BillyHills

Well done to the both of you for making the final ?

**BOOOOOOOOOOM***  50/1 shocker

 
?

Rain is forecast to fall at Spa half way through the race today, so caution is advised if piling in at long odds-on about Hamilton to winning again.
He's a 2/5 shot at best and although he should win without much fuss I'm not sure it's worth the risk. At around the same price (4/11 Hills) a Safety Car looks the more certain wager in my eyes. Even without rain it looks a fair bet we will see some trouble around this very long circuit.
Great to see Verstappen and Ricciardo on the second row, its a long way down to turn one and don't bet against one of these drivers upsetting the Mercs right from the off. It maybe there only chance as once the race settles down Hamilton and Bottas maybe hard to catch.
Who would have thought after half a dozen races in 2020 that we would see both Ferrari's starting at 500/1 or more, its a shame whats happened with them but battling for a couple of points is all they can hope for. Vettel is 2/1 to bet his teammate and that looks decent value in a coin flip.
Value is not easy to find but the 4/1 about Ricciardo making the first podium for Renault for a long time is too big and worth a small bet.
Top 3: Ricciardo 4/1 bet365
Safety Car YES 4/11 Hills
Under 16.5 Evens bet365
Vettel to bt Leclerc 2/1 bet365

One of my favourite races of the year, always full of drama and a track where Mercedes dont dominate as much as some.
Stats

Grid position

 
9/10 Winners from front row 10/12 Safety Cars Average number of retirements is 4  
 

16.35 Navan Takeachancejimmy 28/1 b365
All the best.

645 Redcar
Bonneval 16/1 bet365

Windsor 15.50   BAD COMPANY   16/1 Betvictor

If you are interested in playing in the new season and you have not already been given a place in the new divisions then put your name down here.
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340 Curragh

 
1pt EW Laughifuwant 14/1 Hills 5 places
1pt EW Agitare 20/1 PP 6 Places
 
450 Newmarket

1pt EW Manigordo 28/1 bet365
2pts Win Man Of Promise 13/8 bet365
 
 

Good luck both
 

 
 

Aug 28
Not 1, Not 2, but 3 40/1 winners 

Aug 28
Not 1, Not 2, but 3 40/1 winners 

NR replace with
1935 Newmarket Berrahi win 40/1 @ bet365

4.05 Gd Madrinho one point win at 11/1 with Bet365

Fontwell    1.40    King Cool    9/1 win bet365

Newmarket 7.35 BERRAHRI 40/1 bet365
IF N/R
Fontwell 12.35 JIM JA 40/1 bet365

12.15 Goodwood - 1pt win Wholelotafun @ 40/1 Bet365
Maybe bonkers but considering the ground might not suit some of these in a small field, I think it's worth having a poke at the rag here. Wholelotafun is more exposed than these and hasn't won a race but has shown promise in England and France and wouldn't be out of this off a mark of 70 given his price in a small field. Shaped quite well from off the pace at Chepstow when last running on these shores, keeping on well under a fairly gentle ride into 4th with an action that suggests that soft ground would suit. He's handled it when running okay in France and a testing 7f looks ideal for him, so with question marks on a couple of the others, we'll have a tentative play on the rank outsider.

king cool 1.40 f 10/1 ew bet365

What you changing them too BH, I have found a pin in me toolbox going to give that a go.?

