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Villa Chris

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  1. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from vikki37 in Pricing your own race   
    He finished 2 lengths behind the winner and it says he got hampered final 110 yards. Might pay to watch a replay of that race, if you haven’t already that is. First run back as you say, so maybe needed it. I’ve just rated it. Don’t bother with these kind of races usually as not much to go on and there’s plenty who can find massive improvement as they are only 3 year olds . 
     
    Dingle 7.4
    Naamoos 7.15 
    These two clear of rest 
  2. Haha
    Villa Chris got a reaction from MCLARKE in Pricing your own race   
    I’m getting prepared for Cheltenham next year, I’m going the last two days. When I say I’m getting prepared I mean I’m drinking Guinness. First time in pub for a while. 
  3. Thanks
    Villa Chris reacted to gbettle in Pricing your own race   
    Wisdom Of Crowd Market Index (WCMI)

    TL;DR "In sports markets, the probabilities implied by the prices on offer are a proxy for the wisdom of the crowd for that particular event. By adapting Shannon's Entropy formula, we can generate our own "Wisdom Of Crowd Market Index" (WCMI) to represent this information on a scale from 0 - 1."
  4. Haha
    Villa Chris got a reaction from vikki37 in Pricing your own race   
    I’m getting prepared for Cheltenham next year, I’m going the last two days. When I say I’m getting prepared I mean I’m drinking Guinness. First time in pub for a while. 
  5. Haha
    Villa Chris got a reaction from Point the way in Pricing your own race   
    I’m getting prepared for Cheltenham next year, I’m going the last two days. When I say I’m getting prepared I mean I’m drinking Guinness. First time in pub for a while. 
  6. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from gbettle in Pricing your own race   
    I’m getting prepared for Cheltenham next year, I’m going the last two days. When I say I’m getting prepared I mean I’m drinking Guinness. First time in pub for a while. 
  7. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from Barnes1882 in Pricing your own race   
    I’m getting prepared for Cheltenham next year, I’m going the last two days. When I say I’m getting prepared I mean I’m drinking Guinness. First time in pub for a while. 
  8. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from peanut peanut in Pricing your own race   
    I’m getting prepared for Cheltenham next year, I’m going the last two days. When I say I’m getting prepared I mean I’m drinking Guinness. First time in pub for a while. 
  9. Like
    Villa Chris reacted to Wildgarden in Racing Chat, Thursday 22nd April   
    210 beverley buniann 5.9 matchbook
    340 warwick from the heart 4.4 matchbook (4-1 available last night)
  10. Like
    Villa Chris reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    St Mark's basilica  9.4 
    Van Gogh's    9.2 
    Master of seas   9.1 
    Poetic flare    9.0 
    Naval crown   8.8 
    Wembley     8.4 
    Chindit     8.2 
    I'm happy to lose lucky vega who very much looks a sprinter .....wembley although 8.4 ...only lost to st Mark's by 0.5 lengths so is probably better than his 8.4 rating and warrants respect as such 
  11. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from gbettle in Pricing your own race   
    Well noticed regarding Dapper Man running 3 in a week before . 
  12. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from gbettle in £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome   
    As it’s paper money I’ll go with ....
    Debawtry 11/1 £20 win 
    I think he’s well overpriced .
    skybet 
  13. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from gbettle in Quick System   
    Football isn’t football anymore mate. This super league has been on the agenda for years . The premier league is an absolute joke as well and I hate us being part of it, but for the future of the club though it’s where they need to be and and hate that, too. I’ve completely turned my back on the game now. I’ve been a villa season ticket holder for years, but I’m done . This ain’t the game I fell in love with . People go on about the dark days of football back in the 70s/80s. Give me that any day of the week compared to this diluted money grabbing thing we call football now .
  14. Like
    Villa Chris reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    2000 guineas rating 
    St Mark's basilica  9.4 
    Van Gogh's    9.2 
    Master of seas   9.1 
    Poetic flare    9.0 
    Lucky vega     8.9
    Naval crown   8.8 
    Wembley     8.4 
    As youd expect ...very very competitive ...but some nice prices in there...van gogh is 16/1!!!....that would be a nice winner !!...but st Mark's...van gogh and Wembley are all o Brien....I doubt he will run all 3 ??
  15. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from Barnes1882 in Pricing your own race   
    Into 2/1 now. 
  16. Like
    Villa Chris reacted to MCLARKE in Quick System   
    I agree. I supported Wednesday home and away for many years in the 70s, 80s and 90s, in those days probably half the team were born in Sheffield, these days you are lucky if they were born in the UK. 
    Football sold out years ago when the premier league was formed, apart from the top 6 you have no chance (I think Leicester was an exception). Premiership survival is the ambition of most teams.
    I would be happy to get rid of the top 6, then the rest would have something to play for. Ok there would be less money flying around but perhaps we can start paying players £500k a year instead of £500k a week.
  17. Like
    Villa Chris reacted to Barnes1882 in Pricing your own race   
    I've ended up just backing Dapper after all of that 🤣
    Midgley horses tend to come into their own in May so hopefully they're still out for a few prep runs. 
    It does all point to Dapper so hopefully he can win for us. 
  18. Like
    Villa Chris reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    A regular race has suddenly become most interesting....roll on 210🤣🙃...on paper this is a much weaker race for dapper man.....so maybe that's what they do ....find a,weak race for that 3rd run so hes really well in 
  19. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    Debawtry(3rd rated) has recently beat bunnian by a nose , but is slightly worse off at the weights this time around , but 11/1 is a good price I reckon . 
  20. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from MCLARKE in Quick System   
    Football isn’t football anymore mate. This super league has been on the agenda for years . The premier league is an absolute joke as well and I hate us being part of it, but for the future of the club though it’s where they need to be and and hate that, too. I’ve completely turned my back on the game now. I’ve been a villa season ticket holder for years, but I’m done . This ain’t the game I fell in love with . People go on about the dark days of football back in the 70s/80s. Give me that any day of the week compared to this diluted money grabbing thing we call football now .
  21. Haha
    Villa Chris got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    It’s a class 5 but I felt left out , so I’ve rated it, too 😂
    Dapper Man 8.65
    Nibras Again 8.25
    Debawtry 7.95 
  22. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from BBBC in Pricing your own race   
    Well noticed regarding Dapper Man running 3 in a week before . 
  23. Thanks
    Villa Chris reacted to Ironjoe in Pricing your own race   
    Love this thread ive started doing my own ratings because of it dapper man came out top on mine as well and interestingly from what i can see he has run 3 times in a week twice before in the past and each time won on the third run
    Ill start posting some of my ratings in the future
  24. Like
    Villa Chris got a reaction from Barnes1882 in Pricing your own race   
    He’s due to go up 6Ibs from next week I think, so they are throwing the kitchen sink at it this week . 
  25. Like
    Villa Chris reacted to DanV89 in Pricing your own race   
    Tricast on those 3 pay decent odds!! Think that’s my play in that race. 

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