andypandy23

Good week for you @StevieDay1983 60% !!!

Some of these prices have gone, but as always a min price is given for a guide as what to take.
Barnet v Woking
Not sure many people would have had Dean Brennan's Barnet as toping the table after 3 games, but that is where they are after wins against Bromley and Yeovil and a draw at Gateshead in between the two victories. However, when we look at the stats, I think they are over achieving at the moment. Halifax were awful against them in the opening day of the season only having an xG of 0.13 although Barnet's was just 0.81 albeit they scored twice. They have actually score twice in all 3 games so far and against Gateshead they had their highest xG of the season with 1.34, but they only had 5 shots during the game and Gateshead managed a higher xG. Then against Yeovil on Tuesday night they only had an xG of 0.88 and had just 7 shots. They have the finishing of Nicke Kabamba to thank as he scored both goals and his chip over the keeper for his 2nd was sublime. Yeovil really should have beaten them though as their xG was 1.72 and they created some really good chances. Clearly Barnet have been very clinical so far, but that won't last and I think Woking have got a huge chance of beating them here. I was confident they would beat Scunthorpe on Tuesday and they easily won 2-0. They had a massive 22 shots during the game and had an xG of 1.9. Kyran Lofthouse got both goals and his finish for the 2nd was great from a narrow angle. The one sight concern is that they were so bad in their opening game of the season at York and this is their first away game since, but it would be harsh to judge from a sample of one especially as it was the first game of the campaign. Woking have already been really well backed and you could have got as big as 5/2 which in all honestly would have been a max bet for me. The value isn't as big now so the stakes will not be as big, but I still make them a bet.
 
Dorking v Gateshead
3 games for Dorking and every game has not only been over 2.5 goals, but they have been over 3.5 goals! It was 4 in the opening game against Chesterfield and then 5 on the TV last Saturday against Oldham. On Tuesday night they made it 6 goals in a 4-2 victory over Maidstone. Not surprisingly we saw two big xG's with them having 2.81 and 2.82 from 19 and 22 shots respectively. If they want to follow the pattern then this game should have 7 goals on Saturday although I will settle for their just being over 2.5 goals again. I have mentioned on Twitter how I think we will see plenty of goals in Dorking games this season because of the way Marc White sets up the team. He has them as being very attacking and that means they will score goals, but it also leaves them short at the back as we have seen and Gateshead are more than capable of exploiting that Gateshead did really well to get a point against Notts County on Tuesday night and not surprisingly they weren't as attacking as they had been in their other two games against Barnet and Dagenham & Redbridge which both ended in 2-2 draws. I'm not sure I have ever put up an over 2.5 goals as it just isn't something I usually focus on, but here we have two teams capable of goals, but also capable of conceding goals if this game doesn't have over 2.5 goals we will have been very unfortunate. Also, crucially I don't think the bookies have caught up yet with how many goals we will see in Dorking games this season so I am happy to back over 2.5 goals here.
 
Notts County v Chesterfield
This is the live game on Saturday tea-time and it should be a cracker given we have two sides who ought to be in the play-offs at the very least come April. County have dominated possession in all 3 games they have played so far having recorded 74%. 75% and 69%. The problem is that possession hasn't been turned into victories and actually their lowest xG has come in their one victory so far against Maidenhead. Macaulay Langstaff scored two good goals against Maidenhead, but he hasn't looked quite as threatening in the other two games and I do wonder if he is going to be the main striker that they are looking for. Chesterfield didn't need Tshimanga on Tuesday night as he stayed on the bench, but they didn't need to risk him given they had a very comfortable 2-0 victory over Wrexham. I will talk more about how bad Wrexham were in the preview on their game, but Chesterfield had little problem in beating them recording a huge 21 shots for an xG of 1.76. Last season I thought Paul Cook looked clueless when he came in as Chesterfield manager, but the evidence on the first 3 games of the season is that he has learnt from last season and I might have got him wrong. I think this game is much closer than has been priced up so I am happy to back Chesterfield here.
 
