fizrukas

Yuichi Sugita to beat Stefano Travaglia at 2.14 with Pinnacle
Honestly, I'm not quite sure why Sugita is the underdog here, as I'd have the odds 50/50 at the very least. He's always been better than Travaglia outside clay and, despite a certain slump, he's regained his confidence recently and he's been performing better than his next opponent, who has some really terrible losses to his name in recent times. Of course, Travaglia did beat Opelka in the first round and I reckon that this is the number one reason for the market favoring him, but Opelka is so one-dimensional that he is simply bound to get these odds losses every now and then. On top of that, Sugita wasn't too shabby in the first round either, beating a home boy in a fairly one-sided encounter, so I think that there's value - although probably fairly marginal - in backing him this time around.

Albert Ramos Vinolas to beat (+4.5 games) Roger Federer at 2.32 with Unibet
Albert is really having a great time since Swedish open and he's beaten Roger before in Shanghai. The hole of Alberts team thinks he can really win this match. But for me this bet is a must play. I feel Albert really won't lose by 5 games or more so 4.5 handicap I think he can cover at minimum.

Victor Estrella to beat Thiago Monteiro at 3.68 with Pinnacle
Should be the last ever tournament for the legendary Estrella and he was giving it his all yesterday against Arevalo, so I think that there's some value in backing him again at such a juicy price. No guarantees obviously, but we're getting 3.68 on someone who's going to play his heart out against a guy that lost against Hamou last time out, so yeah.

Andrey Rublev to beat Borna Coric at 1.91 with William Hill
I'm not exactly sure why the chances should be balanced here, as I'd have the Russian as a fairly decent favorite after Coric disappointed in his last two tournaments. He has enough quality, don't get me wrong, but he doesn't seem to have enough confidence to get himself over the line at the moment and that might prove to be his downfall yet again. Rublev should take this more often than not imo.

Last one...
Bencic (vs Friedsam) + Goffin (vs Gasquet) + Van Uytvacnk (vs Bonaventure) at 2.37 with 888
Bencic played very well in the US Open where she reached the Semifinals but finally lost in a tight match against the winner of the tournament. She's now fighting for playing the WTA Finals so she needs a good performance here.
Gasquet is out of form while Goffin is playing well recently so I expect an easy win for Goffin here.
Van Uytvacnk is one of the most dangerous players in hard indoor courts and she's with confidence after winning the Tashkent Open 1 week ago so I expect a win from her. She has played 2 times against Bonaventure (both this year) and she has win both matches: in Hiroshima 3 weeks ago (6-4, 6-2) and in Marruecos in a 3 set match in May.

Well, Murray won against Berretini who played a crazy Us open and Thiem just managed to win in two Tiebreaks. I think Andy is much further in the „recovery“ than one might think.

Agree with this one for the same reasons. With a long period out of the court, Murray will not be able to beat Fognini. Italian is pretty good player, and even in the best form he would not be easy to beat at the moment. 

Cameron Norrie to beat Gilles Simon at 1.95 with William Hill
To me, this is priced on name. Sure, Simon is a big time player and by far the more accomplished guy of the two, but he's been sliding down over the last year or so and he usually struggles against players that are in some sort of a form and that can hit decently big. Norrie fits into both of those categories and the fact that he's played two qualifying matches here already can't hurt him either, so I'd have him as the favorite and not the Frenchman.

Fabio Fognini to beat Andy Murray || 1.73 @ OLYBET!  
well, not a fan to bet against the brit,  but Andy is in a comeback process, and he have here very tough opponent in Fabio. He will get tested here thats no doubt about that.  Fognini won over big american Querrey, where he really didn't gave him no chance whatsoever. His movement impresive he serves well, likes to play fast points, where Andy isn't that good. GL!

Fabio Fognini to beat Andy Murray || 1.73 @ OLYBET!  
well, not a fan to bet against the brit,  but Andy is in a comeback process, and he have here very tough opponent in Fabio. He will get tested here thats no doubt about that.  Fognini won over big american Querrey, where he really didn't gave him no chance whatsoever. His movement impresive he serves well, likes to play fast points, where Andy isn't that good. GL!

Karen Khachanov (-2.5 games) to beat Taylor Fritz || 1.9 @ OLYBET!  
This is quite surprising Karen is so much better and i dont really understand why odds are that high on him.  He played very good tournament where he almost won against Dominic Thiem in 1/2 final. He also has a go for a top 8 spot. SO stakes high and Karen will demolish Fritz. 

Karen Khachanov (-2.5 games) to beat Taylor Fritz || 1.9 @ OLYBET!  
This is quite surprising Karen is so much better and i dont really understand why odds are that high on him.  He played very good tournament where he almost won against Dominic Thiem in 1/2 final. He also has a go for a top 8 spot. SO stakes high and Karen will demolish Fritz. 

Fabio Fognini to beat Andy Murray || 1.73 @ OLYBET!  
well, not a fan to bet against the brit,  but Andy is in a comeback process, and he have here very tough opponent in Fabio. He will get tested here thats no doubt about that.  Fognini won over big american Querrey, where he really didn't gave him no chance whatsoever. His movement impresive he serves well, likes to play fast points, where Andy isn't that good. GL!

