PercyP

Week 12 Picks
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11.
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times.
5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 12 Picks
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11.
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times.
5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 12 Picks
1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT
The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective.
2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT
The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11.
3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11
Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5.
 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11
Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times.
5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 11 Results
The week 11 bet was over when Joe Burrow picked up a season ending injury when giving the Bengals a 10-7 lead against the Ravens. Without Burrow in the second half the Ravens were able to win at their leisure. Cowboys and Browns win but the Lions lost ATS and the Titans played like a team that has given up for the season.
Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 55 = W28 D4 L23 – staked 330.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +450.09 points
49Ers, Dolphins, Bills, Commanders and Chargers all appear nailed on this week according to the pundits. However this is the NFL and surprises do and will happen. I would not be surprised to see 2+ upsets ATS, so I have purposefully avoided these games. I was happy to avoid the three upsets involving the Dolphins, Commanders and Chargers.
1. Bengals to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11 – THURSDAY NIGHT = Burrow injury scuppers bet. Ravens win 34-20, - LOST
Defeat against the Texans last week, makes this a must win game for the Bengals. Injuries to key players in the Ravens line up helps the Bengals cause. Injury to Joe Burrow puts paid to the Bengals chances.
2. Titans to win ATS +7.0 points @ 10/11 = Titans poor losing 34-14 - LOST
The Titans are an extremely physical team. Just the type of team Trevor Lawrence hates to play. It is time for Derrick Henry to show his talent. What shocking performance from the Titans. Derrick Henry is a mere shadow of his former self. Are they losing to get a top draft pick?
3. Dallas Cowboys to win ATS -10.5 points @ 10/11 = Cowboys easy win 33-10 - WON
Dallas has a habit of beating up on bad teams and the Panthers are bad (1-8).  Dallas should win big. They did, the Panthers are bad.
4. Browns to win ATS -1.0 points @ 10/11 = Browns win 13-10 - WON
Despite winning for me last week, the Steelers are by far the luckiest team in the NFl.  However their best form comes at home. The Browns also excel at home (4-1), with their one loss coming against the Ravens when their QB was injured. The Steelers luck will run out this week. Browns win an ugly game.
5. Lions to win ATS -7.5 points @ 10/11 = Lions won by 5 (31-26) - LOST
Even with Justin Fields back, I cannot see how the Bears keep this close. The Lions are better in all positions. Jared Goff the Lions QB is usually “Mr reliable” but was terrible for most of the game giving away 3 turnovers. But in the final four minutes he was able to lead the Lions to victory taking the Lions down the field to score two touchdowns. Pure class by Goff.

Good job winners! Thanks avongirl once more for everything...

Well done all winners! As always a big thanks to @avongirl for all the hard work 🙂

thanks @avongirl. much appreciated for running comp.👏 congrats to all prize winners

Well done all winners! Thanks Avongirl for running the competition!

Well done Harry. Chase delivers the goods.

Week 11 Picks
49Ers, Dolphins, Bills, Commanders and Chargers all appear nailed on this week according to the pundits. However this is the NFL and surprises do and will happen. I would not be surprised to see 2+ upsets ATS, so I have purposefully avoided these games.
1. Bengals to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11 – THURSDAY NIGHT
Defeat against the Texans last week, makes this a must win game for the Bengals. Injuries to key players in the Ravens line up helps the Bengals cause.
2. Titans to win ATS +7.0 points @ 10/11
The Titans are an extremely physical team. Just the type of team Trevor Lawrence hates to play. It is time for Derrick Henry to show his talent.
3. Dallas Cowboys to win ATS -10.5 points @ 10/11
Dallas has a habit of beating up on bad teams and the Panthers are bad (1-8).  Dallas should win big.
4. Browns to win ATS -1.0 points @ 10/11
Despite winning for me last week, the Steelers are by far the luckiest team in the NFl.  However their best form comes at home. The Browns also excel at home (4-1), with their one loss coming against the Ravens when their QB was injured. The Steelers luck will run out this week.
5. Lions to win ATS -7.5 points @ 10/11
Even with Justin Fields back, I cannot see how the Bears keep this close. The Lions are better in all positions.

