Darran
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Posts posted by Darran
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Re: BBOTD Thursday 12th of April
Granted not racing, but I post all my non-league football tips on this site. The reason for that is because I write full previews for them so it makes sense. I dont write full previews for hunter chases I mainly just stick tips up which is no good for on here. I have little interest in entering a competition and looking on the jumps thread everyday hardly anyone reads it so it doesnt seem worth me trying to write a preview so a handful of people read it. I have done an in depth preview for today's Fox Hunters' as I did for the Cheltenham one which you may or may not have seen, but I have posted it on here. My tips for nearly all hunter chases go up on the internet so I am not bluffing at all and am enjoying another good season. It is my area of knowledge when it comes to horse racing and I know a lot of people in racing dont really understand even the experts in papers and on TV. All I was doing was trying to help increase people's knowledge in this area as it is something I have a lot of passion about. I would be interested to know why you think my writing style needs a lot of attention?Na - Stick em up(your Hunter selections) before the races in question. Anything else is completely pointless. If you are genuinly trying to help then your writing style needs alot of attention in my humble opinion. BB does mention that he won a point to point last time doesn't he? In brackets... I dunno - just don't think it's overly helpful - maybe BB hasn't been on in order to wonder why you are 'trying to help'. Good Luck with your bets - will take your word for it that you tip winners - I also win on nearly every single race when I don't post on here:rollin -
Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Apr 13-14 Its hard to knock what you are saying. Although I do think Hayes need to get something out of this game and cant really afford to wait until the last two matches with a 4 point gap, that could get bigger. However needing and getting are two very different things of course. Goals could be an interesting angle given Hayes are capable of scoring and have to go for the win which could leave them exposed at the back. As for records against teams I think its one of the biggest mistake punters make. History for me has very little influence on what is going to happen in the game taking place and its a lazy stat journalists and pundits trot out to make them sound good. Teams change every year, especially at this level, so even what happened last season doesn't really matter as to what is going to happen a certain match. I saw someone on another forum this season say that one of the reasons he fancied Charlton to beat Halifax in the FA Cup was because of Charlton's record against them. That is a stupid statement on many levels.
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Re: BBOTD Thursday 12th of April
Just trying to help because in betting its important not to make mistakes. In this case its one thing that really annoys me is when people ignore point to point form. He has mentioned a tip and yet doesnt even know how it ran last time so I actually think that is quite a big piece of info missing. Its pointless me entering this competition as I only really bet on hunter chases thus why I dont enter. Like I say just trying to help and if Blazing Bailey has a problem he can say so himself. If you want me to provide you with the pretty big list of hunter chase winners I have tipped up this season on the site I write for then I can.You give fantastic advice for someone who has not posted a single solitary BBOTD in 2012. You slated Fosterbet's post about My Flora a few days ago, and found a flaw in Blazing Bailey's today. Leave them alone will ya, they are trying and people getting on their back's about a small bit of misled information might cause them to not post anymore. -
Re: BBOTD Thursday 12th of April
Last time out he won a point to point. You realise they are actually proper races. He has only won a weak hunter chase under rules just over a year ago.Aintree 340 - My Way De Solzen 7/1 1pt Win Paddy Power BOG This fella used to be a real class horse and he is now starting to make his mark in hunters. He won really nicely LTO against a horse that has since won twice himself. Providing he is in the same heart (I believe he won a point a few weeks back to put him on for this) he could jump these silly and win with something in hand. Main danger is Gwanako but I fancy the price is a little too short compared to my selection (probably because he is trained by Paul Nicholls) and I am willing to take him on. -
Re: jump racing thursday 12th april
Silver Adonis would be a huge player on good ground for me. Last year's run is misleading too. The ground knackered him out. Looking at the bare form looks grim but he was set to be placed before basically stopping up the elbow. Shame the ground isn't better' date=' although he could still run well.[/quote'] That was just how he ran in every race last season he found sod all whatever the ground. Like I say he might be a different horse this season but he is too short in the betting based on even that form. That race he won at Fakenham he ran off a mark of 115 and he will have to run to a much higher mark to win this. -
