since so you would imagine this might be a pipe opener ahead of going over fences. It's enough to put me off, but he's good enough to win.
Out And Dreaming is 2/3 over hurdles and did it well at Sandown last time in a BM120. He's up in grade here and I'm not sure he will be up to it, but I certainly respect his chances.
Home By Midnight was very impressive in his maiden win last August and he was the one who beat Wazuzu by 11L. He ran well in the Australian Hurdle last time and the testing ground clearly suits him.
I love the way Annunciate jumps hurdles and I think he's promising, but he could well find this a bit tough at this stage.
Any of those could win, but I am going to side with Inayforhay. He is 2 from 2 over hurdles and they both came here which I think is crucial. He ran really well on the flat last time which should put him spot on for this. Again he has had a steeple trial, but he beat Runaway in it and I think he can take this on his way to possibly going over fences.
Inayforhay 1pt @ 5/2 with Betfred
-
Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in VIRTUAL RACING
It is done by the same company that do the ITV4 version and the one that replaced the real one last year. When they do those they are based on real life events to help make it as realistic as a result as possible, but the versions shown in the bookies are just like any other virtual and are just a random number draw. The one thing I will say though is it does make it more exciting when you are talking about the likes of Red Rum and Crisp compared to some random virtual horse name.