fizrukas

I agree once again with fizrukas. Bet placed on Shapovalov beeting Humbert 2:0, at 1.83. The rate is too god not to gamblenon it.

Looks like Shapo winning both sets @ 1.83 a great too. But i'll just stick with -3 games. The odds now droped a bit, to 1.6,  can not see Ugo getting any piece of it. 
 

Denis Shapovalov (-3 games) to beat Ugo Humbert || 1.63 @ OLYBET 
Well the odds might be bigger @ other betting companies,  but i just posting my local bookie. 
So previous day was good, lets just hope we can follow up and be succesfull in very interesting month ahead. 
Nothing much to write, Shapo is a way better player and he will give no chance to Ugo. Previous meeting was last year in Lyon (CLAY) where Shapo won 2-6 7-6 6-2 i think.  But this is different story,  where Denis playing far better on hard and will breeze past Ugo, he would stand no chance against very good server, that playing some top notch tennis right now. Frenchmen shouldnt be at this level right now!  GL ? 

Bet365 offered 2.91 to “cash now”, so I locked into the win. £291.00. No bad for the 1/2 hour work. Looking now for other opportunities.

Denis Shapovalov (-3 games) to beat Ugo Humbert || 1.63 @ OLYBET 
Well the odds might be bigger @ other betting companies,  but i just posting my local bookie. 
So previous day was good, lets just hope we can follow up and be succesfull in very interesting month ahead. 
Nothing much to write, Shapo is a way better player and he will give no chance to Ugo. Previous meeting was last year in Lyon (CLAY) where Shapo won 2-6 7-6 6-2 i think.  But this is different story,  where Denis playing far better on hard and will breeze past Ugo, he would stand no chance against very good server, that playing some top notch tennis right now. Frenchmen shouldnt be at this level right now!  GL ? 

Thanks to fizrukas advice, I looked further in to Troicki’s form and determination for this tournament. Taking slso in concideration that he is “flying high” after Serbia’s ATP win, I decided to bet Troicki winning the match at 3.00 wit Bet365. 
I hope that after the rain continuation he completes that task. ?

Viktor Troicki (+1.5 set) to beat Bradley Klahn || 1.82 @ OLYBET 
Despite being very unpredictable player and probably his best times has passed,  he should be prepared for this one. He got great ATP cup run with Nole, and has some momentum right now. Bradley is a type of player that Viktor can if not win, but ar least take a set. That offers very juicy price. Even if Viktor isn't that player we all know, these type of games where you need to qualify for AO pressure comes on every point. SO pressure on Bradley!  GL! ?

Andrey Rublev to beat Sam Querrey || 1.79 @ OLYBET ||
I feel bookies missed here,  despite Sam being a great server,  he is nowhere near onfire russian. And his game is far away from its best,  while Andrey moving up rankings and seems like his game rising with every single game. I believe that Andreys stamina will be key in this game,  because Sam isn't that consistant guy, especially at the start of the season and he needs more resting than lets say 22yy guy. Maybe i am wrong,  but this looks smwhere around 1.5 for Rublev.  GL 

I better keep away then so that I don't curse you! Good luck!

A pick for Australian Open Qual. match

WOLF-KOLAR 2:0 SETS @ 1.8 betfair sportsbook (look for -1.5 sets handicap bet) or 1.75 bet365
Wolf winning a Challenger tournament last week destroying 6 opponents. Played some great tennis. Finished 2019 by winning another Challenger so 11-0 record for him in his last 11 matches.


 

Andrey Rublev to beat Sam Querrey || 1.79 @ OLYBET ||
I feel bookies missed here,  despite Sam being a great server,  he is nowhere near onfire russian. And his game is far away from its best,  while Andrey moving up rankings and seems like his game rising with every single game. I believe that Andreys stamina will be key in this game,  because Sam isn't that consistant guy, especially at the start of the season and he needs more resting than lets say 22yy guy. Maybe i am wrong,  but this looks smwhere around 1.5 for Rublev.  GL 

Jack Draper to beat Denis Istomin at 1.98 with Pinnacle
If anyone knows something about Istomin's off-season, please let me know, but I think he might be considering quitting after that disastrous 2019 that saw him racking up losses against many players that he would simply be crushing in previous years. Jack Draper, on the other hand, is hungry and on an upwards curve. What I've learned over the years is that these youngsters often work extremely hard in the off-season and then convert that into something tangible in these early tournaments, while the veterans tend to take it more slowly. Draper has started his season with a 2-0 win over a guy that Istomin actually lost to in his last 2019 match, so chances are that there's some value in backing the youngster, however inconsistent he may be.