Re: Thursday 12th April - Race 4 - John Smith's Fox Hunters Chase Blackstaff ran a bizarre race on seasonal debut at Sandown and ended up finishing a 14L second to Gwanako. Made plenty of mistakes when outclassed at Cheltenham and that would be a concern here, as would the fact that his best form has come on better ground. Bow School hacked up in a Kelso handicap off a mark of 100 and then was a decent second last time off a mark of 117. That still leaves him with plenty to find here, with jumping an issue, and in my view he is better over shorter. Boxer Georg is impossible to rule out fully as he ran his best ever race to finish a close second to Baby Run in this last year. He was a well beaten 10th at Cheltenham last time, but I suspect this has been the target again and I expect a much better showing. Cloudy Lane has run in the Grand National three times (including when favourite in 2008) where he completed twice and unseated at the chair on the other occasion. Ran a great comeback race at Newbury and then beat a solid yardstick easily at Ayr. I was a bit disappointed with his run at Cheltenham where he could only finish 6th and never looked like playing a part in the finish. The Cheltenham form is working out well and experience of the fences is a plus, but I find it hard to fancy him after what to me was a lacklustre effort. Eleazar is another horse I fancied to run well at Cheltenham, but he was beaten when losing his jockey. Oddly for him he was up with the pace, which was a surprise and probably didn’t suit. Soft ground is a concern and I don’t think this is the race for him. I’d be more interested if he were to go back to Stratford where he ran so well last year. Emergancy Cover won a Ladies Open last time but likely to be outclassed here. Fresh Air And Fun made a winning seasonal reappearance when scoring easily at Ludlow last time. That is not strong form though and he looked fairly easy to beat in Hunter Chases and Points last season. Also in one run over the National fences he jumped poorly. Gwanako made a very solid reappearance when finishing second to Description at Larkhill and then has hacked up in a couple of Sandown Hunter Chases since. I Have Dreamed did plenty for the form when he won at Ascot recently and he looks to have a leading chance. He won the Topham over course and distance in 2008, although he unseated rider in that year’s Grand Sefton (may have slipped as he landed in the ditch at the Chair), and he fell at Valentine’s in the ’09 Topham. Those two non-completions have to add caution, but otherwise he looks to have an excellent chance. Harps Counsel was second in a maiden Hunter Chase at Downpatrick last month and looks outclassed. Herons Well failed to get round in this race last year, although a horse fell in front of him. He was well behind Gwanako at Sandown in February and was well beaten at Cheltenham. Hard to want to back him after those two runs, but does have the form to run better than his odds suggest. Island Life started off the season running in three races over three miles and looked a non-stayer each time. His superb trainer Steve Flook then dropped him in trip and he landed two Hunter Chases at Warwick and Hereford in very easy style. The form is nothing special but he could hardly have been more impressive, especially at Hereford. He has form on soft ground in Ireland so that shouldn’t be a concern and as long as he takes to the track (I see no reason why he won’t) he should run a good race. Keenan’s Future considering he has finished second in a Becher Chase I would imagine this has been the target. Ran a fair race for at Cheltenham last month until the lack of a recent run told and he ended up well beaten in the end. He always used to run in a tongue tie but is without it here, as he was last time, which is a slight concern. He also looks a real stayer and I can see him getting outpaced early on, if he doesn’t though a big run would not surprise. Kildonnan needs to start now to have any chance and King Of The Road is another no hoper. Launde was running a stormer in this race last year until falling three out, but this year the owner is back on and thus goes any chance he had. My Way De Solzen considering what he has achieved in his career he would be a hugely popular winner. He won the World Hurdle in 2006 and the Arkle in 2007 and was certainly the best of these in his prime. He lost his way badly and was retired in 2009, but then reappeared in Points last year and finally won a Hunter Chase at Hereford. He has had one start this season when winning at Garthorpe, the form of which is nothing special, but he did clock the fastest time on the card. I find him a very hard horse to weigh up because it is almost impossible to tell how good he still is. He hasn’t beaten much and got an easy lead when winning at Herford last year. You could easily see him taking to the fences and I would be delighted to see him win, but I really want more proof that his ability remains to back him at likely odds. Offshore Account was obviously really lucky to win at Newbury, but he has been ultra-consistent this season in some decent Points and Hunter Chases. He was third in this last year (his third time completing round the