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twinny

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  1. Like
    twinny got a reaction from gbettle in Quick System   
    Hi Ralphie,all the best to you and your family m8,have a lovely xmas and all the best for 2022,and to all the other punters happy Christmas all
  2. Like
    twinny got a reaction from MCLARKE in Quick System   
    Hi Ralphie,all the best to you and your family m8,have a lovely xmas and all the best for 2022,and to all the other punters happy Christmas all
  3. Like
    twinny reacted to Trotter in Pricing your own race   
    1.25 Ling 
    in current market order at bet365
    3/1 Fav Intuitive - I make a 20/1 shot - poor
    10/3 Corazon Esp - I make 13/5 - about right
    4/1 Fox - I make 12/1 - poor
    6/1 Papa - I make 12/1 - poor
    15/2 Crownth - I make 4/1 - looks OK 
    9/1 - Lord - I make 9/1 - about right
    10/1 Moha - I make 20/1 - poor
    20/1 Miss - I make 9/2 ! - EW ?
    So I make the outsider the best for 'value' and possible EW shot though there are just the 8 runners so could be scuppered by a NR
    Of the more fancied ones Crownthorpe the value for a Win bet
    This race does point up a problem though in that two of the market leaders (Intuitive and Fox Power) are lightly raced types who haven't earned many points yet but have potential to be ahead of the handicapper. Obviously awarding points for what they have done up to now doesn't take account of this....... whereas if you were doing good old fashioned form study you would include an assessment of what the horse might be capable of as well as what it's already achieved. That's a problem with any points based system
    On the other hand you might think it's an advantage only to rate a horse on what it's already done and take hype, trainer & jockey quotes, pundits opinions, big yard and big connections bias out of the equation.
    edited .... got a mixed up with the odds on the two outsiders !
  4. Thanks
    twinny reacted to ralphie7 in Quick System   
    Cheers twinny 
    Al the best to you and your family. Stay safe mate
  5. Like
    twinny got a reaction from Thriftysolo in Quick System   
    happy new year Ralphie and Family have a great 2021 ?
    happy new year all on here ?
  6. Like
    twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Most Corners   
    Athletico 5 Getafe 2 for a £10 loss
    Elche 2 Real Madrid 3 for a £10 loss
    Total for the above -£20 bank now £643.28
    Nothing for today and ....
    All the best for 2021 to everyone on here....stay safe and have a great year 
  7. Like
    twinny got a reaction from Thriftysolo in Quick System   
    Happy Xmas Ralphie, your family and close ones,happy Xmas all on here have a fantastic day tomoz...and Stay safe ?
  8. Like
    twinny got a reaction from MCLARKE in Quick System   
    Happy Xmas Ralphie, your family and close ones,happy Xmas all on here have a fantastic day tomoz...and Stay safe ?
  9. Thanks
    twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Win Backing System   
    you can set sp min odds limit when backing at bfsp...just click 5 and let run(i think this is correct) 
  10. Like
    twinny got a reaction from Chev Chelios in Most Corners   
    2 bets for today 
    Italian seria A 11.30 k/o Fiorentina v Benevento I have backed Benevento 4/1 Boyle(7/2 Paddy/Betfair)
    English Premier League 12.00 k/o Fulham v Everton I have backed Fulham 6/4 Skybet(6/4 Betvic/Bet365) 7/5 most others
  11. Like
    twinny got a reaction from Chev Chelios in Most Corners   
    Wales 2 Ireland 4 for a £17 win bank now £639.28
    no bets for Monday
  12. Like
    twinny got a reaction from Chev Chelios in Most Corners   
    1 bet for Sunday 
    UEFA Nations League 5p/m k/o
    Wales v Ireland I have backed  Ireland 17/10 Boyle (slightly better odds with 15/8 Paddy/Betvic/Bet365)
  13. Like
    twinny got a reaction from vikki37 in bank builder(hopefully) percentage of bank   
    bet 15 a winner with Newcastle getting 8 corners to Sydneys 5 +£11 bank now £543
  14. Like
    twinny reacted to ReyPunter in bank builder(hopefully) percentage of bank   
    yeah
    this is the way to go
    if only i knew this when i was begging ...
  15. Like
    twinny reacted to waggy in bank builder(hopefully) percentage of bank   
    Going along nicely twinny. I like the 15k over three years.
  16. Like
    twinny got a reaction from ReyPunter in bank builder(hopefully) percentage of bank   
    thanks Rey,i wont post everyday(im not that greedy ? )but if on a bit of a roll might ride my luck a bit.i do use a lot of bookies offers etc so the early stages I have no probs with more bets,as the bank grows(hopefully) the bets will become less common hopefully to achive the 10 percent monthly or the equivalent of about a 1/3 shot daily 
  17. Like
    twinny got a reaction from ReyPunter in bank builder(hopefully) percentage of bank   
    this thread will be a daily thread(most days) using  half a percent up to 2 percent daily the aim will be 10 percent per month
    some bets will be tips on here some will be power prices.golden goals and using bog etc with different bookies
    start bank will be £500,if can get 10 percent per month then the aim is £15k after 3 years..?
    if in profit for the day I might add a couple more bets that day
  18. Like
    twinny got a reaction from ReyPunter in bank builder(hopefully) percentage of bank   
    bet 2 Southampton managed 6 corners for a winning bet +£8,75 bank now £526.25
  19. Like
    twinny got a reaction from ReyPunter in bank builder(hopefully) percentage of bank   
    bet 1 won +£17.5 bank now £517,5
    bet 2 using skybet  Man Unt v Southampton backing Southampton over 4.5 corners £5 @ 7/4 kick off 8pm
  20. Like
    twinny reacted to Trotter in short priced dutched doubles and trebles   
    Good luck twinny !
    I'll watch with interest ……. instinctively I feel that if you're picking two horses in 6 or 7 runner races you 'ought' to be picking quite a lot of winners ………… so let's see how it goes !
     
     
  21. Like
    twinny got a reaction from BillyHills in short priced dutched doubles and trebles   
    c
    great stuff Billy,i will give it a go,the 3pt gap is a good shout also,fingers crossed here
  22. Like
    twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Outside Chance (Goalscorers and Tryscorers)   
    Going really well harry,excellent picks
  23. Like
    twinny reacted to harry_rag in Most Corners   
    Unlucky today, welcome back. These corner bets seem to be funding some decent holidays! 
  24. Like
    twinny got a reaction from harry_rag in Outside Chance (Goalscorers and Tryscorers)   
    Fantastic stuff harry,keep it up m8
  25. Like
    twinny reacted to harry_rag in Outside Chance (Goalscorers and Tryscorers)   
    A decent day thanks to goals from Politano, Kalinic and Bale and tries by Walker and Nadolo,
    63 winners from 162 bets (38.89%), +43.38 points with an ROI of 26.78%
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