Torquay v Boreham Wood
I'm really surprised by how bad Torquay have been so far this season. I really like Gary Johnson as a manager at this level as you probably know. Granted they lost some key players over the summer, but I trusted Johnson to get the right players in. The evidence so far is that apart from the goalkeeper Mark Halstead he looks to have a pretty weak team. Halstead's xCG is 5.48 so far this season and yet he has conceded just 1 goal. That goal came against Bromley on Tuesday night and it was a wonder strike which no keeper would have saved. The problem is he isn't always going to save them and the xG's against them really does tell a story. Against Oldham it was 1.81, against Halifax it was 3.31 and Bromley even topped that at a huge 4.46! Torquay's xG's have been 0.84, 0.33 and 0.36. The fact they beat Halifax last Saturday will be one of the most fortunate victories we will see this season as Halifax dominated them. I put Boreham Wood up to beat Aldershot on Tuesday and was very surprised they lost to them 2-1, but they will consider themselves unlucky as Aldershot's xG was only 0.79 and they only had 3 shots on target. Wood's xG was 1.83 and they had 19 shots. For me they are a better side than Torquay and the odds don't reflect that at all. Obviously, I am worried about Halstead's form, but there is no way Wood should be such a big price for this game and hopefully they can find the breakthrough.
 
Wealdstone v Halifax
It's been a very mixed back from Wealdstone this season as they have been really good twice when beating Bromley and Oldham, but they were awful when losing 1-0 in between to Eastleigh. An xG in that game of 0.03 tells you all you need to know about how well they played. The were good on the opening day of the season though winning 3-2 and then they did really well to win at Oldham on Tuesday night. The move for the 2nd goal could well end up as the best team goal we see all season in the National League. There was a huge 23 passes leading up to the goal and it is very unusual to see that sort of thing at this level even from the sides who like to pass the ball around. I thought they made some decent signings in the summer and they certainly have their strongest looking squad since getting promoted. Halifax obviously had that really high xG against Torquay, but I have a feeling that is more down to how bad Torquay are rather than how good Halifax are. They created very little against Barnet on the opening day and then on Tuesday night their main chance came from the Southend keeper giving the ball away so it wasn't even something they created. It was a game were both teams seemed to cancel each other out as there was little goalmouth action with Southend's only decent chance coming from the penalty spot. Halifax are strong favourites for the game and I just don't think they should be and these two sides are much closer ability wise than the betting suggests
 
Wrexham v Maidstone
Phil Parkinson is under huge pressure now and I think if Wrexham don't win this game then he might well be sacked. After Tuesday night's effort against Chesterfield the fans on Twitter were pretty unanimous about wanting him out and I totally agree with them. Based on their 3 performances so far this season it is clear to me that they won't win the league whilst he is still in charge. I even think he might have lost the dressing room given how poor they were against Yeovil and Chesterfield. Yeovil you could possibly forgive a little given how hot it was, but the effort on Tuesday was unforgivable given you are playing against one of your possible title rivals. They managed 7 shots, but all bar two of those were blocked and their xG was just 0.2! This is coming from a team who have Paul Mullin and Ollie Palmer in their side. They are clearly very short for this game and in truth they should win it given how superior their side is, but if it doesn't start going their way then the fans are going to get on the players backs quickly and the pressure will be huge. Maidstone lost out in that high scoring game with Dorking on Tuesday night, but that could have gone either way and they did well in their first two games against York and Altrincham. Clearly this is a very different contest to those 3 matches and in theory they should lose, but I think at a huge price they are worth chancing to pile more misery on Parkinson and Wrexham.
 
Woking 3pts @ 31/20 with Bet365 (8/5 with William Hill and take up to 11/10)
Dorking v Gateshead over 2.5 goals 4pts @ 17/20 with William Hill and Bet365 (take up to 4/7)
Chesterfield 1pt @ 21/10 with Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (take up to 7/4)
Boreham Wood 2pts @ 2/1 with BetVictor, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair, Coral and Ladbrokes (Betfred are 11/5 and take up to 6/4)
Wealdstone 2pts @ 12/5 with Betfred and William Hill (take up to 6/4)
Maidstone 1pt @ 17/2 with Bet365, William Hill and Betfred (9/1 with Coral and Ladbrokes take up to 5/1)
 
