Darran
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Posts posted by Darran
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Aug 12-13
No profit from either trade tonight but no real damage done. Decent game and I thought Stockport played some good football but lacked a strategy - it all seemed to break down after a few passes' date=' which could have been early-season rustiness, or it could be that they just haven't got a strategy; FGR stuck to their system, but were so inflexible that they progressively allowed Stockport back into the game. Without set-pieces, FGR created hardly anything. The score was about right, I'd say. It's impossible to extrapolate May's positions from a Friday night in August, but it wouldn't surprise me if both sides finished top half, outside the play-offs.[/quote'] I thought Stockport had a sense of not really knowing what was going on as well. Be interesting to see if Didi can sort things out, I just got the sense he didnt really know what he was doing. -
Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Aug 12-13 Id be interested to hear what others think who saw the game tonight, but I thought Stockport's performance in the second half was over hyped a bit. Yes they improved and FGR didnt have too much of the game in the 2nd half but I wouldnt have said they looked like they were going to score and the goal only came from a defensive/keeper mistake and came off Chadwick's cheek. That game could easily have been 0-0 for me as in the first half FGR didnt create much and the goal again was down to shocking defending. Also Hamman pretty much admitted he knew very little about the league and the team will take a while to get going I fancy.
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Aug 12-13 Not a tip but the FGR v Stockport game will be free to view on Friday for everyone with Sky. Seems like a good idea to me given there is no other football on tomorrow night although I doubt it will make much of a difference. http://www.bluesqfootball.com/story/0,20970,13040_7092972,00.html
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Re: RP live reporters Certain freelancers have many jobs I think I counted one guy had about 8 jobs at one point. As for the live reporters some put hardly anything up but I have seen others put some useful info up like quotes from trainers and how the horses look in the parade ring. It seems like a good feature to me.
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Re: England > Non-league antepost > Evo-Stik Southern Prem 2011/12
Think it was Feb/March time although I dont suppose bwin would have let you win much anyway.Really? Very sad to hear that, was fancying my chances of making a few quid on this division in the forthcoming season :cry -
Re: England > Non-league antepost > Evo-Stik Southern Prem 2011/12
I doubt you will as they stopped betting on Step 4 during last season. -
Re: England > Non-league antepost > Evo-Stik Southern Prem 2011/12
I havent tried to place a bet but you may as well add me to that list given the limits they place on me.There's some reasons for that as they've picked up some good signings over the summer, to add to a fairly solid squad. Feedback from other punters - a straw poll of three! - is that Skybet's are even more sacred than usual: no each way terms, limited singles and no multiples. Make you wonder why they go to all the effort of compiling prices. -
Re: England > Non-league antepost > Evo-Stik Southern Prem 2011/12 Im guessing there has been a bit of money for Mangotsfield as they know head the market at 7/2.
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Aug 12-13 Although Ive been a bit distracted by whats been happening in London I am pleased that Wrexham seem to have got things sorted.
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Re: England > Non-league antepost > Ryman Prem 2011/12 Surprised Dulwich are such a big price after they very nearly got promoted last season.
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Re: Shergar Cup Thread The Premier Enclousure had sold out before the day and it has to be said it was great value for money as the concert after racing went on for 3 hours and wasnt due to end until 8.30.
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Re: Shergar Cup Thread
Surely it depends what horses they were on. To be fair Peslier doesnt seem to be at his best this year from what I have seen of him. Seems like the whole event was a success with a crowd that I think was bigger than King George Day. They are hoping to get the same sort of crowd to Champions Day but I bet they dont.In an interview Olivier Peslier joked he was aiming for last place in the individual jockey table , he comes last even behind J Crowley ! Coincidence or does he value it less than a claimer at Saint Cloud where the prestige and prizemoney is greater. -
Re: Shergar Cup Thread
Ascot are the only track who decided to sell their rights seperatly so they choose ATR for the TV coverage and for some reason the waste of space that is Turf TV for the betting shop coverage.Didnt they have a deal with Turf TV once? -
Re: Shergar Cup Thread
It says a lot where I would rather Thommo had of done it. Chapman hasnt got the voice to do things like that and it was horrible. I wonder if this could be the start of Chapman becoming the new Thommo?That introduction with Matt Chapman in the parade thing was the most cringeworthy thing I have ever seen on a racecourse -
Re: England > Non-league antepost > BlueSQ Bet South 2011-12 I would love to know why, at the time of writing, Betfred have Dover as favourites over Woking. Woking for me are the strongest fancy this year in the non-league ante post markets. They were destined for mid-table obscurity until Gary Hill came in as manager and he turned things around big time, getting them into the play-offs. He has now had a pre-season to shape the team into how he wants it and the signings he has made look impressive. Pre-season has gone well and I have to say it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they walked away with this league as they look much stronger than the rest. At 11/2 they are the biggest priced favourites in non-league which is another reason why they are a cracking bet. Away from Woking it is wide open and it’s hard to name one team that could be the main danger. Dover won me a bundle last year but the loss of Adam Birchall is massive and although George Purcell is a solid replacement he isn’t in the same class. Their poor home form needs improving but I will be keeping a close eye to see if they are going to be as strong away as they were last year. Chelmsford have increased the budget and should be play-off contenders, Eastbourne look solid and can go well, as should the promoted duo Salisbury and Sutton. Boreham Wood have spent a bit of money over the summer and are ones to watch as they need to improve a fair bit on what they did last season, but they may be capable of doing just that.
