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Trotter

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Posts posted by Trotter

    Racing Chat-Thursday 2nd February.

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

    Well done.  Just a quick question.  How do you whittle down the qualifiers to a selection(s).  Is it just based upon the top 1/2 out of all the races or is it something else?  For example when you did the RPR/RTF trial you put up selections for all the races for the night and then took stock of an overall profit/loss. Whereas now you seem to have whittled them down.  Just curious that's all

    Well I tend to stick to single figure field handicaps ...... 

    single figure fields because I don't want to spend too long on any one race. I'm a big fan of small field races !..... although you're unlikely to find the 33/1 shot you need to win the Naps Comp if you're looking at 5 or 6 runner races. 

    handicaps because the AW handicappers tend to run regularly so you get to see a bit of a pattern in the speed figures and the handicapper very kindly arranges them in races where all the runners are roughly the same level of ability ...... you're not going to get a Frankel lurking amongst the future class 6 handicappers like you might get in maiden, novice or conditions races

    Racing Chat-Thursday 2nd February.

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Zilzalian said:

    Are you having problems with your speed figures from Newcastle AW? Race times seem to be very inconsistent. Other tracks are ok according to my figures. 

    Yes, Newcastle is the outlier  ........ it seems to be running so slow but very inconsistent

    I've tried a couple of things to work out going allowances but it varies so much it's not very helpful

    The first few meetings in January I've got 'slow' in the 20s on my scale ........ then

    22/01 - slow 9
    25/01 - slow 52
    26/01 - back to the 20s

    not sure what to make of it but mostly I'm adding about 20 in my mind to Newcastle figures but treating them with caution

    In general for January I've got Southwell riding fast, Newcastle riding slow and the other bunched together

     

     

    Racing Chat-Thursday 2nd February.

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Just now, MCLARKE said:

    You seem to be in a purple patch at the moment, I won't follow you or your luck will then change !

    cheers,

    Yeah, I've been spending more time on it since last month ......... I'd been losing interest for a long time but made the decision to either get back into it or pack up !

    Started doing AW speed figures again and seems to be working out OK ........

    Racing Chat-Thursday 2nd February.

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    5 hours ago, Trotter said:

    Win double on a couple of favourites at Chelm this evening 

    6.30 - Mintana 15/8
    8.00 - Storm Catcher 5/6 

    prices wm hill

    Also in the 8.30 Well Prepared, 4/1 bet365 looks to have a good chance. This is a Classified Stakes for horses rated in the 40s so obviously they don't win very often but he won last time out in a similar level race and comes from a yard in top form. He's got a penalty for the win but I reckon at this level current well being and recent form is more important than a few pounds here or there

    all 3 won ....... and Mintana drifted out nicely to 11/4 !

    Racing Chat-Thursday 2nd February.

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Win double on a couple of favourites at Chelm this evening 

    6.30 - Mintana 15/8
    8.00 - Storm Catcher 5/6 

    prices wm hill

    Also in the 8.30 Well Prepared, 4/1 bet365 looks to have a good chance. This is a Classified Stakes for horses rated in the 40s so obviously they don't win very often but he won last time out in a similar level race and comes from a yard in top form. He's got a penalty for the win but I reckon at this level current well being and recent form is more important than a few pounds here or there

    Racing Chat - Saturday 28th January

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    19 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

    LAY BET

    2.53 Lin Berkshire Breeze 2.04 @1.93 = 2 v (1.90).  This is 6 lbs better off with Now Then Wendy for a length bearing so has a great chance of reversing the form.  However, it looks worth taking on with at least two other horses in the race that could give it a run for the money

    That's one of the races I looked at with my new AW speed figures 

    I've got

    Casa Luna 1st,
    Polemon 2nd and
    Now Then Wendy 3rd

    Racing Chat - Saturday 28th January

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    14 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

    Different eyes see different things

    1:20 Cheltenham. watching Edwardstones previous race i can't help but think that Editeur du Gite may well have won anyway, if watched again it travelled strongly and even powered away so i am not sure Edwardstone would have reeled him in. Energumene is just one horse, never fear one horse.  i have watched it closely and i am not sure this beast is anywhere near value because it does not look a natural jumper to these eyes so 12/1 Editeur Du Gite looks cracking price even for the EW backers. 2 places

    Nice one .......... well done !

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