Shik

Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5 Sets) to beat Jessica Pegula at 1.709 with Pinnacle
Sabalenka finds her best game in this surface. She is very aggressive and attacking in the most of the rallies. Yes Pegula is one of good players of 2021 but she did not proof her game in Clay surface yet.
 
In the previous meeting of those two players finished in two sets. Sabalenka has dominated that match. I expect same result from Belarusian. I think also Sabalenka can be champion here.
 
Good luck everyone

Swiatek showed in the last matches against Alexandrova, Konjuh and Muguruza that her level is far from FO's level. She lacks tactical skills when playing against equally aggressive players. In her last game against poorly serving Siegmund she had 10 unused match balls in  the last game.
I'm a fan of Swiatek but I don't think she's actually playing well.

ATP Montpellier (Open Sud de France)
Sebastian Korda to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 1.53 with bet365
Tsonga will play his first match after a long absence. His last match played was against Popyrin, in the AO 2020, where he had to retire due to an injury. Korda comes in a real good form after winning the Quimper Challenger, played also on indoors.  
Benjamin Bonzi to beat Lucas Pouille at 1.66 with bet365
Pouille has returned after a long absence but his results and his game during his first 3 matches has been bad. He has won against Maden but lost against Horansky and Kamke, all of them in 3 sets. I watched him against Horansky and Kamke and I did not like what I saw. Bonzi is a good player on indoors and he comes in a good form. He reached the Final in the Istanbul Challenger and the SFs in the Quimper Challenger, both in played on indoors. In the Final of Istanbul he lost against Rinderknech in 3 sets. The match he lost in the SFs of the Quimper Challenger was also tight, as he lost in 2 TBs against Korda.

I will share this with you from experience which relates to a practice that i religiously carry out before every tournament and especially in relation to Grand slams. I emphasize, especially Grand slams. It is also applicable to every sport and 8 times out of 10 will send you in the right direction especially in the early rounds of tournaments. First rule, do not ever ask why a certain price is high or low and then resort to reason it out ordinarily bounded by head knowledge. You will always be misled 9 times out of 10. I have said this so many times, that the odds always determine the outcome of any match or event. You just need to be able to train your spirit man or inner self to be able to understand and translate these odd movements to put to positive use.

I have been studying the science of odds movements for over 20 years now and still studying. The results are amazing and thought-provoking. There are two characteristics that constantly and positively influences all markets in relation to betting namely, market moves and market forces. Market moves are the deliberate involuntary movements of odds in whatever direction that precisely indicate who the winner will be depending one one's ability to translate the particular movement. Market force is the resultant influence of the movement of odds on the general outcome. That is to say that the market force always has the power to control the outcome of any game taking into account before hand all possible permutations and external factors like rain, defaults, injury, covid, you name it. When you come to understand the influence and dynamics of odds on the market, it almost makes you believe that the result of any given game is settled even before a racket touches a ball. I use "almost" because I do not want to be the one to unveil what has been a hidden fact for years and turn to be the subject of intense questioning. There is so much to write about on this topic with so little time to do it. Most people who have been involved in gambling for at least 5 years will attest to the fact that certain things have happened to them in way of betting outcomes that they have found very hard to explain. Some include How some bets have suddenly been lost from impregnable winning positions defying all plausible explanation. Why the last leg of a parlay is always a loser 9 times out of 10. What odds and cashouts were made to accomplish, why when you change your mind, it is to lose, Why when you take the cashout early the selection goes on to win and lose most times you leave the cashout. Why everyone focuses on the same games even from a list of over 100 match entries. The list goes on.

Here is what i am going to share with you and trust me, it will constantly help you as long as you remember to use it. Before any tournament especially grand slams, take a screen shot of the odds the first time they come out from whatever website you use. On the desktop you can just right click on the long list and save it. Next day repeat the same thing maybe at the same time or just a bit earlier. Repeat again next day. Save individually. Study very closely the movement of odds in relation to the various matches over that time frame and especially a few hours before the start of play. Some will not move. Focus on the ones that move and closely monitor. You will come to realize over time that the odds actually have a final say over the results most times, again I emphasize, depending on how you have trained your spirit man to bookmark these various changes on the charts.