Cheshunt v St Albans (National League South) St Albans have done very little in 3 games so far and have not created much at all. Cheshunt haven't started life at this level too badly at all including beating Hampton. They look way over priced here.   Hungerford v Eastbourne (National League South) Just 2 goals in Hungerford games so far as they have had two 1-0 defeats and a 0-0 draw. Eastbourne meanwhile have seen plenty of goals in their games having scored 8 of them themselves. They did concede 4 against Bath and 3 against Ebbsfleet on Tuesday night, but given Hungerford haven't scored at all yet you get the feeling 1 goal might just be enough. They certainly look a better side than their hosts and happy to back them.   Peterborough Sports v Chester (National League North) I would make the home side favourites for this. They did deserve to lose to Gloucester on Tuesday, but as their manager said after the game their players had to go straight from work and Peterborough to Gloucester is not a quick journey. They still did fairly well though and they were especially impressive against Southport last Saturday. I'm not sure Chester are that great this season and I'm happy to take them on here.   Bowers & Pitsea v Herne Bay (Isthmian League) Bowers look a very poor side this season and they have lost both games so far. Herne had to play on Sunday and Tuesday. They lost to Potters Bar 1-0 but had an outfield player in goal for the last half hour or so. For them to then go and win 4-2 against Haringey just a couple of days later was a hell of an effort and odds against looks well worth taking.   Potters Bar v Billericay (Isthmian League) Speaking of Potters Bar they are value to win this game. After that win they only lost 1-0 to Bishops Stortford which given they are one of my bets for the title was a good effort just a couple of days after their opening game. They look way over priced against a Billericay side who lost to league newcomers Aveley on Tuesday having beaten Cray on the opening day.   Cheshunt 1pt @ 9/4 with William Hill, Paddy Power and Betfair (12/5 with Bet365 and take up to 7/4) Eastbourne 2pts @ 6/5 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair, Coral, Betfred and Ladbrokes (13/10 with Hills and take up to 10/11) Peterborough Sports 1pt @ 7/4 with Skybet, BetVictor and Betfred (9/5 with Hills and take up to 6/4) Herne Bay 2pts @ 11/10 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 10/11) Potters Bar 1pt @ 14/5 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 2/1)

Stevie.Thanks for the effort you put in with the previews. Just wanted you to know it's very much appreciated.

If you have a William Hill account, they are offering 'EPIC ODDS' of evens on a goal being scored in the Villa/Everton game tomorrow. According to Hills, the original/true odds were 1/16 (not convinced about that myself, but no matter).
Maximum stake is £10.
If you stick said tenner on it, then bet £2.50 on 'no goalscorer' @7-1, you are guaranteed a return of £20 for your £12.50 outlay. 

Also, there is of course an outside chance of getting a £40 return, if the game finishes 1-0 via an own goal.

Here are my two bet picks for the Sunday matches coming up this weekend...
Brighton vs Southampton (2pm BST, Sunday 24th April)
Draw @ 3.35 with Unibet
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.80 with Boylesports
Burnley vs Wolves (2pm BST, Sunday 24th April)
Draw @ 3.10 with Coral
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.60 with VBet
Chelsea vs West Ham (2pm BST, Sunday 24th April)
Chelsea to Win & BTTS @ 3.50 with Betfair
Chelsea HT/FT @ 2.45 with Coral
Liverpool vs Everton (4:30pm BST, Sunday 24th April)
Liverpool HT/FT @ 1.70 with Coral
Liverpool -1 @ 1.60 with SpreadEx
Let us know what bets you're putting down for these games! Some huge matches this week with matters at both ends of the table needing sorted!

Right, so the packed Easter schedule and children's holidays means my preview schedule has been moved all over the place so there won't be any written previews for the Premier League games this weekend but I will share what my two bet picks for each game are down below starting with the Saturday matches...

