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rodxuabht

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  1. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - November 9 - November 15   
    Zvonareva - Kostyuk: 1-2 correct score: 4.33 at bet365: Now I find this match a tricky one, as the odds suggest as well. I feel like Kostyuk is a little bit overrated here, Zvonareva can cause her problems. Imma skip the regular 1 or 2 bets cuz I dont like neither odds, but I'm gonna go and try out this correct score, with a 2% bet. Kostyuk has one of my favorite playstyles in women's tennis atm, but she's lacking still some parts to 'greatness'
     
    Fucsovics - Sinner: Fucsovics to win a set: 1.61: Uhm, I am not sure that Sinner is healthy,  so I'm gonna push this one a bit. Fucsovics takes a set here.
  2. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - November 2 - November 8   
    Humbert - Raonic: Raonic - 1.44 at bet365: Humbert is lucky to be in this round, lucky as in Cilic is utter trash. -> Raonic's serve seems to work, so that should not be a big problem, whereas Humbert has his moments of serving, but also got extremely low moments pretty often, so Raonic will have several breakpoints. 
  3. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - November 2 - November 8   
    I hope you don't mind me saying my point of view about the Nadal - Lopez matchup.  Nadal 2-0 is at 1.33-1.35 odds, which is an awful bad bet in my opinion, considering the factors: its indoors, Nadal always hated indoors, I don't think he's any special on it either, besides his obvious good level of tennis. Lopez showed yesterday, that even though he is at his end, he still gives it - Krajinovic is incosistent yes, but having only 2 breakpoints shows that  Lopez's serve is working well at the moment. 
    I do feel like Lopez's serve + coming at the net can upset Nadal in many ways, so If I had to bet on this match(but I don't), it would be +5.5, or over 19.5 games, good odds both. Now I'm not saying Nadal won't win this 2-0, all I'm saying the odds of Nadal winning this 2-0 is not 1.33-ish, its way higher in reality.
  4. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from Torque in Tennis Tips - November 2 - November 8   
    I hope you don't mind me saying my point of view about the Nadal - Lopez matchup.  Nadal 2-0 is at 1.33-1.35 odds, which is an awful bad bet in my opinion, considering the factors: its indoors, Nadal always hated indoors, I don't think he's any special on it either, besides his obvious good level of tennis. Lopez showed yesterday, that even though he is at his end, he still gives it - Krajinovic is incosistent yes, but having only 2 breakpoints shows that  Lopez's serve is working well at the moment. 
    I do feel like Lopez's serve + coming at the net can upset Nadal in many ways, so If I had to bet on this match(but I don't), it would be +5.5, or over 19.5 games, good odds both. Now I'm not saying Nadal won't win this 2-0, all I'm saying the odds of Nadal winning this 2-0 is not 1.33-ish, its way higher in reality.
  5. Thanks
    rodxuabht reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Yep, hard work pays off. Shout out to Sonego though, covered the handicap line and looked alright. Certainly made the most out of his lucky loser spot!
  6. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    I mean hard work pays off. Only player besides Thiem maybe, who plays and trains seriously since August. 31 W / 4 losses since then
  7. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Here comes the moment when Rublev breaks in the second set and we cash out
     