Once you have successfully been able to train yourself for some time to understand these sequences at least over time, you will then in most cases be able to use your bookmarking ability to good effect and get better as the months and years go on. In other words you will eventually be able to mentally make up your own odds in your head which would automatically tally with the bookmakers odds even before you see the market. You always know something is wrong when the bookmaker's odds is far from what is the product of your mental precision. That really becomes your first point of diagnosis. You then proceed to check your charts going days back, then check current form, and a few other external factors for further confirmation.  Remember the movement of odds and the consequent indication of market forces are much much more important than the subject of the activity. Good luck!

Hi Guys
3 Australian Open picks for me

ATP: SCHWARTZMAN-YMER 3:0 sets @ 1.56 pinnacle / willhill
Schwartzman would probably win easily in 3 sets. He is in a good recent form and is just too consistent for Ymer. Will force Ymer to make too many unforced errors.

WTA: MUGURUZA-6.5 GAMES OVER GASPARYAN @ 1.66 unibet / boylesports
Great form for Muguruza last week winning all of her matches easily and in good style.

WTA: GIORGI-SHVEDOVA 2:0 sets @ 1.42 pinnacle 
Shvedova is coming back to the WTA after 3 years absence at the age of 33, and even before the break Giorgi was a better player.
 

Ashleigh Barty to win the 1st quarter at 2.87 with bet365
Barty will face Kovinic in the 1st round, Sorribes/Gavrilova in the 2nd round, S.Zheng/Krejcikova/Trevisan/Alexandrova in the 3rd round, Kontaveit/Sasnovich/Kr.Pliskova/Watson/F.Jones/Rogers/Danilovic/Martic in the 4th round and Bencic/Davis/Kuznetsova/Strycova/Zhu/Osuigwe/Leylah/Mertens/Muchova/Ostapenko/Barthel/Cocciaretto/Collins/Bogdan/Paolini/Ka.Pliskova in the QFs. IMO I don't see too many players there who can beat her and she has a big advantage: she can win most of the players  without even playing good... Alexandrova in the 3rd round could trouble her a little bit but I can't imagine her winning the match. Then Kontaveit, Rogers and Martic in the 4th round. I watched her against Rogers and despite dropping a set against her the sensation of superiority was clear. Martic is far from her best form and Kontaveit hasn't showed her best tennis recently either so I don't see them as big threats for Barty. In the QFs the player I fear the most is Mertens. I don't expect too much from Karolina Pliskova, and Bencic's form is really poor as well. Collins is a player to be considered but, as I said, I think Barty has been lucky with the draw and I expect her to win this quarter.
Danielle Collins (vs Bogdan) + Iga Swiatek (vs Rus) at 1.61 with 888
Bogdan ended 2020 with a negative record (7-8). She has played a couple of matches here, winning against Rakhimova and losing against Barty, both in straight sets. As I said before, Collins has played her best tennis ever here in Australia and she has done well recently, winning against Bonaventure, Stojanovic and Karolina Pliskova. She finally lost against Serena but she took a set from her (2-6, 6-4, 6-10). 
Rus' record in Australia is pretty bad and she hasn't done well recently.
She lost her last match played here against Venus (6-1, 6-3) and she also lost in the 1s round in Abu Dhabi against Xiyu Wang. Swiatek has played a couple of matches here. She won against her best friend Kaja Juvan in the 1st round but then lost in 2 sets against Alexandrova. The current RG champion did well here the last year. She won against Babos, Carla Suárez Navarro and Vekic, all of them in straight sets, and finally lost against Kontaveit in a tight match.
Victoria Azarenka (vs Pegula) + Nadia Podoroska (vs McHale) at 1.82 with 888
Azarenka has withdrawn from her QFs match against Kontaveit. She said she had a lower back problem but it's pretty obvious she had nothing and she did to be fit for the AO. Osaka also has withdrawn from her match against Mertens... They just don't want to risk the AO. Pegula's record on hard courts is impressive, but the 99% of her victories are on american soil. The only time she has played the AO 
was in 2020 and she lost in 2 sets against Towsend while Azarenka has won the whole tournament 2 times... Pegula has won here against Mladenovic and Barthel, and she has lost against Kenin in a 3 set match. In Abu Dhabi she lost in the 1st round against Svitolina, in straight sets. Azarenka has won her only match here against Putintseva. Despite being Pegula a good hard court player it would shock me a lot to see Azarenka losing this match considering how good she has been playing, especially in the USO. McHale was one of the players who was under a strict quarantine. She has  lost in her only match played here against Kontaveit (1-6, 3-6) and that's the only one she has played since RG. As I said before, Podoroska is in her best moment right now. She has won here against Jones, Minnen and Kvitova. She finally lost against Vondrousova despite taking the 1st set.
Sorana Cirstea to beat Patricia Maria Tig at 1.52 with 888
Cirstea is in a good form. She comes from winning an ITF tournament in Dubai, where she beat Blinkova, Cocciaretto, Krejcikova, Hercog and Siniakova. She has won against Kalashnikova and Bencic, both in 2 sets, and she's still to play against Ann Li in so she's currently in a 7 winning streak. Tig has lost the only match she has played here against Babos (6-7, 3-6). Cirstea is in a good form and feels so much better than Tig on hard courts so I expect her to win this match.
Barbora Krejcikova to beat Saisai Zheng at 1.53 with 888
I haven't seen Saisai for a while... looks like she has been a little bit inactive due to the pandemic. She has played 1 match here, against Begu (6-3, 5-7, 4-6) and then she has no matches played since February 2020. In the other side, Krejcikova looks great. As I said before, the former world number 1 on doubles had a great 2020 on singles, and looks like that good form is still going on in 2021 cause she has won here against Davis and Rybakina and she’s still to play against Brady.
Anastasija Pavlyuchenkova to beat Naomi Osaka at 5.00 with bet365
Osaka has been really unlucky. As I said before, Pavlyuchenkova always has played really well here. The last year here she lost against Gauff in the 3rd round while Pavlyuchenkova reached the QFs, where she lost against Muguruza in a tight match. Before that she beat Kerber and Karolina Pliskova. Osaka is the big favorite but it deserves a try at these odds.
I know some tournaments still on but i'm out for the weekend. GL.

