Poisson Goals Predictor

[1qmike]

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

Total Profit [units]	-4.06
Staked [units]	28
Profit [%]	-15%
		Strike Rate
W	8	32%
L	17	68%

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Now i am thinking of searching for a system that would have work today. And tomorrow will fail again :). I saved all today games from sfstats.net. I have some ideeas how to combine GF and GA. I will be back tomorrow with another ideea/ideeas. I don't give up! :D

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor I developed another 2 formulas for GF,GA. I took Leverkusen vs Koln to show you guys how i get stats:

VALUE	Köln	VERSUS	Leverkusen	VALUE
5.00	TOTAL RATING	-13.00	TOTAL RATING	18.00
2.00	HOME GAMES RATING	-8.00	AWAY GAMES RATING	10.00
GF	GA	Formula 1	GF	GA
1.33	2.33		3.83	1.00
	0.31	EXPECTED GOALS	2.10
	0	SCORE	2
HOME WIN	DRAW	AWAY WIN	UNDER 2.5	OVER 2.5
4%	15.83%	80%	56%	44%
22.60	6.32	1.25	1.77	2.30
GF	GA	Formula 2	GF	GA
1.00	1.80		2.47	0.88
	0.28	EXPECTED GOALS	1.45
	0	SCORE	1
HOME WIN	DRAW	AWAY WIN	UNDER 2.5	OVER 2.5
7%	25.75%	67.21%	75%	25%
14.20	3.88	1.49	1.34	3.98

I wanna find another 2-3 formulas until i go to sleep, and tomorrow i do calculus for sunday games + backtrack all games today..like i said i saved them on pc.

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor From 2 formulas i had last night, now i have 8 [x2 stacking plans = 16 systems to track ] to calculate poisson predictions....... it will take LONG time to do the calculus. I am tryin' to make an auto-parser and auto-better on excel so i can do things faster. Anyway i will only post from top leagues today...(eng,spa,fra,ger,ita). But i saved them all on pc, today + all tonight i will backtrack all 8 on this weekend games. Maybe 1 from 8 can be ok :|. I used 2 stacking plans... First if a team has 20% , i will bet 20%* constant number (10 example) ... 2 units. second it's a optimized stake... if a team has 20% value but 30% winning chance , i will bet 10u*20%*30% = 0.6u , but if a team has 20% value and 70% winning chances... = 1.4u.

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor OK...READY :) , i will start posting games with all 16 formulas.

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor For a single game i get this from EXCEL :| F1.1.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.69 on odds 4.85 F1.1.2 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.43 on odds 4.85 F1.2.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.61 on odds 4.85 F1.2.2 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.48 on odds 4.85 F2.1.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.52 on odds 4.85 F2.1.2 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.21 on odds 4.85 F2.2.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.52 on odds 4.85 F2.2.2 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.37 on odds 4.85 F3.1.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.45 on odds 4.85 F3.1.2 Bet on Sunderland € 0.07 on odds 1.67 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.07 on odds 4.85 F.3.2.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.48 on odds 4.85 F3.2.2 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.32 on odds 4.85 F4.1.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.72 on odds 4.85 F4.1.2 Bet on Wolverhampton € 1.27 on odds 4.85 F4.2.1 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.62 on odds 4.85 F4.2.2 Bet on Wolverhampton € 0.40 on odds 4.85 16 methods to be tracked :|

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor I can't post all here... I will keep track and post here results excel file.

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Backtracking English Premier League yesterday...