course) although was just over 12L behind Boxer Georg. To be fair he is in better form this time and would have place claims again, but I suspect he will find at least one too good. Presentandcorrect was very game when winning on his Hunter Chase debut at Exeter last time and that followed a good win in a point at Didmarton. Actually has work to do based on his runs behind Keenan’s Future at Aintree and Uttoxeter last June, all his best form has come on top of the ground and he fell on his only start over the big fences. All that means I am happy to take him on. Roulez Cool was meant to be going for the Grand National but turns up here instead. He lost unseated Sam at Cheltenham and then travelled like the winner at Newbury before making a horrendous mistake and then fading to finish fourth. He will probably come on for that run and has proven class, but you have to be concerned about his jumping round here. If he does get round though you could see him going close. Sheriff Hutton was out in his place behind Island life at Hereford and hard to see him reversing that form, let alone be good enough to win. Silver Adonis was a shock winner of this in 2010, but was well beaten in last year’s renewal. He found winning impossible last season and looked one to oppose strongly, but has actually run two solid races this season and scored at Fakenham last time. I still wouldn’t want to be backing him, but given he looks a different horse this year, maybe he might run well. Sizing America’s form this season is not good enough to be winning this, while Teddy’s Reflection was second in a Ffos Las Hunter Chase which has worked out shockingly and was well beaten behind Sizing America last time at Southwell. The Polomoche did manage to win over 3m at Huntingdon last time, but given what I saw from second place Gidam Gidam in a Point on Saturday, that form is worthless. He was well behind Cloudy Lane at Newbury over this trip the time before and I struggle to see him being good enough to win. Unowatimeen didn’t run too badly when I saw him finish third in a Ladies Open over Christmas and then won in the mud at Haydock last time. Given the conditions that day the form looks very suspect and I would only give him a chance if it turned very testing (seems unlikely). William Butler was well beaten on his Hunter Chase debut in a three-runner-race at Towcester and that form leaves him with plenty to find. Conclusion There may be 26 runners but you can rule a fair few out. If My Way De Solzen still retains anywhere near his old class he will win, but is hard to tell, so if he wins he won’t be carrying my money. Instead I will side with Gwanako who has looked in great form this season and although he has failed to get round here twice, he has still won over course and distance. I will also be backing Island Life who looks very progressive, whilst Offshore Account and Boxer Georg would be the two others to consider. Tips 1st Gwanako 2nd Island Life 3rd Offshore Account
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Re: jump racing thursday 12th april My preview on the Fox Hunters' Blackstaff ran a bizarre race on seasonal debut at Sandown and ended up finishing a 14L second to Gwanako. Made plenty of mistakes when outclassed at Cheltenham and that would be a concern here, as would the fact that his best form has come on better ground. Bow School hacked up in a Kelso handicap off a mark of 100 and then was a decent second last time off a mark of 117. That still leaves him with plenty to find here, with jumping an issue, and in my view he is better over shorter. Boxer Georg is impossible to rule out fully as he ran his best ever race to finish a close second to Baby Run in this last year. He was a well beaten 10th at Cheltenham last time, but I suspect this has been the target again and I expect a much better showing. Cloudy Lane has run in the Grand National three times (including when favourite in 2008) where he completed twice and unseated at the chair on the other occasion. Ran a great comeback race at Newbury and then beat a solid yardstick easily at Ayr. I was a bit disappointed with his run at Cheltenham where he could only finish 6th and never looked like playing a part in the finish. The Cheltenham form is working out well and experience of the fences is a plus, but I find it hard to fancy him after what to me was a lacklustre effort. Eleazar is another horse I fancied to run well at Cheltenham, but he was beaten when losing his jockey. Oddly for him he was up with the pace, which was a surprise and probably didn’t suit. Soft ground is a concern and I don’t think this is the race for him. I’d be more interested if he were to go back to Stratford where he ran so well last year. Emergancy Cover won a Ladies Open last time but likely to be outclassed here. Fresh Air And Fun made a winning seasonal reappearance when scoring easily at Ludlow last time. That is not strong form though and he looked fairly easy to beat in Hunter Chases and Points last season. Also in one run over the National fences he jumped poorly. Gwanako made a very solid reappearance when finishing second to Description at Larkhill and then has hacked up in a couple of Sandown Hunter Chases since. I Have Dreamed did plenty for the form when he won at Ascot recently and he looks to have a leading