@CzechPunter 
WTA 500 Gippsland Trophy 31 January - 6 February
WTA 500 Yarra Valley Classic 31 January - 6 February 
ATP 250 Great Ocean Road Open 1 - 7 February
ATP 250 River Murray Open 1 - 7 February
ATP CUP 2 - 6 February
WTA 500 Grampians Trophy 3 - 7 February
AUSTRALIA OPEN 8 - 21 February
WTA 250 Philip Island Trophy 13 - 19 February
WTA 500 Adelaide International 22 - 27 February
 
As you can see, finally a third WTA 500 event has been added. The Grampians Trophy (3 - 7 February) will be for those players who have been in strict quarantine. 
Looks like we will have some intense days here from 31 January till the end of the AO ?

https://ausopen.com/draws

I'm watching Pouille against Maden, I backed Pouille when he was 3-4 in the 1st set at 1.65, he looks so much better than he did against Horansky, very solid on serve. He has won the first one 7-5, if he chokes now I will put him on my blacklist which is leaded by Cilic 

I forgot to tell that Altmaier was tested positive for Covid in Argentina just a few days before he was going to play the qualy of the AO. That's the reason why he finally did not play the qualy.

Hi and welcome to the forum @Shik! Good luck!

omg, Tauson... what a first set she has played! She should be playing WTA events. Future top 10 player.

Hello All, I'm newly joined to this forum, I have been following for a while now so thank you to all the experts on here for the great insights into player form and bet advise. I have been fairly consistent over the past 2 years in doubling or trippling my starting amount but no real profit as greed and laziness catch up with me in the end. ? Hopefully my luck changes this year. Goodluck All 

Hello All, I'm newly joined to this forum, I have been following for a while now so thank you to all the experts on here for the great insights into player form and bet advise. I have been fairly consistent over the past 2 years in doubling or trippling my starting amount but no real profit as greed and laziness catch up with me in the end. ? Hopefully my luck changes this year. Goodluck All