Brentford vs QPR
The West London Derby is scheduled to take place as the early kick-off in the Championship this Saturday at 12:30pm GMT when Brentford host QPR at Griffin Park. The home side appear to be making a real push for the play-offs this season where as the visiting side will be looking to build on their impressive last league performance with another win to move back on up the table.
Brentford have flirted with the possibility of earning promotion to the Premier League for a number of years now but it seems that this season the dream is a lot closer than ever before. Thomas Frank's side are 3rd in the table and even though they're 9 points behind 2nd placed West Brom they're putting the pressure on the automatic promotion contenders. It's now just 1 loss from their last 7 league games for the Bees. The club has won their last 6 games at home in all competitions. The club has also now won their last 4 home league games against QPR including hammering them 3-0 last season. If you want a cheeky anytime scorer bet then Ollie Watkins has scored 6 goals in his last 8 games.
QPR were looking a little deflated just before Christmas. Mark Warburton's side were falling down the table having previously looked like potential play-off contenders. However, a 6-1 thrashing of my Cardiff side has firmly lifted the spirits at the club. The Superhoops are now in 15th place but only 6 points behind the play-off pace. A 5-1 battering of Swansea in the FA Cup 3rd Round meant it's now back-to-back demolitions of their opposition. The only issue being that their away form is inconsistent at best in a run that includes just 1 win from their last 6 away league games.
I've been very impressed with Brentford this season. When Cardiff visited Griffin Park they really could have been 3 or 4 goals up within the opening 10-15 minutes. They play attractive football, they're getting the results to go with it, and I think we're watching a side that are only improving as the season is going on. I think Brentford will take the win in this one in a thrilling encounter.
Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.71 with Marathonbet
Anytime Scorer: Ollie Watkins @ 2.30 with Unibet
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Liverpool - Salzburg || Over 3.5 goals || 1.86 with OLYBET!  
Well, today world is celebrates the day of football. And what a game we have here. Everyone knows the situation, and Liverpool in my eyes is way better team than austrians,  and despite playing at home Salzburg will be feeling pressure also to win. I expect nothing less than a 3 and more goals,  because natural situation allows these goals to come up. Liverpool will show theyr mentality tonight,  you just can not imagine them parko a bus from the beggining.  They just not that team and not the managed that way. And austrians right from the first whistle go after brits.  This should be a cracker,  with Liverpool winning! 
Liverpool to beat Salzburg || 1.75 with OLYBET 
Nothing to add, just read above!  ? 
 
 
 

Valencia vs Chelsea
The Champions League action continues tonight with La Liga side Valencia hosting Premier League club Chelsea in a 5:55pm GMT kick-off at the Mestalla. Group H remains in the balance and the results tonight could have a huge bearing on who qualifies for the last 16 and who will have to console themselves with a venture into the Europa League after finishing third.
Valencia are the team currently in third place but they are there on goal difference. Head coach Albert Celades has done a solid job since coming in for the outgoing Marcelino and he'll be hoping his team can all but seal their spot in the knockout phase with victory here having beaten Chelsea at Stamford Bridge by a 1-0 score-line earlier in the campaign. Valencia have played 9 English sides in European competition at home and have defeated 7 of them. Chelsea and West Brom are the two teams they are yet to beat on their own patch. The Spanish side have won 3 of their last 4 home games in Europe.
Chelsea come into this game knowing a win or draw will put them in a great position to qualify for the next phase with a trip to bottom-placed Lille awaiting them in their final fixture as Valencia must face a clash with group leaders Ajax. The Blues have only lost 1 of their last 11 away games in Spain and could record three consecutive away wins in the Champions League for the first time since 2003/04.
In terms of the head-to-head record, it heavily favours Chelsea. The Blues have won 3, drawn 3, and lost just 1 of their games against Valencia in the Champions League. However, that single win was in their last meeting. Frank Lampard's side come into this game knowing they are undefeated at the Mestalla in the Champions League. The absence of Antonio Rudiger could be an influencing factor but I think a draw is a fair shout here. Not confident enough to back them for the win at the price being offered.
Draw @ 3.85 with Unibet
BTTS @ 1.68 with Marathonbet

Grigor Dimitrov +1.5 set to beat Matteo Berettinni || 1.47 with OLYBET! 
Well, i guess that the odds should be even here,  but the bookies decided to pick Matteo as a fav. This is because of his recent form, he is playing well, but at this state of the year you might think that he can be tired playing so many tournaments. His last performance vs Edmund ust showed that maybe time to lose here. He is playing no other than Grigor who is maybe in better strenght condition. He probably will win here,  but i pick +1.5 set just to be little bit carefull!  GL! 

