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Everything posted by Darran

  1. No real surprise that the likes of Stand Up And Fight and Ucello Conti aren't entered. Connections have also decided not to bother with The Dellercheckout as have connections of Wishing And Hoping. I am surprised that Earth Leader has been though given how he ran at Wincanton. Other horses that were in the betting, but aren't running are Caryto Des Brosses Kruzhlinin Mall Dini Virak Road To Rome Black Hercules Art Mauresque Seeyouatmidnight Burning Ambition
  2. Let's start up in Scotland where a horse that is local to Wincanton is the hot favourite. Virak of course was very impressive at Wincanton although was helped by the fact that Earth Leader didn't stay. Even though the two of them were both going toe to toe up until the point Earth Leader's stamina ran out and to do that suggests he still has plenty of ability. I said at the time that aiming at the lesser hunter chases would be wise and going to Cheltenham would be pointless and this is what connections have done. This race is a qualifier for a final at Kelso in May and I just wonder if that is why he is running here as that would seem a very winnable target. In my view he only has one real opponent as the betting also suggests. Lord Scoundrel won the Galway Plate in 2016 and was picked up for just £9k by his current connections. He didn't run too badly in the Galway Plate in 2018 either when 7th and that was the last time he was seen until Cottenham earlier in the month when he won a Ladies Open. He did it well considering he had been off the track for 556 days. It wasn't the strongest of races though and Virak will prove a much tougher opponent. I'm pretty certain Graeme McPherson wasn't expecting to bump into a horse of his quality when entering this. He does get 8lbs from Virak which will obviously help as well. I think the best thing here is to play the forecast as they should fill the first two spots home. Virak to beat Lord Scoundrel 1pt forecast At Wincanton we have a very interesting 5 runner race. Art Mauresque is the odds on favourite and it is easy to see why. He gets weight from every other runner in the race and a couple of them have to give him 11lbs which could well be a tough task. He looked good when winning at Cotenham when winning on his pointing debut although the form hasn't worked out all that well since. He then went to Milborne St Andrew where the task would have been to qualify him for Cheltenham and also see if he was going to be able to stay the trip. He did neither and the fact the winning times of the races were just over a minute apart tells you what a much tougher test of stamina the Milborne race was. He travelled and jumped well until his stamina ran out and this drop back in trip should be ideal for him. The ground could be a concern, but I don't think the ground got him beat at Milborne, indeed the only way it might have got him beat was because his jockey stuck to the inside which looked very cut up given it was race 8 on the card. It was noticeable that the winner travelled much wider for most of the race. I'm sure if connections were that concerned about soft ground they wouldn't be running him again on it. He needs to finish in the first 3 to qualify for Aintree which looks the aim. Asockastar won us plenty of cash last year. Not just when he won his two hunter chases, but also when he went and won a handicap off 125 at Worcester in July at a massive 12/1. He was really impressive that day as well, so much so the handicapper put him up 12lbs. He then finished 2nd at Cartmel and Uttoxeter running well both times. He ran in all the big 3 hunter chases last season and he ran with credit at Cheltenham and Aintree, but his 3rd at Stratford was a really good effort. I think he handles ground like this, but he probably wants it better and I just wonder if it might catch him out first time up especially with such a big weight. He always seems to run his race though. Chef D'Equipe is the latest Maxwell runner to go hunter chasing and unusually for him it isn't favourite. The Newbury 2nd off 130 was a good effort, but his other two handicap runs this season weren't anywhere near as good. He has won on testing ground though so that shouldn't be a problem. That Sandown race he was 6th in last time he won in 2018 and he just has a very in and out profile. He could pick up the pieces if he is the only one that thrives in the ground, but I think others are more likely to run their races. Swift Crusador was a massive gamble against Bob And Co at Bangor last time and amazingly he went off at just 2/1 to beat him. He departed at the 8th though and it was way too early to know how he would have got on. The gamble also means they must think 2m4f in soft ground isn't a concern given on form you couldn't be certain it is what he wants. On previous rules form he has a bit too find, but the money was very interesting at Bangor and he could easily go well here. Art Mauresque is drifting this morning as Chef D'Equipe is being backed, but I'm not overly concerned about the ground for the favourite and it is easy to excuse the defeat last time. So for me sticking him in a double with Virak looks the way to go. Given Asockastar usually runs his race and Chef D'Equipe has a very in and out profile I am also going to have a small play on the forecast. Art Mauresque to beat Asockastar 0.5pts f/c Virak/Art Mauresque 1pt double at 1.9/1 with Bet365
  3. Yeah it is 2 legs in the semis. I also think though if you want to back a 4/5 shot you could find one of those at the weekend and get paid out straight away. I guess it depends what price you would make it and then if tying up that money for just over 2 months is worth it.