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Week 11 Picks
49Ers, Dolphins, Bills, Commanders and Chargers all appear nailed on this week according to the pundits. However this is the NFL and surprises do and will happen. I would not be surprised to see 2+ upsets ATS, so I have purposefully avoided these games.
1. Bengals to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11 – THURSDAY NIGHT
Defeat against the Texans last week, makes this a must win game for the Bengals. Injuries to key players in the Ravens line up helps the Bengals cause.
2. Titans to win ATS +7.0 points @ 10/11
The Titans are an extremely physical team. Just the type of team Trevor Lawrence hates to play. It is time for Derrick Henry to show his talent.
3. Dallas Cowboys to win ATS -10.5 points @ 10/11
Dallas has a habit of beating up on bad teams and the Panthers are bad (1-8).  Dallas should win big.
4. Browns to win ATS -1.0 points @ 10/11
Despite winning for me last week, the Steelers are by far the luckiest team in the NFl.  However their best form comes at home. The Browns also excel at home (4-1), with their one loss coming against the Ravens when their QB was injured. The Steelers luck will run out this week.
5. Lions to win ATS -7.5 points @ 10/11
Even with Justin Fields back, I cannot see how the Bears keep this close. The Lions are better in all positions.

Week 10 Results
Week 10 was a fairly average week with two winners (49Ers and Steelers), one draw (Lions) and two losers (Bengals and Saints).
Picks 5 Won 2 Drew 1 Lost 2, Staked 30 points, Returned 3.50 points for a loss of 26.50 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 50 = W26 D4 L20 – staked 300.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +480.09 points
1. 49Ers ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11 - 49Ers win easily 34-3. WON
 After week 5 the 49Ers were 5-0 and top of most power rankings. With players due back after a break week, I expect to see a rejuvenated 49Ers team. 49Ers back to form. With their best players available the 49Ers appear bound for the Super Bowl.
2. Lions to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11 – Lions win 41-38. DRAW
The Lions continue to excel. The Chargers are one dimensional and struggled to beat the Jets. What a game. Lions nearly gave the game away in the final quarter.
3. Steelers to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6 – Steelers win by four 23-19. WON
The Steelers are hard to beat. I can’t image Jordan Love having a comfortable time in Pittsburg. Somehow the Steelers eek out a win.
 4. Bengals to win ATS -7.0 points @ 1/1 – Bengals come a cropper losing 27-30. LOST
Last week rookie QB C.J.Stroud had a record breaking performance. It will be difficult for him to repeat particularly in the “Jungle”. Joe Burrow will show who is, the elite QB. Rookie outshines Burrow. I underestimated the kid.
5. Saints to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6 – Vikings win 27-19. LOST
Vikings stand in QB Joshua Dobbs had a fairy tale debut beating the Falcons. He will not find it so easy against the Saints. The fairy tale continues.

Week 10 Results
Week 10 was a fairly average week with two winners (49Ers and Steelers), one draw (Lions) and two losers (Bengals and Saints).
Picks 5 Won 2 Drew 1 Lost 2, Staked 30 points, Returned 3.50 points for a loss of 26.50 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 50 = W26 D4 L20 – staked 300.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +480.09 points
1. 49Ers ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11 - 49Ers win easily 34-3. WON
 After week 5 the 49Ers were 5-0 and top of most power rankings. With players due back after a break week, I expect to see a rejuvenated 49Ers team. 49Ers back to form. With their best players available the 49Ers appear bound for the Super Bowl.
2. Lions to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11 – Lions win 41-38. DRAW
The Lions continue to excel. The Chargers are one dimensional and struggled to beat the Jets. What a game. Lions nearly gave the game away in the final quarter.
3. Steelers to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6 – Steelers win by four 23-19. WON
The Steelers are hard to beat. I can’t image Jordan Love having a comfortable time in Pittsburg. Somehow the Steelers eek out a win.
 4. Bengals to win ATS -7.0 points @ 1/1 – Bengals come a cropper losing 27-30. LOST
Last week rookie QB C.J.Stroud had a record breaking performance. It will be difficult for him to repeat particularly in the “Jungle”. Joe Burrow will show who is, the elite QB. Rookie outshines Burrow. I underestimated the kid.
5. Saints to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6 – Vikings win 27-19. LOST
Vikings stand in QB Joshua Dobbs had a fairy tale debut beating the Falcons. He will not find it so easy against the Saints. The fairy tale continues.