TEMP (Eng Premier League Results)
F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
(€ 7.61)	(€ 4.43)	(€ 3.34)	(€ 3.59)	(€ 4.29)	€ 1.88	(€ 1.27)	(€ 0.17)	(€ 1.85)	(€ 0.94)	€ 0.08	€ 2.01	(€ 8.15)	(€ 2.31)	(€ 3.08)	(€ 2.59)

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

TEMP (Spain League Results)
F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
€ 1.97	€ 3.52	€ 1.17	€ 0.42	€ 1.93	€ 3.09	€ 0.81	€ 0.30	€ 2.44	€ 3.33	€ 1.02	€ 0.26	€ 0.92	€ 2.79	€ 0.53	€ 0.43

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

TEMP (Italy Seria A Results)
F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
€ 2.70	€ 1.38	€ 1.14	€ 1.26	€ 2.06	€ 1.18	€ 0.72	€ 1.00	€ 2.28	€ 1.49	€ 0.81	€ 1.37	€ 1.38	€ 1.50	€ 0.50	€ 1.30

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor fx.2.1 1.1 DIDEN'T DO CALCLUS FOR HOME VALUE...JESSUS in 5min i will post all backtrack of yesterday eng,spa,ita,ger,fra

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

	TEMP (Eng Premier League Results)
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	(€ 7.61)	(€ 4.43)	(€ 3.34)	(€ 4.12)	(€ 4.29)	€ 1.88	(€ 1.31)	(€ 0.06)	(€ 1.85)	€ 4.28	(€ 0.32)	€ 2.14	(€ 8.15)	(€ 2.31)	(€ 3.08)	(€ 2.17)
STAKED	€ 10.18	€ 18.27	€ 5.25	€ 15.54	€ 7.99	€ 16.48	€ 2.86	€ 1.37	€ 8.16	€ 17.82	€ 2.97	€ 1.35	€ 8.98	€ 13.99	€ 3.34	€ 2.16

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

	TEMP (Spain Premier Results)
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 1.97	€ 3.52	€ 1.17	€ 3.09	€ 1.93	€ 3.09	€ 0.81	€ 2.55	€ 2.44	€ 3.33	€ 1.02	€ 2.83	€ 0.92	€ 2.79	€ 0.53	€ 2.21
STAKED	€ 3.42	€ 10.06	€ 1.86	€ 8.57	€ 2.76	€ 7.02	€ 0.99	€ 4.10	€ 3.46	€ 7.24	€ 1.23	€ 4.51	€ 1.59	€ 7.27	€ 1.00	€ 4.13

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

	TEMP (Italy Seria A Results)
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 2.70	€ 1.38	€ 1.14	€ 1.26	€ 2.06	€ 1.18	€ 0.72	€ 1.00	€ 2.28	€ 1.49	€ 0.81	€ 1.37	€ 1.38	€ 1.50	€ 0.50	€ 1.30
STAKED	€ 2.44	€ 6.08	€ 1.26	€ 4.71	€ 1.38	€ 5.53	€ 0.60	€ -	€ 1.46	€ 6.04	€ 0.63	€ -	€ 1.02	€ 5.25	€ 0.45	€ -

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor 1500 Lines Of Excel....i Think I Did Something Wrong Again :) Jessusssss

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor ok i got the final results...but i check it again so i don't spam again

