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Darran

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Posts posted by Darran

  1. Re: England > Midweek > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 20

    Anyone taking short prices on Luton tonight need to be aware we only have 2 fit defenders tonight. Admittedly that is more than we finished with on Saturday but it's not ideal. Sent from my Desire HD using PL Forum
    It would seem though that if ever there was a game to have a problem in defense it would be this one as Bath have only scored 4 times so far this season and its been a real issue for them.
  2. Re: Cycling 2011

    Morning. Anyone seen any odds for the Worlds in Copenhagen starting 19th Sep? A search has drawn a blank so far on the "net" but I havent checked in any shops yet.
    Bookies are starting to price them up now. Having seen the form Cav is in for myself on Sunday he has to have a very good chance and Im surprised at how big his price is.
  3. Re: England > Midweek > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 20

    anyone got any tips for bath city v luton as im thinking ive having a big double with them and inter milan:unsure
    Lets put it this way it would be a pretty big shock should Luton not win tonight. Bath are beginning to show some signs of improvement and they were a bit unlucky not to get something out of their last two games, but Luton seem to be on top of their game at the moment and should win.
  4. Re: England > Midweek > BlueSQ Bet North & South Sept 19-20 Boston v Hinckley Hinckley were struggling and looked a pretty poor side before offering two amazing performances and things are looking brighter now. First up they went two down against Halifax and managed to win 3-2 before the exact same thing happened when they faced Droylsden on Saturday. For a team to do that twice shows great character and I think they have a real chance of making it three wins on the trot here. I watched Boston against Bishops Stortford a couple of weeks ago and they looked a poor side and I’d be amazed if they were to get anywhere near the play-off spot they achieved last term. They were lucky to win that day when they scored with the last kick of the game, having been second best for most of the match. They have yet to win at home and are actually below Hinckley in the table. Boston are odds on to win this and I don’t think they deserve to be. Bwin’s 13/5 on an away win looks value. Eastwood v Bishops Stortford The home side appear to be in a bit of a mess at the moment with joint-manager Craig Armstrong quitting last week, and a couple of board members followed him out the door. Jamie Brough, who owns the club, is also the manager and fans are not happy with what is going on. They were hammered 4-0 by Nuneaton on Saturday and by all accounts the players’ heads dropped after they went 2-0 down. Changes clearly need to be made and they have only got one point in their last five attempts. I have seen Bishops Stortford three times this season and they were poor against Colwyn Bay, better against Boston and deserved at least a point, and were just outclassed by Stalybridge Celtic on Saturday. They still showed glimmers of promise and I think they could do better against the lesser sides in the league, as the Boston effort suggested. Their away form is awful so far but given what is going on at Eastwood I am happy to take a chance with Bishops Stortford as I think they are more than capable of winning a game like this. Bet365 are biggest about an away win at 11/5. Guiseley v Halifax Halifax were backed into 7/2 to win the Blue Square North before the season started, however backers may as well throw their tickets in the bin as I really can’t see them pulling it off after the start they have made, and are already 20 points behind leaders Hyde. I wrote above about what happened at Hinckley but on Saturday it got even worse as they lost 5-1 at home to Vauxhall Motors and played against ten-men for most of the match. It seems like they are struggling not only to cope at this level but also with losing star man Jamie Vardy to Fleetwood. For me three sides look like they could have the league between them as Hyde, Stalybridge and Guiseley seem a cut above the rest at the moment. Guiseley have won five of five at home, scoring 18 goals and only conceding two in the process. Halifax will probably improve at some point, but as I say, Guiseley are a very strong side and odds of 10/11 (Paddy Power) look generous, considering how the two teams are performing right now. Bromley v Woking I was correct on Saturday with what I said about Staines and Bromley, as Staines won 4-1. As I mentioned, I get the feeling Bromley’s performances haven’t always been as good as their results suggest and they face the best team in the Blue Square South on Tuesday night in Woking. The away side have got over a little sticky spell where goals proved an issue and have now scored 15 in their last four, including putting three past Dover on Saturday. VC go a pretty generous 10/11 about Woking gaining another three points which they should do with ease.

  5. Re: England > Midweek > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 20 Newport County v Stockport County The two Counties face each other in Wales on Tuesday and it is fair to say I am left slightly baffled by the odds. One team has lost six games, while the other has only lost one, yet the former are somehow favourites. I wrote on Saturday how I was happy to oppose Newport until they showed signs of improvement and although they demonstrated no lack of effort, they only managed one shot on target during the 90 minutes, losing 1-0 to Braintree. Stockport meanwhile put in their best performance of the season and finally scored more than one goal in a match when they beat Grimsby 2-0. One slight concern is the fact they have drawn six times so far, but I think that is more than factored into the price of 2/1 (Coral). Stockport should be favourites to win this game so 2/1 is massive. Tamworth v Forest Green Rovers The home side seem to have a knack of starting the season strongly before it all goes horribly wrong and they then find themselves in a relegation battle. My feeling is though that could change this year as they look pretty strong under new boss Marcus Law. Their home form has been solid so far, having won three and drawn one, including beating York last time out. Forest Green are having a rather stuttering season but they have still only beaten Alfreton and Bath as of yet. They are yet to lose on their travels but performances haven’t always been impressive and this is a tough game. Even money is readily available for a home win and I think that is worth taking.

