The Scientist
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Posts posted by The Scientist
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For amusement and intrigue.
In the 5.45 Kempton I noted BAILEYS SHOWTIME as a magnificent looking horse but 100% clueless at the way to gallop.
His last place finishes actually do the horse credit for trying.
Well I have done the race form and the horse is 11th of 14th tonight....but
Big BUT
If that ELIZA DOOLITTLE moment comes to the colt and the knack of moving his legs all 'clicks into place' this 90 looking horse running at 35 could blow them all away at 50-1.
Dream on!
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Ayr track conditions surprised me yesterday.
The horses were tracking middle to low from high draws early on and those who did not lived to regret it. Too nervous to try the big handicaps but 2.00 REWARD SMILE ew is improving slowly and draw 2 looks good to me
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Rather like Frankel....its hard to tell.
Or in team parlance...."you never know how good they are until they are not there".
Or "who did he beat?" All refering to a
A) the triumph of his opponents
B) deduction of the "collective" lift calculated in.
Things can look a bit different then.
Sinndar beat previous "best in the world " Montjeu in the Arc and subsequent "best in the world ", Sakhee in the Derby.
Rock solid GOAT credentials.
Frankel beat....well he best something but nobody can remember the name.
Baaeed beat something...Mishraff. well that's been done by other horses often enough...
Arkle by his defeats of GOAT rival Mill House and his defeat of Stallbridge Colonist giving 30lbs away ends the Jump Racing GOAT stone dead for all time.
Arkle 1st.....the rest nowhere. BUT flat racing?
Hard to say. Subtract the collective advantage. Top trainer...top owner...top stable staff...top sire...top dam...best horse wagon, best food, best gallops and what are we left with...?
...Phar Lap? Why not?
Most of us old timers give it to Brigadeer Gerard....because of his ultimate sole defeat by Derby winning Roberto and the subsequent great victories of his 2,000 Guineas runner up...in the Derby and the Arc. As to Baaeed he will be destined to join Frankel in the "but what horses did he actually best?" category and fade out of our memories as quickly as he arrived.
I suspect.
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I spent 3 hours on todays Doncaster handicaps but I erased them to make space for Leopardstown two big fields today.
2.05 Rhoscolyn ew 6 places! Yippee
5.30 Temple of Aramis ew.
Hardly sensational tips but what is...is
Foolishly I did not take a record of my Doncaster selections. I think I had completed the handicaps
Ill probably do Chepstow for Sunday. Chewing Doncaster cabbages twice is not pleasant. ...just thought. Master Matt in the 2.05 is near to the top and at 20-1 a more attractive ew wager than Rhoscolyn
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Phew!
1.25 Misty Blues ew
2.00 Cold Case ew
2.35 Novakai ew
3.45 BillyB ew
4.55 Cottam Lane ew
5.25 Little Muddy ew
I will leave the other Group Class races to our Group Class tipsters.
But I hear ADAYAR is nailed on it the 4.20...if the horse does not break down. (Joking!)
- black rabbit and maxironchin
- 2
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We hear how formula 1 frantically adjust their cars to suit the track and the weather but we punters get casual with regards to pace going distance.
Watching MUJTABA win the 5.20 at Doncaster while laughing his socks off after two disappointing runs in no harder races does make me wonder how lengths (of handicap mark difference) between courses and goings even at best distance I am convinced it is at least 15lbs.
My horse Vulcan ran a lovely race. He could not have done any better than 5th but I wonder if Chester would suit him better or Lingfield AW.?
Another day tomorrow.
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Bad luck Stone of Destiny...Tedthewolf's excellent hot tip. Had them all beaten at 5 furlongs. Another victim to the softer ground . Lets hope our members got on each way 4 places bookmakers.
Sorry but I stay out of apprentice races.
