OJ_Sledge Posted March 18, 2009 Share Posted March 18, 2009 Re: Home Win hello PERFECT, i like your Home Win selections...you hit alot, do u have msn? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 20, 2009 Author Share Posted March 20, 2009 Re: Home Win Hi OJS and welcome, i don’t use msn, if you want to contact me i can send you my mail via pm.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Metz – Chateauroux 1.64 Frankfurt – Wehen lay Wehen 4.9 stake 15.98 to win 3.892 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OJ_Sledge Posted March 20, 2009 Share Posted March 20, 2009 Re: Home Win Ok thx, yes i would be glad if you did...tell me is there somehow i can subscribe on your tips on here? Tell me is Frankfurt a selection of the day, or is it Wehen i got a little confused :/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froment Posted March 20, 2009 Share Posted March 20, 2009 Re: Home Win Just subscribe to this thread; click on "thread tools" at the top, and choose the option to receive an e-mail whenever there is a new post here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OJ_Sledge Posted March 20, 2009 Share Posted March 20, 2009 Re: Home Win ok thank you for a quick answer froment :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froment Posted March 20, 2009 Share Posted March 20, 2009 Re: Home Win You're welcome! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froment Posted March 20, 2009 Share Posted March 20, 2009 Re: Home Win Ok thx, yes i would be glad if you did...tell me is there somehow i can subscribe on your tips on here? Tell me is Frankfurt a selection of the day, or is it Wehen i got a little confused :/ ...and another reply, I just have seen this; when he says "lay", he bets that team not to win; so, bet is Frankfurt to win or draw, just odds and profit are calculated in different way than usual... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OJ_Sledge Posted March 20, 2009 Share Posted March 20, 2009 Re: Home Win Ok,thx for the explanation :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 21, 2009 Author Share Posted March 21, 2009 Re: Home Win Metz – Chateauroux 1 - 0 :ok Starting bank: 100 Current bank: 203.4 Number of bet: 203 Winning bet: 130 S.r.: 64.0 % Yeld: 5.1 % Frankfurt – Wehen 2 - 1 :ok LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 110.475 Number of bet: 3 Winning bet: 3 Total staked: 46.47 Total returned: 56.945 S.r.: 100 % Yeld: 22.5 % <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Hoffenheim - Hannover 1.62 Livorno - Ancona 1.46 Scunthorpe - Brighton 1.65 Bury - Chester 1.51 Vaslui - Farul 1.54 Villarreal - Ath. Bilbao 1.75 Zaragoza - Sevilla Atl. 1.32 Bury - Chester lay Chester 8.6 stake 16.57 to win 2.071 Nice - Caen lay Caen 4.7 stake 16.57 to win 4.254 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Looterman Posted March 21, 2009 Share Posted March 21, 2009 Re: Home Win Hi Perfect This system looks brilliant backed up with great results! I've got a couple of questions about it: One of the conditions is to back a home team that is higher in the league table than the away team; if you were using this system from the start of the season would you use last seasons league table as a guide? Also, do you look out for odds shortening on other exchanges to help you pick your bet - if so how do you keep on top of that? Best regards Looterman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 22, 2009 Author Share Posted March 22, 2009 Re: Home Win Hi Looterman, welcome, in the start of the season i don’t use the last season table, i wait for 6 or 8 games played. I don’t look at any other exchange for my bets. Thank you.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Hoffenheim – Hannover 2 - 2 :$ Livorno – Ancona 2 - 3 :$ Scunthorpe – Brighton 2 - 0 :ok Bury – Chester 1 - 1 :$ Vaslui – Farul 4 - 2 :ok Villarreal - Ath. Bilbao 2 - 0 :ok Zaragoza - Sevilla Atl. 4 - 0 :ok Starting bank: 100 Current bank: 196.0 Number of bet: 210 Winning bet: 134 S.r.: 63.8 % Yeld: 4.5 % Bury – Chester 1 - 1 :ok Nice – Caen 2 - 2 :ok LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 116.800 Number of bet: 5 Winning bet: 5 Total staked: 79.61 Total returned: 96.410 S.r.: 100 % Yeld: 21.1 % Artmedia - Z. Moravce (Slovakia 1st) 1.53 Lugano – Wohlen 1.50 Varteks – Zadar (Croatia 1st) 1.68 Artmedia - Z. Moravce (Slovakia 1st) lay Z. Moravce 7.8 stake 17.52 to win 2.447 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 24, 2009 Author Share Posted March 24, 2009 Re: Home Win Artmedia - Z. Moravce 5 - 0 :ok<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Lugano – Wohlen 2 - 0 :ok Varteks – Zadar 0 - 0 :$ Starting bank: 100 Current bank: 196.3 Number of bet: 213 Winning bet: 136 S.r.: 63.8 % Yeld: 4.5 % Artmedia - Z. Moravce 5 - 0 :ok LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 119.247 Number of bet: 6 Winning bet: 6 Total staked: 97.13 Total returned: 116.377 S.r.: 100 % Yeld: 19.8 % Forfar – Elgin 1.43 Forfar – Elgin lay Elgin 8.6 stake 17.88 to win 2.234 Oeste - Mogi Mirim (Brazil Paulista) lay Mogi Mirim 5.3 stake 17.88 to win 3.950 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 25, 2009 Author Share Posted March 25, 2009 Re: Home Win Forfar – Elgin 1 – 1 :$<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Starting bank: 100 Current bank: 186.3 Number of bet: 214 Winning bet: 136 S.r.: 63.5 % Yeld: 4.0 % Forfar – Elgin 1 - 1 :ok Oeste - Mogi Mirim 1 – 2 :$ LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 103.601 Number of bet: 8 Winning bet: 7 Total staked: 