MCLARKE

A bit bigger than I would like, but its a selection
Hungry Tiger 4.8 £2.00 £7.60 2.30 HEXHAM Unplaced

I could say I meant it as in "a glass, used especially for some alcoholic drinks, with a wide, shallow bowl (= the round part that holds the drink) and a stem (= a thin vertical part between the base and the bowl)" but I just missed the "l" out. That's the perils of autocorrect when you type something that is actually a word. I don't necessarily proofread everything I post on here to the hilt, you could probably find lots of missuses of "there" and "their" if you were so inclined.
 
At least it seems you're wrong on that point though I'll admit I wasn't certain. A quick google suggests both goal and tryscorer are fine as one word even if autocorrect tends to object to them. I type/text them that often and had taken to the one word approach for convenience without ever checking if it was entirely correct but it seems it is.

Going to give this a live run for 50 bets to see if there is any mileage in it. Bookies now have screwed me with only paying 20% on the 16+ handicaps instead of 25%   Ok they give your more places but the value just seemed to have gone now
So going to try a little laying method on these extra places - probably a bag of **** but he who dares.
Will start today. BIG fingers crossed
 

Get the computer back out 👀🤣

I think Pontefract is virtually unraceable ...hence the called off race and non runners ....fight another day ...some fab racing the coming  weekend 😎 

Interesting that it’s only described as soft and not heavy. Although with all the controversy about the going recently, it’s anyone’s guess!  

Wow...the fun lasted long 😂 

222 pont 
Madame Christine has been flagged by the computer as a potential value bet ......has no sparkling form as such and no recent run so literally could do anything today ....but will hill offering 11/1 so that's enough for a speculative 2pt Ew for a bit of fun on a quiet day 😄 

I spent ages looking at trainer form but couldn't find any angle that gave me an edge
Interesting about the first race , I'll include this as one of the areas to investigate with my speed figures
Again the temperature angle is interesting. Not sure if I can incorporate the weather into my analysis ! I have noticed though that some of my successful winners based on speed figures seemed to achieve their speed figure at a similar time of year. That could be an interesting angle.
Market movers are also interesting. I always suspect the worse when I see my horse has drifted and the backed horses always seem to win, again anecdotal rater than based on actual data.

There has been debate in the Speed Ratings thread about the importance of going and distance. This has raised the question about which are the most important variables to consider when making selections. I will start with my list in order of importance. Please fell free to comment or add your own lists.
Odds (both current race and previous race, exclude long odds)
Days since last run (higher preferred)
Race distance v distance of previous races
Finishing position of previous runs (not including last run)
Draw (this list is for flat racing only)
Number of runs
Number of runs (current season)
Going
Weight
Class movement
Country horse bred in
Race distance
Claiming jockey
Winning / losing distance of last race
Turf / AW
Weight v previous run
Official Rating
Finish position last run
Same / different jockey
Same / different course
Number of runners in previous race
Sex of horse
Age
Previous course
Handicap / non handicap
Official rating v last run
Official rating v last winning run
Maiden / non maiden
Course winner
Races since last win
Month
Course
Distance winner
Beaten favourite
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Indeed, it is best to stick to the KISS system, I never use more than 5 criteria in any system that I use
I did find today's selection of Giselles Izzy strange, 30 races over 6 or 7 furlongs with reasonable success but today dropped to 5 furlongs, maybe trying to get the handicap mark down

You could well be right, distance could be a key factor. It may well be that I only use a speed figure if it was produced over the same distance and going. 
I've thought I've discovered many gold mines over the years but they ultimately only produced a few small nuggets.

Trainer form maybe, always something I think I should pay more attention to!
What the actual ground is compared to the going description i.e working your ratings out after the time of first race is known. Saw someone say recently that they never bet on the first race for this reason. 
Temperature, there must be horses out there that only perform when it's warm. Not seen much about this but it would make sense.
Market mover? Drifted like a barge or smashed in.

I like to keep things simple !
I mainly look at handicaps and at the following .........
class movement - obviously dropping in class preferred, this related to handicap marks
trip -  D win or some reason why a horse might improve for a new trip
going
track configuration (particularly uphill finishes, straight/bend)
I look at the last 3 as a combined factor trip/track/going ......... will the horse be effective at this trip on this track on today's going
that's mainly it
I will check trainer form to see if the yard is horribly out of form or banging winners in left, right and centre
and draw if the trip/track/going favours one side
Days since run I might look at to see how a horse goes after a break (this combined with trainer form)
 
these last few things mainly to see if there's any reason to abandon a selection I've made by looking at class and trip/track/going

Made me laugh .....my computer uses 17 of your list as I worked down so they must all have a big effect ...lol 🤣

I would have pace of race as my number one,past form and potential pace for todays race 

When I first started betting back in the early 80s I used to follow tipsters, mostly Newsboy from the Daily Mirror (a good socialist rag). I struggled to make a profit, probably because his tips were widely followed.
As I am always on the quest for value rather than winners it might make sense to bet against popular tipsters as their selections are probably overbet.
My data doesn't include such tipsters data so it's not an area I can really comment on with authority.
Spread betting (for racing) still on my to do list !

Most winners
@CS 333 maintains his 3 point lead

Wow !
Not sure how but @Harry_Faint99 shoots to the top with 150/1 Stratford winner Fast Deal

Indeed, it is best to stick to the KISS system, I never use more than 5 criteria in any system that I use
I did find today's selection of Giselles Izzy strange, 30 races over 6 or 7 furlongs with reasonable success but today dropped to 5 furlongs, maybe trying to get the handicap mark down

Wow !
Not sure how but @Harry_Faint99 shoots to the top with 150/1 Stratford winner Fast Deal

To be flippant, who’s tipped a horse on here when I’ve got a freebie or offer to utilise! But, for some people maybe tipster selections/naps can be a positive or negative signals as part of a selection process.
Then there’s spread betting prices, something I suspect hardly any racing punters would pay any heed to. Probably a red herring as my gut feel is they wouldn’t be of much use for that sport, but they’re hugely predictive for me in betting on goal and tryscorers so, if I was ever going to take a proper tilt at betting on racing I’d want to explore that angle if only to eliminate it 

Won, profit £ 48
Monthly profit £ 204.96

Thank you mr lee will do see you Thursday 🍺🍺on me👍

Well done mr faint keeping the Thurrock flag flying time me and @Carole-dawney got our fingers out 🍺🍺 on you Thursday 👍