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Re: England > Non-league antepost > BlueSQ Bet North 2011-12 I mentioned at the end of last season that I liked Stalybridge Celtic with a view to this season and I am still with them strongly. Last year they looked a long term vision with the team going full time and the superb Jim Harvey as manager. They struggled at the start as the young squad adjusted to life in the league, but in the second half things turned around and the team looked to really gel. With a full season behind them, and the majority of the team intact, they look to be in really solid shape. There is a part of me which wonders if this still may be a season too soon but at 12/1 I think that has been factored into the price and they are a solid each-way bet. Halifax have been the big movers and it’s not hard to see them going close. I do think though the price is rather skinny and although they continue to claim that Jamie Vardy isn’t going anywhere, it wouldn’t be a shock to see him leave before the season starts, or in January. I’m happy to leave them alone at the current odds. Nuneaton are the main dangers for me as they look to build on finishing in the play-offs last time. It’s hard to think they won’t go close as I can see them being better than last season after a year at this level and Paddy Power are best at 10/1. The other team I’m going to have a play on is Droylsden. I was keen on them last year but after their unfortunate defeat to Leyton Orient in the FA Cup it all seemed to go a bit wrong. They still look like they have one of the better teams in the division and at bet 365’s 16/1 they are worth a small interest.
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Re: England > Non-league antepost > BlueSQ Bet Prem 2011-12 Ships has already alluded in his superb write up on the league that I am very keen on Newport but this is my in depth view on the league. Newport would have been in the play-offs if Dean Holdsworth had not left to become Aldershot manager, after which they couldn’t buy a win. Anthony Hudson came in for the final few games and did a great job during that time. They have lost a couple of decent players since then, including Paul Bignot who has gone to Blackpool, but Hudson has recruited well and I think the squad has the potential to be stronger than last year. The best of the signings for me are Craig McAllister, who was a major part of Crawley’s team, and goalkeeper Danny Potter. There also has to be the very strong possibility that Harry Redknapp will help his former colleague during the season as well which looks another positive. A decent pre-season has done no harm either and I can not believe that they are still available at 16/1 (bet365). They look massive value at those odds. As always, Luton are favourites and as always they are rotten value to win the league. Getting Gary Brabin in as manager was a positive move but he has really struggled in the transfer market over the summer and in my view Luton look weaker going into this campaign. They seem to be lacking up front and given they only finished 3rd last year, I just can’t see them winning the league this time around, although they should be in the top five. Fleetwood have been the big gambles of the summer, which isn’t a surprise considering the signings they have made. They certainly have one of the strongest sides in the division but they don’t seem capable of walking away with the league like Crawley did and their odds seem skinny now. Stockport have also been well backed since Dietmar Hamann came in as a manager, however I don’t fancy them at all. It’s been proven that you need experience of this level to do well in the BSP and I would be amazed if Hamann has ever watched a BSP match before. At the time of writing they have a squad lacking in numbers which has to be a bit of a concern. FA Trophy winners Darlington should go well again but given the way Mark Cooper sets his team up away from home they will draw too many to finish on top. Wrexham can’t be touched given their problems and they look weaker than last season as well, while I don’t like the management duo at Grimsby, although at 16/1 they are probably a little over priced with the squad at their disposal. Mansfield promised to spend big this summer, but they haven’t and are too short in the market. My biggest dangers to Newport come in the form of York. First of all I am not a fan of their main summer recruit Jason Walker who was a bit of a flop at Luton and looks a waste of money, however Gary Mills’ other signings have been decent and they have a solid squad. Their home form has always been superb and if they can improve a little on their away results they should be up their challenging. William Hill are 12/1 and that looks worth taking. Finally a couple of sides who I think will do better than their odds suggest - Cambridge United and Gateshead. Cambridge have a young side but one that looks capable of being on the edge of the play-offs. Gateshead went to pieces after their great FA Trophy run but the team has been strengthened and there is no way they should be as big as 125/1. Bet365 have them at +28 on the handicap and that, along with Newport at +14, looks like the play