    Edit: What in god's name is that forehand from Rublev, holy hell
  8. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    I've seen Thiem - Sachko, and whilst I don't know much honestly about the ukrainian guy, he proved to be an uncomfortable opponent in many ways. Thiem handled it well, he's playing a pretty solid tennis. I was also a huge fanboy of Thiem on clay, but in the start I didn't like his effort to convert his game to hard, well, now he's almost natural there too, so. My part of the coin would be Rublev  playing the best tennis of his career, especially indoors, thus taking the underdog from the bookies point of view.
  9. Like
    rodxuabht reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Lorenzo Sonego to beat Hubert Hurkacz at 3.10 with Pinnacle
    Hurkacz might be the better hard court player of the two, but why Sonego is above 3.00 is beyond me. He's a decent player on all courts and he played well against Lajovic, so I reckon he has a hot against Hurkacz as well. The big man from Poland played well below his standards against Balazs, his serve wasn't piercing at all and he had a surprising number of double faults. Not sure what's happening, he didn't look injured, but I don't think he should be priced as such a huge favorite for tommorow.
  10. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from MP-Murat in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    ITF Heraklion: Roumane - Marozsan : Roumane to win : 1.67 at unibet: Now to be honest, this is a pretty odd matchup. I've seen both Roumane and Marozsan play in real life. I find Roumane a superhard favourite in this matchup, on hard court. He got the height, he got a pretty nuts service game, also got lots of  experience versus some pretty good opponents. Marozsan on the other side is not a bad player either, I jus't dont seem to find any advantage in his part of the game.( The odds will drop severely(at bet365 its 1.57 currently). This is again a 10% of the bankroll bet for me, I rarely stake higher than the usual, but this one cannot get past me. I would actually be extremely surprised if Roumane loses this one, but at the end of the day its tennis, so.
  11. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    ITF Heraklion: Roumane - Marozsan : Roumane to win : 1.67 at unibet: Now to be honest, this is a pretty odd matchup. I've seen both Roumane and Marozsan play in real life. I find Roumane a superhard favourite in this matchup, on hard court. He got the height, he got a pretty nuts service game, also got lots of  experience versus some pretty good opponents. Marozsan on the other side is not a bad player either, I jus't dont seem to find any advantage in his part of the game.( The odds will drop severely(at bet365 its 1.57 currently). This is again a 10% of the bankroll bet for me, I rarely stake higher than the usual, but this one cannot get past me. I would actually be extremely surprised if Roumane loses this one, but at the end of the day its tennis, so.
  12. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Bedene - Evans: Bedene to take a set - 1.50 : Now in my book, this is the typical match where Evans loses 2-0, and gets eliminated in the first round. Just to be more safe and realistic: neither players are anything special, Evans is a freakin joke in my opinion, Bedene average as well. Evans can bring a pretty high level, but he's a typical verbal tilting player - thus his shots - shotselections are big question marks for me in certain situations.
     Evans choked the final 2 days ago, as much as I believe he would win versus Bedene(maybe) in fully normal situations, I don't think tomorrow can be counted as one. I jus't dont see him resetting mentally, physically. Bedene got his warmup in Vienna, he takes a set in the uppermentioned conditions any day of the week.
    (Bedene to win 2-0 : 3.75)
     
    Edit: Bedene retired
  13. Like
    rodxuabht reacted to ogii55 in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Carlos-Gomez Herrera - Steven Diez 3.2

    Herrera is the local guy, he trains in the facility where the tournament will be held. He showed pretty nice form in September and is well rested. Diez played well last year on the same tournament, but I think his odds should be way higher. Value bet for the local guy
  14. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from MP-Murat in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Marbella: Alcaraz - Giustino: Alcaraz to win 2-1: 4.33 at bet365: As much as I am a fan of Alcaraz, I feel the odds slightly slighty overrated here. I think Alcaraz wins this match 49/50 times. Even tho Alcaraz did win most of the matches in the last weeks,even tho he is already a beast on clay, even thohe has a great mental, etc, he lacks the ability to be there constant, thus he loses sets easily in his matches. It's his first game in this tourney, I think this is realizable, good odds, good game. This is a 2% bet of my bankroll.
    Edit: Giustino won 2-1
  15. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from MP-Murat in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Bedene - Evans: Bedene to take a set - 1.50 : Now in my book, this is the typical match where Evans loses 2-0, and gets eliminated in the first round. Just to be more safe and realistic: neither players are anything special, Evans is a freakin joke in my opinion, Bedene average as well. Evans can bring a pretty high level, but he's a typical verbal tilting player - thus his shots - shotselections are big question marks for me in certain situations.
     Evans choked the final 2 days ago, as much as I believe he would win versus Bedene(maybe) in fully normal situations, I don't think tomorrow can be counted as one. I jus't dont see him resetting mentally, physically. Bedene got his warmup in Vienna, he takes a set in the uppermentioned conditions any day of the week.
    (Bedene to win 2-0 : 3.75)
     
    Edit: Bedene retired
  16. Like
    rodxuabht reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Alexander Bublik to beat Mackenzie McDonald at 1.53 with Bet365
    The tournament in Kazakhstan wasn't in the schedule originally if I remember correctly, but it's a great chance for Bublik to shine again. He's done well lately and he's miles above McDonald in most regards. McDonald is there to trouble the heavy-moving guys, as he can out-run them all day long, but Bublik is a serious contender when he's actually trying and one that has all the necessary weapons as well. His drop serves won't work against McDonald though.
  17. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Bedene - Evans: Bedene to take a set - 1.50 : Now in my book, this is the typical match where Evans loses 2-0, and gets eliminated in the first round. Just to be more safe and realistic: neither players are anything special, Evans is a freakin joke in my opinion, Bedene average as well. Evans can bring a pretty high level, but he's a typical verbal tilting player - thus his shots - shotselections are big question marks for me in certain situations.
     Evans choked the final 2 days ago, as much as I believe he would win versus Bedene(maybe) in fully normal situations, I don't think tomorrow can be counted as one. I jus't dont see him resetting mentally, physically. Bedene got his warmup in Vienna, he takes a set in the uppermentioned conditions any day of the week.
    (Bedene to win 2-0 : 3.75)
     