  4. Wouldn't be for me as like I say they do have a good team on paper and to me that price looks about right.
  5. Saturday was all about getting the value without getting paid out. The 4 singles all failed to win although the treble just about made it over the line to get some cash back. I have two bets for tonight with both looking likely to beat the weather. AFC Fylde v Notts County Fylde have a good team, but for whatever reason it isn't clicking on the pitch. They might have reached the quarter-final of the FA Trophy, but they are looking destined for the drop unless they can go on a run. I wouldn't rule that out given the quality in the team, but they need to start picking up 3 points fast. They took the lead at Dover on Saturday only to go and lose 5-1 in a terrible performance. They haven't won in the league since they beat Wrexham on November 26th and that has led them to become 9 points from safety. I can't believe Notts County are the outsiders here. They weren't great on Saturday either and the two goals they gave away were avoidable. Interestingly they have won all 3 midweek games that have been away this season and they have all come on the back of a defeat which shows the players are good at reacting to a loss. I would make them favourites for this so the 9/5 makes plenty of appeal. Chippenham v Concord Rangers No surprise to me that Mike Cook has improved Chippenham's form given he did a similar thing at Gloucester last season. Take out the 5-1 loss to Dartford and they have done well having lost just one other game, at Welling on Saturday, in their last 7. Concord on the other hand have not won in 6 league games now and I think their FA Trophy run has been a bit of a distraction. I certainly think it will be tonight given they have a massive chance of getting to the semi-finals given they play Royston from the level below on Saturday. That game is surely the priority over this one and I think Chippenham are capable of taking advantage of that. 13/8 seems a good price about a home win for me. Notts County 2pts @ 9/5 with Bet365 Chippenham 2pts @ 13/8 with William Hill and BetVictor
  6. Maxwell has said today that shantou flyer will be his ride at Cheltenham and Bob and co will go to Aintree instead. He’s made the right choice in my view.
  7. So Bob And Co and Alcala qualified with ease at Fontwell yesterday. As I thought it would be it turned into a sprint over the last couple of furlongs and although looking like he would get beat Bob And Co got back up late on to win. I have seen a few people on a couple of forums suggest both horses had a hard race, but I suspect both have worked harder up the gallops and I can't see how anyone can think they had a tough race yesterday. They went a slow pace for most of the race and even at the finish neither horse was worked that hard. Maxwell didn't pick his stick up once and Angus wasn't exactly working that hard on the 2nd. The time for the race was by far the slowest of the meeting which backs up the fact they went no pace. Regardless what you think about their chances for Cheltenham in my view the one thing you can't say is a negative is the fact they had a hard race at Fontwell. Anyone who thinks that needs to watch a replay of the race and then watch the closing stages from Thurles on Thursday for comparison.In my view Alcala could have won the race with Angus had kicked on at 2 out, but obviously he didn't want to give the horse a hard race so tried to win cosily if possible and like I say he certainly wasn't vigorous in the closing stages. If he is in contention at The Festival he will certainly be given a stronger ride. Reading between the lines I think the trainer thinks Alcala is the more likely to win at Cheltenham and I agree with him. I am still not sure he will stay though, but he clearly still retains plenty of ability. I think both horses would have a better chance at Aintree myself. What will be interesting is if Maxwell decides to run both Bob And Co and Shantou Flyer. If he does I think he will ride Bob And Co, but in my view last year's 2nd has a better chance of winning and I can imagine plenty of people will be ringing wanting the ride. Angus rode him to win his point at Larkhill last month, but you would imagine he would be on Alcala. Wednesday at 12pm is when we find out who has been entered.