  6. Re: England > Midweek > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 20

    Hayes & Yeading V Braintree Town I believe Braintree have won 3 on the bounce in the league but I think it will be difficult to get a 4th consecutive win at Hayes & Yeading tommorow. As I understand it Hayes are good on the counter? I don't know whether this will be an advantage against Braintree as I don't know how they setup but I'm pretty sure their main asset is defence. My initial instinct tells me Hayes will not loose this game and Hayes & Yeading +0 looks tempting @ 21/20. Would like to hear folks opinions of this potential punt.
    I cant say its a game I like from a punting point of view. Braintree are a very solid outfit and one I think will continue to be hard to beat. Im not sure what to make of Hayes but they have only won once since the opening day of the season although they have on the whole performed with credit. If I had to play I would go with Braintree to be honest but if youve got a strong view then go for it.
  7. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 17

    I had Newport to win the BSP also mate......double with Brighton in the Championship so as you can imagine i well impressed with their start!:lol
    Me and Ships both fancied them and out of my ante-post tips they are the only ones who have been disappointing so far. They have the talent there but something not right at the moment.
  8. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 17

    Any views on Luton vs Lincoln? Judging from the statistics Luton looks like a banker. Luton is the only undefeated team in the league and is ranked 3rd with 4 wins and 4 draws. They are strong on their home ground in 4 games managing to score 11 goals and receive only 3. Lincoln are 22nd with 5 points and have lost all of the last 3 matches. With odds around 1.50 , the home may have some value. Any different oppinions?
    In my view this is probably the last game Lincoln want at the moment and I can see Luton winning this rather easily.
  9. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet North & South Sept 17 Solihull Moors v Altrincham Moors have been the worst side in the Blue Square North so far, but they did manage to record their first win against Boston last week. Having seen Boston the week before though they aren’t anything like the side who reached the play-offs last year and they also seem to be struggling at home, as are Solihull who have only scored once in four defeats. Granted, Altrincham have yet to win away, and that is a slight concern, but they did well against unbeaten Hyde and would have beaten Gloucester bar a very late equaliser. They have a decent side and beat Worcester impressively last weekend and I think that should give them something to build on. It could be argued that Solihull’s first win is something for them to build on too but I am not so sure and Altrincham should outclass their hosts. Blue Square and VC are both 5/6 on an away win. Staines Town v Bromley It has been a tough start to the season for Staines but there have been signs that they are improving and could easily have been unbeaten in their last five matches. They nearly snatched a point against Thurrock and were the better side in the second half last Saturday against Farnborough, where they lost 1-0. Tuesday night saw them draw against a strong Chelmsford side and I think this game offers them a good chance to gain a second win of the season. Bromley have been all over the place so far, having enjoyed some good wins, but also offering some poor displays and they somehow managed to get a point against Salisbury last weekend, with reports suggesting that Salisbury dominated the game. I don’t think Bromley are as good as their league position suggests and Staines are better than theirs, which means I am happy to take bwin’s 7/4 on a home win. Tonbridge Angels v Salisbury As I have mentioned above, Salisbury were dominant last week, despite the fact they only got a point, and they have been in decent form so far this term. The home side meanwhile seem to have lost their early luck and have not won in five, with two heavy defeats during that time. Last weekend they were very much second best to Thurrock and were fortunate to come away with a point. Salisbury have the quality to punish Angels, which Thurrock don’t have, and I’m pretty keen on their chances of picking up three points here. Coral are biggest again at 6/5.

  10. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 17 Braintree v Newport I’d have expected Newport to be strong favourites for this game if you had asked me to price it up before the start of the season, however Braintree have been doing better than predicted, and Newport a lot worse. Having tipped Newport to win the Blue Square Premier ante-post I am hugely disappointed with how things have gone so far. They have only won once this term and have lost their last four. I watched their match last Saturday against Mansfield and for all that Mansfield put on a brilliant performance, Newport were poor. They lacked confidence, didn’t seem to play as a team and rarely threatened the Mansfield goal. They have the quality in the squad to turn things around but it didn’t look as if that was going to happen anytime soon, and considering they have a young and inexperienced manager in charge you wonder if he is capable of lifting the side. Until County show signs of improvement I am going to take them on and Braintree are proving a hard team to beat. They aren’t a flashy side but Alan Devonshire has built a solid base who work well and I think that will be enough to beat Newport at the moment. I’m sure Newport will bounce back at some point but I don’t think it will be on Saturday and am happy to take Coral’s 7/5 about a home win. Gateshead v Cambridge United I may have got Newport wrong in my ante-post tips but I was right in thinking Gateshead will be the surprise package of the Blue Square Premier and I fully expect them to get back to winning ways on Saturday. The home side may have lost their first game of the season last weekend to Fleetwood but they still performed well and when you consider Fleetwood have one of the best squads in the league, I don’t think there is too much shame in that result. As I wrote last weekend, I think Cambridge have been slightly flattered by some of their results so far and having listened to the Forest Green Rovers game last Saturday they were very lucky to gain a point with a hotly disputed penalty. Prior to that they had barely threatened the Forest Green goal and with Gateshead having only conceded one goal at home so far, United will struggle to score. I am pretty surprised that Coral have gone even money because I make the home side 4/6 shots and they are the bet of the weekend.