- richard-westwood and MCLARKE
- 2
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Tedthewolf seems ecstatic about Stone of Destiny in the 1.50 at Donny. After yesterdays shock form turnaround at Catterick due to heavy going and my failure to allow for it I was happy for a nice profit from 2 winners out of 4.
In selecting todays races I am still worried about the going. That's enough of a worry without adding apprentice races to the list of nail biting factors I crossed out the 1.50 at Don..
Which leaves me with 2.25 Indian Charm 4.45 X J Rascal. 5.20 Vulcan all ew
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Truly my tipping form is improving a little.
But my other interests distract me.
As you know I prefer tough handicaps with maximum ew places on offer. I at least have the handicapper as an ally.
I had these 4 ew tips ready last night but got distracted by other mathematical problems needing my attention. Sorry
2.20 Breckland
2.55 Mr Trevor 4.00 Silver Kitten 4.35 Licit.
Hope you have not missed the wedding of Breckland and turn up for 3 funerals
Good luck
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All the hard work put in by tipsters racegoer, jockeys, trainers, owners and having to endure a miserable afternoon at Haydock Park. Horses are not withdrawn on the day for fun. The course must have been in dreadful condition. Luckily I won a couple of the shambles of races. I got so disgusted at seeking 80% of the horses unable to show their form. Two ultra reliable favourites Amtiyaz and Naval Crown pulling up at half way made me feel sick. When Bournemouth lost 0-9 I would have resigned before the final whistle. Yet the media were sympathetic with Scot Parker. But worse was Haydocks Clerk of Course
"Ive been doing this for 20 years...!"
Unbelievable. Then buddy you have NO EXCUSE for the biggest course maintenance shambles ever...
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My mobile got water logged and caput. This new one has difficulty being accepted.
However.
I am hopeful for tonights Windsor Racing League.
4.30 Glamorous Breeze 5.00 Safari Dream
5 30 Aramis Grey. 6.00 Diararen
6.30 Majestic 7.00 Sanitiser
7.30 Andaleep
Nothing special but 2 winners and 2 places should put me ahead. The prices and extra place offers taken advantage of. SkyBet seem best with 4th places paid.
- black rabbit and yossa6133
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My mobile phone and a puddle came into contact and stopped by observations which has no doubt been relief to many of you.
I took a day off hoday to try and fathom out why I was do awful at the Tapeta tracks but adequate at polytracks. I through every bit of my mathematical skills at the problem today. Still no luck at the two Tapetas.
Byefornow wolves 2.40 and Resilience southwell 2.20 were unsighted.
But Plastic Paddy on Lingfield 3.30 polytrack restored my bank account to parity.
What am I doing wrong at the Tapetas? Suggestions?
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ok I am getting into the swing of this tipping now.
2.50 Thirsk Asad Jumeirah £1ew,
3.30 Thirsk Challet £1ew,
4.00 Thirsk Wheal Kitty £2ew
4.30 Thirsk May Punch £2ew
5.00 Thirsk Levitate £2ew
how much change have I? 50pew/ 5 horse accumulator.
leaving me a couple of quid?
4.00 Thirsk Wheal Kitty £1ew.
Thats it £20 invested.
Which one of you suckers is coming SECOND?
Fighting talk
cheers
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Oh dear...I was wrong but ultimately correct. It had speed I expected but its strength was lacking to tough out a tight finish.
Never mind £1ew at 6-1 = what. ££2.20 back...20p up on the day. Looking at my fellow tipsters prognisis for later races. I think I will watch the cricket ans settle for a 20p triumph over the bookies. (My sense of humour!)
- alexcaruso808 and kensland
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I was hoping for inspiration not doom an desperation from our tipsters.
3.10 ber 3.10 Carliske reward smile to get my picture on. First horse I saw abd did not like it one bit...oh dear.
Seemed to have grown weaker.. Right they are off. Toodleloo
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Ill check how our tipsters have got on.
Ive been looking hard and just switched on.
Me
3.00 chep Fact and Fable...(at last?)