  8. This race is one of the most unique races ever run in my view and quite frankly I wouldn't touch it with a barge pole for betting purposes. Kelvingrove ran at Charing on Saturday so we will be down to 4 runners and you don't need me to tell you that baring mishaps that Alcala and Bob And Co will fill the first two places home. That of course will mean they qualify for Cheltenham. Nicholls has been forced to run in them in the same race as this is the last chance for them to qualify for the Foxhunter and it will all be about getting home safe without having had a race. We are less than 3 weeks out from the Foxhunter and the last thing either horse wants is a slog over 3m2f in heavy ground. Neither horse would be running if it wasn't for qualification and I am sure they won't really care who wins. If Bob And Co settles as well as he did at Bangor I can see the two of them going round at a sensible pace and then making a race of it after the last as they will have to be seen to be trying to win the race or else the stewards won't be happy. Because of this how can anyone possibly have a bet on the race? I suppose you could say that Alcala has the better jockey and has 5lbs less to carry, but neither horse to me wants 3m2f in the mud and it could just turn out who has the most pace at the end of the race. As I type the market can't really split them and that is my view on it. If they were from different yards it might be different, but even then I can imagine they would have sorted it so neither horse had a hard time. One of them will win, but it is a total guess as to which one. All being well we should see some much better betting opportunities in the hunter chases to come next week.
  9. Weather could have a say yet again tomorrow so will be brief with these. There are 4 big price singles plus a treble. Torquay v Halifax Don't get why Torquay are being so well backed here against a bang in form Halifax side. Unbeaten in 7 in the league, whilst Torquay have only won twice in 10. Torquay have not played since Feburary 1st either so could easily be ring rusty going into this game. Given Halifax are 3rd and looking strong for a play-off place and they are playing Torquay who are only 5 points clear of the relegation zone. 3/1 on away win is a huge price. Chester v Brackley Another baffling price change as somehow Brackley are favourites to win at Chester. This is a Chester side who have only lost twice at home all season and won 10 times and beat leaders Kings Lynn on Tuesday. Brackley haven't won in 5 now and when I saw the prices I thought Brackley were at home. Chester at 21/10 is huge and for me the prices are the wrong way round. Chelmsford v Slough Taking advantage of another massive drift as Slough are over 2/1 to beat Chelmsford having been as short at 11/10. Chelmsford managed to beat Tonbridge on Monday, but it was a poor game that could have gone either way. They still look a poor side low on confidence to me and Slough are 2nd having lost just twice in their last 10 games. They look a big price as I would have them as favourites. Salisbury v Hendon Happy to take a chance on Hendon here as they have won 6 on the bounce now and Salisbury have only managed to beat Dorchester in their last 5 games. Don't think there is much between these sides so 3/1 on an away win is big. Treble Basford host Atherton who had to postpone a game in the week because an outbreak of mumps went through the side. Every chance they will be weakened here in what is already a very tough game for them anyway. Royston should beat a Hednesford side who are dropping off big time and in the same division Tamworth should outclass Biggleswade. The treble is 2.7/1 with Marathon. Halifax 2pts @ 3/1 with Betway Chester 2.5pts @ 21/10 with Bet365, William Hill and BetVictor Slough 1pt @ 21/10 with BetVictor Hendon 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor Basford/Royston/Tamworth 1pt Treble @ 2.7/1 with Marathon
  10. Just reading an interview with Phil Rowley in the Irish Fields Cheltenham magazine and he says he would only ever run one horse in the Foxhunter so Wishing And Hoping would only run if something happened to Hazel Hill. Interview was obviously written before Haydock.