chance. He won the Topham over course and distance in 2008, although he unseated rider in that year’s Grand Sefton (may have slipped as he landed in the ditch at the Chair), and he fell at Valentine’s in the ’09 Topham. Those two non-completions have to add caution, but otherwise he looks to have an excellent chance. Harps Counsel was second in a maiden Hunter Chase at Downpatrick last month and looks outclassed. Herons Well failed to get round in this race last year, although a horse fell in front of him. He was well behind Gwanako at Sandown in February and was well beaten at Cheltenham. Hard to want to back him after those two runs, but does have the form to run better than his odds suggest. Island Life started off the season running in three races over three miles and looked a non-stayer each time. His superb trainer Steve Flook then dropped him in trip and he landed two Hunter Chases at Warwick and Hereford in very easy style. The form is nothing special but he could hardly have been more impressive, especially at Hereford. He has form on soft ground in Ireland so that shouldn’t be a concern and as long as he takes to the track (I see no reason why he won’t) he should run a good race. Keenan’s Future considering he has finished second in a Becher Chase I would imagine this has been the target. Ran a fair race for at Cheltenham last month until the lack of a recent run told and he ended up well beaten in the end. He always used to run in a tongue tie but is without it here, as he was last time, which is a slight concern. He also looks a real stayer and I can see him getting outpaced early on, if he doesn’t though a big run would not surprise. Kildonnan needs to start now to have any chance and King Of The Road is another no hoper. Launde was running a stormer in this race last year until falling three out, but this year the owner is back on and thus goes any chance he had. My Way De Solzen considering what he has achieved in his career he would be a hugely popular winner. He won the World Hurdle in 2006 and the Arkle in 2007 and was certainly the best of these in his prime. He lost his way badly and was retired in 2009, but then reappeared in Points last year and finally won a Hunter Chase at Hereford. He has had one start this season when winning at Garthorpe, the form of which is nothing special, but he did clock the fastest time on the card. I find him a very hard horse to weigh up because it is almost impossible to tell how good he still is. He hasn’t beaten much and got an easy lead when winning at Herford last year. You could easily see him taking to the fences and I would be delighted to see him win, but I really want more proof that his ability remains to back him at likely odds. Offshore Account was obviously really lucky to win at Newbury, but he has been ultra-consistent this season in some decent Points and Hunter Chases. He was third in this last year (his third time completing round the course) although was just over 12L behind Boxer Georg. To be fair he is in better form this time and would have place claims again, but I suspect he will find at least one too good. Presentandcorrect was very game when winning on his Hunter Chase debut at Exeter last time and that followed a good win in a point at Didmarton. Actually has work to do based on his runs behind Keenan’s Future at Aintree and Uttoxeter last June, all his best form has come on top of the ground and he fell on his only start over the big fences. All that means I am happy to take him on. Roulez Cool was meant to be going for the Grand National but turns up here instead. He lost unseated Sam at Cheltenham and then travelled like the winner at Newbury before making a horrendous mistake and then fading to finish fourth. He will probably come on for that run and has proven class, but you have to be concerned about his jumping round here. If he does get round though you could see him going close. Sheriff Hutton was put in his place behind Island life at Hereford and hard to see him reversing that form, let alone be good enough to win. Silver Adonis was a shock winner of this in 2010, but was well beaten in last year’s renewal. He found winning impossible last season and looked one to oppose strongly, but has actually run two solid races this season and scored at Fakenham last time. I still wouldn’t want to be backing him, but given he looks a different horse this year, maybe he might run well. Sizing America’s form this season is not good enough to be winning this, while Teddy’s Reflection was second in a Ffos Las Hunter Chase which has worked out shockingly and was well beaten behind Sizing America last time at Southwell. The Polomoche did manage to win over 3m at Huntingdon last time, but given what I saw from second place Gidam Gidam in a Point on Saturday, that form is worthless. He was well behind Cloudy Lane at Newbury over this trip the time before and I struggle to see him being good enough to win. Unowatimeen didn’t run too badly when I saw him finish third in a Ladies Open over Christmas and then won in the mud at Haydock last time. Given the conditions that day the form looks very suspect and I would only give him a chance if it turned very testing (seems unlikely). William Butler was well beaten on his Hunter Chase debut in a three-runner-race at Towcester and that form leaves him with plenty to find. Conclusion There may be 26 runners but you can rule a fair few out. If My Way De Solzen still retains anywhere near his old class he will win, but is hard to tell, so if he wins he won’t be carrying my money. Instead I will side with Gwanako who has looked in great form this season and although he has failed to get round here twice, he has still won over course and distance. I will also be backing Island Life who looks very progressive, whilst Offshore Account and Boxer Georg would be the two others to consider. Tips 1st Gwanako 2nd Island Life 3rd Offshore Account
