calva decoy

I'll go against you with MIN .
 
Melon has had four 2nd placed efforts at the festival so is due one , good each way shout ? 
Another ultra consistent type in The Stayers 
THE STORYTELLER 11/1 ew been going well in good quality races & against top opposition all season .

120- BALLYADAM 
155- CAPTAIN GUINNESS 
230- PYM
305- HONEYSUCKLE 
340- ROKSANA 
415- BUSSELTON 
450- GALVIN 
Good luck to all & thanks to PL for running comp ?

Good shout !
Brian Hughes wants to retain his jockey title & snubs Cheltenham for Sedgefield where over the last 5 years his stats read 
75 wins from 332 a 21.25% win strike rate with a + LSP of £19.15 , he has 6 rides today .
145 Little Actress 5/1 bet365
220 Sabbahtical 11/8 bet365 
255 Getaway Jewel 4/1 bet365 
405 The Herds Garden 22/1 ew betfair 
435 Quick Pick 7/1 ew betfair 
505 Teasing Georgia 11/4 betvictor .
Southwell & Newcastle also accompany Sedgefield on Sky Sports Racing I'll be flicking straight over as soon as Cheltenham races are over in which i've only backed 3 in 2 races 
2.30 Milan Native 9/1 ew bet365
4.15 Riviere D'etel 12/1 ew bet365 ( 5 places 1/4 odds )
4.15 Glorious Zoff 18/1 ew bet365 ( 5 places 1/4 odds ) 
Always back Elliott's handicap horses at the festival .
3 so called good things 
Appreciate It , Shishkin & Concetista , which one WILL lose ?
 

Good shout !
Brian Hughes wants to retain his jockey title & snubs Cheltenham for Sedgefield where over the last 5 years his stats read 
75 wins from 332 a 21.25% win strike rate with a + LSP of £19.15 , he has 6 rides today .
145 Little Actress 5/1 bet365
220 Sabbahtical 11/8 bet365 
255 Getaway Jewel 4/1 bet365 
405 The Herds Garden 22/1 ew betfair 
435 Quick Pick 7/1 ew betfair 
505 Teasing Georgia 11/4 betvictor .
Southwell & Newcastle also accompany Sedgefield on Sky Sports Racing I'll be flicking straight over as soon as Cheltenham races are over in which i've only backed 3 in 2 races 
2.30 Milan Native 9/1 ew bet365
4.15 Riviere D'etel 12/1 ew bet365 ( 5 places 1/4 odds )
4.15 Glorious Zoff 18/1 ew bet365 ( 5 places 1/4 odds ) 
Always back Elliott's handicap horses at the festival .
3 so called good things 
Appreciate It , Shishkin & Concetista , which one WILL lose ?
 