As is often the way in the final week we finish the season with our lowest number of weekly wins, only 13, and biggest overall loss, as the gamblers go big and the risk averse go small odds.  But this doesn't detract from what has been a record breaking season!  Every Division bar one made a substantial profit overall and the losing Division only made a small loss.  And it wasn't just thanks to one or two big individual winners, a fabulous 43 players finished in profit or breakeven and 96 of 108 finishers had at least one winning bet.
At the top of the overall league is first season player @HERE who has been magnificent with 8 wins and has staked big but wisely with their bank never being in danger of going bust.   Level with 8 wins, and ahead for much of the way, is @corky.  These 2 will share the new prize for most number of wins over the season.   
A long way behind our winner, but with totals over £600 which would have won in some previous seasons, are @ivailobg, @Cuko and @Data with less than £20 between them, followed by @thebestthere also finishing over £500.
Our winner for the highest odds win is @Cuko with the 38.628 treble (5.5*2.62*2.75) in week 9.
Everyone who completed will be allocated a new Division based on finishing order, for the season to start after the International Break and I'll invite those who busted 'all in' back into Division 6 along with any new or rejoining players. 
Overall table here and Division winners below.  Full details of how to claim your prize shortly...

Great wins this round,well done to all prize winners 
Well done to @avongirl for all the admin

Well that was a lot easier than I thought it would be - was anyone else trying? 😎😈🤣
I'm looking forward to coming bottom next time for that! ⬆️
Many thanks to @avongirl for the time and effort (especially adding up my scores! 🤣🤣).
#beginnersluck

Agree, grateful to @avongirl for running all this, what must be a daunting task.
Sensational total @HERE!
Admins, what has been the highest ever top score?

Congrats to all the winners!! and thanks to @avongirl your time and effort in running this comp. much appreciated.

Aldershot v Kidderminster I did have a look at Aldershot being a possible upset last week, but left it alone in the end so whilst I wasn't completely surprised that they did beat Swindon I certainly wasn't expecting them to score 7. Some of the defending left a lot to be desired though and Aldershot took the chances that came their way. Back to league action and I am surprised they aren't odds on for this. They are in the play-offs, have only lost once at home and are playing the side currently bottom of the table. Aldershot were a bit disappointing in their last league game against Dorking, but they have been in very good form otherwise and they should have too much for Kidderminster.   Boston v Hereford I am slightly worried about Hereford's away from and that Boston's home form is much better than their away form, but Hereford are doing much better overall at the moment and I think a price of over 2/1 offers value. They gave it a good go against Gillingham in the FA Cup last week, especially in the 2nd half, and they did win their last away game at Chorley. Overall they have only lost once in their last 6 league games and that was at Alfreton who are 4th. Like I say Boston have some good results at home, but they did lost to Banbury, only beat Gloucester 1-0 and I watched the 1-1 draw against Scunthorpe and Scunthorpe put in a shocking performance that night. That leads me to think that if Hereford play well they will come out on top and are certainly the value play.   Scunthorpe v Gloucester City City are terrible this season and I am pretty much resigned to the fact we will be relegated already. We've changed the manager and seen little improvement and I just don't see where the performances to keep us up are going to come from. What we don't need is a trip to a Scunthorpe side who have the best team in the divison and one that have really shown their dominance at home. Apart from the 3-0 defeat against Buxton (the replayed game and came at a time where they might have gone out of business) they have been superb. They put 3 past Southport, 4 past Darlington and Scarborough and 6 past Spennymoor and Bishops Stortford in their last 2 home games. I just don't see how we can keep them out and given we have only scored 13 goals I don't how we score either. Odds against on the -1 looks a huge price and really it should be another 3/4 goals at least.   Eastbourne v Braintree On the face of it Braintree's away form doesn't look great given they have only won once, but the 3 losses on their travels have come at Taunton, Torquay and Yeovil which are all pretty tough assignments and they have got a draw at 2nd place Aveley. The loss at Yeovil is their only defeat in their last 10 league games and they are doing really well at the moment having put 4 past Havant and St Albans in their last two games. Eastbourne are having a shocking season given they invested a fair bit of money and went full time. It has been a bit of a failure and every chance they will be in a relegation battle all season. I'd make Braintree slight favourites here.   Bradford Park Avenue v Matlock (Northern Premier) Really keen on Matlock here whose season has turned around on the signing of Jonathon Margetts and he scored all 4 goals as they beat Radcliffe 4-0 last week having scored both goals in their 2-0 win against Basford the Tuesday before. Bradford have not done well since being relegated and have only won 3 league games all season. They finally sacked the manager this week as well. I can't believe that Margetts won't add to his tally here.   Folkestone v Billericay (Isthmian Premier) I do think Billericay will find it hard to catch Hornchurch who have looked really good all season, but they have got themselves up to 2nd place and are performing much better than they were. They have won 4 of their last 5 including beating Chatham 2-0 on Tuesday night. The head to a Folkestone side who have lost their last 3 games 3-0 (Kingstonian), 4-2 (Hornchurch) and 3-1 (Carshalton). Odds against looks a decent bet to me.
Prices from Thursday 9pm   Aldershot 3pts @ 5/4 with Bet365 (take up to 5/6) Hereford 1pt @ 11/5 with Skybet and Bet365 (take up to 7/4) Scunthorpe -1 3pts @ 21/20 with Skybet (take up to 4/5) Braintree 1pt @ 7/4 with William Hill and Betfred (take up to 11/8) Matlock 2pts @ 6/5 with Betfred, Skybet and Bet365 (take up to 5/6) Billericay 3pts @ 23/20 with Skybet, Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to 4/5)  