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

	ENGLAND [8 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	7.61 €	4.43 €	3.34 €	4.12 €	4.29 €	1.88 €	1.31 €	0.06 €	1.85 €	4.28 €	0.32 €	2.14 €	8.15 €	2.31 €	3.08 €	2.17 €
STAKED	10.18 €	18.27 €	5.25 €	15.54 €	7.99 €	16.48 €	2.86 €	12.68 €	8.16 €	17.82 €	2.97 €	13.62 €	8.98 €	13.99 €	3.34 €	10.50 €
	SPAIN [4 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	1.97 €	3.52 €	1.17 €	3.09 €	1.93 €	3.09 €	0.81 €	2.55 €	2.44 €	3.33 €	1.02 €	2.83 €	0.92 €	2.79 €	0.53 €	2.21 €
STAKED	3.42 €	10.06 €	1.86 €	8.57 €	2.76 €	7.02 €	0.99 €	5.77 €	3.46 €	7.24 €	1.23 €	5.87 €	1.59 €	7.27 €	1.00 €	6.24 €
	ITALY [2 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	2.70 €	1.38 €	1.14 €	1.26 €	2.06 €	1.18 €	0.72 €	1.00 €	2.28 €	1.49 €	0.81 €	1.37 €	1.38 €	1.50 €	0.50 €	1.30 €
STAKED	2.44 €	6.08 €	1.26 €	4.71 €	1.38 €	5.53 €	0.60 €	4.12 €	1.46 €	6.04 €	0.63 €	4.68 €	1.02 €	5.25 €	0.45 €	3.88 €
	GERMANY [6 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	2.55 €	5.77 €	2.88 €	7.16 €	1.95 €	7.96 €	2.34 €	8.36 €	2.46 €	8.09 €	2.72 €	8.66 €	1.54 €	8.45 €	1.87 €	7.92 €
STAKED	14.82 €	22.00 €	8.06 €	15.61 €	14.39 €	22.06 €	7.23 €	15.05 €	14.59 €	23.12 €	7.54 €	16.16 €	14.35 €	20.37 €	7.04 €	13.25 €
	FRANCE [7 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	2.32 €	0.20 €	1.20 €	0.60 €	2.82 €	2.69 €	0.89 €	0.48 €	3.16 €	4.06 €	0.95 €	1.02 €	0.93 €	3.31 €	0.36 €	1.91 €
STAKED	7.49 €	18.94 €	3.85 €	15.48 €	7.78 €	11.45 €	2.51 €	6.97 €	8.93 €	12.48 €	3.00 €	7.30 €	8.25 €	9.85 €	2.57 €	5.02 €
	TOTAL (ENGLAND,SPAIN,ITALY,GERMANY,FRANCE) [27 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	0.79 €	2.71 €	1.45 €	4.39 €	0.29 €	6.17 €	1.88 €	6.79 €	3.02 €	6.71 €	3.11 €	8.54 €	5.35 €	2.38 €	0.90 €	3.39 €
SYACKED	38.35 €	75.34 €	20.28 €	59.90 €	34.30 €	62.52 €	14.20 €	44.59 €	36.61 €	66.69 €	15.37 €	47.63 €	34.19 €	56.73 €	14.41 €	38.89 €
PROFIT %	-2%	4%	7%	7%	1%	10%	13%	15%	8%	10%	20%	18%	-16%	4%	-6%	9%

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Anyway, some of them looks ok But i am tired of finding some systems that work in past and in future+present sucks hard. We'll see how the system works today on this 5 leagues. After all hours of this calculus i don't know if i will do calcs for other leagues... I found a list with leagus coef... England Spain Italy Germany France Russia Ukraine Netherlands Romania Portugal Turkey Greece Scotland Belgium Switzerland Denmark Bulgaria Czech Norway Austria Serbia that's why i choosed eng,spa,ita,fra,ger. I think if i continue backtest i will continue with that list from 6th place. later'

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor OK..I DID BACKTRACK FOR THIS LEAGUES TOO. Russia Ukraine Netherlands Romania Portugal

	RUSSIA [3 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 3.90	€ 2.45	€ 1.24	€ 0.93	€ 4.49	€ 3.87	€ 1.43	€ 1.69	€ 4.52	€ 4.11	€ 1.49	€ 1.89	€ 3.78	€ 2.41	€ 1.03	€ 0.71
STAKED	€ 3.90	€ 4.66	€ 1.24	€ 2.34	€ 4.49	€ 4.19	€ 1.43	€ 1.95	€ 4.52	€ 4.75	€ 1.49	€ 2.41	€ 3.78	€ 2.41	€ 1.03	€ 0.71

	UKRAINE [3 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 1.96	€ 3.54	€ 1.59	€ 3.65	€ 0.58	€ 2.73	€ 0.41	€ 2.56	€ 0.24	€ 2.70	€ 0.22	€ 2.53	€ 0.38	€ 0.74	€ 0.21	€ 0.41
STAKED	€ 6.04	€ 12.62	€ 3.91	€ 10.99	€ 3.89	€ 10.53	€ 2.19	€ 8.42	€ 3.94	€ 10.66	€ 2.16	€ 8.57	€ 2.54	€ 8.04	€ 1.25	€ 5.72