  11. After thinking we might see some Cheltenham clues at Thurles today in the end I don't think we did. God knows what Tom Hamilton thought he was doing on Mighty Stowaway as he set a stupid gallop along with Wounded Warrior. Given how soon he dropped away I was surprised to actually see him finish 5th and fairly play to Wounded Warrior to finish 3rd. The winner looked like he had no chance for most of the race, but managed to go slightly quicker than the 2nd after the last in a tiring finish. It could be said he gave a boost to Staker Wallace's form as last time out he was a 9L 4th to Lite Duties who was beaten by Staker Wallace on Sunday. I'm not sure given the way this race was run can be used as a solid guide though to be honest. He was beaten 49L by Caid Du Berlais at Punchestown last year and if anything he highlights that the Irish don't have any strength in depth in this division at the moment. I guess they might go to Cheltenham with him now, but I wouldn't fancy him. Samurai Cracker fell at the last at Naas last time when still in contention in the race won by Billaway although I'm not sure he would have been in the first 3. He looked the winner for a long way, but was out on his feet after the last and he is really going to know he had a race. This did qualify him for Cheltenham should connections want to go down that route, but hard to think this was the ideal prep for a race in 3 weeks time. Stand Up And Fight drifted like a barge all day, until betting opened on track and he was really well backed. That suggested connections were expecting a big run, but they got the opposite. I know it was his first run of the season and he was entitled to get tired in the ground, but he was beaten a long way out. He did travel quite well off the strong pace, but it wasn't really what you wanted to see as regards to Cheltenham. It will be interesting to see if he features in the entries next week, but Enda is really going to have to work his magic to get him ready for Cheltenham. Ucello Conti finished 1 place in front of Stand Up And Fight last year, but he seems to have gone backwards after finishing a 4L 2nd to Macs Legend on his seasonal return. I would be surprised if Gordon decided to send him over after this. The one I haven't mentioned is Some Man. He had been prominent in the betting and was quietly fancied for Cheltenham, but he can't now qualify for the race. His wins in points didn't come in opens and he needed to finish 1st or 2nd here to qualify. He was never put into the race at all although it seems that was because the horse was hating the ground according to connections. On the face of it though it did just seem a terrible ride or that a he was being ridden with Cheltenham in mind. So there is no Cheltenham for him, but he is one to bare in mind for the other Festivals to come.
  12. The worst thing that happened to Captain Cattistock is the fact his only serious rival departed so early on. After that point he was basically left with a solo and turning for home his concentration was beginning to wane. That came to a peak coming to 2 out when he wondered around and gave Maxwell no chance of staying in the saddle as he flew over the fence. Obviously we can't be 100% certain, but in my view he wasn't tired he was just idling and I think he still would have won. He will surely find a winning opportunity this season. Just A Par was the one to take advantage of the two market leaders departing and gave his jockey a first victory. I think he was hugely flattered by this and he will be lucky to find another opportunity that falls in his lap. Mustmeetalady departed at an early stage which was a shame for us as well as Maxwell
  13. I agree just two winners so far this season is poor. 4 seasons ago it took me 11 races to back a winner and I ended that season over 100 points up which is the best season I have ever had. The first half of last season was the best run I have ever had and it was never going to be possible to keep that up long term. From memory once that good run had ended I think I only made a small profit for the rest of the season. I have always made a profit but will never guarantee one. Maybe I am due a bad one, but I remain confident come the end of May I will be showing a profit. It is always worse when the bad run happens at the start of a season as it means you are in minus figures and that is always hard for a tipster mentally.
  14. Here is what Willie Mullins had to say about Billaway at his open day today "Billaway runs in the St James's Place Foxhunter Chase. I thought he was very impressive in Naas, and I love Naas as a track to trial any horse for Cheltenham. He is a young horse coming through the ranks and put away some half decent hunters. I think he has a big chance. "
  15. Just the 4 runners at Doncaster tomorrow and none of them can qualify for Cheltenham. Band Of Blood showed little at Musselburgh earlier in the month so I don't fancy him. Just A Par was 2nd at Bangor in a point last month, but he was well beaten and it suggested he is nowhere near a 135 horse at the moment. He might have needed the run, but at 13 chances are he is just firmly on the downgrade. So I think the race is between the two horses who finished 3rd and 4th at Taunton in the first hunter chase of the season. Captain Cattistock 4/7 favourite for is at the time of writing and he finished a couple of lengths behind Mustmeetalday at Taunton. He was a bit disappointing for me and as much as he might have got caught out by the sharpness of the track he also didn't jump great at times either. After two good runs in handicaps at Fontwell and Chepstow it was a drop in form and clearly qualification for Cheltenham took a back step after it. Back up in trip round here should suit better and if he can get back to the levels he showed earlier in the season he ought to win. I thought Mustmeetaladay was eye-catching at Taunton as he stayed on to great affect to nearly finish 2nd. A stiffer test of stamina should suit him as well, but he ran terribly at Wincanton which was disappointing. He does have an in and out look to his form though so maybe we shouldn't be surprised he put in a lesser performance that day. If he runs like that he hasn't got a hope, but given he beat Captain Cattistock fair and square at Taunton it is hard to see why he should be 9/2. That price more than factors in the fact he is inconsistent and there just shouldn't be the big difference in price for me. So hopefully he will be on a going day as he has to be the bet at the odds. Mustmeetaladay 1pt @ 9/2 with Betfair, Paddy Power, BetVictor and Betfred
  16. Interesting to read the quotes from Shark Hanlon in the Irish pointing section in the Racing Post regarding Rewritetherules. He got a bad stone bruise the week before the race and he only ran because the owners were local and it meant more for them to win on Sunday than at Cheltenham. His jockey said he got there too soon and he idled in front. Enda Bolger was impressed with Staker Wallace and said Cheltenham is very much the plan although he needs soft ground.