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You have the foxhunters on Thursday and the topham on Friday over the national course. Sent from my HTC Desire S using PL Forum
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Re: England > Midweek > BlueSQ Bet Prem Apr 9-10 Alfreton v York I start with Alfreton who continue to make us plenty of money as the bookmakers continue to underrate them, basing their odds on the league table rather than current form. As I mentioned on Saturday, based on results in 2012 the home side would be fighting for a play-off spot and the team is much improved from the very poor one that started the season. Again it isn’t an easy game as York are a decent side, but they have shown themselves to struggle against sides like Alfreton this season. Indeed Alfreton managed to win the reverse fixture back in August. As the victory over Wrexham proved they are a very hard side to break down and York will find them just as tough as they prefer to play against the better footballing sides in the division. York need the points more than Alfreton, but I am happy to continue backing the home side given the run of form they are on and are over priced at 11/5 with Bet Victor and William Hill. Barrow v Southport If Southport were in better form I would be making this a five point selection because pretty much any team at odds against needs to be backed against Barrow at the moment. Barrow are so bad that it’s a good job they got enough points earlier in the season because on current form they would be sure fire relegation candidates. They have now lost seven on the bounce and have not managed to score a goal in any of those matches. Top scorer Andy Cook being sent off on Saturday isn’t going to help their chances on Monday either. They didn’t even manage a shot on target against Gateshead and they also have problems at the other end of the pitch with 20 goals conceded in that run. Manager Dave Bayliss refused to talk to the press after the game on Saturday and it’s hard to see where the improvement is going to come from to cause a sudden change in fortune. Southport have had an amazing season and if I am honest I am pretty shocked they are still in with a chance of a play-off spot. Their play-off bid has hit the buffers a little in recent weeks with a draw against Braintree and losses to Hayes and Kidderminster, meaning only one point out of nine on offer. This is a must win for them if they are to extend their season and given how bad Barrow are looking right now the 5/4 (Blue Square and Coral) is a cracking price. Fleetwood v Wrexham This game takes place on Tuesday night and is live on Premier Sports. I’m sure that Premier Sports must be slightly frustrated that Wrexham have run out of steam, because until recently this was looking a title decider. Now we know Fleetwood are going to win the title and if they do pick up the three points on Tuesday night they will be confirmed as champions. It is deserved as well as they have not lost in the league for 27 games (Newport were the last team to beat them on October 11th) and they have only lost three times all season. They went over 100 points for the season on Saturday and look set to beat Crawley’s record points tally. Wrexham look a team sort on ideas at the moment and go into this game knowing the title has gone, but are safely in the play-offs. I can see Fleetwood gaining a pretty comfortable success and thus think it is worth backing them on the handicap with Paddy Power going 12/5 about them overcoming a goal start. Kidderminster v Newport Granted Newport have not lost in their last three games and have had good wins against York and Gateshead, but they looked a tired side on Friday night when drawing 0-0 with AFC Telford in a dull game. The home side have hit form again and are unbeaten in five now, a run of form which has seen them move into the top five. They are on the back of two good away wins against fellow promotion hopefuls Grimsby and Southport and I fancy them to make it four wins on the bounce back at home. Newport have struggled away from home all season, having only won three and with such a short turnaround from Friday night there has been little time for the players to recover. BetVictor’s 5/6 looks a little too big for me.
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Apr 6-7 Thanks luckoftheirish and yes it was a shame about Eastbourne, I should have stuck Ships tip of Havant in instead. Its interesting you mention about the forum because the views on the non-league stuff has gone down a fair bit since the forum update. Not really sure why that is but its a shame its less busy and at times it is pretty much me and Ships only posting.