Arsenal vs Manchester United (12:30pm BST, Saturday 23rd April)
Arsenal to Win & BTTS @ 4.00 with Bet365
Anytime Scorer: Cristiano Ronaldo @ 2.85 with VBet
Leicester vs Aston Villa (3pm BST, Saturday 23rd April)
Draw @ 3.50 with SpreadEx
Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.90 with VBet
Manchester City vs Watford (3pm BST, Saturday 23rd April)
Manchester City to Win to Nil @ 1.79 with Betfair
Manchester City -2 @ 2.00 with Betfair
Norwich vs Newcastle (3pm BST, Saturday 23rd April)
Newcastle to Win @ 2.25 with SpreadEx
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.91 with Boylesports
Brentford vs Tottenham (5:30pm BST, Saturday 23rd April)
Tottenham to Win @ 1.95 with SpreadEx
Anytime Scorer: Son Heung-min @ 2.75 with Bet365

Burnley vs Southampton
It's been a positive round of midweek games for us so far and the action finishes on Thursday night with the 7:45pm BST kick-off between relegation battlers Burnley and mid-table side Southampton at Turf Moor. The pressure is all on the home team to get a win to close the gap between themselves and safety but what will the travelling side have to say about that with very little to play for beyond pride and self expectation?
Burnley saw the pressure increase on them even more on Wednesday night after Everton picked up a vital 1-1 draw versus Leicester at home. It now means Burnley are in 18th position and 4 points from safety with just 7 league games to play. Caretaker manager Mike Jackson has praised the togetherness of the Burnley players since Sean Dyche's sacking but that might not be enough if they don't pick up a win soon. It's just 1 win from the last 8 league games and the club have now suffered 5 defeats in their previous 7 league matches. The Clarets have only managed to earn 4 wins in the league this season and the record for the lowest number of wins by a surviving team in the Premier League was 6 wins by West Brom back in 2004/05.
Southampton come into this game in 13th position and 14 points clear of the drop zone with nothing to play for now. The lack of pressure appears to have helped the players relax and play with more freedom after they beat Arsenal 1-0 despite only having 25% possession following a dreadful display against Chelsea away in the game before that resulted in a 6-0 hammering. The Saints ended a 5-game winless run with that victory over the Gunners and Ralph Hasenhuttl is expected to rotate his squad for this game as he clearly begins to prepare for next season. Away form has been a burden for Southampton this season with the club earning just 3 wins in their 15 away league games. Southampton have lost 2 of their last 3 games against clubs in the relegation zone so that doesn't bode overly well for them heading into this one.
It is games like this that can have a big say in who stays up and who goes down in the Premier League. Burnley must get something from this game and, ideally, it needs to be 3 points. Southampton haven't looked great for a while now but they showed against Arsenal that they can still suckerpunch teams that let the pressure get to them. Burnley had been unbeaten against Southampton at home in 7 league games before last season's meeting that Southampton won. These games are so tough to predict. Burnley have the motivation but also the pressure. I just think Southampton's awful away record could give Burnley a chance.
Burnley Draw No Bet @ 1.92 with SBK
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.96 with SBK

Great to land a massive number with Dover on Good Friday especially as we haven't had a great deal of luck with any of the real big prices that I have put up this season. It was a deserved win as well by the sounds of it. Alfreton were also winners on Good Friday. Onto Easter Monday and just time for the tips of which there are 8.   Wealdstone to beat Boreham Wood 1pt @ 14/5 with Skybet, Coral and Ladbrokes (take up to 2/1) Alfreton to beat York 1pt @ 11/5 with William Hill, Paddy Power and Betfai (take up to 15/8) Farsley Celtic to beat Southport 1pt @ 21/10 with Skybet, BetVictor and William Hill (take up to 7/4) Corinthian Casuals to beat Carshalton 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365,  Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 2/1) Bishops Stortford to beat Cheshunt 1pt @ 9/5 with Bet365 (take up to 6/4) Leatherhead to beat Kingstonian 1pt @ 4/1 with Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 2/1) Bromsgrove to beat Stratford 1pt @ 6/5 with Betfair, Paddy Power and Bet365 (take up to Evs) Coalville to beat Rushall Olympic 1pt @ 6/5 with Betfair, Paddy Power and Bet365 (take up to Evs)

Bought Man U bookings at 9. Hasn’t worked as well of late as it once seemed to but, having been brought level from a 2-0 lead I just don’t see them failing to draw at least a single card.