  17. A couple of bets tonight. Not time to go into great deal but Kings Lynn are over priced at 9/4 with bet365 to win at Chester. As much as I want York to win the league Kings Lynn ought to be picking up the title and I don't get why they are such a big price to win tonight. The other bet is Enfield who seem to be finding their form again who are travelling to a badly out of form Bishops Stortford in the Isthmian Premier. Kings Lynn 1pt @ 9/4 with Bet365 Enfield 2pts @ 13/10 with Bet365
  18. A bizarre betting game with Tonbridge drifting massively and then coming back in a bit. Game could have gone either way really and the prices were wrong we just didn't get paid out sadly. I have two possible bets for tomorrow just waiting to see if they are likely to go ahead or not.
  19. Friday and Saturday saw two races with an impact on the Foxhunter market. Shantou Flyer had little trouble seeing off his rivals at Fakenham on Friday and that sets him up nicely for his attempt at going one better. Obviously his owner could have to choose between him and Bob And Co and at this stage I would be with the former as we know for sure he is suited to this test whereas Bob And Co has questions to answer on that front. The Walrus at Haydock was won by Alcala who put in a very impressive performance and was clearly the best horse on the day. He travelled well and despite a mistake 2 out he was still too good for Wishing And Hoping. He was getting 10lbs from the 2nd, but I actually felt it made little difference to the result. Even though this was run on testing ground the race distance was just over 2m5f so it wasn't much of a stamina test certainly compared to what the Foxhunter will be and should Alcala qualify that will be a huge question mark. He would appeal much more as an Aintree horse to me. It is hard to see Wishing And Hoping going for Cheltenham after this. Granted he would have preferred more of a stamina test and he could be capable of reversing the result at Cheltenham, it isn't hard to think the stable will just rely on Hazel Hill. As I mentioned after he won at Taunton I would go to Stratford with him at the end of the season which would suit this front runner. The Dellercheckout ran no sort of race and just seemed to hate the whole experience (who can blame him given the conditions) and he surely won't be Cheltenham bound no either. As long as that experience doesn't leave a mark though he will win more races on better ground as this wasn't his true running. In Ireland the big news was Staker Wallace managed to get himself qualified and he beat a horse who had won its previous two which gives the form a solid enough look. It will be interesting to see who rides what JP horse at Cheltenham, but he must have a really solid chance. I guess experience could be an issue as Cheltenham would be just his 7th run, but he looks like a horse who stays well although he has only ever run on soft ground so if it did come up quicker than that then it is an unknown. He is as big as 25/1 and that probably is on the big side although I won't be taking it just yet given I want to see if Stand Up And Fight runs this week and how he gets on if he does. Rewritetherules also won for Shark Hanlon and looks set to line up for this now. It was a pretty unimpressive performance though as he struggled to beat a horse who was only a maiden winner and hadn't shown a great deal prior to winning that maiden. He did make a rapid move at 5 out though and was very keen at that stage which wouldn't have helped him see out his race. He was all out at the end and that form is a long way below what would be needed to win this and as much as I am sure he is better than that I can't help but think this will be a year too soon at 6. There are just two more hunter chases for horses to qualify and Alcala is entered at both Doncaster on Wednesday and Fontwell on Sunday. Bob And Co is also in at Fontwell and it will be interesting to see if Nicholls runs both as he has kept them apart so far. Also Fontwell would need a good week weather wise for the meeting to even go ahead.