	NETHERLAND [4 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 6.12	€ 6.80	€ 2.31	€ 4.49	€ 5.70	€ 6.00	€ 1.74	€ 3.34	€ 5.79	€ 6.90	€ 1.86	€ 4.23	€ 2.06	€ 0.81	€ 0.32	€ 1.48
STAKED	€ 6.12	€ 8.16	€ 2.31	€ 5.59	€ 5.70	€ 6.63	€ 1.74	€ 3.83	€ 5.79	€ 8.01	€ 1.86	€ 5.13	€ 4.94	€ 6.55	€ 1.42	€ 4.55

	ROMANIA [4 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 1.60	€ 2.78	€ 0.53	€ 2.04	€ 1.79	€ 4.74	€ 0.76	€ 2.39	€ 2.37	€ 6.65	€ 1.19	€ 3.40	€ 1.79	€ 1.97	€ 0.67	€ 0.68
STAKED	€ 1.13	€ 4.47	€ 0.30	€ 3.48	€ 2.00	€ 3.23	€ 0.62	€ 1.89	€ 2.72	€ 4.23	€ 0.99	€ 2.38	€ 1.57	€ 1.15	€ 0.41	€ 0.44

	PORTUGAL [5 GAMES]
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 3.50	€ 7.18	€ 2.29	€ 5.50	€ 6.60	€ 6.90	€ 4.05	€ 6.05	€ 7.48	€ 7.35	€ 4.58	€ 6.63	€ 8.81	€ 7.37	€ 6.34	€ 7.83
STAKED	€ 6.63	€ 16.63	€ 4.04	€ 14.15	€ 5.36	€ 12.33	€ 2.83	€ 9.74	€ 5.63	€ 13.51	€ 3.16	€ 10.93	€ 6.85	€ 13.36	€ 4.64	€ 11.40

	TOTAL (RUSSIA,UKRAINE,NETHERLAND,ROMANIA,PORTUGAL)
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 2.96	€ 1.30	€ 0.86	€ 1.70	€ 4.81	€ 4.99	€ 0.53	€ 1.18	€ 4.97	€ 7.61	€ 0.25	€ 0.36	€ 0.81	€ 2.92	€ 4.11	€ 5.37
STAKED	€ 23.82	€ 46.55	€ 11.80	€ 36.56	€ 21.44	€ 36.92	€ 8.82	€ 25.82	€ 22.60	€ 41.16	€ 9.67	€ 29.42	€ 19.68	€ 31.51	€ 8.76	€ 22.81
	-12%	-3%	7%	5%	-22%	-14%	6%	5%	-22%	-18%	3%	-1%	4%	9%	47%	24%

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

	TOTAL TOP 10 LEAGUES EUROPE
SYSTEM	F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT	€ 3.74	€ 1.40	€ 2.30	€ 6.09	€ 4.51	€ 1.18	€ 2.41	€ 7.97	€ 1.95	€ 0.90	€ 3.36	€ 8.18	€ 4.54	€ 5.29	€ 3.21	€ 8.76
STAKED	€ 62.84	€ 124.76	€ 32.46	€ 98.91	€ 57.44	€ 100.96	€ 23.61	€ 70.91	€ 61.32	€ 110.26	€ 25.86	€ 78.07	€ 55.61	€ 89.22	€ 23.79	€ 61.97
PROFIT %	-6%	1%	7%	6%	-8%	1%	10%	11%	-3%	-1%	13%	10%	-8%	6%	14%	14%
	- NEG -	+ + +	+ + +	+ + +	- NEG -	+ + +	+ + +	+ + +	- NEG -	- NEG -	+ + +	+ + +	- NEG -	+ + +	+ + +	+ + +

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor I did calculus for today games same leagues. i will count all weekend tonight. gl to me :)

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor Like i said.Today it's disaster. Sunday tracking=all on negative until now.