Watford vs Brentford
The final game from the 3pm BST kick-offs on Saturday in the Premier League is the fixture of relegation battlers Watford and a rejuvenated Brentford at Vicarage Road. Time is running out for the home team to start picking up some wins and give themselves a chance of survival. Can they do it here against an away side that are looking set to seal their place in the next season's Premier League in the coming games?
Watford face an almost impossible task of staying up in the Premier League this season. Roy Hodgson's side are in 19th place and 6 points adrift of safety. Not only that but their current form is diabolical with just 1 win from their last 7 league games including losing 4 of their last 5 league games. The Hornets are on the brink of an unwanted record. If they lose this game then they'll become just the second top flight team to lose 10 league matches in a row at home in a single season after Birmingham back in 1985/86. The team have lost 12 of their 15 home league matches so far this season. It's now 20 league games without a clean sheet for the team. It's all very grim reading and it's hard to see what can be done in such a short space of time to turn things around.
Brentford are a team that are managing to turn their form around. The Bees are up to 13th position and 12 points clear of the relegation zone having won 4 of their last 5 league games. It's probably no coincidence that they have won each of the 4 league games when Christian Eriksen has started. His influence is undeniable. Thomas Frank's men could win 3 top flight league games in a row for the first time since 1946. Brentford have also become the first team promoted via the Championship play-offs to win 10 league games or more in their first season back in the top flight since Crystal Palace back in 2013/14.
The pressure is all on Watford here. Not only do they need the win more badly than Brentford but they are also on the verge of losing three straight league encounters against Brentford for the first time since 1931. However, Brentford have not managed to win on any of their last 7 trips to Watford in the league. I do think this game is there to be won for Brentford mind and if Eriksen starts he will surgically pick this leaky Watford defence apart.
Brentford to Win @ 2.45 with SpreadEx
BTTS @ 1.83 with SBK

Boreham Wood v Dover I am taking a complete flyer here, but Dover are over priced to win this. Boreham Wood haven't won in 8 now and prior to scoring against Aldershot last week they hadn't scored in 5. They were rubbish against Woking the other week and to lose to an Aldershot side who have been woeful for weeks is shocking. Dover obviously are the poorest side in the league, but they have been trying very hard in recent weeks and arguably have been unlucky not to have got more points on the board. They are playing with plenty of fight and Wood really are stuck in a rut right now. Maidenhead did have an xG of over 5 against them on Saturday, but it still took until very late for them to actually get a winner. Clearly the home side should be odds on favs, but we can get at least 16/1 about a Dover win and that's just too big.   Eastleigh v Bromley Another team who were trying to get in the play-offs are Bromley, but whilst they are heading to Wembley for the FA Trophy Final, their league form has deserted them. They haven't won in 10 now and Eastleigh haven't done too badly since the new manager come in. They were unfortunate to lose to Wrexham last week and I think they have a solid chance of beating Bromley.   Notts County v Kings Lynn Again taking a flyer here, but Kings Lynn are giving themselves a real chance of staying up as I mentioned last week. County were woeful on Saturday when losing 5-1 to Torquay and if they under estimate Kings Lynn then they might just come unstuck again. Again clearly the home side should be odds on, but Kings Lynn aren't without hope here.   Boston v Bradford Park Avenue Bradford are in good form at the moment and are unbeaten in 5. Boston are better at home than they are away from home, but Bradford have got a 0-0 draw at Gateshead recently so they can come here and win in my view. Boston had a good win at Curzon last week, but they aren't very good and they have been very in and out of late. Again the away win is simply too big.   Chorley v Alfreton Chorley got a good draw last night against York, but I'm not sure they have been playing as well in general as they were earlier in the season so I am taking a chance that Alfreton can get a result here. Alfreton have only lost to Fylde and Brackley in their last 10 games and have been much improved after struggling to win football matches.   Dover 1pt @ 12/1 with William Hill and Betfred (16/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral) take up to 7/1 Eastleigh 1pt @ 11/5 with Skybet, Coral, Ladbrokes and Betfred (take up to 7/4) Kings Lynn 1pt @ 7/1 with Skybet, William Hill and Betfred (15/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral take up to 9/2) Bradford Park Avenue 1pt @ 5/1 with William Hill and Paddy Power (take up to 11/4) Alfreton 1pt @ 4/1 with Skybet and Betfred (take up to 3/1)

@Darran just so you know - would have been weird if you didn't revert to the shit form of the season this week. Move on - nothing to see here lol
The way this goes is that you'll have another two or maybe three solid weeks before we're done. Keep going. 