Last week was a bit of a damp squid on the Australian front as not only did Moonee Valley get abandoned midway through the card, but I also found winners hard to come by. To be fair I was probably due a really tough week given how positive it has mainly been since I started these previews back in March. This week we are at Caulfield where the Group 1 Memsie Stakes is the highlight, although I found it too tough so no tip for me in that, and Rosehill is the Sydney venue.
Caulfield R3 (3.55am)
A pretty open contest this, but I like the look of Acting at a decent price. She is a G2 winner over course and distance and made a really good return when 3rd over 1100m here a couple of weeks ago. She stayed on the inside that day and it did look like the ground wasn't the best so you can upgrade the effort. Also the winner Bless Her has run up a sequence so the form looks good.
Acting @ 9/1 with Betfair
Caulfield R4 (4.30am)
An interesting race here with a few horses returning that will be looking for further later on in the campaign so I am taking two against the field who should be ready for this. Morrissy ran a cracking race in the WFA G2 Lawrence Stakes over course and distance 2 weeks ago. He loves this course and distance and back in a handicap I think he has a really solid chance. Yulong January is the other one I like. He ran well 1st up in a G3 over 1200m at Flemington. He got tired late on there and he should be fitter here. He has won 2/3 2nd up and will enjoy the firmer surface as well.
Morrissy @ 100/30 with William Hill
Yulong January @ 9/2 with Bet365
Caulfield R5 (5.10am)
This is basically the same race that should have ended the card at Moonee Valley last week. I put up Orderofthegarter and Polly Grey in that race and the prices allowed that. The problem here is both are under 3/1 so it's hard to put both up as a bet. I'm going to side with Orderofthegarter because I thought his run was huge last time after a long lay off. The draw isn't ideal in 12, but hopefully Damien can do the business. As per last week it will be interesting to see what Young Rascal and Schabau both do. 
Orderofthegarter @12/5 with Bet365
Caulfield R7 (6.30am)
Tagaloa looks pretty hard to beat here on his return. He looked good in a jump out at Cranbourne recently and he looked a really promising horse in the autumn having won the Blue Diamond over course and distance before finishing 4th in the Golden Slipper. There are some unexposed horses here, but I think they will have to improve a fair bit to beat Tagaloa.
Tagaloa @ 11/4 with William Hill
Caulfield R10 (8.20am)
Rubisaki has won 8 of her 10 races and finished 2nd in the other two. She was unbeaten in her last prep starting off in a BM78 and then going on to win a G2 and two G3's. She handles all types of ground and her closing splits were always top notch. She is surely working her way up to G1 level this prep and she should be able to take this on her way. The only concern is the wide draw, but hopefully she can fly home to win. As mentioned above Bless Her has been in great form and I can imagine that she will be the horse that Rubisaki has to run down.
Rubisaki @ 7/4 with William Hill
Rosehill R4 (4.50am)
Amazingly it has stopped raining in Sydney so we are looking at a good track for a change. Ex UK horse Korcho has won his last two in good style and he stays at BM78 level as he looks to land the hat-trick. He handled good ground in the UK so I am not concerned that he is on a drier track. He comes back to 2000m, but that shouldn't bother him either. I think he can land this before stepping up in grade.
Korcho @ 9/2 with Bet365
Rosehill R6 (6.10am)
Sangria was poor at Randwick at the start of the month, but that was on a Heavy 9 1st up so we can forgive that performance. She will prefer this drier surface and was a Listed winner at Flemington back in March. She has won a trial since so is clearly in good form and I am expecting a much improved performance here.
Sangria @14/5 with Bet365
Rosehill R7 6.50am)
Chris Waller has always spoken highly of Overlord and although he has yet to win a race he has bumped into the very promising Peltzer (goes in the race befofre) twice and then ran 4th of 18 in the G1 JJ Atkins at Eagle Farm in June. You would hope that he can finally break his maiden tag here.
Overlord @ 6/4 with Bet365
Rosehill R8 (7.30am)
A few ex UK and Irish runners which will be familiar go in this G3 handicap over 1900m. Frankely Awesome will surely do better than she did last time, but I have to be with Mugatoo. He has won half of his 6 starts and has continued his progression in Australia from that he showed in this country. He was 2nd to Young Rascal in a G3 here back in March and than ran as well as could have been expected in G1 company. I thought he wold struggle to win over 1500m 1st up in a Listed contest here a month ago, but he was really impressive in winning. You have to think he will be Caulfield Cup bound and I think he can win this on the way.
Mugatoo @ 5/4 with Betfair

340 Curragh

 
1pt EW Laughifuwant 14/1 Hills 5 places
1pt EW Agitare 20/1 PP 6 Places
 
450 Newmarket

1pt EW Manigordo 28/1 bet365
2pts Win Man Of Promise 13/8 bet365
 
 

Aug 27
A look at the Most Winners situation
Bymatrix needs one more decent winner in the last 4 days to get him over the £10 mark
If he fails its between Vangovin and Alastair with the former in the driving seat.
At least this mini-comp makes people bet throughout the month
Cracking effort by Marmalade by the way 84% SR
 

 

340 Curragh

 
1pt EW Laughifuwant 14/1 Hills 5 places
1pt EW Agitare 20/1 PP 6 Places
 
450 Newmarket

1pt EW Manigordo 28/1 bet365
2pts Win Man Of Promise 13/8 bet365
 
 

340 Curragh

 
1pt EW Laughifuwant 14/1 Hills 5 places
1pt EW Agitare 20/1 PP 6 Places
 
450 Newmarket

1pt EW Manigordo 28/1 bet365
2pts Win Man Of Promise 13/8 bet365