All prices Bet365:
1.20 Cheltenham - 1.5pts e/w Ballyadam @ 7/1
I'm hoping the ground turns out to be no worse than described as this one would have the best chance of turning the tables with Appreciate It on a sounder surface but still represents each-way value at 7/1 in my eyes. Travelled really well at Leopardstown but couldn't go with the favourite late on and the same might happen today but you'd think he'll be there or thereabouts and speed appears to be his strength, so if it isn't a slog I can see him going close.
1.55 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Captain Guinness @ 15/2
This has been billed the Shishkin show for a while and the absence of Energumene has only strengthened that but I don't think we've seen the best of Captain Guinness yet. He may not be good enough to beat Shishkin but it wouldn't surprise me if he gave him the most to do unless Allmankind puts in a faultless round of jumping from the front. Captain Guinness was unfortunate in the Supreme last year and has twice run well behind Energumene this season - looming up to trade an even money two starts back before giving best up the run-in and then falling at 2 out when going just as well as the winner last time. He's got a high cruising speed, jumps well in the main and definitely has plenty of class so with the ground a bit better than he's contested this season and that set to benefit him, I think at the least he has a solid chance of second. 
2.30 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w The Wolf @ 22/1
I do think Happygolucky is the one to beat but I don't want to get involved at 3/1 in such a race so have sided with The Wolf at a big price. His form is patchy and he'll have to step up here but has shown bits of pieces of form to suggest he can run well in this sort of event. He beat a host of 135-rated animals at Chepstow earlier in the season in a novice chase with his rivals going on to frank the form and then had an excuse at Exeter when making a bad mistake and suffering from a cut on his leg next time out. He hasn't shined particularly since but ran okay behind Chantry House at Wetherby last time over a trip short of his best and was eased up the run-in to exaggerate the losing margin. Was outspeeded that day but goes back up to a more suitable distance today and runs off 137 which - if at his best - he's capable of winning off. Jumps well in the main, is likely to go forward and hopefully can stay out of trouble and put pressure on those in behind.
3.05 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Sharjah @ 10/1
Again, Honeysuckle looks the one to beat but I don't think it's unfathomable that she gets beat so looking elsewhere for some each-way value. My heart would love to see Goshen land this but I think the make up of the race will suit the closers and Sharjah appeals as a bit of a dark horse. He's a patchy, inconsistent type but will no doubt be primed for this and would go close on his best form. With several front runners in the field it seems inevitable they'll go off hard and this one looks sure to be allowed to switch off in behind early. Has plenty of speed and I can see him travelling up strongly - will just be a case of if he's good enough to go on and pick them up, especially with the two market leaders also likely to sit and take a lead. At 10s though, I think he's got solid place claims and if the ground isn't too testing, can possibly cause a shock.
3.40 Cheltenham - 1pt win Indefatigable @ 28/1
Paul Webber's charge is fairly easy to back here but simply looks overpriced to me. Ran on strongly to win the Martin Pipe on the line last year and that makes her rating of 149 look about right. On that alone, she's the third highest-rated horse in the field and has had excuses this season. Ran in a 1m5f listed race on the flat to blow the cobwebs away and then didn't stay 3 miles at Kempton. Didn't run any sort of race last time but has had wind surgery since, returns to Cheltenham where she has a fine record and the ground shouldn't be too testing for her so whilst she has a bit to prove, 28/1 looks way too big for me for all it is a bit of a guessing game after last time out/the wind op.
4.15 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Her Indoors @ 28/1
Probably doesn't have the class of some of these but I like this one's attitude and racing style, which should stand her in good stead in a race like this. Only fairly moderate on the flat, she's taken to hurdles well - jumping and travelling well on her debut in this sphere at Aintree against some experienced jumpers to finish 2nd and then filled that place next time out too. The long straight at Doncaster played to her strengths last time out, keeping on powerfully to go clear from solid yardstick Talking About You and I don't think a mark of 127 is overly restrictive. She jumps well, appears versatile in terms of tactics and finishes off her races very well so an end-to-end gallop here should see her at her best. Again, any quickening of the ground can suit too and in an open race appeals at a big price.
4.50 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w The Mighty Don @ 40/1
The Mighty Don is an out and out stayer and that's obviously important in a contest like this. That said, he's not short of class either having beaten a now 143-rated horse in Enrilo on chasing debut before a solid second to Ultima favourite Happygolucky here a couple of starts later. Didn't lift a leg at Taunton on his latest run over fences which is a concern because he won't get away with that here but never jumped or travelled with any fluency. However, the better ground today will definitely suit and hopefully he can find a better rhythm here because he looks a prime contender for this sort of test. Might not have the class of a couple of these but is a guaranteed stayer in my eyes should he jump round safely and that makes him an each-way proposition at a huge price without a huge amount to find with most of these on figures. 

Cheltenham 
1.20 - Blue Lord
1.55 - Franco De Port
2.30 - Aye Right
3.05 - Abacadabras
3.40 - Dame De Campagne
4.15 - Zoffanien
4.50 - Nestor Park
 
GL everyone and especially our “scorer” looks like he’s going to be busy.
 
Ken

Good shout !
Brian Hughes wants to retain his jockey title & snubs Cheltenham for Sedgefield where over the last 5 years his stats read 
75 wins from 332 a 21.25% win strike rate with a + LSP of £19.15 , he has 6 rides today .
145 Little Actress 5/1 bet365
220 Sabbahtical 11/8 bet365 
255 Getaway Jewel 4/1 bet365 
405 The Herds Garden 22/1 ew betfair 
435 Quick Pick 7/1 ew betfair 
505 Teasing Georgia 11/4 betvictor .
Southwell & Newcastle also accompany Sedgefield on Sky Sports Racing I'll be flicking straight over as soon as Cheltenham races are over in which i've only backed 3 in 2 races 
2.30 Milan Native 9/1 ew bet365
4.15 Riviere D'etel 12/1 ew bet365 ( 5 places 1/4 odds )
4.15 Glorious Zoff 18/1 ew bet365 ( 5 places 1/4 odds ) 
Always back Elliott's handicap horses at the festival .
3 so called good things 
Appreciate It , Shishkin & Concetista , which one WILL lose ?
 

Have already backed stable mate & last year's winner Chosen Mate @12's each way , has 7Lb claimer who rides him out & home every day .
P.Niccholls has good record in this race ASHUTOR @28's with Betfair 6 places , with your tip being the bottom weight I've had a little at 33's , was 40's , good luck ?

This is tomorrow but there’s an Elliot horse I like the look of in the 4.15. Or Juana De Somoza 33/1 . Been running ok but looks the sort that’s been primed for a big run here . 

2.10  Southwell Blowing Dixie 11/8 - Lost
2.55 Sedgefield Follow Your Fire 4/1 - Lost
3.20 Southwell Everkyllachy 100/30 - Lost
6.45 Newcastle Duesenburg 9/4 - Won 9/4
Good luck all CNBB. Don't forget the bread an butter racing.

