twinny

Hi Ralphie,all the best to you and your family m8,have a lovely xmas and all the best for 2022,and to all the other punters happy Christmas all

Hi Ralphie,all the best to you and your family m8,have a lovely xmas and all the best for 2022,and to all the other punters happy Christmas all

1.25 Ling 
in current market order at bet365
3/1 Fav Intuitive - I make a 20/1 shot - poor
10/3 Corazon Esp - I make 13/5 - about right
4/1 Fox - I make 12/1 - poor
6/1 Papa - I make 12/1 - poor
15/2 Crownth - I make 4/1 - looks OK 
9/1 - Lord - I make 9/1 - about right
10/1 Moha - I make 20/1 - poor
20/1 Miss - I make 9/2 ! - EW ?
So I make the outsider the best for 'value' and possible EW shot though there are just the 8 runners so could be scuppered by a NR
Of the more fancied ones Crownthorpe the value for a Win bet
This race does point up a problem though in that two of the market leaders (Intuitive and Fox Power) are lightly raced types who haven't earned many points yet but have potential to be ahead of the handicapper. Obviously awarding points for what they have done up to now doesn't take account of this....... whereas if you were doing good old fashioned form study you would include an assessment of what the horse might be capable of as well as what it's already achieved. That's a problem with any points based system
On the other hand you might think it's an advantage only to rate a horse on what it's already done and take hype, trainer & jockey quotes, pundits opinions, big yard and big connections bias out of the equation.
edited .... got a mixed up with the odds on the two outsiders !

Cheers twinny 
Al the best to you and your family. Stay safe mate

happy new year Ralphie and Family have a great 2021 ?
happy new year all on here ?

Athletico 5 Getafe 2 for a £10 loss
Elche 2 Real Madrid 3 for a £10 loss
Total for the above -£20 bank now £643.28
Nothing for today and ....
All the best for 2021 to everyone on here....stay safe and have a great year 

Happy Xmas Ralphie, your family and close ones,happy Xmas all on here have a fantastic day tomoz...and Stay safe ?

Happy Xmas Ralphie, your family and close ones,happy Xmas all on here have a fantastic day tomoz...and Stay safe ?

you can set sp min odds limit when backing at bfsp...just click 5 and let run(i think this is correct) 

2 bets for today 
Italian seria A 11.30 k/o Fiorentina v Benevento I have backed Benevento 4/1 Boyle(7/2 Paddy/Betfair)
English Premier League 12.00 k/o Fulham v Everton I have backed Fulham 6/4 Skybet(6/4 Betvic/Bet365) 7/5 most others

Wales 2 Ireland 4 for a £17 win bank now £639.28
no bets for Monday

1 bet for Sunday 
UEFA Nations League 5p/m k/o
Wales v Ireland I have backed  Ireland 17/10 Boyle (slightly better odds with 15/8 Paddy/Betvic/Bet365)

bet 15 a winner with Newcastle getting 8 corners to Sydneys 5 +£11 bank now £543

yeah
this is the way to go
if only i knew this when i was begging ...

Going along nicely twinny. I like the 15k over three years.

thanks Rey,i wont post everyday(im not that greedy ? )but if on a bit of a roll might ride my luck a bit.i do use a lot of bookies offers etc so the early stages I have no probs with more bets,as the bank grows(hopefully) the bets will become less common hopefully to achive the 10 percent monthly or the equivalent of about a 1/3 shot daily 

this thread will be a daily thread(most days) using  half a percent up to 2 percent daily the aim will be 10 percent per month
some bets will be tips on here some will be power prices.golden goals and using bog etc with different bookies
start bank will be £500,if can get 10 percent per month then the aim is £15k after 3 years..?
if in profit for the day I might add a couple more bets that day

bet 2 Southampton managed 6 corners for a winning bet +£8,75 bank now £526.25

bet 1 won +£17.5 bank now £517,5
bet 2 using skybet  Man Unt v Southampton backing Southampton over 4.5 corners £5 @ 7/4 kick off 8pm

Good luck twinny !
I'll watch with interest ……. instinctively I feel that if you're picking two horses in 6 or 7 runner races you 'ought' to be picking quite a lot of winners ………… so let's see how it goes !
 
 

c
great stuff Billy,i will give it a go,the 3pt gap is a good shout also,fingers crossed here

Going really well harry,excellent picks

Unlucky today, welcome back. These corner bets seem to be funding some decent holidays! 

Fantastic stuff harry,keep it up m8

A decent day thanks to goals from Politano, Kalinic and Bale and tries by Walker and Nadolo,
63 winners from 162 bets (38.89%), +43.38 points with an ROI of 26.78%