Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

[IAmGooner]

http://www.pilotpentennis.com/ Last tournament before US Open. Try to win some money. :ok

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Jarko Nieminen v Paul Capdeville
Selection	Paul Capdeville
Strength	10/10
Date	23/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Expekt @ 2.05 (Back)
Reasoning	Nieminen form in the first part of the year was quite poor and this is his first match since end of April because of wrist injury. It's hard to know his condition coming back and with the timing he could just be looking to try it out before US Open. He plays Capdeville, and this looks like a tough match. Capdeville is a capable player, and has just won challenger tournament on hard courts. Capdeville clear favourite for me.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Janko Tipsarevic v Fabio Fognini
Selection	Fabio Fognini
Strength	10/10
Date	23/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingbet @ 2.75 (Back)
Reasoning	Tipsarevic as pretty big favourite in first round of small tournament is definately not to my liking. These guys are close in the rankings, and surely betting should be closer together. Both haven't played for a few weeks, again I think making it more even. Fognini made quarter final of this event last year, and he has good win of win here.

[WinningTipster]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August 1 bet for the WTA Pilot Pen tournament: CHAKVETADZE TO D PETROVA @ 2 on Centrebet Petrova is struggling with injuries and form. The H2H is 4:0 to Chakvetadze and Chakvetadze had some better results lately. Should be a slight favorite at the odds of 2.

[IAmGooner]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Really liking that Chakvetadze bet.Has a good h2h record over Petrova and has played well in this tournament before.Good price. Mayer over Istomin also looks pretty good though slightly short at 4/7

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Simone Bolelli v Christophe Rochus
Selection	Christophe Rochus
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.85 (Back)
Reasoning	This just looks like a pretty close match to me. They are close in the rankings, and form isn't great for either of them. Both also prefer clay, so for me it is strange to see Bolelli so short. Bolelli was looking good last year but he doesn't seem to have that form this year and is worth betting against at this price.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Mischa Zverev v Potito Starace
Selection	Lay Potito Starace (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.15 (Lay)
Reasoning	Zverev lost 4 matches in a row, but he was very close last time against Mathieu and this is a great chance of a win. He reached the quarter final here last year. Starace is coming off a challenger final on clay, but he really is just a clay court player that is poor on hard. I can't see many problems for Zverev.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Andrey Golubev v Pablo Cuevas
Selection	Pablo Cuevas
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Expekt @ 2.05 (Back)
Reasoning	Cuevas did well in qualifying beating Stakhovsky and O Rochus so should come in ehre playing well. He's a clay court player but I've seen him play on hard before and he was quite effective. Golubev is a reasonable player but coming in here I think I'd make Cuevas a small favourite.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Jose Acasuso v Maximo Gonzalez
Selection	Maximo Gonzalez
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.00 (Back)
Reasoning	This really looks like a short prce on Acasuso to me. He's been struggling with injuries a lot and not getting many wins. This price really seems to be affected by his close match against Federer last week, but for a guy like Acasuso it is really easy to get up for a match like that (just remember the match at French Open!). I still don't believe he's in very good shape, and this match will be tough. Gonzalez doesn't have much experience on hard courts, but this bet is more about going against Acasuso.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Marcos baghdatis v Frederico Gil
Selection	Frederico Gil
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 2.76 (Back)
Reasoning	Very hard to bet on Baghdatis because you just don't know what shape he will turn up in. Especially the week before US Open he is not to be trusted I think. Gil has come through qualifying so should be motivated for this match. Baghdatis of course the better player but it doesn't always work out like that!

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Nicolas Lapentti v Rajeev Ram
Selection	Nicolas Lapentti
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Lapentti struggles to pick up results these days but seemed confident after qualifying so has good chance of a win here. Ram hasn't shown much apart from on the grass at Newport and I think he'll struggle with the match up.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Sam Querrey v Marc Gicquel
Selection	Marc Gicquel
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 4.30 (Back)
Reasoning	At this price it worthwhile getting involved in Gicquel. Querrey was in excellent form earlier in summer, but lately results are dipping, yes against good opponent but maybe confidence will be dipping. Gicquel is a tricky opponent and when confidence is up he is so tough to beat. Not winning many matches recently but he won first round and could make a surprise here.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Svetlana Kuznetsova v Zheng Jie
Selection	Zheng Jie
Strength	10/10
Date	24/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.25 (Back)
Reasoning	Zheng I always like as an underdog opportunity as she does beat the big names. Consistency is a big problem with her play but when price is right can be excellent. Kuznetsova excellent fight in French Open, but since then form has really gone away. Tough to like her at this price against dangerous opposition.