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Apr 6-7 Bath's win means the yankee is already showing a profit as well and just need at least one of the others to win for a decent return.
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet North & South Apr 6-7 I went to watch Basingstoke v Woking this afternoon and it proved to be a pretty easy 90 minutes for Woking. Basingstoke werent bad but lacked ideas in the final third and didnt really threaten the Woking goal that much. Meanwhile Woking looked back to their best and the title should be theirs now. Blue Square have announced that they are paying out on Woking to win the league.
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Apr 6-7 Hope some of you got on Alfreton this afternoon as they did look a good bet at those odds. Good start to the weekend with Dorchester winning in the BSS as well.
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So kev put us away and we all should have lumped on buckle. Sent from my HTC Desire S using PL Forum
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet North & South Apr 6-7 Corby Town v Gloucester City (Saturday) Last week I opposed my team to great effect, but this week I am firmly with them. As I mentioned in my preview last week, City were struggling for players and although they lost 3-1 it was an improved performance. A few players returned on Tuesday night when they travelled to title chasing Guiseley and they put in a fantastic performance in the snow before going down 3-2. They also played with 10 men for the majority of the game which boosts the performance. That is also a slight worry going into this as it will have taken a huge effort, but I think that is factored into the price and a couple more players are returning on Saturday. Corby did manage to win at home for the first time since November a couple of weeks ago against Colwyn Bay, but I don’t think that form is up to much given the dreadful run Bay are in. Corby have also been awful in their two games since that so I think they are there for the taking at the moment. As long as Tuesday night hasn’t taken too much out of them Gloucester look a cracking bet at Bet Victor’s 9/5. Eastleigh v Dorchester (Friday) The home side did manage to get back to winning ways last Saturday but they still weren’t massively convincing and I think they are worth opposing again with a back to form Dorchester. The away side’s form had really deserted them and they have even lost to bottom side Thurrock in recent weeks. As I say though they have bounced back with a superb win at second placed Dartford and Farnborough last Saturday. The other reason I fancy Dorchester here is the fact that it will be manager Alan Knight’s last game in charge as he has had to resign due to work commitments. Now given the great job he has done in his fairly brief time at the club I think the players will want to make sure he ends on a high and they are more than capable of doing that against an out of sorts Eastleigh. Bet Victor and Stan James are offering 21/10 and that looks too big to me. Tonbridge Angels v Dover (Saturday) I am saving the best bet of the week until last as I am keen on Tonbridge Angels to beat Dover. I wrote last week about how surprising Dover’s recent defeats were given they had done so well to get themselves in with a shot of getting in the play-offs. I was right to take them on though as they put in another lacklustre performance as they lost 2-0 to Boreham Wood. That is three defeats on the bounce now and although the play-offs are still a possibility their performances on the pitch are suggesting they will not be in them come the end of the season. Tonbridge Angels are in very good form at the moment as well as they are now unbeaten in seven and their last defeat was to Dartford, who were flying at the time. Their best performances have come at home and again that Dartford defeat is their only loss in their last eight home matches. I think even if Dover were coming into this in strong form that Tonbridge would be capable of beating them, so as they aren’t I have to make Tonbridge the bet of the week at 13/10 (Bet Victor).
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Apr 6-7 I have also done a small yankee, a bit like the one I did a couple of weeks back, with Alfreton, Bath, Braintree and Eastbourne (BSS) are in that as I feel all of them are bigger than their odds should be. Bath might relax now they are down and Tamworth are hardly doing well themselves, Braintree's pitch wont suit the way Luton like to play football and Welling arent always that good away from home and Eastbourne have looked better recently.
