MCLARKE
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Posts
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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3rd yesterday.
2 today, both 4 places.
DONC 5.15 SHEEPSCAR LAD 100/30.
KEMP 8.45 FIELDSMAN 5/1.
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2nd yesterday.
One toady at CATTERICK in the 3.00, CALLIOPE at 4/1 (4 places).
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3rd yesterday.
One today at NEWTON ABBOT in the 4.30, ORCHESTRAL at 7/2 (4 places).
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Thanks for the reply. Looks like an interesting method, might have a look at doing something similar myself. Are your selections based purely on the calculations or are they influenced by other subjective factors, e.g. is the S De Sousa factor part of the calculation?
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Excellent results once again.
A quick question, what time is used for the odds quoted above?
For instance, Dubai One was available at 5/1 up until 6.17 but at 10.14 best price was 3/1.
AZZECCAGARBUGLI (where do they get these names from!) was available at 18/1 from 9.29 but before then the best price was 12/1.
In effect the 5/1 and 18/1 were never available at the same time.
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Always a bit wary about staking plans, I increase my stake by £1 every time my bank has increased by a certain amount, it won't make me a millionaire but has meant that my average weekly profits have been increasing over time. It also means I don't bet more than I feel comfortable with.
Out of interest how do you calculate your assessed chance of winning?
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A loser and a winner at 13/2 yesterday.
One today at YORK in the 4.00, RUBENESQUE at 9/2 (4 places).
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4.4% profit on turnover.
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Yesterday lost.
2 today, both 4 places.
ASCO 4.30 KIMIFIVE 11/2.
NAVA 5.20 ROCKY BLUE 13/2.
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A winner and a loser yesterday.
One today at HAYDOCK in the 3.35, JABBAROCKIE at 11/2 (4 places).
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2nd yesterday.
2 today, both 4 places.
SALI 3.20 GUNFORHIRE @ 4/1.
CARL 7.30 SNOOKERED @ 4/1.
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Win % has been lower than expected, hopefully this will revert back to what is expected.
Last one was 3rd.
One today at FFOS LAS in the 5.30, MOSTAWFEE in the 5.30 at 3/1 (4 places).
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2 losers and a 4th on the 17th.
One today at WORCESTER in the 4.45, BALKINSTOWN in the 4.45 at 4/1 (4 places).
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Last one managed 4th place at 5/1 so turned a loss in to break even.
3 today, all 4 places.
CATT 7.10 ROBBEN RAINBOW @ 7/2.
CATT 8.15 CROSSE FIRE @ 100/30.
DUND 7.15 THE KID BOBBY B @ 6/1.
No selections for a couple of weeks as I am off on a Baltic cruise.
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1 today in the 4.20 at NEWTON ABBOT.
TOP CHIEF @ 4/1 - 4 places.
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Too true, however I do get a warm glow when it manages to finish 4th when the standard terms are 3 places.
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Both placed on Friday for a small profit.
1 today at in the 3.45 at FFOS LAS.
DURATION @ 5/1 - 4 places.
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2 winners and a loser yesterday.
Results to date.
4 wins, 14 places, 9 losers. £2.76 LSP. 10% ROI.
2 today, both 4 places.
WOLV 2.20 INGLEBY MOLLY 9/2
TIPP 8.20 UNIVERSAL FOCUS 7/2
Away for a few days so no more selections until Tuesday.
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Thanks for that SNOOPDOG. Unfortunately I am restricted by PP so not really an option.
Yesterday 1 winner, 1 2nd and a loser.
3 today, all 4 places.
HAYD 3.40 HEE HAW 7/2
NEWC 6.20 ARAQEEL 5/1
NEWC 8.30 LIAMBA 4/1
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Last one was a loser. 3 today.
PONT 3.20 SHOURANOUR 4/1 4 places.
KEMP 5.40 FORTUNE AND GLORY 7/2 4 places.
KEMP 8.10 ATTICUS BOY 7/2 4 places.
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Valiant,
I'm the same, don't make that much on my own accounts because of bookies restrictions but enough for a few beers. I've set up accounts for my daughter now she's got her own house / address and she's raking in the money by using all the free bet offers and laying on the exchanges. I only give her my best bet of the day, wish I could have been so disciplined on my own accounts in the past !
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I can see where Henry TD is coming from in trying to verify the profitability of a system based on early prices. I think to find all the relevant data would be a big task.
Personally when I am testing a system I like to make a profit at SP in the knowledge that in reality I could improve that by 10% by using early prices or BSP.
To judge a system on profitability based on BOG may turn out to be a waste of time because if you do hit on a good system it will not be long before the bookies will not allow you to bet at BOG anyway.
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Looks like you were right about them lady riders !
I don't normally take account of the jockey in my selections but it often appears that when ridden by a lady rider my selection loses.
Perhaps I'm just being sexist, does anybody have any data on strike rate / profitability of males v females ?
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Kept on for 5th place yesterday at 6/1.
1 today at CARLISLE.
8.45 CALLIOPE 7/2 4 places.
EXTRA PLACE RACES
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
A loser and a 4th yesterday.
One today at FFOS LAS in the 3.25, VALENTINO SUNRISE at 4/1.