  11. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 10 Just watched Mansfield destroy Newport. Mansfield are the best team Ive seen so far this season and in many ways they reminded me of the Aldershot team who were so impressive a few seasons back. Matt Green is one of the best players around at this level and they have to hope they can keep for the whole of the season. Having said all that Newport were very poor. They look a team with no confidence, they were sloppy and the defense looked clueless. Im not sure where they go from here because its really hard to see them turning things around anytime soon. Having tipped them to win the league at the start of the season I actually now think they will be lucky to finish top half unless things change really soon.

  12. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 10 I listened to the Cambridge - Forest Green game and FGR were easily mopping up everything the home side threw at them. Then the ref gave a penalty which from the sounds of it was a dodgy one. Charlie Griffin then had the best chance of the game from a corner but failed to score when he should have done. Think I was right with saying the prices were wrong but sadly failed to get paid out. At least Kettering's win gives me a profit although when they scored the stats I saw suggested it was very much against the run of play as they had only had one shot until that point.

  13. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet North & South Sept 10

    addpea no tips for today ?? :unsure as always i will follow your Ships :hope best regards from Portugal :)
    Nothing really for me in these leagues as I didnt think there was a lot of value out there. I do think Hyde, Halifax and Welling all have very winnable games though so Ive done them in a acca with Lowestoft in the Ryman Premier.
  14. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 10 Cambridge United v Forest Green Rovers In my view you have two fairly evenly matched sides here who will probably finish around the same positions in the Blue Square Premier come the end of the season. That is the reason why I have to have a small interest on Forest Green at Bwin’s price of 14/5. Cambridge have won three games so far but in the matches against AFC Telford and Hayes & Yeading they were rather fortunate to claim all three points. Last Saturday they beat Newport 1-0, which on the face of it is a decent result, but Newport are in shocking form at the moment and were poor. Forest Green’s wins have come against two of the weakest teams in the league in Alfreton and Bath but they put them to bed easily. They have also managed creditable draws against Stockport and Luton and I think on the whole they have been playing better than their hosts. In my view the away side should be around 7/4 for this game and that makes them worth an interest at the current price. Lincoln v Kettering Full credit to Blue Square for organising the ground hop last Saturday as it allowed me to check out six teams in one day, which was fantastic information for punting purposes. I was quite surprised with how poor Lincoln were when they travelled to Braintree. Bar about a 10-15 minute spell in the second half, Lincoln didn’t threaten Braintree at all and are really struggling to get to grips with life in non-league football. I tipped them up when they beat AFC Telford as in their game against Wrexham it looked like they were improving, but it has certainly turned out to be a false dawn so far. Kettering have not won since the opening day of the season and have been finding points hard to come by, although injuries certainly have not helped. Something I think will help is a change of manager as I have never been a fan of Morell Maison and he resigned on Monday, but I am certainly a big admirer of Mark Stimson who has taken over. Stimson has a great record at this level and I can see him doing a decent job at Nene Park. It wouldn’t surprise me if he made an instant impact against a struggling Lincoln side and bet365’s 3/1 makes plenty of appeal.

  15. Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Sept 10

    Sorry, but FGR's win away from home was at Alfreton, who are mighty poor. Their draw at Luton is certainly praiseworthy, but Luton are not exactly firing on all cylinders at the moment. The other point was at Ebbsfleet. Cambridge are starting to build a bit of momentum now but are a bit light on firepower, which puts me off backing them. But, as the odds suggest, they are certainly the more likely winner and FGR are just too inconsistent for my money. GL with your bet though.
    Im not sure Cambridge's form is anything to write home about either. Newport were crap on Saturday, they got a draw with Kettering who arent playing well, they beat Hayes, and before that lost to Grimsby and Kiddie. I would say consistency isnt their strong point either. Id have the prices a bit closer together to be honest.
  16. Re: Snow Fairy!

    This pacemaker business that O Brien uses is the key to his success' date=' he gets the races run to the pace that suits his horses! If that was a slow run race it could have been a different outcome, i dont think So You Think is much ahead of Snow Fairy judging by what i just saw, O Brien would be screwed without his pacemakers![/quote'] Really because I have seen a few races where his pacemakers have screwed it up, the Melbourne Cup a few years ago springs to mind. I havent seen todays race but I would back So You Think to beat Snow Fairy everytime. Good to see shes back to her best though and Id imagine she will be back in Japan and Hong Kong again.
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