Week 10 Picks
1. 49Ers ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11
After week 5 the 49Ers were 5-0 and top of most power rankings. Injuries to Debo Samuels, Christian McCaffrey and others, has seen the 49Er’s stutter recently. With players due back after a break week, I expect to see a rejuvenated 49Ers team.
2. Lions to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11
The Lions continue to excel. The Chargers are one dimensional and struggled to beat the Jets. 
3. Steelers to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
The Steelers are hard to beat. I can’t image Jordan Love having a comfortable time in Pittsburg.
 4. Bengals to win ATS -7.0 points @ 1/1
Last week rookie QB C.J.Stroud had a record breaking performance. It will be difficult for him to repeat particularly in the “Jungle”. Joe Burrow will show who is, the elite QB.
5. Saints to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6
Vikings stand in QB Joshua Dobbs had a fairy tale debut beating the Falcons. He will not find it so easy against the Saints.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 10 Picks
1. 49Ers ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11
After week 5 the 49Ers were 5-0 and top of most power rankings. Injuries to Debo Samuels, Christian McCaffrey and others, has seen the 49Er’s stutter recently. With players due back after a break week, I expect to see a rejuvenated 49Ers team.
2. Lions to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11
The Lions continue to excel. The Chargers are one dimensional and struggled to beat the Jets. 
3. Steelers to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6
The Steelers are hard to beat. I can’t image Jordan Love having a comfortable time in Pittsburg.
 4. Bengals to win ATS -7.0 points @ 1/1
Last week rookie QB C.J.Stroud had a record breaking performance. It will be difficult for him to repeat particularly in the “Jungle”. Joe Burrow will show who is, the elite QB.
5. Saints to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6
Vikings stand in QB Joshua Dobbs had a fairy tale debut beating the Falcons. He will not find it so easy against the Saints.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