Pushed for time to write more in depth previews this week, but some very brief thoughts on the 6 bets   National League treble It should have landed a couple of weeks ago, but Wrexham to beat Eastleigh, Grimsby to win at Weymouth and Stockport to beat Southend in the live game does look pretty rock solid to me and we can get just under 9/4 on it happening.   Kings Lynn v Yeovil Yeovil have been in fair nick, but the home side are giving themselves a real chance of survival with their good form so I think they look value here as they look to catch up Aldershot.   Hampton & Richmond v Billericay Despite it not paying off last week when I opposed Hampton and backed Billericay I am happy to do the same this week at the prices. I just don't think there is as much between the two sides as the bookies suggest.   Havant & Waterlooville v Braintree Braintree are always keeping themselves in games at the moment and that means they always have a chance of nicking a victory. Due to that I am happy to back them again here at a big price.   Slough v Eastbourne This looks the best bet of the weekend as Eastbourne are flying at the moment. 6 wins on the bounce have pretty much secured themselves a play-off place, but they will be looking to get 3rd if they can so they won't be easing up at all. I think they look very over priced here.   Morpeth v FCUM (Northern Premier) The home side had a poor defeat last week, but I think they can bounce back here. FCUM travelled to Italy to play a match on Wednesday night and there is every chance that trip could take a bit out of them ahead of this game.   Wrexham/Grimsby/Stockport 2pts @ 2.2/1 with Bet365 and Betfred (2.4/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral and take up to 7/4) Kings Lynn 1pt @ 19/10 with Betfred (21/10 with Skybet and take up to 6/4) Braintree 1pt @ 10/3 with Betfair, Paddy Power and BetVictor (15/4 with Hills and take up to 5/2) Billericay 1pt @ 7/2 with Paddy Power and Betfair (18/5 with Hills take up to 3/1) Eastbourne 4pts @ 11/8 with William Hills, Betfred and Skybet (take up to 4/5) Morpeth 2pts @ 6/5 with Bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power (take up to 10/11)

Ah, I see what you mean. I'll speak to our tech team now and look to get it resolved.

Swings and roundabouts. I remember a sort of similar season four years ago then you blew the tips out of the water on the final day.
Anyway, I follow tipsters form, and you are due a massive upswing imminently. Don't stop tipping FFS because you're likely to hit gold next load of tips or the ones after. 

Swings and roundabouts. I remember a sort of similar season four years ago then you blew the tips out of the water on the final day.
Anyway, I follow tipsters form, and you are due a massive upswing imminently. Don't stop tipping FFS because you're likely to hit gold next load of tips or the ones after. 

I'm just having an awful season match betting wise. Not given up hope of turning a profit yet, but its been one of the toughest season's I have had.

