Redno2009

Burnley was a very strong home team last season, especially in the beginning of the season. I'm expecting the same trend to continue today. I'm still not convinced about WBA's goalscoring abilities, so Burnley's home win looks good to me today. Best odds are around 2.60 at the moment.
Also, Man. United with the -1,5 handicap looks tempting. Swansea has lost Sigurdsson and I think it's a huge blow for them. ManU on the other hand looked very dangerous against Hammers last weekend. Best odds are around 2.30 (dropping at the moment).
Leicester to win Brighton looks promising to me. Brighton's ball possession percentage was only 22 against Man City last weekend, not a very great sign for them. On the other hand Leicester attacked all guns blazing against Arsenal and they nearly won the match. Especially Jamie Vardy looks like he could be able to score over 15 goals this season, and that's a brilliant sign for the home team. Best odds are around 1.85 atm.

Crystal Palace is likely to be thrashed again. I seriously doubt FDB will change his tactics, afterall he is still making his team adapt to his tactics. Mane and Salah will have a field day against the Palace slow wingbacks.

ac milan were sold to chinese business and they have invested in new players. they got rid half the squad from last season. they have signed massive defensive player in bonucci and he will make them better at the back. i really think lazio will challenge for the title. inzaghi has vast footballing experience and had a positive impact at lazio last season. if team improves even a little bit over last season they will be up there and at 50/1 to win italian league that's great price

I am not sure what Hughes is trying to do at Stoke (maybe get himself fired), but their squad looks weak. They have had quite a clear out, and he is reasonably priced to be first Premier League manager fired this season (got some competition though). What turns me off here, is just how bad Stoke play at the beginning of a season. It seems to take them 3 home games to wake up.
2014 lost first two to Villa and Leicester   
2015  lost first two to Liverpool and WBA   | 2 points from their first 3 away games
2016  lost first two to Man City (1-4) and Tottenham (0-4)  | 2 points from their first 4 away games
 
Would'nt touch Stoke with a barge pole here. These guys are still on holiday !

Good night last night with Liverpool BTTS coming in. 
 
Tonight I fancy a Celtic/Napoli double on the Win & Over 2.5 market, which pays 7/2 with Boylesports. 
 
Griffiths to score anytime at Evens with William Hill also looks good, but I will wait for the line up before backing it. 

The only thing putting me off Liverpool is the fact that both teams would probably be happy with a draw, and it is always difficult to back a side when that is the case. 
However I do think Liverpool will win. I just think they are too good for Hoffenheim, on paper at least. I think Hoffenheim will score, so my pick for the game is Liverpool / BTTS at 10/3. 
 

well i watched nice tonight and they were absolutely crap against troyes. they were slow and clueless. napoli will rout them easily and i don't think they will score

nice 2.5 over 1.9
rennes 2.5 0ver 1.8
 
20 gbp double

The above shows the performance rating from the Arsenal/Everton game. 
The 59 rating for Arsenal is not the prediction rating but the performance rating. Is there anyway we can see the prediction rating for the above game ? 
I am wondering can we see the prediction rating and the performance rating on the same page once the game is over, just to do a bit of backtesting on the system or am I reading the ratings all wrong ?

This is the Prediction Rating for the game tonight. We can see the ratings for the game which give Philadelphia a slight advantage. When the game is over the prediction rating is no longer available and we can only see the performance rating. Any chance of seeing both even after the game. This is basically what I am looking for.
Hope this explains a bit better.
 
 
 

We will have 8 divisions this season and hopefully we will 20 players in each league.
The first mini season is randomly picked and we all start on equal terms, divisions will be sorted on performance after 10 weeks.
This is the latest situation and I will update these every couple of days until kick off on Aug 12th.
*Start Date - August 12th 2017*
First week selections can be posted in the relevant threads from Wednesday Aug 9th
Check out the Rules thread which contains details of the competition format and prizes.
 
 


 
 
 

@Redno2009 You have already registered, your in Div 5!

I want to focus on Premier League (teams), AH bets, this season. For the first round I really think there are a lot of games to stay away from.
Arsenal - Leicester: Arsenal -1.25AH @1.85 in the opening match of the season against Leicester doesn't look good to me. In my opinion it can go a lot of ways. There is no value on Leicester for the same reason. Maybe if Mahrez will be sold, I'm more declined to bet Arsenal, but even then I find -1.25AH too much. Arsenal isn't the most consistent team for betting purposes IMO.
Watford - Liverpool: Liverpool -0.75AH @1.75...neh....first match of season, away, how do new players perform...too much questions for a good bet at those odds. I think odds are right.
Chelsea - Burnley: Chelsea -1.75AH @1.77 . Expect Chelsea to fire up from the beginning, but is that worth 2+ goals win against Burnley in first match @1.77? Questionable. If odds rise towards @2.00 I will reconsider, but I guess that won't happen.
Palace - Huddersfield: really don't have a clue about what to expect in this stage of the season...so I don't do anything here. Though I fancy De Boer as coach so I'll closely watch them in forthcoming matches.
Everton - Stoke: my second bet this season (first bet is Everton -2.00AH @1.72 against Ruzomberok in EL). Everton did really well in transfer market with improvements in every line, despite loss of Lukaku and Deulofeu. I think Everton can repeat the positive 2016/2017 season and maybe will be the suprise of the season. Stoke on the other hand lost in quality, while they aren't that strong at the first place. Together with the fact that Everton plays home and already played 2 'real' games at that point, I think -0.75AH @1.89 is really good value). Everton can win by a 1-2 goal margin.
Southampton - Swansea: same as Palace comment.
WBA - Bournemouth: same as Palace comment.
Brighton - Man. City: City -1.25AH @1.84 looks good to me already, but maybe odds will rise a little bit. Brighton just promoted, which means they are to be expected fighting against relegation. City on the other hand will compete for champions. Guns will blaze directly because quality difference is huge. I think line will change to -1.50AH towards KO.
Newcastle - Tottenham: how will Tottenham fare (as people already posted in this thread)? That's a question that will be answered in the first matches of the season. Opening against Newcastle away won't be easy for them so I'm looking at Newcastle right now. But still Newcastle +0.75AH @1.85 is weak. I want them higher before I even start to think about betting that line.
Man. Utd. - West Ham: last 2 seasons Man Utd didn't do very well. The team struggled. They have improved, but how does that effect the play? I want to watch how it will deploy, so don't bet on them now. West Ham will be fighting relegation I think, but the line, +1.50AH @2.03 holds no value. Man Utd can easily draw, win by 1 goal margin or trash West Ham.
So for now only Everton -0.75AH @1.89 and maybe City -1.25AH @1.84.