132.89 Total returned: 136.491 S.r.: 87.5 % Yeld: 2.7 % Kapfenberg – Altach lay Altach 3.7 stake 15.54 to win 5.467 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 27, 2009 Author Share Posted March 27, 2009 Re: Home Win Kapfenberg – Altach 1 - 1 :ok<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 109.068 Number of bet: 9 Winning bet: 8 Total staked: 148.43 Total returned: 157.498 S.r.: 88.8 % Yeld: 6.1 % Southend – Hartlepool lay Hartlepool 5.1 stake 16.36 to win 3.790 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 29, 2009 Author Share Posted March 29, 2009 Re: Home Win Southend – Hartlepool 3 - 2 :ok<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 112.858 Number of bet: 10 Winning bet: 9 Total staked: 164.79 Total returned: 177.648 S.r.: 90.0 % Yeld: 7.8 % Pierikos - Apollon K. 1.81 Albinoleffe – Treviso lay Treviso 6.4 stake 16.92 to win 2.976 Monza – Sambenedettese (Italy C1A) lay Sambenedettese 7.8 stake 16.92 to win 2.363 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunshine Avenue Posted March 29, 2009 Share Posted March 29, 2009 Re: Home Win Perfect, do you still back the home team as well ? Must be rare that the 'wrong one' in the betting is higher up the league. Laying would increase the strike rate by 25% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted March 31, 2009 Author Share Posted March 31, 2009 Re: Home Win Pierikos - Apollon K. 1 - 1 :$<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Starting bank: 100 Current bank: 176.3 Number of bet: 215 Winning bet: 136 S.r.: 63.2 % Yeld: 3.5 % Albinoleffe – Treviso 2 - 0 :ok Monza – Sambenedettese 0 – 1 :$ LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 98.914 Number of bet: 12 Winning bet: 10 Total staked: 198.63 Total returned: 197.544 S.r.: 83.3 % Yeld: -0.005 % What has been profitable in the past may not been in the future, therefore i stop the home win selections and i focus on that i belive can give me a profit. Since now i will not post the back selections but only the lay selections (hoping “obviously†for an home win) Because i have two different process selectons for the lay bets, i change a little the staking plan: 15% of current bank for “normal†lays, 20% of current bank for “hot†lays. I have backtested the hot lays (and i’m still backtesting it, it’s only possible in manual mode using my filters) and it give a good edge, a strike rate over 90% with odds between 4.00 and 10.00 on Bf. Must been said that these hot lays are not too much, in the past 2 weeks around 8 games looking at all leagues. Any advice or comments are always welcome and much appreciated. Dresden – Jena lay Jena 4.6 stake 14.83 to win 3.913 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunshine Avenue Posted April 1, 2009 Share Posted April 1, 2009 Re: Home Win May be able to use Internationals, substitute Fifa ranking for league position ie, today Bahrain (Ranked 67)v Quatar (Ranked 87) Bahrains price down 10 ticks on Betfair. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunshine Avenue Posted April 1, 2009 Share Posted April 1, 2009 Re: Home Win Have had a couple of goes at getting e-mails for Perfects system postings but doesnt work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted April 1, 2009 Author Share Posted April 1, 2009 Re: Home Win Hi S.A., i have never use the system with international games, Fifa ranking is different from the positions on the diviosion/group , both teams in this case have the same points on group 1 <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Asia. However Bahrain has won 1-0.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Dresden – Jena 2 - 0 :ok LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 102.827 Number of bet: 13 Winning bet: 11 Total staked: 213.46 Total returned: 216.287 S.r.: 84.6 % Yeld: 1.3 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted April 3, 2009 Author Share Posted April 3, 2009 Re: Home Win Guingamp – Troyes lay Troyes 4.7 stake 15.42 to win 3.959 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunshine Avenue Posted April 4, 2009 Share Posted April 4, 2009 Re: Home Win Struggling with lengthy process of finding qualifiers. I look at bookmaker odds, list teams, look at leagues, then Betfair prices graph............long haul though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted April 4, 2009 Author Share Posted April 4, 2009 Re: Home Win Guingamp – Troyes 0 - 0 :ok<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> LAY Starting bank: 100 LAY Current bank: 106.786 Number of bet: 14 Winning bet: 12 Total staked: 228.88 Total returned: 235.666 S.r.: 85.7 % Yeld: 2.9 % Glostrup - Søllerød-Ved. lay Søllerød-Ved. 4.0 stake 21.35 to win 6.760 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PERFECT Posted April 4, 2009 Author Share Posted April 4, 2009 Re: Home Win Karpaty – Kharkiv lay Kharkiv 6.8 stake 21.35 to win 3.496<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Ebbsfleet – Northwich lay Northwich 5.5 stake 16.01 to win 3.379 Newell's Old Boys - Argentinos Jrs lay Argentinos Jrs 4.8 stake 21.35 to win 5.337 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bravo470 Posted April 18, 2009 Share Posted April 18, 2009 Re: Home Win What about looking at the racing and football outlooks stats page in this weekly publication they list a league based on teams last six games this makes for a truer picture of current trends.This may allow for greater prediction accuracy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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