South_African_Punter

Phenomenal serving performance from Konta so far.

Fabio Fognini to beat Alexander Zverev at 1.85 with BetVictor
While it might be strange to have Fognini as the favourite here from a certain point of view, I think it's absolutely justified, as Zverev hasn't been good at all recently. Should've been 3-0 against Millman, was 3-2. Should've been 3-0 against Lajovic, was 3-2. Fognini can go nuts, of course, but seeing Zverev on the other side of the net should provide him with enough motivation and he looked surprisingly solid against RBA in crucial moments. Given all that, I think that it's not hard to side with the Italian in this one.

Stan Wawrinka to beat (-1,5 Sets) Tsitsipas at 2.90 with 888
I add this one. Wawrinka had 2 hard opponents in his last 2 matches here (Garín and Dimitrov) but he has solved them in straight sets. Tsitsipas is in a good form but i don't like what i saw from him against a fatigued Krajinovic. I saw Tsitsipas very nervous in a lot of parts of that match. Krajinovic could have won the 4 set and then that could have turned in a 50-50 match in the final set. Stan had a tougher opponent in his last match but the sensations were absolutely opposite, he was calm during all the match, playing very well the most important points of the match (even he win the final tiebreak when he was losing it 5-2). 

Hey guys, I've been following this forum for quite some time. I'd like to make some contributions as well. 
Martic vs Kanepi
Martic seems to be in top form in 2019 clay court season. She spent around 3.5 hours on court in 3 matches while Kanepi spent 6 hours. This is Martic's match to take. 
Nishikori vs Paire
Main reason I'm taking Kei is because Paire should be exhausted. He was in Lyon last week and played 9 singles and 4 doubles match in a matter of 13 days. This must take its toll on him. Nishikori seemed a bit shaky in his last match against Djere but if Paire can't cut this match short, it will favor the japanese imo. 
Parlay @ 2.09
 

Siniakova to beat Keys 2,44 lokal bookie
Apparently she is on beast mode now.My bookie’s odds are lower than 365 and that is something also.Gonna put some bets on her. GL.

It is hard to see any player like Federer again. Mother nature created such a tennis genius only once. I pray to see him in courts till the age of 45. No one either from young generation or from older are even near to his genius. 

Stan Wawrinka to beat (-4,5) Grigor Dimitrov at 1.80 with bet365
Stan is playing amazing now. He absolutely destroyed Garin (6-1, 6-4, 6-0), who was playing his best tennis right now, winning in Munich just 1 month ago. Dimitrov has played 5 sets in his 2 matches here and the sensations were not good. Looks like he has some kind of problems in his shoulder.

Carreno-Busta (-2.5 games) to beat Paire at 1.80 with SportingBet
Although PCB has not had a stellar season thus far, he seems to coming back to form, winning both of his French Open matches in straight sets. On the other hand, Paire has had two hard matches, especially the 5 set thriller against Pierre Herbert. He also played a full week in Lyon last week, so fatigue will likely play a part in this fixture. Yes Paire did beat Carreno-Busta in Barcelona earlier this year on clay, but PCB was just returning from injury and he still took a set off Paire so I'm unsure how much we can read into that result.

 

Carreno-Busta (-2.5 games) to beat Paire at 1.80 with SportingBet
Although PCB has not had a stellar season thus far, he seems to coming back to form, winning both of his French Open matches in straight sets. On the other hand, Paire has had two hard matches, especially the 5 set thriller against Pierre Herbert. He also played a full week in Lyon last week, so fatigue will likely play a part in this fixture. Yes Paire did beat Carreno-Busta in Barcelona earlier this year on clay, but PCB was just returning from injury and he still took a set off Paire so I'm unsure how much we can read into that result.

 

S.Tsitsipas (-5.5 games) to beat F.Krajinovic @1.65 with Soocerbet (local bookie)

Tsitsipas is in excellent shape. He won the first two matches relatively easily while Krajinovic had to play two marathon-matches. The second one (vs Baena) was especialy tough. Today Filip withdrew from doubles as a precautionary measure. He's not injured,but he is tired. Also,take note that Filip doesn't like to play against players of Tsitsipas profile.

Rafa is going to have trouble sleeping tonight, Mahut is the favourite for the title .

Londero to beat Gasquet - 1.85 with SportingBet

Can't read too much into Gasquet's win over Zverev given Zverev's form. Londero demolished Basilashvili and in general he's having a stellar season. It's likely that Gasquet will run out of the gas the longer the game goes on.

