cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Stratford 7.20 Southwestern 1 pt E/W @9/2 with William Hll:hope Been running well in high value hunter chases and was "unlucky" when falling in Ireland when leading in a £20K+ race. Previous winner over course and distance. Finished in front of the favourite at Cheltenham in the Foxhunters. The favourite is yet to do the business in a high value race. Take the Stand may be overrated due to his previous form from his younger days. 4th:wall Loss on Bet = -2 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Curragh 3.00 Finsceal Beo 1 pt E/W @ 4/1 with Paddy Power:hope Top class last spring, looked to to back to near best when 5th in the UAE a couple of months ago. On ORs is rated only 1lb lower then Duke of Marmalade but is getting the fillies allowances of 3lbs which to me indicates this filly may be able to beat the favourite if staying this trip. Trading at 1.75 for the place on Betfair so we may be getting a degree of value based on the market. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Newmarket 4.40 Classic Descent 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Betfred:hope Good form on this course actaully a winner that was disqualified. Rated over 80 on official figures which is usually good enough to place in this class of maiden. If trained on should go close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange+ Bet Fontwell 2.35 Share My Dream 4 pts place only @2.14 with Betfair 1 pt win @6/1 with William Hill:hope Usually runs well in this class of race. The rain and softening going will help her cause. With her low weight plus the rider's allowance gives her a good chance based on ORs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange+ Bet Fontwell 2.35 Share My Dream 4 pts place only @2.14 with Betfair 1 pt win @6/1 with William Hill:hope Usually runs well in this class of race. The rain and softening going will help her cause. With her low weight plus the rider's allowance gives her a good chance based on ORs Unplaced, went to 1,02 to place in running at the 2nd last:sad Went off 5/2 jt fav as well.:sad Loss on Bet = -5 pts:sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet Monaco GP. I will put any odds and sods bets this summer for Athletics or Grand Prix etc :spankhere in conjunctions with posting on the specialist thread. Heikki Kovalainen (McL) 1 pt @3.3 to Place with Betfair:hope On a track that should suit his shorter wheelbase car(that what my "expert" tells me) this price looks a little long IMO. Obviously a good poistion on the grid required. Just hope he does not crash again:hope Disaster stalled on grid and things did not get better.:sad Loss on Bet = - 1 pt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Curragh 3.00 Finsceal Beo 1 pt E/W @ 4/1 with Paddy Power:hope Top class last spring, looked to to back to near best when 5th in the UAE a couple of months ago. On ORs is rated only 1lb lower then Duke of Marmalade but is getting the fillies allowances of 3lbs which to me indicates this filly may be able to beat the favourite if staying this trip. Trading at 1.75 for the place on Betfair so we may be getting a degree of value based on the market. 2nd No profit or loss on bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Newmarket 4.40 Classic Descent 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Betfred:hope Good form on this course actaully a winner that was disqualified. Rated over 80 on official figures which is usually good enough to place in this class of maiden. If trained on should go close Easy Easy:clap:clap:clap Profit on Bet = 12.6 pts:ok Turned the day and weekend.:drums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john_lovell Posted May 25, 2008 Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 well done son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spithas Posted May 25, 2008 Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 thank you :clap:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap :cheers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 25, 2008 Author Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 154 pts Return to Date = 183.17 pts Profit to Date = + 29.17 pts:ok Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 37 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +21.43 pts:ok Combined Profit to Date = 50.6 pts :ok __________________ Approaching the end of the month and should now finish in front again.:ok Making this the 6th month on the trot for my E/W bet threads Been a hard week for me with some of my selections running very poorly, fortunately I have found some decent winners at 9/2,4/1 and 11/4 all shorten up by a significant amounts so it looks like I do get it right sometimes:lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kamo Posted May 25, 2008 Share Posted May 25, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Well done Cavelloman :clap Awsome stuff as usual :cheers :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2008 Author Share Posted May 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Cartmel 4.45 Sharp Dresser 2 pts E/W @2/1 with Sportingbet:hope A low level novice hurdle race which is typical for this course. But this course also throw up shocks so I'm not going to stake too high on this selection even at this price. Been running in class 3 hurdles so this does represent a drop in class. The rest of the field contains horses with potential who could spring a surprise. Today going will help our selection as will the sharp track IMO. Based on all this IMO the selection should be priced c6/4-13/8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2008 Author Share Posted May 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Redcar 