[IAmGooner]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Dent over Kunitsyn @ 5/6 Dent trying to re-gain some form after many poor losses this year.A good straight sets win over Ljubicic in last round was good for him...served pretty well and didn't give Ljubicic a whole lot of chances.Kunitsyn coming from Cincinnatti where he lost to Davydenko.It'a a 50:50 match but happy to side with Dent here. GL!

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Nicolas Almagro v Bjorn Phau
Selection	Bjorn Phau
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.40 (Back)
Reasoning	I really don't like trusting Almagro at this sort of price, especially in first match of hard court tournament. He looked OK against Murray last week but could easily play bad here. Phau has been on a bad run, but got a good win over Becker and can upset the odds again!

Sport	Tennis
Event	Jurgen Melzer v Pablo Cuevas
Selection	Pablo Cuevas
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 2.28 (Back)
Reasoning	Cuevas done well in qualifying and in first round against Golubev. This looks like another good chance to get a win. Melzer coming in first match and hasn't won too many matches on hard this summer, is worth going against.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Victor Hanescu v Janko Tipsarevic
Selection	Victor Hanescu
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Canbet @ 1.70 (Back)
Reasoning	Tipsarevic benefit from a retirement in first match and now has much tougher task in Hanescu. Hanescu very solid player and despite loss in last match against Youzhny I like his chances in this tournament.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Fernando Verdasco v Paul Capdeville
Selection	Paul Capdeville +5.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	William Hill @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Verdasco was very poor last week against Garcia-Lopez, and has accepted a late wildcard for this tournament. Clearly not a priority for player like Verdasco chance to oppose. Capdeville in good form and is a tricky player, he can keep this close.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Phillip Petzschner v Frederico Gil
Selection	Frederico Gil
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Ladbrokes @ 2.50 (Back)
Reasoning	I like backing Gil here, he's on a roll and good chance of win. At top level I think he's pretty close to Petzschner and after a poor few months he needs good tournament at this level. Petzschner has been playing some close matches and is a reasonable player, but think this means more to Gil so looks a good price.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Fabrice Santoro v Potito Starace
Selection	Potito Starace
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 2.28 (Back)
Reasoning	Tough to understand the shape Santoro will turn up in, sometimes he seems really up for a tournament and other times not. Maybe looking to one more run at a grand slam after not playing much this summer I can't back him here. Starace is really not a hard court player, but he was pretty solid against Zverev yesterday and is worth a go.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Jeremy Chardy v Florent Serra
Selection	Florent Serra
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Skybet @ 3.75 (Back)
Reasoning	No love for Serra? He looks a very big price to me. He's a good player when he gets some confidence, and after a bad run he was solid enough against Darcis. Chardy is a good player, but he is not consistant enough in my opinion to be this sort of price against Serra.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Tommy Robredo v Jose Acasuso
Selection	Jose Acasuso
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Coral @ 2.50 (Back)
Reasoning	This looks like a big price on Acasuso. In the head 2 head he does OK, especially on hard courts. He dropped a set to Gonzalez yesterday but otherwise was comfortable. Robredo is in very poor form this summer and is worth going against.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Andreas Seppi v Yen-Hsun Lu
Selection	Andreas Seppi
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 1.68 (Back)
Reasoning	Seppi has been playing well lately, and looks a reasonable price here. Lu has been on a poor run, was easy against Garcia-Lopez but that looks like a poor effort from the Spaniard. I think this price is OK on Seppi.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Amelie Mauresmo v Alona Bondarenko
Selection	Alona Bondarenko
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 2.44 (Back)
Reasoning	This just seems like a very close match. Mauresmo has played very little over the summer and is difficult to judge. Also big question on her motivation in small event against tough opponent. Bondarenko has been playing OK and has good defense that can work well against Mauresmo. Head to head is 2-0 to Bondarenko.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August One more for luck....