Novak Djokovic - Dennis Shapovalov || Over 20.5 games || 1.86 @ OLYBET 
I think that  Dennis have a chance here for one good set,  he is playing well recently his serve is very good. Of course we cant compare him to Nole.  But Nole had no though oponents in Tokyo and won that tournament very easy.  he will get tested here,  Shapovalov have a chance for a good 1 set!  GL!
 
 

combo pick @ 1.55 with asianodds
De Minaur - Harris / ATP Tokyo / De Minaur +1.5 Sets @ 1.11 / 3-6, 7-6, 0-0
Brady - Keys / WTA Beijing / Keys +1.5 Sets @ 1.16 / 2-6, 0-0
Djokovic - Soeda / ATP Tokyo / Djokovic @ 1.05 / 6-3, 7-5
Barty - Zheng / WTA Beijing / Barty +1.5 Sets @ 1.08 / 6-3, 0-0
Thiem - Zhang / ATP Beijing / Thiem +1.5 Sets @ 1.06 / 6-3, 0-0
not popular in this forum, so let's make it popular. if you don't like it, just ignore my postings  

de minaur is a few levels above the south african. played very good tennis in zhuhai, likes the asian swing. normally i skip keys, but she is very solid the past weeks. brady is not good enough to beat an opponent like this in straight sets imo. djokovic banker, soeda nowhere near. barty h2h 4-0 and too clever for the sneaky way of tennis played by saisai. thiems backhand was clicking vs gasquet and i expect her to do so against the local hero zhang.

Pablo Andujar - Gilles Simon || Over 21.5 @ 1.78 with OLYBET!  
Two very equal players, maybe Andujar has a little bit edge, Simon is not the same that he was several years ago! Pablo beat last 2 times pretty easily,  but i am just think that,Simon could play well when no one is expected!  Over can come also in just two sets!  GL!

Diego Schwartzman (-2.5) to beat Fernando Verdasco 1.78 @ OLYBET!  
The argentinian is a clear fav here, Verdasco never was a great hard surface player,  and considering fact that Diego is in shape and had good US open tourney, he is on a dareto do smth!  H2H 3-0 to Diego!  All fact speaking itself,  and there should be no problem against bad hard player!  GL!

Matteo Berrettini (-2.5) to beat Andy Murray at 2.00 with Pinnacle
Going against Murray once again. Granted, Berrettini shouldn't pose him the same fitness issues as De Minaur, but he's a better player overall and he's been crunching it for a while now. Motivation shouldn't be an issue at all and he shouldn't have too many nerves after facing both Monfils and Nadal with reasonable success in the US Open, so I think Murray is going to suffer another defeat here. He just doesn't seem to be in a competitive shape at the moment.

Wow Bublik really played out of this world 22 aces,  Grigor got great start but then he got broken @ 3:1 into the first set. Damn...  Thats rough though... ? 
Looks like Grigor have to setle in after great US runout... All theese mini details plays a part...  GL everyone!  

Grigor Dimitrov to win ATP CHENGDU @ 3.5 with OLYBET 
I wrote about it previously and will repeat that this man will be top 3 in the world one day! Can not see anyone trouble him here,  China open prize pool is just over 1 million and he will take most of them! GL!

Joao Sousa (-2.5) to beat Lloyd Harris @ 1.78 wit OLYBET 
Another missmatch in my eyes, the lucky looser Lloyd somehow got past serbian Lajovic previously,  pretty easy 6:3 in two (the Lajovic could be in a fixing mood) Clear fav the portuguese,  the world #111 should not be here in 1/4 final...  GL!

Grigor Dimitrov (-3.5) to beat Alexander Bublik @ 1.81 with OLYBET 
Bulgarian is a real deal, and despite being pasive after US open,  i have no worries that will get whistled past Alexander. In my eyes he has everything to become top 5 player in the world.  Bublik had a great service match vs Thompson, but this is the end. To me Grigor will beat,him easy.! Good luck! 

Egor Gerasimov to beat Dennis Shapovalov @ 2.62 with OLYBET
Hi there, my first pick in a while on this forum. My previous account lost for some reason.  SO decided to create new One. Ok folks lets share some picks on this nice forum!  
Ok lets be clear,  the canadian should been out of the tournament already,  but for some reason he scrambless past american qualifier Klahn! In previous match he beat Berankis,  who didn't play well that day and gave Dennis easy time to setle in game...
But in the mean time he will face a world #98 Egor Gerasimov,  he is a decent server,  ho had a nice run recently,  he beat in form Matteo Barrettini in St. Peterburg, and here in China overcame John Isner in three sets thriller,  that tells smth about his form. 
SO my pick is Shapovalov to go home after this game! 
 

Like I've said before this guy is worth keeping an eye on.

I think that she can take a set, but probably not the entire match. My feeling is that Serena is going to make the finals and then fail...yet again.