    Edit: Bedene retired
  18. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 26 - November 1   
    Marbella: Alcaraz - Giustino: Alcaraz to win 2-1: 4.33 at bet365: As much as I am a fan of Alcaraz, I feel the odds slightly slighty overrated here. I think Alcaraz wins this match 49/50 times. Even tho Alcaraz did win most of the matches in the last weeks,even tho he is already a beast on clay, even thohe has a great mental, etc, he lacks the ability to be there constant, thus he loses sets easily in his matches. It's his first game in this tourney, I think this is realizable, good odds, good game. This is a 2% bet of my bankroll.
    Edit: Giustino won 2-1
  19. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 19 - October 25   
    Kostyuk - Bellis: As I said yesterday, Kostyuk won versus Frech without any problems whatsoever. Bellis won pretty convincingly as well, Lepchenko abandoned the 2nd set.
    Neither of them lost a set throughout the tournament, and I like Bellis' playstyle, I liked it even in 2018, I just won't miss out on these odds on Kostyuk, per se she's the way better player overall. 
    Kostyuk to win 1.76 - Unibet
  20. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 19 - October 25   
    Gabriela Talaba - Christine Bellis - over 20.5 or Talaba +1.5 sets: 2.20 odds: This is the typical 3 setter bullshit itf women's tennis match. ( With all the respect). Bellis played a pretty good tennis in the last months, Talaba too. They are two pretty similar players, the 'education' of american tennis systems. 3 setter all the way. Value.
     
    Zarazua - Kostyuk: Kostyuk will be a top20 player soon imo. She got all the 'weapons', whether she gets there or not. Time will tell.  Mentally she is clearly not there yet, she tilts easily. She tanked versus Hibino, lol.  Luckily for us, this rarely happens against worse opponents, but versus very good opponents ( Osaka, Giorgi, etc). Kostyuk prepares hard since the French Open outing, this is definitely a place to prove herself. When she feels weakness she mainly destroys the enemy. One can say Zarazua is a good player, Imma come out and say she hasnt met a player of the caliber of Kostyuk in the last 3 months .I am gonna keep pushing and taking all the value bets on Kostyuk and Alcaraz also, they are way ahead of the rest. Kostyuk to win: 1.53
     
  21. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 19 - October 25   
    Lol, I was busy the last days. I didn't see Alcaraz winning another tourney. Haha, kid's a beast
  22. Thanks
    rodxuabht got a reaction from Foo_Fighter in Tennis Tips - October 19 - October 25   
    This is spicy! I love it
     
    Today, I'mma go with one bet, Kontaveit-Alexandrova over 21.5 games: if this wouldn't go down as a 3 setter, I'd be extremely surprised. Both of them having awkwardly low moments in their matches (also some good).
  23. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - October 19 - October 25   
    This is spicy! I love it
     
    Today, I'mma go with one bet, Kontaveit-Alexandrova over 21.5 games: if this wouldn't go down as a 3 setter, I'd be extremely surprised. Both of them having awkwardly low moments in their matches (also some good).
  24. Like
    rodxuabht got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 19 - October 25   
    This is spicy! I love it
     
    Today, I'mma go with one bet, Kontaveit-Alexandrova over 21.5 games: if this wouldn't go down as a 3 setter, I'd be extremely surprised. Both of them having awkwardly low moments in their matches (also some good).
  25. Like
    rodxuabht reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 19 - October 25   
    Federico Coria to beat Lloyd Harris at 5.90 with Pinnacle
    This looks worth taking to me as well, the odds are massive and Pinnacle are a one-set bookie, which could come in handy. Harris had some injury issues back in Cologne and he wasn't exactly sharp today, nearly losing a set against the unknown Zane Khan. Coria is obviously not an indoors specialist, but he's a decent player in his own right and the odds look ridiculous to me no matter how hard I'm trying to justify this sort of favoritism.
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