Henri Laaksonen +1.5 set to beat Jan-Lennard Struf || 1.95 with OLYBET! 
the home guy beat Paire in first round,  and think he has a chance for upset here,  because german is in terible shape, and the swiss with home crowd can take adv of it. 

Daniel Evans to beat Frances Tiafoe at 1.75 with Parions Sport
This will be the third time these two players will compete, after Knoxville in 2015 and Delray Beach this year. Evans won both games in 3 sets. 
Tiafoe was present in Vienna last season and he had not managed to pass the 1st round (defeat against Nishikori, in 3 sets anyway). We must go back to 2017 to see the only participation of the American in this ATP 500 Basel. The unfortunate man had fallen in front of Federer, and I'll let you guess what happened next. Evans, meanwhile, will participate in this tournament for the 1st time in his career.
I find this meeting interesting. We are indeed dealing with two mobile players who know how to release some explosive shots. I expect a close encounter, at least in the beginning. Evans seems slightly superior to his opponent. The Brit has made me a better impression in recent tournaments, whether in Asia or Stockholm. His game is far from being the cleanest, but he knows how to serve well and it could disturb a Tiafoe far from being comfortable to raise it. In addition, Evans can get his points, vary his shots and hit hard in the ball. Again, his opponent is not the most adept of defensive tennis. He needs time to arm his attacks, which the Briton could prevent him from doing.

Henri Laaksonen +1.5 set to beat Jan-Lennard Struf || 1.95 with OLYBET! 
the home guy beat Paire in first round,  and think he has a chance for upset here,  because german is in terible shape, and the swiss with home crowd can take adv of it. 

Grigor Dimitrov +1.5 set to beat Matteo Berettinni || 1.47 with OLYBET! 
Well, i guess that the odds should be even here,  but the bookies decided to pick Matteo as a fav. This is because of his recent form, he is playing well, but at this state of the year you might think that he can be tired playing so many tournaments. His last performance vs Edmund ust showed that maybe time to lose here. He is playing no other than Grigor who is maybe in better strenght condition. He probably will win here,  but i pick +1.5 set just to be little bit carefull!  GL! 

Grigor Dimitrov +1.5 set to beat Matteo Berettinni || 1.47 with OLYBET! 
Well, i guess that the odds should be even here,  but the bookies decided to pick Matteo as a fav. This is because of his recent form, he is playing well, but at this state of the year you might think that he can be tired playing so many tournaments. His last performance vs Edmund ust showed that maybe time to lose here. He is playing no other than Grigor who is maybe in better strenght condition. He probably will win here,  but i pick +1.5 set just to be little bit carefull!  GL! 

Grigor Dimitrov to beat Matteo Berrettini at 2.25 with bet365
The only match between these two was this year in Monte Carlo and Grigor won it.
without any doubt the italian is the better player right now but Grigor still has the momentum from US Open
Berrettini is having amazing season but I think he played too many matches and at the end of the year he seems a little bit tired
also in his last match against Edmund he seemed to have his ankle twisted which could have serious impact on today’s match 
Dimitrov is more experienced than Berrettini and if the italian has physical problems Grigor would use them in his favour.
also dimitrov showed in US Open that he is working on his mental problems and cleared his style of play. i think he is 100% motivated right now and wants to play tennis again 
 
 

Yecong He (+3.5) to beat Fabien Reboul at 2.00 with Pinnacle
I went through the ATP matches twice and couldn't really find anything interesting, so here I am with one Challenger pick instead. I don't claim to have any special knowledge about the players involved, but I tracked He's matches against Koepfer and Wu and he was quite competitive in those against opponents that are way better than Reboul, so I think that he could finally find something to celebrate in this one. He's got a decent serve, he's going to have the conditions on his side here, and Reboul is one of the more inconsistent players out there, he's actually reminded me of Paire on the (admittedly very few) occasions I've seen him play. The Frenchman is certainly the favorite, but I like the handicap against him.

Kirsten Flipkens (+1.5 sets) to beat Belinda Bencic at 1.91 with Pinnacle
Bencic is still sort of alive in the race I guess, but things aren't looking rosy and she isn't looking rosy either, with her recent struggles showing her not being fit physically. Perhaps the season is now well and truly taking its toll and perhaps it was unwise for her to play last week, but the bottom line is that Flipkens played better than her in the first round and that she also has the right playing style for frustrating Bencic unless she's completely on. Chances are that she won't be on for at least a set, so I like the odds for the set handicap, although the outright win is naturally playable as well.