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor As i waited for today games to end..i think at something. Applying filters to my poisson predictions. Applying FILTER 2 and FILTER 3 Results to Saturday_Backtracking: F4.2.1 AND F4.1.1 GIVES ME 111% PROFIT :) and 50% of all formulas like 50% profit. But the problem is that today was massacre on normal stake. So i wait all games and try to apply this 2 filters to sunday games so i can see if it cancel my negative profit. i will post after today games.... SUnday-track+ model filter 2,3.

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor without 3 games results.. Sunday betting + FILTER MODEL 3. 4.2.1 from -35% , is now +34% :D:D:D:D:D:D 4.1.1 from -60% , is now +24% :D:D:D:D:D:D it means that this system with filter 3 this weekend would have been like ~60% in top 10 leagues only. I wait for this 3 games to end for final analyze of saturday+sunday [ with 3 filters to see difference] and with best 3-4 i go to work for backtestting the other leagues too, from 10th place down in uefa coef.

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

SATURDAY + SUNDAY [TOP 10 LEAGUES]
USING FILTER MODEL 3
SYSTEM		F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT		$3.84	$3.17	$2.80	$2.50	$4.60	$6.46	$2.56	$5.30	$3.53	$6.05	$1.80	$4.74	$8.92	$10.84	$5.01	$8.41
STACKED		$20.95	$71.52	$13.11	$58.71	$11.29	$51.50	$6.39	$39.06	$13.25	$55.32	$7.67	$43.13	$11.95	$47.54	$6.97	$35.77
PROFIT %		18%	-4%	21%	-4%	41%	13%	40%	14%	27%	11%	23%	11%	75%	23%	72%	24%

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

SATURDAY + SUNDAY [TOP 10 LEAGUES]
USING FILTER MODEL 2
SYSTEM		F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT		$6.48	$10.12	$5.84	$12.66	$3.43	$10.85	$3.38	$12.33	$3.58	$11.44	$3.71	$13.41	$4.91	$12.51	$3.70	$10.99
STACKED		$32.51	$84.80	$19.61	$67.34	$20.56	$61.52	$11.03	$45.19	$21.95	$65.08	$11.89	$48.51	$17.65	$50.73	$9.34	$36.00
PROFIT %		20%	12%	30%	19%	17%	18%	31%	27%	16%	18%	31%	28%	28%	25%	40%	31%

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

FILTER MODEL 2 VS FILTER MODEL 3
SYSTEM		F1.1.1	F1.1.2	F1.2.1	F1.2.2	F2.1.1	F2.1.2	F2.2.1	F2.2.2	F3.1.1	F3.1.2	F3.2.1	F3.2.2	F4.1.1	F4.1.2	F4.2.1	F4.2.2
PROFIT ADVANTAGE		$2.64	$13.29	$3.04	$15.16	($1.17)	$4.39	$0.82	$7.03	$0.05	$5.39	$1.91	$8.67	($4.01)	$1.67	($1.31)	$2.58

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor

SYSTEM

F1.1.1

F1.1.2

F1.2.1

F1.2.2

F2.1.1

F2.1.2

F2.2.1

F2.2.2

F3.1.1

F3.1.2

F3.2.1

F3.2.2

F4.1.1

F4.1.2

F4.2.1

F4.2.2

BETTER WITH

M2

M2

M2

M2

M3

M2

M3

M2

M3

M2

M2

M2

M3

M2

M3

M2

MAX PROFIT WITH FAV FILTER

20%

12%

30%

19%

41%

18%

40%

27%

27%

18%

31%

28%

75%

25%

72%

31%

[1qmike]

Re: Poisson Goals Predictor So i will continue with these systems: 1)F4.1.1 + M3 2)F.4.2.1 + M3 THE OTHERS ARE FOR BACKUP IF THIS 2 FAILS. i am pretty busy now, i will do tomorrow backtesting for the other leagues saturday + sunday with m3(f4.1.1 + f4.2.1).