Sport	Tennis
Event	Leonardo Mayer v Oliver Rochus
Selection	Olivier Rochus
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Expekt @ 2.40 (Back)
Reasoning	Thi seems like a reasonable opportunity. I've said before how I like Mayer, but now I'm not so sure. I think he's got over rated quite quickly and now the value is going against. Rochus when serving OK is a very solid player and is the type that can cause Mayer a lot of problems.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Taylor Dent v Igor Kunitsyn
Selection	Under 23.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	25/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	William Hill @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Very tough match to call. Kunitsyn good last week, but Dent good against Ljubicic first match here. But I like this angle, as both players are capable of putting in bad performance. Especially if losing first set, good chance of fading away. 23.5 is too high, I thought for this match would go 21.5.

[IAmGooner]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Dent over Kunitsyn @ 5/6 Dent trying to re-gain some form after many poor losses this year.A good straight sets win over Ljubicic in last round was good for him...served pretty well and didn't give Ljubicic a whole lot of chances.Kunitsyn coming from Cincinnatti where he lost to Davydenko.It'a a 50:50 match but happy to side with Dent here. GL!

LOSS

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Igor Andreev v Frederico Gil
Selection	Lay Frederico Gil (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	26/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.60 (Lay)
Reasoning	Cannot see any problems for Andreev in this match. He was good in first match and has solid record in this tournament making quarter final 3 times. Gil has had some hard times through qualifying and tough match yesterday. I just see Andreev having too much game and should take this comfortably.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Victor Hanescu v Jurgen Melzer
Selection	Jurgen Melzer
Strength	10/10
Date	26/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 2.02 (Back)
Reasoning	Melzer was favourite in this match up a few weeks ago on slow courts and now outsider after loss. But I think great chance here where conditions more likely to suit. Hanescu had tough match yesterday where he really struggled so oppose him today.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Micolay Davydenko v Fabrice Santoro
Selection	Under 20.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	26/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	William Hill @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Under 20.5 seems like a good opportunity. Davydenko dominate this match up and head to head very convincing. Cannot see Santoro having success in this match up, but in case Davydenko tanks then under still ahs a chance! Handicap is 4.5 games, so this under also includes 6-4 6-4 so seems like excellent opportunity.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Svetlana Kuznetsova v Yanina Wickmayer
Selection	Yanina Wickmayer +4.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	26/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	William Hill @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Kuznetsova hasn't been playing well this summer, had a match already so surely now focus on the slam. Wickmayer is a good player and she can at least keep this match close.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Should have gone for Davydenko -4.5:sad

[ReasonableGuy]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Event	Querrey - Phau
Selection	Phau
Strength	10/10
Date	26/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 4.84 (Back)
Reasoning	Bjorn Phau defeated Sam Querrey in their only meeting. Interesting is that it was last year and on hard court. In fact Hard Courts are Benjamin Phau's specialties. Querrey have done some surprises before this too. He lost to Petzschner and he was defeated in that final by Ginepri (very poor player at the moment). So I can say that he has got a serious problem with consistency.

[WinningTipster]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Hi guys, 1 pick for New Haven WTA tournament: WOZNIACKI TO D RAZZANO @ 1.42 on pinnaclesports Wozniacki had some poor results over the past month but she looked much better in both of her matches this week. Wozniacki is a much more consistent player from the baseline than Razzano and that's why she has 3:0 H2H lead with all three matches from 2009

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Igor Andreev v Leonardo Mayer
Selection	Leonardo Mayer
Strength	10/10
Date	27/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 2.56 (Back)
Reasoning	This looks like a good price on Mayer. He's on a roll this week with 3 wins and all sets comfortable. Andreev, good player, but think he wins have problems today. He lost in quarter final of New Haven 3 times, I think make it 4!

Sport	Tennis
Event	Nicolay Davydenko v Sam Querrey
Selection	Sam Querrey
Strength	10/10
Date	27/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.74 (Back)
Reasoning	Querrey bringing good form in US tournaments and good price here. He's secured the US Open Series bonus so now play without pressure and in front of home crowds should be good. Davydenko OK but not sure about form in US tournaments, good chance to go against.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Caroline Wozniacki v Virgine Razzano
Selection	Lay Virgine Razzano (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	27/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.45 (Lay)
Reasoning	Looks like clear win for Wozniacki. She has shown good form this week with 2 easy matches. Razzano has struggled and benefit from retirement of Radwanska. Head 2 head is 3-0 to Wozniacki all in straight sets this year. Hard to see this match being any different.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Fernando Verdasco v Jurgen Melzer
Selection	Lay Jurgen Melzer (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	27/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.95 (Lay)
Reasoning	Cannot see many chances for Melzer here. Verdasco seems to be finding form in time for US but read interviews he seems motivated for this event. Melzer got win for me yesterday against Hanescu but I think Verdasco too strong.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Svetlana Kuznetsova v Amelie Mauresmo
Selection	Amelie Mauresmo
Strength	10/10
Date	27/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 2.37 (Back)
Reasoning	This looks like an excellent price. Not sure about Kuznetsova form, she is really struggling with form especially against Wickmayer. Contrast Mauresmo coming through nicely maybe building confidence. Head 2 head is 4-4 with Kuznetsova winning last 4 matches but I think this great chance for Mauresmo to change the direction.