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Re: England > Weekend > BlueSQ Bet Prem Apr 6-7 Hayes & Yeading v Cambridge United (Saturday) Every season that Hayes have been in the Blue Square Premier they have made a late bid for survival and this year is no different. They have won three of their last six, including a great victory over play-off hopefuls Southport. Their two defeats in that spell were only by the odd goal in three and it is clear they are in the best form they have been all season. Cambridge have been pretty inconsistent of late but I do think they are struggling for form on the whole. They did nearly beat Wrexham last week but it seems to me that was more to do with how bad Wrexham played. They did follow that up with a 1-0 win at Lincoln on Tuesday but Lincoln were the better side and should have got something. Hayes have got much more riding on this game than their opponents and given the general way the two teams are playing at the moment I do think bet365’s 2/1 on a home win is slightly generous. Wrexham v Alfreton (Friday) The away side have been very profitable for us of late and although this is obviously a tough game I do think the bookies have priced it up wrong. As I mentioned above, Wrexham were awful last Saturday and were very lucky to get a point. Prior to that they needed two late goals to see off Darlington and lost to Forest Green Rovers. They have had a tremendous season but you always sensed they would fade eventually and although it’s taken longer than many thought, it does appear as if that is now happening. I don’t really need to point out the superb run Alfreton are on that has seen them pretty much safe for another year in the Blue Square Premier. In actual fact if you based the table on results in 2012 then they would be pushing for a play-off spot. If they were in that position then there is no way they would be available at 8/1 for this game and that is why I believe the bookmakers have got this one priced wrongly. I really do think Alfreton can get something so I will keep the draw on side and back them at 6/1 in the draw no bet market with bet365 and Stan James.
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Re: Has Ferdy lost the plot? He seems like he cant be bothered anymore. I dont think its the job it once was anyway
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Re: BBOTD Thursday 5th of April
You really must ignore handicap marks when it comes to hunter chases. My Flora gets a mares allowance but also has a penalty to carry because of the Stratford race she won. If you were using handicap marks than Bermuda Boy is actually the best in. I find it very hard to split My Flora and Divine Intavention because I think My Flora is the better horse, but this sharp test is not going to suit her at all and will suit Divine Intavention. Im not surprised they are joint favs.MY FLORA - 6/4 SJ - FOLKSTONE 17:15 - WIN good form going into the race strong with a nice string of p2p and on track winners including a big feild of 15 in a C2 . likes the ground and has won over this distance . lightly raced but come off a lovely 4th in the foxhunters at cheltenham and must spark interest , been well tipped and nap'd expect to see the price crumble . gets away with a decent weight considering handicap mark , stands everychance here -
Sky sports are reporting that buckle has been offered the job. Apparently 6 people have been interviewed and they have 2 outstanding candidates. Sent from my HTC Desire S using PL Forum
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Re: Next Luton Town manager ? It sounded like she had spoken to Allen herself but then from what you are saying it seems like its him who has been offered the job. I can only imagine that she tweeted info given to her by the club, probably Sweet, so if they want to lie to her thats up to them isnt it.
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Re: Next Luton Town manager ?
Yep he was on the non-league show on Monday and said all that. They have interviewed 2 yesterday, 3 today and 3 tomorrow. No names have been mentioned so I think its an impossible market to play.Bloody hell. This club seem to be more of a joke than I thought. Their Director, Gary Sweet about the appointment of the new manager: "We're effectively looking for two people. One person to get as many points as needed from the next seven games and to win three [play-off] games. "It may be that we require a different person, whether in League Two or the Conference, to take us forward. "It could be that that person is the same person. But we are looking at it in that frame of mind. "I think if there is an obvious candidate we will have found him by the end of the week. "If it goes beyond that then we're looking for somebody for the long-term who can do a job this season too." Source: BBC -
Re: England > Midweek > Non-league April 2-4 Heres something I didnt think I would be writing again this season but Gateshead v Luton is off due to a waterlogged pitch.
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Re: Next Luton Town manager ? My attempt didnt really work as you can see and I cant lose the boxes now. Bet Victor are also betting on the market and have Buckle at evens and he is 8/11 with Stan James. Martin Allen is 4s with both but he has ruled himself out from what I heard. Everyone else is 12s or bigger.
BBOTD Thursday 12th of April
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: BBOTD Thursday 12th of April
I was not slating him at all but if it came across like that then I am sorry. When you look at a hunter chase not surprisingly point to point form is a big factor in that. Which is why their is a massive edge if you know your pointing form. Given My Way De Solzen's only run this season was in a point I feel it is quite important to his chances. What has he beaten? What time did he clock? Was he impressive? All very important so to not barely know he even won the race is not good in my view. Point to points very greatly on quality but there are some that are better than a fair few hunter chases I have seen this season.