Trotter
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Posts
14,672 -
Joined
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Last visited
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Days Won
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Posts posted by Trotter
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Ayr 4.40 - Universal Gleam - win at 3/1 bog wm hill
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Bank 1107.30
Ayr 3.05 - Ventura Royal 9/2 and Robben Rainbow 5/1
Ayr 3.35 - Mischief Managed 5/2 and Acadian Angel 13/2
4 x £5 cross doubles
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19 hours ago, Trotter said:
Bank 1047.30
Going all in on a NAP for Sunday
Redcar 4.55 - The Armed Man - £20 win at 3/1
Won ! …….. profit £60
bank £ 1107.30
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Bank 1047.30
Going all in on a NAP for Sunday
Redcar 4.55 - The Armed Man - £20 win at 3/1
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Red 4.55 - The Armed Man - win at 3/1 bog betvictor
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5 hours ago, Trotter said:
Jumps action today !
MR 2.05 Ocean Jive 16/1
MR 3.15 - More Buck's 9/1
£10 EW double
lost - bank 1047.30
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MR 2.05 Ocean Jive - win at 16/1 bog wm hill
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Jumps action today !
MR 2.05 Ocean Jive 16/1
MR 3.15 - More Buck's 9/1
£10 EW double
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5 hours ago, Trotter said:
Bank 1087.30
Not 4.00 - Red Striker 10/11, Juneau 3/1
Newb 4.10 - Lucky deal 5/2 and koeman 6/1
4 x £5 cross doubles
lost
bank £ 1067.30
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3.15 Handicap Chase (Listed)
16/16 – Had run within the last 3 months
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
14/16 – Aged 7 or older
12/16 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time outShort list of 3 - More Buck's, Too Many Diamonds, Brian Boranha
Looking to dump one and I've gone for Too Many Diamonds who hasn't won above Class 4. Leaves me with -
More Buck's 10/1
Brian Boranha 16/1
- BillyHills and Xtc12
- 2
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2.05 Handicap Hurdle (Listed)
14/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time outTwo left -
Fair Mountain 4/1
Captain Felix 14/1
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2 minutes ago, Sir Puntalot said:
Oops we all posted same time
yes, but at least we all more or less posted the same answer !
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Generally if a horse is 'travelling well' it'll be going the same speed as the horses around it but the other jockeys will be pushing and shoving and using the stick whereas 'your' jockey will be sat still and not asking the horse for any extra effort
In other words it'll appear to be keeping up with the others but using much less effort ………. the assumption being that when the jockey does ask it to quicken up it'll have lots left in the tank whereas the other horses around it are already at full stretch
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4.10 Newb - Koeman - win at 11/2 bog wm hill
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Bank 1087.30
Not 4.00 - Red Striker 10/11, Juneau 3/1
Newb 4.10 - Lucky deal 5/2 and koeman 6/1
4 x £5 cross doubles
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Scottish Steward Cup - Ham 7.20
Nap - I like The Great Wall at 4/1 - in form, CD winner, lightly raced, still on the up
Next best - Ower Fly at 8/1 - acts on good to firm which some of the others don't and has won at several of the tracks with uphill finishes like Ponty, Salisbury, Bath. Should be flying at the finish today
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Thefre should be a GuardianBet for us more discerning punters
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15 hours ago, Trotter said:
Bank 1107.30
Ham 4.00 - Chinese Spirit 8/1
Eps 7.40 - Danzay 7/1
£10 EW double
lost
bank 1087.30
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Bank 1107.30
Ham 4.00 - Chinese Spirit 8/1
Eps 7.40 - Danzay 7/1
£10 EW double
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3.20 Leic - Destroyer - win at 5/2 bog wm hill
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17 hours ago, Trotter said:
bank 1127.30
Ling 3.40 - Itsafreebe 11/10
Ling 4.40 - Francophilia 7/4
Ling 5.10 Trouble and Strife 2/5
£20 treble
lost
bank 1107.30
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8.35 Wolv - King Kevin - win at 11/1 bog bet365
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bank 1127.30
Ling 3.40 - Itsafreebe 11/10
Ling 4.40 - Francophilia 7/4
Ling 5.10 Trouble and Strife 2/5
£20 treble
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23 hours ago, Trotter said:
Bank 1147.30
Tuesday
Bev 4.30 - Tight Lines 2/1, Ghayyar 7/2
Chelm 4.50 - Sir Hamilton 7/2, Fastar 3/1
4 x £5 cross doubles
lost
bank 1127.30
Fittness
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
To be honest I don't think it's a value that is capable of having a numerical rating put on it
These days with all weather gallops and more advanced training facilities most trainers can get a horse fit and ready to run at home
The 'variability' is much more between individual horses than days since last run
Some horses will need two or three runs to peak, others will peak first time after a break then go backwards until they have another break
I guess you could have a rating based on something like 5 points for having run within 2 weeks, 4 points for have run within 2-4 weeks and so on down to 0 points for not having run for several months, But that wouldn't take into account the variation from horse to horse
I think this is a variable where you just have to look at each horse and decide where they are in their run cycle and look at the pattern of previous runs
You could also look at trainers …….. check out their recent winners and see if they have winners that have come back from breaks or whether their winners are with horses who have had a recent run