  20. Chelmsford v Tonbridge This game looks set to go ahead with the pitch being reported that it is OK and I like the look of the away team here who are a big price to beat an out of form Chelmsford. Granted Tonbridge have only won once away from home in the league all season, but that did come against Braintree on their penultimate away game. In their last 5 away games they have only lost once and their overall form has seen them lose just once in their last 8 games. Chelmsford have lost 3 on the bounce and granted they have all been away from home. At home they have lost just twice all season, but with no manager at the moment they do seem to be really struggling and it could be a while before we see a new manager as they couldn't agree terms with their preferred choice. At 29/10 the away win certainly looks value to me as I would have it around a point shorter. Tonbridge 1pt @ 29/10 with BetVictor Not looked at Tuesday's games yet so any further bets will be added at a later point.
  21. Yeah should never have been a 4/1 chance and was a very good winner. Thedellercheckout didn't seem to enjoy it at all today and who can blame him in this weather. I am sure he is better than that.
  22. Two more bets for today hampton & Richmond 1pt @ 11/8 with marathon Gainsborough 1pt @ 67/59 with marathon
  23. I must admit I didn't think Haydock would go ahead and with the wind due to be at its strongest this afternoon I do wonder if the Walrus will still be run, but at this stage racing goes ahead. Only 4 runners this year, but it is still a classy renewal with the front 3 in the betting all top horses. Acala was put in as favourite when betting started, but he has been a massive drifter as Wishing And Hoping has been well backed. Given he jumped out to his left at Taunton going this way round should help Wishing And Hoping. He should guarantee a decent pace given he is a front runner and that could be the best place to be in this ground although he wont get much shelter from the wind depending on what direction it is going. The Taunton form hasn't really been tested yet as the 3rd home disappointed next time, but is a very in and out horse anyway. There is little doubt in my mind that Acala would have won at Ludlow had he stood up. That race has taken some big knocks form wise though, but it isn't the biggest surprise given they went a very slow gallop. As they wanted to get him qualified for Cheltenham I would imagine they wanted him to have as easy a race as possible so I think chances are he is better than the form suggests. The Racing Post Spotlight writer has doubts he will handle heavy ground, but he has won on heavy ground so I am not sure why he has said that. The bigger question is if he wants to go this far in this ground which I would have my doubts about. The Dellercheckout impressed me at Ludlow as he won very easy and was value for a bigger margin. He stays well based on his 3 wins this season as he has been doing his best work at the finish which could be crucial here. This is stronger than the Ludlow race and Haymount didn't do much for the form of his win the time before yesterday, but then I don't think Fakenham suited Haymount as he would have wanted more of a stamina test. Anyone of the 3 wouldn't surprise if they won. I would have Wishing And Hoping as favourite so it is no surprise the market has made him favourite after the opening show. I think he is the right sort of price now and as much as being out in front would usually be an advantage if there is a head wind either down the back or the home straight then out in front might not be the place to be. Acala certainly has a chance as well although I am not sure he wants a slug fest so I am going to go for The Dellercheckout. I was impressed by his Ludlow win and he looks a very progressive horse. He would have to step up a bit on that effort on paper, but as I say I think he was value for bigger than the winning margin. He stays well will be held up to make his challenge late. At 100/30 I think he rates the best value in the race. The Dellercheckout 1pt @ 100/30 with William Hill
  24. Another good day last Saturday kept up the good record so far this month. As for tomorrow the weather is set to be pretty shocking and I suspect plenty of games will get called off. I have a shortlist of 6 teams, but I am going to just put 2 bets up for now as I think both of these games will go ahead. If any of the other 4 do go ahead I will add them tomorrow. Notts County v Woking County seem very confident this will go ahead and they are in very good form at the moment losing just one of their last 10 league games. They also had a good win last week in the FA Trophy beating Yeovil 2-1 despite having 10 men from just before half time and then 9 men for the last 20 minutes. Woking haven't played since the first day of the month, but their away form has been dreadful as they have lost 6 on the bounce conceding 18 and scoring just 4. County should be confident of picking up another 3 points here. Dorking v Chelmsford More than happy to oppose Chelmsford again who lost to Step 4 Aveley in the Trophy last week. They have struggled away from home all season anyway. Dorking also lost in the Trophy, but they were playing Fylde and gave it a good go. They are very good at home having lost just 3 games and with this match on a 3G pitch only the wind will stop it from being on. I would make them odds on so a shade of odds against looks a decent price. Notts County 2.5pts @ Evs with Bet365 and William Hill Dorking 2pts @ 21/20 with William Hill and BetVictor