cavello Posted May 8, 2008 Author Share Posted May 8, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet Will the first 2 in the betting at exactly the same rating and the 3rd fav looking a little outclass in looks to make sense to bet the 2nd fav here who is a course winner. :void(0)'>Fairoak Lad 1 pt win @3.5 2 pts place @1.6[:clap/quote] Profit on Bet = 3,54 pts Exchange Bets Outlay to Date = 8 pts Return to Date = 12.58 pts Profit to Date = 4.58 pts:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 9, 2008 Author Share Posted May 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E?W Bet late 2 pts E/W Strawberry Moon @2/1 Bet365 Based on matket prices ..1.2 for the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 9, 2008 Author Share Posted May 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 plus 1 pt e/w Howard Way @ SP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 9, 2008 Author Share Posted May 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E?W Bet late 2 pts E/W Strawberry Moon @2/1 Bet365 Based on matket prices ..1.2 for the place Placed loss on Bet = -1,2 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 9, 2008 Author Share Posted May 9, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 plus 1 pt e/w Howard Way @ SP Unplaced loss on bet = -2 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 10, 2008 Author Share Posted May 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 5.15 Hexham Single Dutching Bet The Howard Johnston horse looks well underpriced on what been acheived and in this poor race a moderate dutching bet looks in order on the best 2 on all known form 3 pts win Chernik @7/4 with Corals:hope 2 pts win Battle Station @5/2 with Betfred:hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 10, 2008 Author Share Posted May 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet Lingfield 2.00 Red Rocks 4 pts win @1.82 with BetChronicle:hope This race represent a major drop in class for the group 1/2 winner. Must be fancy to win this much lower class event. Still the risk is the first outing of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tulenos Posted May 10, 2008 Share Posted May 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 :ok two nice ones - Chernik as low as 1.57 @ BF after all those withdrawals, but out to 2.03 BF SP in the end:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 10, 2008 Author Share Posted May 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 5.15 Hexham Single Dutching Bet The Howard Johnston horse looks well underpriced on what been acheived and in this poor race a moderate dutching bet looks in order on the best 2 on all known form 3 pts win Chernik @7/4 with Corals:clap 2 pts win Battle Station @5/2 with Betfred N/R Profit on above bets = +3.74 pts:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 10, 2008 Author Share Posted May 10, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet Lingfield 2.00 Red Rocks 4 pts win @1.82 with BetChronicle :clap This race represent a major drop in class for the group 1/2 winner. Must be fancy to win this much lower class event. Still the risk is the first outing of the season. Profit on Bet = 3.28 pts:ok Profit on Day = + 7.02 pts:ok Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 15 pts Return to Date = 26.60 pts Profit to Date = 11.60 pts:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 11, 2008 Author Share Posted May 11, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets 2.00 Uttoxeter Backstage 2 pts E/W @5/2 with SportingBet:hope The shorter distnce of todays race race for BacKstage + the firm going which might just bring an improve performance. 2.30 Uttoxeter Four Acers 3 pts E//W @13/8 with SportingBet:hope Jump a bit large LTO and may improve with this being a 2nd hirdle race on the trot after several chase races. 1 pt E/W Doubles with Sportingbet:hope Outlay = 12 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 11, 2008 Author Share Posted May 11, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet 3.00 Uttoxeter Nikola 3 pts place only @1.63:hope (3 Places) In a race with question marks over several of the runners this consistent chaser should place in the first 3. Only concern is the time of year(IMO) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 11, 2008 Author Share Posted May 11, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets 2.00 Uttoxeter Backstage 2 pts E/W @5/2 with SportingBet:ok The shorter distnce of todays race race for BacKstage + the firm going which might just bring an improve performance. 2.30 Uttoxeter Four Acers 3 pts E//W @13/8 with SportingBet:clap Jump a bit large LTO and may improve with this being a 2nd hirdle race on the trot after several chase races. 1 pt E/W Doubles with Sportingbet:hope Outlay = 12 pts Profit on Bet = 1.84 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 11, 2008 Author Share Posted May 11, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet 3.00 Uttoxeter Nikola 3 pts place only @1.63:hope (3 Places) In a race with question marks over several of the runners this consistent chaser should place in the first 3. Only concern is the time of year(IMO) Placed(won:lol) profit on Bet = +1.89 pts. 1.8 actually came available late on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 11, 2008 Author Share Posted May 11, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 18 pts Return to Date = 31.49 pts Profit to Date = 13.49 pts:ok E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 46 pts Return to Date = 36.81 pts Loss to Date = --9.19 pts:\ Combined Yield = +6.7% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 12, 2008 Author Share Posted May 12, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 6.05 