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Re: Who's the Daddy ? - CANFORD CLIFFS RETIRED
I think your being a bit harsh on Canford Cliffs there to be honest. He beat Goldikova who you cant call average at all. He has won 5 Group 1s and any horse who has managed to do that is a rather good horse in my view. I guess we will never know if he is actually injured or not but to be beaten by Frankel is no bad thing regardless.I suppose Canford Cliffs was injured in the Greenham too. If Canford Cliffs lost next time out then he would be exposed as a good horse from an average generation and probably effecting his stud fee. Let's be honest, they done well getting a Tagula to stretch a mile. He come up sort against the very best. I wouldn't be sending my broodmare to him. Also, I think Harbour Watch plays a big part in this decision -
Re: England > Non-league antepost > Evo-Stik Southern Prem 2011/12 Just to say Totesport and Betfred are now the same if you werent aware so thats why Totesport have gone down this low which they dont usually.
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Re: England > Non-league antepost > Ryman Prem 2011/12 Sadly we dont even get relegation betting for the BSP let alone down in step 3.
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Re: Who's the Daddy ? - CANFORD CLIFFS RETIRED Im a Frankel fan but the way Canford hung suggested something wasnt right with the horse and now its come out that there is. It for me leaves a bit of a cloud over the Sussex Stakes, in my view what he did at Newmarket was better anyway.
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Re: England > Non-league antepost > Ryman Prem 2011/12 Just to add further weight behind Lowestoft I too am a big fan. Like paulg I was on them last season e/w and they just let me down but hopefully they can make full amends this season. I have also nibbled on Wealdstone due to the Jolly factor. If he stays fit he should score plenty and that should see them go close and I think at the price there is enough value to have a small play. Theres no need for me to add anything else as Ships has covered it all.
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Re: When Jockeys Drop Their Hands............... Well it was that I backed a winner rather than a loser
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Re: When Jockeys Drop Their Hands............... Not exactly what you are asking but I think it fits in, I backed the horse that ended up winning the infamous Lingfield race where Fallon stopped riding. I think it was called Yes and was trianed by Jamie Osbourne. At the time it was my biggest ever bet on a horse.
England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Aug 12-13
in Non League Predictions
Posted
Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Aug 12-13 Here are my first tips of the new season. Kettering v Newport If you have read my ante-post piece it won’t come as much surprise to see that I am tipping up Newport to get off to a flyer on Saturday. Imraan Ladak has rather strangely chosen Morell Maison as his new manager and although he has made one or two interesting signings over the summer, I get the feeling they might end up in a relegation battle. Also this is down as a home game but given it will be their first match at Rushden & Diamonds’ ground it will be strange for players and fans alike. I’m not going to repeat myself on Newport but this looks a nice chance for them to start off with a win and the sponsors go top price at 7/5. Kidderminster v Gateshead Steve Burr did a fantastic job at Kidderminster last season to almost get them into the play-offs. My feeling is that he is going to have a pretty tough job to repeat that this season and although he may be up to it, I actually think Saturday’s opponents could well finish above them at the end of April. As I wrote in my ante-post preview, I think Gateshead have got it in them to surprise this season and they look a big price at 16/5 with bet365. Ian Bogie has got a good side together and they should not be that sort of price to win this. Southport v Lincoln The home side won the AGM Cup this year and managed to stay in the Blue Square Premier despite the fact they were relegated on the last day of the season. They had spells last term where they were fairly hard to beat at home but Liam Watson has struggled to add to his squad and in my view he will be doing very well if he keeps them up. Steve Tilson has been much busier over the summer at Lincoln after relegation from the Football League and to be fair he looks like he has got a fairly good squad at his disposal. I would expect there to be a big points difference between these two teams come the end and I am happy taking bet365’s 13/10. I have like others on here already backed Cambridge United and I still dont think its a dead bet but at the same time it would be a game I would leave alone now. I was thinking about Alfreton as well but I just dont think the price offers a lot of value as Im not sure how strong Alfreton will be this season but I certainly understand why people would want to back them.