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robertob
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Posts posted by robertob
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6.40 Brighton: Every Instinct @ 7/1 VC
Back from a break and still a maiden after five starts, though gelded in the meantime and upped in trip. Trainer has good record with this type of horses and Every Instinct may do better on handicap debut.
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7.55 Roscommon: Claudio Monteverdi @ 6/1 Bet365
One last chance for this colt.He caught the eye quite impressivelly on his first three career starts and seemingly trained on when getting off the mark at Leopardstown earlier this year but couldn't quite follow-on from there. Tongue tie fitted for this first time may help, the return to soft ground is in his favour and this Listed contest is, bar the favourite who has ground and trip worries, a very ordinary one.
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7.30 Bath: Rainbow Dreamer @ 7/2 Boylesports
New trip is a question mark but if he runs to similar form when second behind Red Verdon he must have a huge chance. Soft ground no issue too.
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4.00 Hamilton: Tickthebox @ 16/1 Coral
Dual winner over course and distance last year and seemingly trained on when close runner-up here on seasonal debut last month. Up another 3lb but may be has still more to offer on second start this season now as a 3yo.
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7.25 Windsor: Choral Festival @ 12/1 Coral
Two good performances last month before a disappointing run at Goodwood - return to softish ground should help, so should a return to Windsor where she has a 70%+ place rate over the 10f trip. This race looks wide open and a return to last month's form will see her go close.
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4.25 Nottingham: Sir Dominio @ 11/2 Bet365
Loves the ground, has good form and just tired lto. Fair shot in this open race.
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4.20 Salisbury: Touch The Sky @ 4/1 Bet365
Won two on the trot and may still be able to pull out more. With only six career starts, a nice pedigree and only the second time over 14f I can see him pulling out more to overcome a career highest mark. The ground shouldn't be an issue.
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5.50 Windsor: Eternal Dream E/W @ 25/1 Betfred
Dream Ahead offspring does exceptionally well on softish ground, so the conditions here won't be an issue. He can produce plenty of speedy, precocious two year olds and the fact that the mare was Listed place as a juvenile herself is indiciation enough that Eternal Dream may surprise here today first time out.
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3.05 Ascot: Noble Gift @ 40/1 e/w Betfred
Open race and I fancy some others too but Noble Gift may have a tactical advantage from the front here and has no issues with ground and trip whatsoever. The ability to stay further may come in handy. Could be in the money.
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R1: FrankuusR2: BattalionR3: Higland ReelR4: Gold FunR5: The Happy PrinceR6: Amour de Nuit
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2.30 Ascot: Create A Dream @ 8/1 VC
Won her prep race, albeit in different conditions. Ground is drying out which should help but good to soft on pedgiree could be alright. Speedy sort as so many of this trainer and should be able to pull out more over this trip.
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R1: Create A Dream
R2: Houseofparliement
R3: Illuminate
R4: Alice Springs
R5: Elite Army
R6: Landofhopeandglory -
5.00 Royal Asoct: Pacodalia @ 40/1 Bet365 EW
Still a maiden and tough mark judged on that but Murtagh won't bring her over just for the day out. Paco Boy is quite a hot sire this season who's offspring performs well on soft ground. This daughter finished with plenty of credit behind Irish 2000 Guineas winner Awtaad at the Curragh in May, though failed to win a maiden subsequently. But the step up in trip to 1m is sure to suit today and there could be still more to come.
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R1: Legendary LunchR2: MulkR3: ArchitectureR4: Max DynamiteR5: PacodaliR6: Navajo War Dance
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3.40 Ascot: Devonshire @ 11/1 VC
Last years Irish 1000 Guineas third looks underappreciated here. Her win record isn't impressive, however she has an aweful lot of big performances to her name and she comes into this race after winning a decent Group 2 at the Curragh over 1m when last seen. The soft ground is totally in her favour, and while giving weight away isn't an advantage, I believe she has plenty of class to go close.
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2.30 As: Light Music
3.05 As: Spiaggia
3.40 As: Devonshire
4.20 As: Found
5.00 As: Azraff
5.35 As: Dolce Strega
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2.30 As: Ervedya
3.05 As: Thunder Snow
3.40 As: Waady
4.20 As: The Gurkha
5.00 As: Penglai Pavilion
5.35 As: Pretty Vacant
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3.20 Thirsk: Trevisani @ 2/1 Bet365
Back after a long break and first time gelded, but should be hard to beat if fit in this class. Has a lovely pedigree and is likely to improve after getting off the mark in a Kempton maiden last October.
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8.00 Kempton: Semra @ 12/1 Ladbrokes
Wide open race with question marks hanging over the head of most. Semra looks bred for the job though, likely to improve for the step up in trip. Placed in all three starts she took well to handicap company at Chelmsford lto where she was a clear run denied turning for home, the eventual winner got first run on her but she stayed on strongly. 4lb up makes life tougher but with added experience and the new trip she could well be able to defy it if she takes to Kempton's polytrack.
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3.45 Brighton: Echo Brava @ 8/1 Bet365
Possibly a tough assignement on his return given the current handicap mark, but good chance he's ready to go and this little race isn't very competitive, taken out the strong favourite. He's sure to act on the fast ground and certainly likes the trip; track shouldn't be an issue given he also ran well at crazy Epsom in the past. If the favourite doesn't deliver then there's a big chance for Echo Brava who would only need to run close to his mark to have a big chance.
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3.15 Chantilly: Prix Du Jockey Club - Raseed @ 10/1 Bet365
Wide open race, can be chaotic, so a good draw and start can be vital. Raseed drawn in four should have enough early speed to settle in a good position and he looked smart winning a Group 3 over course and distance when last seen. This is tougher but he has every chance to improve again and vitally is certain to enjoy the soft ground.
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4.30 Epsom: US Army Ranger @ 13/2 Bet365
Totally unexposed, potentially with a bit of magic in him, AOB is always speaking about there is something special about this lad. Whether he can show it today or inexperience finds him out, we'll see. I like what I saw on his debut and rate his Chester run much higher than many seem to do.
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4.30 Epsom: Seventh Heaven @ 25/1 Bet365
It might be unwise to oppose Minding but I feel this dramatic step up in trip is against her, also the fact she had this tough race at the Curragh following on from Newmarket can't be positive. There are some interesting alternatives, most interesting Minding's stable mate Seventh Heaven. Slight concerns about the ground and that we haven't seen her in a while but I liked the way she won the Oaks Trial at Lingfield. She was gutsy and seemed to have more to give. If she handles the track I can see her running a big race.
Monthly Nap Competition - Wednesday 6th July 2016
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
7.15 Kempton: Blue Suede @ 2/1 Bet365
Twice runner-up in maidens over 5f, now stepping up in trip and first time on the All-Weather which should very much suit. Looks the one to beat in this field.