Towcester Sister Agnes 2 pts E/W @12/1 BetDirect(BOG):hope Relative Hero 1 pt E/W @5/1 Corals:hope Earcomesthedream 1pt E/W @7/1 Bet365(BOG) Mainly based on Market Comparsion but Sister Agnes looks overpriced based on her best form + local trainer can do well here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 12, 2008 Author Share Posted May 12, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 6.05 Towcester Sister Agnes 2 pts E/W @12/1 BetDirect(BOG):hope:sad Relative Hero 1 pt E/W @5/1 Corals:hope:sad Earcomesthedream 1pt E/W @7/1 Bet365(BOG):clap Mainly based on Market Comparsion but Sister Agnes looks overpriced based on her best form + local trainer can do well here Profit on Bet = 3 pts:ok Sister Agnes jumping was very poor:sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 12, 2008 Author Share Posted May 12, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Small Exchange Bet Back Nine 1/2 pts E/W (3 places) Hard to see this horse rated at 118 not placing Garden Feature 1/2 pt E/W(3 places) A small stake but these 2 represent form on conventional racecourse and may be too good for these point to point types Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 12, 2008 Author Share Posted May 12, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Small Exchange Bet Back Nine 1/2 pts E/W (3 places):clap Hard to see this horse rated at 118 not placing Garden Feature 1/2 pt E/W(3 places):sad A small stake but these 2 represent form on conventional racecourse and may be too good for these point to point types Profit on Bet = 1.34 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 12, 2008 Author Share Posted May 12, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 20 pts Return to Date = 34.83 pts Profit to Date = 14.83 pts:ok E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 54 pts Return to Date = 47.81 pts Loss to Date = - 6.19 pts:\ Combined Yield = +11.7%:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 13, 2008 Author Share Posted May 13, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BETS 6.10 Newton A 4 pts E/W Amargayle @7/4 with Bet365(BOG):hope 2 pts E/W Trinity Rose @100/30 with William Hill:hope 1.5 pts E/W Party Palace @12/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Based on some form and some market comparsions. Outlay = 15 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 13, 2008 Author Share Posted May 13, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Add now Caoba 3 pts E/W @2/1 Bet365(BOG) Strange figures for E/W value but I must go with my figures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 13, 2008 Author Share Posted May 13, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Profit obtained. 21 pts Outlay Caobra (2/1) Won ...outlay 6 pts...Returned 13.2 pts Amargayle (15/8) Placed... Outlay 8 pts Returned 5.5 pts Party Palace (12/1) Placed....Outlay 3 pts Returned 5.10 pts Trinity Rose (4/1).... Outlay 4 pts Retuned 0 pts Total Return = 23.80 pts Profit = 2.8 pts:ok Every little bit helps:lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 14, 2008 Author Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BET 6.40 Perth Buffy 3 pts E/W @4/1 with Ladbrokes Winner of this race last year act on fast going and obviously this course. Had a run recently and hopefully may have been targeted at this race Also value on market comparsions HORSEBF PLBF WIN BOOK ODDS% EdgeBUFFY5.001.475.0022.45% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 14, 2008 Author Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Knocklayde Rose 1 pt E/w @10/1 with Bet365(BOG) Trainers won this event before and in a pretty poor event may just be good enough to at least get a place. Odds are a bit better on the exchanges at the moment to small stakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 14, 2008 Author Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BET 6.40 Perth Buffy 3 pts E/W @4/1 with Ladbrokes Winner of this race last year act on fast going and obviously this course. Had a run recently and hopefully may have been targeted at this race Also value on market comparsions HORSEBF PLBF WIN BOOK ODDS% EdgeBUFFY5.001.475.0022.45% Placed -0.6 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 14, 2008 Author Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Knocklayde Rose 1 pt E/w @10/1 with Bet365(BOG) Trainers won this event before and in a pretty poor event may just be good enough to at least get a place. Odds are a bit better on the exchanges at the moment to small stakes. Unplaced -2 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 14, 2008 Author Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 BTW Personallly I would have normally traded for a profit straightaway after an odds-on shot falls at the first But Betfair was suspended for the entire race:wall And of course in tthose circumstances it's sod's law:@ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 14, 2008 Author Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Single Bets 8.40 Perth Ormello 1 pt win @13/2 with William Hill +3 pts place @2.38 @paddy Power This represent a drop in class here for this 2 mile specialist. Been placed in races of 0-125 and 0-130 plus higher value races. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 14, 2008 Author Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Single Bets 8.40 Perth Ormello 1 pt win @13/2 with William Hill +3 pts place @2.38 @paddy Power This represent a drop in class here for this 2 mile specialist. Been placed in races of 0-125 and 0-130 plus higher value races. :clap:clap Easy... class more important then weight:ok Profit on Bet = 10.6 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpg.32384c3055cbc1254b0eb6212fda1359.jpg)
Recommended Posts