nenad986

Won

Good luck today
3.50 Leicester-Destrier
Each Way @ 11-2  Paddy Power
Dark horse in the race for in form stable

Yeah but not many selections will run in midweek the majority of the time so in effect your transfers will be aimed at the Saturday/Sunday races, so you should be looking at chucking out those that have just had a race and swapping them for Haydock and Ascot possibles on Saturday. Alos keep an eye on the Bonus races and try and pick those running in races that are worth over £20,000.
Betfair Chase is this weeks Bonus, worth 50pts, starred selection earns 100pts in that race!
 
Often forgot, many times last season Schoolboy Error!!

Dont forget to update your 'Star' selection each week for double points

Your allowed 3 main transfers per week and 1 elite transfer per month so my tactic would be to look at the weekend racing on Thursday/Friday,pick 3 out and swap. Also worth checking the weeks declarations out too if there's a big race midweek.

Anyone still wishing to enter;
League: Punters Lounge
Pin: 1266
Top 10

 

Yes, competition start from 18.11 so before that nothing was count!   I have him too on friday.

Excellent ratings, rain came for the winner for sure.

Days of heaven is now 32/1 with bet365.

Very tough race but i think the Tizzard horse Viconte Du Noyer may be a bit of value Bryan Cooper booked for the ride this horse ran well in Ireland 2 starts back a reproduction of that could see him involved here trainers horses are running well.

My ratings

 
Theinval EW 20/1 Betfair
Kylemore Lough EW 13/2 Bet365

Looks like we have 17 runners
Cheers everyone, good luck

I am alredy in. Still pick up horses with not much expirience , only about reading good words and see ratting of some one, but it will be fun anyway!

Just finished the ratings for this weekend's big race at Cheltenham 
Starchitect    99,20
Romain de senam  99.18
Days of heaven  99.15
These three are quite a bit clear of the rest so I'd expect good runs from all of them ....days of heaven is the obvious value bet of the race at 25/1 but hes marginally stronger at 2mile ...stays 2m4f for certain but top 2 rated are pure 20f horses so he's gonna have his work cut out to pin those two back ..,,still a good chance though ..,,,could try and narrow further but 10/1 10/1 25/1 may as well have a platoon and go to war on the bookies 
Starchitect 10pts win 10/1 wh
Romain de senam 10pts win 10/1 wh
Days of heaven 10pts win 25/1 wh

Not a lot out today that I like just this one race is standing out 
530 dundalk
Togoville 98.95
Golden pearl 98.90
Difficult race to weigh up but togoville showed a lot of speed over 5f last time to suggest he can take these tonight .....9/4 isn't huge but worth a shot
Togoville 5pts win 9/4 pp

Good luck today
12.40 Cheltenham-Dueling Banjos
Each Way @ 11-2  Paddy Power  4 places
Rarely fails to put a shift in
 
 

8:15 Chelmsford  INTERMODAL  14/1  Bet365
Minimum stakes for this boy, but have to give him a chance here. He showed potential winning his second run, and then was gelded. Returned after 9 month and was in need of the race. Again did not run well on his last run, but that was at Windsor and he his thought to want a more galloping track. He gets that here tonight and also a change of trainer who is in good form that has a 14% strike here increased to 18% with 3yr olds. 
Gone with your selection also Billy as he has a bright future.

335 Cheltenham
 
Vision Des Flos 11/4 bet365
Grade 2 novice hurdle and any of the six runners would have some sort of chance. At Chepstow last time out Poetic Rhythm won a similar contest and back in third that day was Vision Des Flos, the winner has a 5lb penalty so I think the Tizzard runner with that run under his belt will take some stopping.

Another massive drifter at Southwell today, beautiful stuff. 

Thank you for all your efforts with the stats. It is very interesting to see. Personally, I would still follow all the tracks because everyday is different and it doesn't always follow the stats. We actually gained back our loss yesterday so far by betting on all the tracks today (though not the day before yet, still more races to go.) If we didn't bet on all the tracks, we might not have gained back our loss from yesterday so quickly. Of course, everyone bets differently and has their own choice and opinions. Respects to all of you. Just thought that I'd add in my little thought. Good luck on all bets, everyone. 

Another winning drifter, slightly less spectacular but impressive none the less was The Happy Chappy who went off at 10/1 having been advised at 9/2. Cracking stuff today and thanks once again to Billy and the team !

Good one for Throckley 25/1 and The Happy Chappy 10/1 

Thanks Bubbles .....yeah the ROI and the PPB numbers are a lot higher/better if do the 4-1 to 25-1 filters on all winning courses only 
some courses not had that many bets though have they, but you showed us the stats if blindly backing 4-1 plus on all courses compared to every bet ,so i think filtering it to just the winning courses is a good way to go?
Just wondering how it looks if you apply the 4-1 to 25-1 filter to your suggested way of 
S/R +25%
P&L +100.00
ROI +10%
PPB +2.00
and compare it to all winning course above 4-1 odds 
going to work that out now 

725 chelm
Miracle garden  98.88
Pinnata   98.87
These two are a touch clear in this open race .....conditions suit so both should run good races ...betfair offering fairly good prices so ill play 
Miracle garden 5pts win 5.3 betfair
Pinatta 5pts win 9.2 betfair

I would def do Chelmsford Tommorrow
Taunton and Clonmel tomorrow may be worth chancing as the stats are good
On Friday Chelmsford, Dundalk and Newcastle
Saturday I would not back at any of the courses