A few Irish each way longshots .
320 Lim - Moscowsowhat 8/1 ( 365 ) FELL
350 Lim - Rochestown 25/1 ( 365 )
440 Naas - Classy Diva 20/1 ( sky 6 places ) 
500 Lim - Piper's Meadow 25/1 ( 365 ) 
515 Naas - Shuil Valentine 14/1  ( betfair ) 1ST ?

With 48 hour decs I'll generally put my bets on today but after trawling through since 11 I only fancy a couple on day 1 & with ante post only Champagne Platinum in the Pertemps ( only entry ) & Al Boum Photo in Gold Cup , think both have been laid out a long time ago for their races .
I'll probably have a maximum of 10 bets over the 4 days 3 or 4 win bets & 6 or 7 each ways where the favourite looks worth opposing . 

Non Runner! 
Is it me or is the Festival looking not the same this year as the day one declarations coming through are disappointing with small select fields compared to previous years
 

It’s disappointing but at least we have a festival . The supreme has completely broken up. 

I remember Richie Persad trying to interview him after his 4th 2nd place at HQ a few years ago , the look he gave Persad was scary .
Think he's rode 3 or 4 four timers on the flat this year albeit no Murphy ,Dettori , Crowley , SDS to compete against .

Great jockey, miserable sod.
If he had Hayleys personality, he would be a lot more popular

645 Tampa - AMERICAN OF COURSE 7/2
811 Gulfsteam - GAGA OH LA LA 13/8 non runner 
848 Tampa - LADY BREANNA 5/4 
944 Gulfsteam - JOSHY JAK 13/8  1st ( rule 4 )
Lucky 15 bet365  
£6 staked 
£1.86 returned ?
 

TAMPA ( Graded & Stakes races including the Florida Oaks )
646- Pechanga 3/1
718- Last Judgement 7/2 1st
822- Winfromwithin 10/3 1st
925- Counterparty Risk 4/1 
955- Domain Expertise 9/2 1st
1025- Candy Man Rocket 5/2 
All bets with bet365   
Like a Meat Loaf 'B' Side , 3 out of 6 ain't bad .
£12 staked 
£28.66 back ?
 

For all owners , syndicate owners , stable staff , breeders I hope he's stripped of his license completely , you shouldn't make a joke of a tragedy if a Grade 1 or Class 6 horse they all deserve a bit of dignity in life & death .
 

Have taken a chance on a few today
12.30 Win Broken Halo £2 win at 11.50 (um 10.5).  Paul Nichols trained runner that ran too bad to be true last time. I reckon that there are about 6 live contenders in this race and so taking 2/1 about the favourite doesn't look good value to me
1.30 Win Robins Dream.  I have had £10 on this one at 2.06, now drifted to 2.36. I still think its better than Balko Saint.  Difficult to make money on even money shots and may have to tighten up criteria
3.45 Win Dashing Perk £5 win at 3.25 = £11.05 profit if it wins.  I will put my faith in the Doc to pull this off.  Strange sort of trip for Caid Du Berlais as it usually runs around 3 miles plus.  Wouldn't put my money on it despite Bryony Frost being aboard
2.15 Lin Famous Dynasty.  I have backed this one for £2 at 6.2, currently 5.4.  Ben Curtis aboard.  will net £10.19 if matched and wins
4.25 Lin Shaqeeqa.  I have requested £4 to win at 4.1 = £12.15 if matched and wins, currently 3.65.  ran well at 7 furlongs last time and has an apprentice on it that looks to be on fire atm.  May not get matched but that's life
Poss outlay £23 today.  A bit worried about Robins Dream drifting, so may trade out if it goes out further
 

Zac Purton Happy Valley Trixie 
1215- SMART COUSIN 9/5
145- WEALTHY DELIGHT 7/5 1st
215- WIND N GRASS 9/4  1st
prices betfair 
£4 staked 
£7.20 returns .
think Zac Purton has had 5/6 timer , him & J.Moreira toss a coin most meetings to see who'll bag loads of winners ?
 

I feel like that with Wolverhampton lately and again after another miss there tonight lol.

For all owners , syndicate owners , stable staff , breeders I hope he's stripped of his license completely , you shouldn't make a joke of a tragedy if a Grade 1 or Class 6 horse they all deserve a bit of dignity in life & death .
 

For all owners , syndicate owners , stable staff , breeders I hope he's stripped of his license completely , you shouldn't make a joke of a tragedy if a Grade 1 or Class 6 horse they all deserve a bit of dignity in life & death .
 

For all owners , syndicate owners , stable staff , breeders I hope he's stripped of his license completely , you shouldn't make a joke of a tragedy if a Grade 1 or Class 6 horse they all deserve a bit of dignity in life & death .