Londero to beat Gasquet - 1.85 with SportingBet

Can't read too much into Gasquet's win over Zverev given Zverev's form. Londero demolished Basilashvili and in general he's having a stellar season. It's likely that Gasquet will run out of the gas the longer the game goes on.

Londero to beat Gasquet - 1.85 with SportingBet

Can't read too much into Gasquet's win over Zverev given Zverev's form. Londero demolished Basilashvili and in general he's having a stellar season. It's likely that Gasquet will run out of the gas the longer the game goes on.

Londero to beat Gasquet - 1.85 with SportingBet

Can't read too much into Gasquet's win over Zverev given Zverev's form. Londero demolished Basilashvili and in general he's having a stellar season. It's likely that Gasquet will run out of the gas the longer the game goes on.

Hercog to beat Brady 1.79 with Betfair
As already mentioned, Hercog has only lost to better players on clay recently. She plays more on the dirt with 56% specialisation on clay compared to Brady who plays only 25% of her matches on clay. 
Brady hasn't won two matches in a row on clay since April last year and even then two of the players she beat (winning 3 in a row) were ranked below #300. She had trouble against Jorovic. 
She hasn't won two matches in a row on clay against top 300 opponents for over 3 years. 
Hercog has 20 titles, all on clay. Brady has 4 titles with 1 on clay. Looking at the surface ranking, Hercog is #30 with Brady at #193. 
Hercog is great value here. 

Cristian Garin to beat Stan Wawrinka at 2.55 with Unibet
I don't find Stan in any position to beat a player like Christian who's playing lights out nowadays on the clay.

Jordan Thompson to beat Ivo Karlovic at 1.76 with Pinnacle
Beating Fokina is certainly a bigger achievement than beating the already half-retired Lopez, so I'm going to side with Thompson here. He might not be a clay court specialist, but the surface should nonetheless suit him a bit more and Karlovic is bound to get exposed at least every now and then. Feliciano was a great draw for him in the first round, but this should be much tougher now that he has to face someone who can actually defend.

Finally got the set. Thanks @CzechPunter for the tip.

Andreescu to bt Bouzkova - 1.66 Betfair. 
In play at 1 set all. Andreescu took a while to find her shots and still hit a shit load of winners in the first set which she lost. She picked it up in the second and should be a bit of value to take this. 
Bouzkova is 2-9 in main draw matches and even lost in straight sets in qualifying as a 1.3 fave to Samsonova who before the FO had lost five straight matches to players all ranked below #150 and some down lower than #350. 
 
 

@four-leaf isn't Simon somewhat injured? I think I read that somewhere.

Leonardo Mayer to beat Jiri Vesely at 1.65 with 888sport
Leonardo owns a 5-1 record in this matchup having won 3 of them on clay and once in 5 sets in Roland Garros. I think Leo will take this again, Jiri isn't really good enough to compete at top 100 level right now. He struggles in challengers nowadays.

@Hermes

I'd take the safer bet of Millman winning a set. Millman, despite having little pedigree on clay, has impressed me this year on clay, with some good performances. However, I think Sascha will have gained a lot of confidence this past week in Geneva and he will have momentum on his side.

I think Del Potro will win easily - Jarry will be nervous (as he was yesterday) and JMDP greatly impressed me nearly beating Djokovic in the Rome Masters, despite it being only his 2nd or 3rd match back from injury.

Yes, in South Africa, we only have hard courts, so I would take Rosol over Harris as well.

 

@Hermes

I'd take the safer bet of Millman winning a set. Millman, despite having little pedigree on clay, has impressed me this year on clay, with some good performances. However, I think Sascha will have gained a lot of confidence this past week in Geneva and he will have momentum on his side.

I think Del Potro will win easily - Jarry will be nervous (as he was yesterday) and JMDP greatly impressed me nearly beating Djokovic in the Rome Masters, despite it being only his 2nd or 3rd match back from injury.

Yes, in South Africa, we only have hard courts, so I would take Rosol over Harris as well.

 

Taylor Fritz to beat Richard Gasquet at 1.73 with Ladbrokes
Gasquet doesn't look healthy at all to me, big issues against Janvier as well, while Fritz has been out-playing strong opposition on clay recently. You obviously don't know the motivations of the players right before the French Open, but Gasquet probably can't risk anything fitness-wise if he wants to show up at RG.