Sport	Tennis
Event	Jose Acasuso v Florent Serra
Selection	Under 23.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	27/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	William Hill @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Very hard match to predict, I cannot suggest a winner. But I am looking and both guys have had tough run to get this far with fairly long matches. Also both in poor form so not used to going long time in tournaments past few months. So I am thinking first set critical and the winner should run away with the match. So under 23.5 a good idea.

[IAmGooner]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Querrey 2-0 over Acasuso @ 5/6 Gave my thoughts on match in the other thread.Might be two tight sets but think Querrey is playing well enough to take this in 2.Serving well and much depends on how Acasuso deals with this.Willing to take this but will only bet small on it with the US Open coming up. GL!

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Fernando Verdasco v Igor Andreev
Selection	Lay Igor Andreev (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	28/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 4.00 (Lay)
Reasoning	Cannot see any success for Andreev in this match. He struggles against Mayer and now later stage of tournament have to take the class player. Verdasco seems motivated this week, playing really hard tennis. In Australia he played excellent when he was rumoured to be with Ivanovic, now maybe he's trying to impress Wozniacki!

Sport	Tennis
Event	Sam Querrey v Jose Acasuso
Selection	Lay Jose Acasuso (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	28/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 4.00 (Lay)
Reasoning	Surely this is the end of the road for Acasuso. He's done very well this week, but now opponent Querrey is a class above. Querrey has been strong this week, just taken out Davydenko and now surely is motivated for another final.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Caroline Wozniacki v Flavia Pennetta
Selection	Over 22.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	28/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	William Hill @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Very tough match to predict. Wozniacki is defending champion and Pennetta is trying to win US Open Series. Both shows great form in this tournament, Pennetta has better form past few months. Too hard to pick a winner, likely 3 sets I think so over 22.5 seems a good option.

[Kiwi_punter]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August Elena Vesnina v Caroline Wozniacki. Vesnina is a very hot and cold player. I watched her play Wozniacki here in Auckland in the semifinal this year and it went to 3 sets. I noticed watching them live that Vesnina hits the ball much cleaner then Wozniacki and when both were at their best Vesnina was the better player. Overall Wozniacki is much higher ranked and consistant but it seems like Elena is on one of her hot streaks. I think it will go to 3 sets again and the odds for a 2-1 set victory look very nice. $6.85 at Centrebet for Vesnina in 3.

[IAmGooner]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Querrey 2-0 over Acasuso @ 5/6 Gave my thoughts on match in the other thread.Might be two tight sets but think Querrey is playing well enough to take this in 2.Serving well and much depends on how Acasuso deals with this.Willing to take this but will only bet small on it with the US Open coming up. GL!

WIN:ok

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Caroline wozniacki v Elena Vesnina
Selection	Elena Vesnina +4.5 games
Strength	10/10
Date	29/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.21 (Back)
Reasoning	No idea when this will be played due to rain or it may be indoors. Anyway, getting so much over odds against on 4.5 games is too much. Head to head indicates close matches and Vesnina has been playing very well. Wozniacki clearly better player but can wobble in big match and whatever conditions I think this will be close.

[Cramer]

Re: Tennis:ATP/WTA New Haven 23-29 August

Sport	Tennis
Event	Sam Querrey v Fernando Verdasco
Selection	Fernando Verdasco -1.5 sets
Strength	10/10
Date	29/08/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Paddy Power @ 4.50 (Back)
Reasoning	Tough match to price up after playing semi earlier today and bookmakers have range of opinions so some value around. I decide to take a risk and go with Verdasco -1.5 sets at generous price. Querrey still I think has issues in finals and Verdasco is superior player. Don't know indoors/outdoors tonight/tomorrow so just take a chance!