4.25 Tangerine Tree 1/2 pt E/W @12/1 with Sportingbet:hope Reasonable form at rated just about the level to place/win a poor maiden race. But this bet is still more based on market comparsions. HORSEBF PLBF WIN BOOK ODDS% EDGETANGERRINE TREES2.8013.0013.0021.43% May be more value bets in this race later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2008 Author Share Posted May 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Redcar 4.25 Howards Way 1/2 pt E/W @8/1 with BetFred:hope As above based on market comparsions. Trading at c2.1 for the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2008 Author Share Posted May 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Redcar 4.25 Howards Way 1/2 pt E/W @8/1 with BetFred:hope As above based on market comparsions. Trading at c2.1 for the place. Unplaced Loss on Bet = -1 pt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2008 Author Share Posted May 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Redcar 4.25 Tangerine Tree 1/2 pt E/W @12/1 with Sportingbet:hope Reasonable form at rated just about the level to place/win a poor maiden race. But this bet is still more based on market comparsions. HORSEBF PLBF WIN BOOK ODDS% EDGETANGERRINE TREES2.8013.0013.0021.43% May be more value bets in this race later today. Unplaced Loss on Bet = -1 pt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2008 Author Share Posted May 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Cartmel 4.45 Sharp Dresser 2 pts E/W @2/1 with Sportingbet:hope A low level novice hurdle race which is typical for this course. But this course also throw up shocks so I'm not going to stake too high on this selection even at this price. Been running in class 3 hurdles so this does represent a drop in class. The rest of the field contains horses with potential who could spring a surprise. Today going will help our selection as will the sharp track IMO. Based on all this IMO the selection should be priced c6/4-13/8. :clap:clap Just held on :loon Rule 4 deduction :\ Profit on Bet = 3.6 pts:ok Profit on Day = 1.6 pts:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 26, 2008 Author Share Posted May 26, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 160 pts Return to Date = 190.77 pts Profit to Date = + 30.77 pts:ok Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 37 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +21.43 pts:ok Combined Profit to Date = 52.2 pts :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 27, 2008 Author Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Huntingham 7.10 Cortinas 3 pts E/W @11/10 with Bet365(BOG):hope Rated at 120 OR. The 2nd favourite of A King was beaten 20l LTO while the 3rd fav is yet to race in the UK. If they are fancied we will get a bigger price si I see this as a value bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 27, 2008 Author Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BET Ballinrobe 6.30 Trust in Me 1 pt E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope May be better suited to the furlong less today. Favourite been running over 2 miles in NH races. So hope of a minor shock here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 27, 2008 Author Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BET Ballinrobe 6.30 Trust in Me 1 pt E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope May be better suited to the furlong less today. Favourite been running over 2 miles in NH races. So hope of a minor shock here :clap:clap Sharp track was just perfect for him:ok Profit on Bet = 5 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 27, 2008 Author Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Huntingham 7.10 Cortinas 3 pts E/W @11/10 with Bet365(BOG):hope Rated at 120 OR. The 2nd favourite of A King was beaten 20l LTO while the 3rd fav is yet to race in the UK. If they are fancied we will get a bigger price si I see this as a value bet :clap:clapVery easy. Outclassed the field.:clap:clap Profit on Bet = 3.96 pts :clapProfit on Day = 8.96 pts:clap :clap:clap:clapForza del Cavello:clap:clap:clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ardman123 Posted May 27, 2008 Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Top work again. Quick question do you do this full time or is it just a very profitable hobby for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kamo Posted May 27, 2008 Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Well done yet again Cavelloman :clap two great selections :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 27, 2008 Author Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Top work again. Quick question do you do this full time or is it just a very profitable hobby for you. Hobby Profitable hobby.:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB1979 Posted May 27, 2008 Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Thanks:clap Forrzzzzaaaaaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red Dragon Posted May 27, 2008 Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 brilliant work, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 27, 2008 Author Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 168 pts Return to Date = 207.68 pts Profit to Date = + 39.68 pts:ok Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 37 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +21.43 pts:ok Combined Profit to Date = 61.16 pts :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Belomir Posted May 27, 2008 Share Posted May 27, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Awesome, thanks cavelloman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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