4.00 chep Mr PC
4.20 Brig De Vegas Kid
3 x ew singles
1 ew treble.
There was something about Fact and Fable that caught my eye in its last race.
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I'll switch on again.... good.
You know what I think of these littke men....nothing much.
It used to be called horse racing not jockey racing.
Look they are basically all the same. All they have to do it get their horse into a good rhythm (which they sometimes fail) then let the HORSE race. I have not seen one of the horses...13 looks ok my first glance. No chance of me having a bet in the wonderful Ebor
- LEE-GRAYS and Nigwilliam
- 2
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I might have had little gripe at the cursory treatment of Baaeed's connections. Willie Carson, and a dozen hangers on to the champion racehorse pushing Sheik Hissa and her family aside. Today the world lit up with joy and laughter with the post Nunthorle family celebrations and the hero of the hour the groom was dragged away from the fretting Highfield Princess to join the photogrsphs. He was anxious to get back to his mare but John Quinn encouraged him to stay a while. Wow I forgot to have a today, I was enjoying it so much.
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After yesterdays bad show with the shabby treatment of Baaeed's connections. Sir Mark Prescott and Kirstin Rausing showed their class. Every horse person knows it the horse first and the groom second who win race with the jockey a poor third. The trainer can only pray.
They stayed back and gave their magnificent ALPINISTA and her lasses their big moment.
A wonderful 'big' little mare. An her wonderful lass Annabelle. Sir Mark and Kirstin are well mannered and humble.
Yes and well done Luke Morris. You played your part very well.
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Update.
£5 ew 3.25 Redredrobin
£1 ew treble with 4.00 Hagia Sophia plus 4.35 Secretfact.
The 1.40 sent shivers down my spine asbthe runners eventuslly devided HIGH DRAW is best
Only the outsider Maokai was hitting the softened ground comfortably and virtually plodded to to victory as the others wrestled with their feet.
It looks like a day of shocks at Chepstow to me.
I now fear 3.25 Connies Rose and Otago
4.00 Darcys Rock and EPERIUS
4.30 Master Sully
But heigh ho! My first picks seem still bang their with a big chance.
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My York competion tips failed lamentably yesterday.
I love York but Class 1 race courses and group races I will leave to better judges than me.
Having said that place ew money on King of Stars and three others did give me a small profit.
Ive never been comfortable betting at York. Ascot and Newbury. My method of thinking like a horse does not seem to work. I guess I am a lower class working boy and places like Catterick (I nearly went through the card on Tuesday and today Chepstow are more my usual horses and betting company. I have never walked a Frankel around a field and down a country lane but I have plenty of class 6 grinders listening to their moans. I have entered two for the York competion not to be a sulking sourpuss but my main work is in the humble last three handicaps at Chepstow. Still to be resolved. So I had better crack on. Good luck everybody!
- Zico10 and richard-westwood
- 2
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1.50 Mawj
3.35 Tuesday
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Amazed at Baeed, in awe of Mishriff "never backs off from a fight" but really what worries me?
Come on York and ITV. Get that lovely "chubby" relative with the charming smile an V for Victory sign in the photos. And get that beautiful little girl in the photo. The popular late Hamdan's family deserve more attention. Jockey, trainer, jockey, trainer...its NOT their horse.
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1.50 Dusty Lord
2.25Local Dynasty
4.10 Mister Milliner
4.45 Cuban Breeze
5.20 Shine's Amvition
Racing chat - Saturday 17th Sept
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
I am gutted
At Catterick I have been putting winners in my pocket. Win, win, win...sniper accuracy
At Wolverhampton the last time I backed a winner was in 1994 (or was it 1984 or was that something else?)
Anyway out all day and just getting home in time for Wolves 7.30 I have no choice but to Waltz with Wollybags.
7.30 On The Pulse ew
8.00 Shes the Danger win.
I am shooting out of the door. My horse and cart has arrived.
Cheers