AFC Telford v Alfreton I'm pretty keen on Telford here. In their last 3 games they managed a draw against Kettering and Gateshead and then were impressive in beating Curzon in midweek. They look capable of getting themselves out of the relegation battle and if they play like they have been then they can beat Alfreton here. Alfreton have only managed to beat Spennymoor in their last 7 games and haven't even managed a goal in their last 4. I would make the home side clear favourites here.    Curzon Ashton v Gloucester Curson might have been well beaten on Tuesday, but on the whole they are in good form as they were unbeaten in 5 games going into that game. They have only lost 2 games at home during the season and given Gloucester have only managed to beat Farsely and Leamington on their travels I think the home side can win. I'm slightly concerned about the draw as both sides have had a few stalemates of late, but Gloucester have managed just 5 goals in their last 10 games so if Curzon can get one it might well be enough.   Farsley Celtic v Spennymoor The away side were struggling for numbers on Saturday, but still managed to draw against Gloucester mainly because we are so bad away from home. Given Farsley managed to beat Kidderminster at home last Saturday and then were unlucky to lose to Bradford on Wednesday I think they have a chance of winning again here. Spennymoor's away form has been awful as well although they did manage to beat Chester in their last game on the road, but that was their first in 10 away games. With the improvement in Farsley I think they have a better chance of winning than the bookies think.   Bamber Bridge v Buxton (Northern Premier) The home side are really struggling of late as they continue to fall out of play-off contention. They have only picked up 8 points in their last 10 games and only 2 of those have come in their last 6. Buxton meanwhile sit in 2nd in the table and after having a blip they are bang in form again and they are unbeaten in their last 6 games. They are a shade of odds on but I think that is value for an away win so they can keep the pressure on South Sheilds at the top of the table.   Merstham v Leatherhead (Isthmian Premier) Leatherhead need a minor miracle to stay up, but they have certainly been improving and whilst they remain winless at home they have actually managed 4 away wins. They have been a bit unlucky to have only won once in their last 7 games, but at the same time they have only lost two of those games to Cheshunt and Hornchurch. Merstham are not in great form themselves and I don't think there is a great deal between these two sides, indeed I think you could argue that Leatherhead have been playing better. Therefore an away win looks the value play.   AFC Telford 2pts @ 6/4 with everyone apart from Hills who go 8/5 (take up to 11/10) Curzon Ashton 1pt @ 5/4 with William Hill and Coral (take up to Evs) Farsley Celtic 1pt @ 11/5 with William Hill and Coral (take up to 7/4) Buxton 2.5pts @ 19/20 with William Hill, Bet365, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 8/11) Leatherhead 1pt @ 14/5 with Paddy Power (both Hills and Betfair are bigger but will use this price in the stats and take up to 2/1)

Good on you Steve. There are people who read your tips mate. Always sound reasoning. 

Good on you Steve. There are people who read your tips mate. Always sound reasoning. 

Good on you Steve. There are people who read your tips mate. Always sound reasoning. 

Good on you Steve. There are people who read your tips mate. Always sound reasoning. 

Good on you Steve. There are people who read your tips mate. Always sound reasoning. 

Good on you Steve. There are people who read your tips mate. Always sound reasoning. 

Burnley vs Tottenham
The Premier League delivers a midweek batch of matches consisting of fixtures that have had to be re-scheduled from earlier in the season. The first one coming up is the 7:30pm GMT kick-off between relegation battlers Burnley and Champions League qualification contenders Tottenham at Turf Moor. The away side are heavy favourites but the home team have started to show signs of recovery.
Burnley come into this game having lost just 1 of their last 5 league games leaving the club in 19th place. Sean Dyche's men are still 5 points adrift of safety but with games in hand they have an opportunity to close the gap in matches like this. The Clarets are hoping to have their key duo of Maxwel Cornet and Wout Weghorst available for this game despite being injury doubts. The 3-0 win away to Brighton on the weekend ended a run of 12 matches without a victory. However, Burnley have won just 1 of their last 20 home league games and have failed to even register a goal in 9 of those matches. Weghorst opened his scoring account for the club against Brighton and it now means that his previous 83 league goals have all been scored inside the opposition box.
Tottenham showed that they continue to be the bogey team of league leaders Manchester City on the weekend after an exhilarating 3-2 win over the Citizens. Head coach Antonio Conte will be delighted to see his team get that win that made it just 1 loss from their last 6 away league games. Spurs are up to 8th in the table and 7 points off the Champions League qualification pace but boast a number of league games such as this in hand on the teams around them. The victory over City ending a 3-game losing streak for Tottenham in the league. Tottenham have lost just 1 of their last 20 league matches against teams that start the day in the relegation places. Harry Kane could be an anytime scorer pick here having scored or assisted in each of his last 6 league appearances against Burnley.
Before the weekend, this was a game I could see ending in a dour draw. Now, both teams will be flying high after their respective victories out of the blue. I feel that Tottenham undoubtedly have the better quality squad and arguably possess the better head coach but Burnley showed what a difference Weghorst made to their team. I still think that Tottenham have to be backed for a narrow win here and given his performance against City I will back Kane to score!
Tottenham to Win @ 1.85 with SpreadEx
Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 2.20 with Betfred