Week 9 Results
Close but no cigar it could have been oh so different. Browns (27-0) and Raiders (30-6) easily beat the spread. The Saints won by seven but this could easily have been ten. In the final minutes a Saints field goal attempt came back off the upright. Tampa Bay just lost to Houston Bay 39-37, with C.J. Stroud, throwing TD pass with just six seconds left to seal the win. Finally, The Patriots led 17-10 before succumbing to a 17-20 defeat. 
Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 45 = W24 D3 L18 - staked 270.00 points – returned 776.59 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +506.59 points
1. New England Patriots to win ATS -3.5 points @ Evens - Patriots lose 20-17 = LOST
The Patriots have a 2-6 record but these losses have been against above average teams (Dolphins (twice), Eagles, Saints and Cowboys). Washington has recently sold their best two players and their young QB has been sacked 40 times already this season. The Patriots defence will feast. Even when the Patriots offense has been struggling, the defence has usually still been good, but not in this game.
2. Browns to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11 - Browns win 27-0 = WON
The tough Browns team are at home in the cold against a poor Arizona Cardinals team. The Cardinals have one of the worst defences in the NFL. Easy win, The Browns surrendered just 58 yards.
 3. Las Vegas Raiders to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11 – Raiders win 30-6 = WON
Week 7 results I wrote:
“The Raiders have some quality players including Davante Adams, Maxx Crosby, Jacobi Meyers, Roberts Spillane and Chandler Jones. If they play to their best they can make the playoffs. Raiders had an extremely poor performance. They are not playing for this manager”.
They have now sacked their manager and I am expecting these quality players to be fully motivated. As expected, the Raiders looked like a completely different team.
4. Saints to win ATS -8.5 points @ 10/11 – Saints only win by seven = LOST
The Saints won for us last week, so I will roll with them again at home against the Bears. Saints won a game they should have won by double digits. Were they looking ahead and saving themselves for the Vikings game?
 
5. Tampa Bay Bucs to win 5/4 Moneyline – Tampa lose 37-39 in a close one. = LOST
The Bucs have lost their last three games however these were against the Bills, Falcons and Lions, so no disgrace there. The Texans started the season well thanks to great plays by rookie QB C.J.Stroud. However with film now available teams are beginning to work him out. Tampa did not watch the films.  He broke the NFL rookie record by throwing for 470 yards. He also threw five TD passes.

Week 9 Results
Close but no cigar it could have been oh so different. Browns (27-0) and Raiders (30-6) easily beat the spread. The Saints won by seven but this could easily have been ten. In the final minutes a Saints field goal attempt came back off the upright. Tampa Bay just lost to Houston Bay 39-37, with C.J. Stroud, throwing TD pass with just six seconds left to seal the win. Finally, The Patriots led 17-10 before succumbing to a 17-20 defeat. 
Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 45 = W24 D3 L18 - staked 270.00 points – returned 776.59 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +506.59 points
1. New England Patriots to win ATS -3.5 points @ Evens - Patriots lose 20-17 = LOST
The Patriots have a 2-6 record but these losses have been against above average teams (Dolphins (twice), Eagles, Saints and Cowboys). Washington has recently sold their best two players and their young QB has been sacked 40 times already this season. The Patriots defence will feast. Even when the Patriots offense has been struggling, the defence has usually still been good, but not in this game.
2. Browns to win ATS -8.0 points @ 10/11 - Browns win 27-0 = WON
The tough Browns team are at home in the cold against a poor Arizona Cardinals team. The Cardinals have one of the worst defences in the NFL. Easy win, The Browns surrendered just 58 yards.
 3. Las Vegas Raiders to win ATS -1.5 points @ 10/11 – Raiders win 30-6 = WON
Week 7 results I wrote:
“The Raiders have some quality players including Davante Adams, Maxx Crosby, Jacobi Meyers, Roberts Spillane and Chandler Jones. If they play to their best they can make the playoffs. Raiders had an extremely poor performance. They are not playing for this manager”.
They have now sacked their manager and I am expecting these quality players to be fully motivated. As expected, the Raiders looked like a completely different team.
4. Saints to win ATS -8.5 points @ 10/11 – Saints only win by seven = LOST
The Saints won for us last week, so I will roll with them again at home against the Bears. Saints won a game they should have won by double digits. Were they looking ahead and saving themselves for the Vikings game?
 
5. Tampa Bay Bucs to win 5/4 Moneyline – Tampa lose 37-39 in a close one. = LOST
The Bucs have lost their last three games however these were against the Bills, Falcons and Lions, so no disgrace there. The Texans started the season well thanks to great plays by rookie QB C.J.Stroud. However with film now available teams are beginning to work him out. Tampa did not watch the films.  He broke the NFL rookie record by throwing for 470 yards. He also threw five TD passes.

4.30 Kempton - Breakwater = E.way 28/1 Paddypower