Smiles Tennis

Navarro has been great recently

Heather Watson (+5.5) to beat Olga Danilovic at 1.87 with Pinnacle
John Jeffrey Wolf to beat Hugo Dellien at 1.77 with Unibet
Danilovic won the ITF tournament in Madrid, and the odds for her against Watson are an over-reaction to that. The conditions will be different in Paris, she hasn't had much rest, and Watson is a decent enough opponent, so the handicap line looks a touch high to me here. Meanwhile, Wolf looked surprisingly good in Rome, and Dellien is a bit of a tourist nowadays.

WTA Strasbourg - Davis to beat Tomova - 1.94 with Betfair
Davis beat Tomova a few weeks ago on clay. Tomova did win an 80K on clay last month but since then results have been mixed with losses to Burel and Grabher. Davis lost her first match on clay this year to Sebov but after that has lost to Cirstea twice and Cocciaretto. 
I think this is a case of higher level player Davis against the one with the clay court experience. Davis is in slightly better form in the last few weeks including already beating Tomova where she was 1.71 at the start of the match. 
 

WTA Strasbourg - Navarro to beat Teichmann - 2.12 with Betfair.
No time to write up sorry. 

Have you now stopped even giving bank updates? There's even less to read about now when I check in, absolutely no idea what's happening, just you saying nothing yesterday, two today, no wins, one today, one place etc....
I have to stop checking in I think, good luck going forward. 

Nice work mate. 

Emiliana Arango (-3.5) to beat Himeno Sakatsume at 2.02 with Pinnacle
Arango has played herself into a very solid form, having faced some good opposition, while Sakatsume hasn't really played outside ITFs so far this season, and she hasn't played in Europe yet, either. I'd be quite surprised to see a different outcome than Arango win here, hopefully it's by a decent margin as well!

6 from 11 since the last update (Gonzalez, Beradi, Ben-Yedder, de Tomas, Sanabria and Alvarez)
That makes it 46 winners from 132 bets so far for a profit of 129.81 points with an ROI of 9.84%.
20 points lost on 2 bets posted in error.
Current "target" ROI based on overall sample is 12.58% (now based on 516 bets from 3002 selections).

I backed her at 2.00 about 5 mins before I posted this.  I always try to post my picks just after I've backed them myself. 
Down to 1.82 so nice value. 😁

I've just seen she won by walkover.  My bet will be void then.  I'm assuming that's what you were referring to in your post? And not just the price?

Yeah true, but her form has be terrible so didn't want to jump in too early. I often like to find capable underdogs playing an out of form favourite,  like Rus beating Anisimova the other week.  
Parry has points to defend at the FO though so we'll see what her draw looks like. Can't see her defeating the reigning champ in R1 like last year though lol

Yes I meant a long time ago by the matches she's played this week before today. To bad you came on to late with Parry, she's had quite good prices on her this week.

WTA Paris - Volynets to beat Cornet - 1.94 with Betfair
Cornet who will surely retire soon has been in crap form this year. This is the first time she's reached a third round or further this year and lost 6-0 6-2 to the #156 a couple of weeks ago. 
Volynets is at the other end of her career and on the way up mostly. She reached the SF in Saint Malo at the start of this month and took a set off Cirstea in Rome. Volynets averages over 70% first serves and Cornet has lost 5/6 against players hitting an average of 70% first serves in, also, in four of those five defeats she was the favourite. 
 
 

WTA Paris - Volynets to beat Cornet - 1.94 with Betfair
Cornet who will surely retire soon has been in crap form this year. This is the first time she's reached a third round or further this year and lost 6-0 6-2 to the #156 a couple of weeks ago. 
Volynets is at the other end of her career and on the way up mostly. She reached the SF in Saint Malo at the start of this month and took a set off Cirstea in Rome. Volynets averages over 70% first serves and Cornet has lost 5/6 against players hitting an average of 70% first serves in, also, in four of those five defeats she was the favourite. 
 
 

WTA Paris - Volynets to beat Cornet - 1.94 with Betfair
Cornet who will surely retire soon has been in crap form this year. This is the first time she's reached a third round or further this year and lost 6-0 6-2 to the #156 a couple of weeks ago. 
Volynets is at the other end of her career and on the way up mostly. She reached the SF in Saint Malo at the start of this month and took a set off Cirstea in Rome. Volynets averages over 70% first serves and Cornet has lost 5/6 against players hitting an average of 70% first serves in, also, in four of those five defeats she was the favourite. 
 
 

Got lucky with this one 😂

WTA Florence - Paolini to beat Yastremska - 2.24 with Betfair
Both players don't favour clay but Paolini leads the h2h 4-1 (none on clay) and playing at home. Paolini pushed Rybakina for a close first set before losing so that would have given her confidence. 
Yastremska won 6-3 7-5 against the number 296 wild card entry and still gave up 8 break points and with her opponent winning 59% first serve points and just 36% second serve points, Yastremska could only win 4/9 break points herself. 
I think Paolini is worth a shot at these odds. 

Got lucky with this one 😂

I'd say that Paolini certainly likes clay way more than Yastremska!

WTA Florence - Paolini to beat Yastremska - 2.24 with Betfair
Both players don't favour clay but Paolini leads the h2h 4-1 (none on clay) and playing at home. Paolini pushed Rybakina for a close first set before losing so that would have given her confidence. 
Yastremska won 6-3 7-5 against the number 296 wild card entry and still gave up 8 break points and with her opponent winning 59% first serve points and just 36% second serve points, Yastremska could only win 4/9 break points herself. 
I think Paolini is worth a shot at these odds. 

WTA Florence - Paolini to beat Yastremska - 2.24 with Betfair
Both players don't favour clay but Paolini leads the h2h 4-1 (none on clay) and playing at home. Paolini pushed Rybakina for a close first set before losing so that would have given her confidence. 
Yastremska won 6-3 7-5 against the number 296 wild card entry and still gave up 8 break points and with her opponent winning 59% first serve points and just 36% second serve points, Yastremska could only win 4/9 break points herself. 
I think Paolini is worth a shot at these odds. 

WTA Rome Rybakina to beat Swiatek 5.1 with Betfair 
 
Swiatek should win on her fave surface but 5.1 is too big for Rybakina even though its on clay. 

WTA Rome - Ostapenko to beat Badosa - 2.6 with Spreadex
This one is on Ostapenko's racket. She can fire everything and beat everyone or throw it all away. Badosa has improved recently but Penko has been firing more than not this week and 2.6 looks a good price for a player who is 6-7 as underdog since the start of last year (2-2 on clay).

WTA Rome - Ostapenko to beat Badosa - 2.6 with Spreadex
This one is on Ostapenko's racket. She can fire everything and beat everyone or throw it all away. Badosa has improved recently but Penko has been firing more than not this week and 2.6 looks a good price for a player who is 6-7 as underdog since the start of last year (2-2 on clay).